← All Games/ Premier League/ Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Premier League 2026-10-17
NE
Newcastle
4-3-3
1-1
Predicted
→
0-1
Actual
✗ Different
λ 1.487 / 1.193 · Confidence 71%
AV
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Win Probabilities
Home 44%Draw 26%Away 30%
Market Signals
O2.5 50%U2.5 50%BTTS 54%Home CS 30%Away CS 23%
Newcastle Ratings
DR6.85
MCR6.89
ATR6.84
GK6.97
Aston Villa Ratings
DR6.72
MCR6.87
ATR6.87
GK6.96
Top 5 Scorelines
1-1 (?-?)0%
1-0 (?-?)0%
2-1 (?-?)0%
0-1 (?-?)0%
2-0 (?-?)0%
Match Analysis
⭐ Projected scorer(s): Yoane Wissa, Nicolas Jackson
Tactical parity between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Nico González vs Johan Manzambi will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.87, Away: 1.05. Home danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.
Midfield is evenly contested — Nico González vs Johan Manzambi will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.87, Away: 1.05. Home danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.
⚡ XGBoost Reasoning & FBref Tracing
Antagonist + XGBoost match analysis for Newcastle vs Aston Villa. Player statistics regressed using position-specific XGBoost models (G, D, M, F) with 2026-2027 FBref priors. Micro-duels resolved across 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1 (duel lambdas: Home 1.466, Away 1.210). Final calibrated Poisson lambdas: Home 1.487, Away 1.193 (most likely score 1-1).
Duel λ: 1.466 / 1.21 → Final λ: 1.487 / 1.193
Accuracy
54%
Overall Accuracy
Poor
56%
Goalkeepers
2 live / 0 form / 2 total
52%
Defenders
8 live / 0 form / 8 total
53%
Midfielders
6 live / 0 form / 6 total
57%
Forwards
6 live / 0 form / 6 total
✓ Live Match Stats Available22 of 22 players matched to real post-game data from the CSV. Accuracy scores reflect real vs predicted performance.
Delta Key Actual > Pred (≥+10%) Within ±10% Actual < Pred (≥-10%) One value missing
NE
Newcastle
🧤Goalkeepers1 live · 0 form · 1 total
LH
Lukáš Horníček
🧤 Goalkeeper#21 · 194cm · €25.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
55%
▼
6.97
Pred Rating
6.80
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.976.80-0.17
Minutes Played—90—
Touches4329-14.00
Possession Lost114-6.83
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes3121-10.00
Accurate Passes2118-3.00
Long Balls (Total)136-7.00
Long Balls (Accurate)43-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)1817-1.00
Own Half Passes (tot)2118-3.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)—1—
Opp Half Passes (tot)—3—
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won0——
Duels Lost0——
Total Contests0——
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won0——
Clearances21-1.00
Ball Recovery86-2.00
Fouls Committed0——
Fouls Drawn0——
🧤Goalkeeper▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Saves32-1.00
Goals Prevented0.010.05++0.04
Saves Inside Box31-2.00
Save Value—0.46—
High Claims0——
Punches1——
Sweeper Actions13++2.00
Accurate Sweeper13++2.00
Expected Saves (pred)2.76——
Hi-Pressure Saves (pred)0.95——
Shots Faced (pred)11——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
🛡Defenders4 live · 0 form · 4 total
LH
Lewis Hall
🛡 Defender#3 · 179cm · €52.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
62%
▼
6.91
Pred Rating
6.80
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.916.80-0.11
Minutes Played—90—
Touches8572-13.00
Possession Lost1522++6.56
Unsuccessful Touches—1—
Dispossessed21-0.59
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes5341-12.00
Accurate Passes4729-18.00
Long Balls (Total)65-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)3——
Own Half Passes (acc)2112-9.00
Own Half Passes (tot)2313-10.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)2517-8.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)3028-2.00
Crosses (Total)45++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)11++0.00
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won57++2.00
Duels Lost65-1.00
Total Contests24++2.00
Contests Won12++1.00
Aerial Duels Won11++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost2——
Tackles (Total)23++1.00
Tackles Won12++1.00
Interceptions14++3.00
Clearances33++0.00
Shots Blocked1——
Ball Recovery68++2.00
Challenges Lost12++1.00
Fouls Committed1——
Fouls Drawn11++0.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.062——
Expected Assists (xA)0.1460.068-0.08
Key Passes—2—
Total Shots10-1.00
Shots on Target1——
Shots off Target0——
xGOT0.045——
Big Chances Created0——
Offsides—1—
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Def. Success Rate
51.0%
Clearances In Zone
1
Interceptions In Zone
1
Tackles In Zone
2
Tackles Won In Zone
2
Aerial Duels Won
1
Pressing Zone
Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle
Opponent Faced
Johan Manzambi
SB
Sven Botman
🛡 Defender#4 · 193cm · €33.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
55%
▼
6.94
Pred Rating
7.50
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.947.50++0.56
Minutes Played—90—
Touches7977-2.00
Possession Lost915++6.20
Unsuccessful Touches—1—
Dispossessed0——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes6262++0.00
Accurate Passes5448-6.00
Long Balls (Total)77++0.00
Long Balls (Accurate)22++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)3924-15.00
Own Half Passes (tot)4225-17.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)1524++9.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)2037++17.00
Crosses (Total)0——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won77++0.00
Duels Lost3——
Total Contests0——
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won37++4.00
Aerial Duels Lost2——
Tackles (Total)1——
Tackles Won1——
Interceptions11++0.00
Clearances76-1.00
Shots Blocked13++2.00
Ball Recovery32-1.00
Challenges Lost0——
Fouls Committed0——
Fouls Drawn1——
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.0490.110++0.06
Expected Assists (xA)0.0540.029-0.03
Total Shots12++1.00
Shots on Target01++1.00
Shots off Target0——
Shots Blocked—1—
xGOT0.0640.252++0.19
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Def. Success Rate
82.0%
Clearances In Zone
1
Interceptions In Zone
1
Tackles In Zone
1
Tackles Won In Zone
1
Aerial Duels Won
1
Pressing Zone
Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle
Opponent Faced
Nicolas Jackson
MT
Malick Thiaw
🛡 Defender#12 · 194cm · €46.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
63%
▼
6.84
Pred Rating
7.60
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.847.60++0.76
Minutes Played—90—
Touches7077++7.00
Possession Lost88++0.23
Dispossessed0——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes5862++4.00
Accurate Passes5156++5.00
Long Balls (Total)75-2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)34++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)3433-1.00
Own Half Passes (tot)3633-3.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)1723++6.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)2229++7.00
Crosses (Total)0——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won45++1.00
Duels Lost35++2.00
Total Contests0——
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won35++2.00
Aerial Duels Lost22++0.00
Tackles (Total)1——
Tackles Won1——
Interceptions12++1.00
Clearances63-3.00
Shots Blocked14++3.00
Ball Recovery34++1.00
Challenges Lost01++1.00
Fouls Committed12++1.00
Fouls Drawn0——
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.078——
Expected Assists (xA)0.0250.061++0.04
Key Passes—1—
Total Shots00++0.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target0——
xGOT0.065——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Def. Success Rate
82.0%
Clearances In Zone
1
Interceptions In Zone
1
Tackles In Zone
1
Tackles Won In Zone
1
Aerial Duels Won
1
Pressing Zone
Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle
Opponent Faced
Nicolas Jackson
AD
Amar Dedić
🛡 Defender#37 · 180cm · €29.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
0%
▼
6.69
Pred Rating
—
Pred Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.69——
Touches53——
Possession Lost11——
Dispossessed0——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes31——
Accurate Passes26——
Long Balls (Total)2——
Long Balls (Accurate)1——
Own Half Passes (acc)15——
Own Half Passes (tot)16——
Opp Half Passes (acc)11——
Opp Half Passes (tot)14——
Crosses (Total)1——
Crosses (Accurate)1——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won5——
Duels Lost5——
Total Contests3——
Contests Won1——
Aerial Duels Won1——
Aerial Duels Lost2——
Tackles (Total)2——
Tackles Won1——
Interceptions1——
Clearances3——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery4——
Challenges Lost0——
Fouls Committed1——
Fouls Drawn1——
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists0——
Expected Goals (xG)0.046——
Expected Assists (xA)0.029——
Total Shots10-1.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target1——
xGOT0.000——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
Opponent Faced
John McGinn
⚙Midfielders3 live · 0 form · 3 total
NG
Nico González
⚙ Midfielder#6 · 186cm · €54.0M · Starter · XGB M_service
✓ Live Stats
51%
▼
6.96
Pred Rating
7.20
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.967.20++0.24
Minutes Played—90—
Touches6581++16.00
Possession Lost812++4.15
Dispossessed11++0.37
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes5668++12.00
Accurate Passes5058++8.00
Long Balls (Total)46++2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)24++2.00
Own Half Passes (acc)2117-4.00
Own Half Passes (tot)2318-5.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)2941++12.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)3350++17.00
Crosses (Total)0——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won35++2.00
Duels Lost46++2.00
Total Contests01++1.00
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won11++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost1——
Tackles (Total)23++1.00
Tackles Won12++1.00
Interceptions12++1.00
Clearances1——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery—7—
Challenges Lost11++0.00
Fouls Committed23++1.00
Fouls Drawn11++0.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.0460.052++0.01
Expected Assists (xA)0.1170.064-0.05
Total Shots12++1.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target0——
Shots Blocked—2—
xGOT0.006——
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
3
Dribbles Successful
1
Duel Win Rate
51.7%
Matchup Zone
Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel
Numerical Situation
1v1
JO
Joelinton
⚙ Midfielder#7 · 186cm · €21.0M · Starter · XGB M_service
✓ Live Stats
52%
▼
6.82
Pred Rating
6.50
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
89
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.826.50-0.32
Minutes Played—89—
Touches5451-3.00
Possession Lost117-4.10
Unsuccessful Touches—2—
Dispossessed12++0.57
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes3836-2.00
Accurate Passes3134++3.00
Long Balls (Total)21-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)11++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)145-9.00
Own Half Passes (tot)165-11.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)1729++12.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)2131++10.00
Crosses (Total)0——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won76-1.00
Duels Lost710++3.00
Total Contests23++1.00
Contests Won12++1.00
Aerial Duels Won12++1.00
Aerial Duels Lost22++0.00
Tackles (Total)2——
Tackles Won1——
Interceptions12++1.00
Clearances11++0.00
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery—3—
Challenges Lost12++1.00
Fouls Committed23++1.00
Fouls Drawn12++1.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.091——
Expected Assists (xA)0.0790.058-0.02
Key Passes—1—
Total Shots10-1.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target1——
xGOT0.136——
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
2
Dribbles Successful
1
Duel Win Rate
40.7%
Matchup Zone
CDM vs CDM
Numerical Situation
1v1
LM
Lewis Miley
⚙ Midfielder#67 · 188cm · €32.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
45%
▼
6.87
Pred Rating
7.30
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.877.30++0.43
Minutes Played—90—
Touches6364++1.00
Possession Lost816++8.10
Dispossessed01++0.57
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes5038-12.00
Accurate Passes4527-18.00
Long Balls (Total)36++3.00
Long Balls (Accurate)13++2.00
Own Half Passes (acc)2411-13.00
Own Half Passes (tot)2614-12.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)2116-5.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)2424++0.00
Crosses (Total)15++4.00
Crosses (Accurate)02++2.00
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won43-1.00
Duels Lost24++2.00
Total Contests1——
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won12++1.00
Aerial Duels Lost1——
Tackles (Total)21-1.00
Tackles Won11++0.00
Interceptions11++0.00
Clearances22++0.00
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery—7—
Challenges Lost12++1.00
Fouls Committed01++1.00
Fouls Drawn0——
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.047——
Expected Assists (xA)0.0890.301++0.21
Key Passes—3—
Total Shots10-1.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target0——
xGOT0.035——
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
3
Dribbles Successful
1
Duel Win Rate
48.1%
Matchup Zone
Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel
Numerical Situation
1v1
⚽Forwards3 live · 0 form · 3 total
YW
Yoane Wissa
⚽ Forward#9 · 176cm · €23.0M · Starter · FBref (0.53g/90)
✓ Live Stats
60%
▼
6.70
Pred Rating
7.00
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.707.00++0.30
Minutes Played—90—
Touches3035++5.00
Possession Lost99-0.08
Unsuccessful Touches—1—
Dispossessed1——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes1815-3.00
Accurate Passes1310-3.00
Long Balls (Total)0——
Long Balls (Accurate)0——
Own Half Passes (acc)—2—
Own Half Passes (tot)—2—
Opp Half Passes (acc)88++0.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1213++1.00
Crosses (Total)01++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won58++3.00
Duels Lost64-2.00
Total Contests14++3.00
Contests Won12++1.00
Aerial Duels Won15++4.00
Aerial Duels Lost21-1.00
Tackles (Total)11++0.00
Tackles Won0——
Interceptions0——
Clearances1——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery23++1.00
Challenges Lost0——
Fouls Committed21-1.00
Fouls Drawn1——
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals1——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.3240.468++0.14
Expected Assists (xA)0.0590.075++0.02
Total Shots27++5.00
Shots on Target1——
Shots off Target14++3.00
Shots Blocked—3—
xGOT0.342——
Big Chances Missed1——
Big Chances Created0——
Offsides0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
4
Dribbles Successful
2
Duel Win Rate
42.4%
Matchup Zone
Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle
Numerical Situation
1v1
HB
Harvey Barnes
⚽ Forward#11 · 181cm · €38.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
58%
▼
6.94
Pred Rating
6.30
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.946.30-0.64
Minutes Played—90—
Touches3852++14.00
Possession Lost1120++9.18
Unsuccessful Touches—5—
Dispossessed12++1.45
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes2320-3.00
Accurate Passes1818++0.00
Long Balls (Total)1——
Long Balls (Accurate)0——
Own Half Passes (acc)—3—
Own Half Passes (tot)—3—
Opp Half Passes (acc)1315++2.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1717++0.00
Crosses (Total)211++9.00
Crosses (Accurate)02++2.00
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won33++0.00
Duels Lost44++0.00
Total Contests22++0.00
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won1——
Aerial Duels Lost1——
Tackles (Total)1——
Tackles Won0——
Interceptions1——
Clearances1——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery33++0.00
Challenges Lost1——
Fouls Committed1——
Fouls Drawn13++2.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists10-1.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.2740.273-0.00
Expected Assists (xA)0.1610.041-0.12
Key Passes—3—
Total Shots23++1.00
Shots on Target1——
Shots off Target1——
Shots Blocked—3—
xGOT0.300——
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created0——
Offsides02++2.00
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
4
Dribbles Successful
2
Duel Win Rate
58.4%
Matchup Zone
Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle
Numerical Situation
1v1
MF
Matías Fernández-Pardo
⚽ Forward#20 · 183cm · €60.0M · Starter · XGB F_service
✓ Live Stats
42%
▼
6.87
Pred Rating
6.70
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
56
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.876.70-0.17
Minutes Played—56—
Touches2819-9.00
Possession Lost96-2.88
Dispossessed21-0.53
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes189-9.00
Accurate Passes137-6.00
Long Balls (Total)01++1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)01++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)—1—
Own Half Passes (tot)—2—
Opp Half Passes (acc)106-4.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)147-7.00
Crosses (Total)12++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won25++3.00
Duels Lost45++1.00
Total Contests13++2.00
Contests Won12++1.00
Aerial Duels Won2——
Aerial Duels Lost1——
Tackles (Total)11++0.00
Tackles Won1——
Interceptions0——
Clearances1——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery21-1.00
Challenges Lost12++1.00
Fouls Committed11++0.00
Fouls Drawn02++2.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.317——
Expected Assists (xA)0.1130.017-0.10
Total Shots20-2.00
Shots on Target1——
Shots off Target1——
xGOT0.000——
Big Chances Missed1——
Big Chances Created0——
Offsides1——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
2
Dribbles Successful
0
Duel Win Rate
26.8%
Matchup Zone
Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle
Numerical Situation
1v2
🪑Bench Substitutes7 modeled candidates
Ewen Jaouen (G)
Exp Min: 5.1m App Prob: 14%Market substitute prior
Tino Livramento (D)
Exp Min: 15.0m App Prob: 36%Market substitute prior
Dan Burn (D)
Exp Min: 13.6m App Prob: 30%Market substitute prior
Aladji Bamba (M)
Exp Min: 18.5m App Prob: 71%Market substitute prior
Sean Steur (M)
Exp Min: 21.2m App Prob: 52%Market substitute prior
Nick Woltemade (F)
Exp Min: 23.1m App Prob: 75%Market substitute prior
Bazoumana Touré (F)
Exp Min: 12.6m App Prob: 75%Market substitute prior
📋Actual Players (Not Predicted) — 4 players
DB
Dan Burn
🛡 DefenderSub · 1min
+ Actual
—
▼
—
Real Rating
1
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Minutes Played—1—
Touches—4—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
JW
Joe Willock
⚙ MidfielderStarter · 56min
+ Actual
6.70
▼
6.70
Real Rating
56
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating—6.70—
Minutes Played—56—
Touches—32—
Possession Lost—5—
Unsuccessful Touches—3—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
BT
Bazoumana Touré
⚽ ForwardSub · 34min
+ Actual
6.50
▼
6.50
Real Rating
34
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating—6.50—
Minutes Played—34—
Touches—27—
Possession Lost—13—
Unsuccessful Touches—1—
Dispossessed—2—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
WO
William Osula
⚽ ForwardSub · 34min
+ Actual
6.10
▼
6.10
Real Rating
34
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating—6.10—
Minutes Played—34—
Touches—6—
Possession Lost—3—
Unsuccessful Touches—1—
Dispossessed—1—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
AV
Aston Villa
🧤Goalkeepers1 live · 0 form · 1 total
ZS
Zion Suzuki
🧤 Goalkeeper#1 · 189cm · €31.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
57%
▼
6.96
Pred Rating
7.20
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.967.20++0.24
Minutes Played—90—
Touches5565++10.00
Possession Lost1420++5.73
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes4049++9.00
Accurate Passes2630++4.00
Long Balls (Total)2124++3.00
Long Balls (Accurate)76-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)2029++9.00
Own Half Passes (tot)2230++8.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)—1—
Opp Half Passes (tot)—19—
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won12++1.00
Duels Lost0——
Total Contests0——
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won01++1.00
Clearances33++0.00
Ball Recovery1012++2.00
Fouls Committed0——
Fouls Drawn11++0.00
🧤Goalkeeper▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Saves31-2.00
Goals Prevented0.070.25++0.18
Saves Inside Box21-1.00
Save Value—0.23—
High Claims25++3.00
Punches12++0.63
Sweeper Actions21-1.00
Accurate Sweeper21-1.00
Expected Saves (pred)3.45——
Hi-Pressure Saves (pred)1.19——
Shots Faced (pred)14——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
🛡Defenders4 live · 0 form · 4 total
MC
Matty Cash
🛡 Defender#2 · 185cm · €19.8M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
61%
▼
6.71
Pred Rating
7.20
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.717.20++0.49
Minutes Played—90—
Touches6367++4.00
Possession Lost1211-1.28
Unsuccessful Touches—1—
Dispossessed0——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes4139-2.00
Accurate Passes3531-4.00
Long Balls (Total)35++2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)11++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)1719++2.00
Own Half Passes (tot)1822++4.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)1812-6.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)2217-5.00
Crosses (Total)32-1.00
Crosses (Accurate)01++1.00
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won44++0.00
Duels Lost44++0.00
Total Contests0——
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won11++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost11++0.00
Tackles (Total)23++1.00
Tackles Won11++0.00
Interceptions11++0.00
Clearances25++3.00
Shots Blocked11++0.00
Last-Man Tackle—1—
Ball Recovery22++0.00
Challenges Lost1——
Fouls Committed13++2.00
Fouls Drawn1——
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.0250.062++0.04
Expected Assists (xA)0.0490.011-0.04
Total Shots02++2.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target02++2.00
xGOT0.011——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Def. Success Rate
57.6%
Clearances In Zone
1
Interceptions In Zone
1
Tackles In Zone
2
Tackles Won In Zone
2
Aerial Duels Won
1
Pressing Zone
Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle
Opponent Faced
Yoane Wissa
VL
Victor Lindelöf
🛡 Defender#3 · 187cm · €4.8M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
65%
▼
6.76
Pred Rating
7.80
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.767.80++1.04
Minutes Played—90—
Touches6169++8.00
Possession Lost49++4.82
Dispossessed0——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes5357++4.00
Accurate Passes4948-1.00
Long Balls (Total)36++3.00
Long Balls (Accurate)12++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)3440++6.00
Own Half Passes (tot)3644++8.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)158-7.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1713-4.00
Crosses (Total)0——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won11++0.00
Duels Lost21-1.00
Total Contests0——
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won21-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost11++0.00
Tackles (Total)1——
Tackles Won1——
Interceptions1——
Clearances611++5.00
Shots Blocked01++1.00
Ball Recovery22++0.00
Challenges Lost0——
Fouls Committed0——
Fouls Drawn0——
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.055——
Expected Assists (xA)0.0220.003-0.02
Total Shots00++0.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target0——
xGOT0.080——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Def. Success Rate
41.6%
Clearances In Zone
1
Interceptions In Zone
1
Tackles In Zone
2
Tackles Won In Zone
1
Aerial Duels Won
1
Pressing Zone
Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle
Opponent Faced
Harvey Barnes
PT
Pau Torres
🛡 Defender#14 · 192cm · €21.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
45%
▼
6.77
Pred Rating
6.80
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
13
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.776.80++0.03
Minutes Played—13—
Touches5912-47.00
Possession Lost8——
Dispossessed0——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes527-45.00
Accurate Passes457-38.00
Long Balls (Total)6——
Long Balls (Accurate)2——
Own Half Passes (acc)287-21.00
Own Half Passes (tot)317-24.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)17——
Opp Half Passes (tot)21——
Crosses (Total)0——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won21-1.00
Duels Lost21-1.00
Total Contests0——
Contests Won0——
Aerial Duels Won1——
Aerial Duels Lost11++0.00
Tackles (Total)1——
Tackles Won1——
Interceptions11++0.00
Clearances42-2.00
Shots Blocked11++0.00
Ball Recovery3——
Challenges Lost0——
Fouls Committed1——
Fouls Drawn01++1.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.066——
Expected Assists (xA)0.0130.000-0.01
Total Shots00++0.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target0——
xGOT0.041——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Def. Success Rate
73.2%
Clearances In Zone
1
Interceptions In Zone
1
Tackles In Zone
1
Tackles Won In Zone
1
Aerial Duels Won
1
Pressing Zone
Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle
Opponent Faced
Matías Fernández-Pardo
AW
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
🛡 Defender#29 · 183cm · €14.1M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
63%
▼
6.63
Pred Rating
6.80
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
77
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.636.80++0.17
Minutes Played—77—
Touches5240-12.00
Possession Lost128-3.85
Unsuccessful Touches—2—
Dispossessed1——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes2925-4.00
Accurate Passes2323++0.00
Long Balls (Total)21-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)1——
Own Half Passes (acc)105-5.00
Own Half Passes (tot)126-6.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)1318++5.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1719++2.00
Crosses (Total)12++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won32-1.00
Duels Lost34++1.00
Total Contests11++0.00
Contests Won1——
Aerial Duels Won1——
Aerial Duels Lost12++1.00
Tackles (Total)21-1.00
Tackles Won1——
Interceptions11++0.00
Clearances21-1.00
Shots Blocked01++1.00
Ball Recovery31-2.00
Challenges Lost0——
Fouls Committed11++0.00
Fouls Drawn01++1.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.000——
Expected Assists (xA)0.0390.016-0.02
Total Shots00++0.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target0——
xGOT0.000——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Def. Success Rate
73.2%
Clearances In Zone
1
Interceptions In Zone
1
Tackles In Zone
1
Tackles Won In Zone
1
Aerial Duels Won
1
Pressing Zone
Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle
Opponent Faced
Matías Fernández-Pardo
⚙Midfielders3 live · 0 form · 3 total
BK
Boubacar Kamara
⚙ Midfielder#8 · 184cm · €49.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
63%
▼
6.96
Pred Rating
7.70
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.967.70++0.74
Minutes Played—90—
Touches6567++2.00
Possession Lost1010-0.15
Unsuccessful Touches—3—
Dispossessed1——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes5043-7.00
Accurate Passes4337-6.00
Long Balls (Total)32-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)22++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)1917-2.00
Own Half Passes (tot)2121++0.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)2420-4.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)2922-7.00
Crosses (Total)0——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won610++4.00
Duels Lost56++1.00
Total Contests22++0.00
Contests Won11++0.00
Aerial Duels Won1——
Aerial Duels Lost1——
Tackles (Total)25++3.00
Tackles Won13++2.00
Interceptions11++0.00
Clearances23++1.00
Shots Blocked12++1.00
Ball Recovery—6—
Challenges Lost11++0.00
Fouls Committed14++3.00
Fouls Drawn24++2.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.046——
Expected Assists (xA)0.0660.011-0.06
Total Shots10-1.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target1——
xGOT0.020——
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
2
Dribbles Successful
1
Duel Win Rate
42.5%
Matchup Zone
Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel
Numerical Situation
1v1
JG
João Gomes
⚙ Midfielder#35 · 176cm · €36.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
49%
▼
6.80
Pred Rating
7.20
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
72
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.807.20++0.40
Minutes Played—72—
Touches5539-16.00
Possession Lost95-3.99
Dispossessed21-1.03
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes3732-5.00
Accurate Passes3228-4.00
Long Balls (Total)23++1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)12++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)1610-6.00
Own Half Passes (tot)1712-5.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)1618++2.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1920++1.00
Crosses (Total)11++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)01++1.00
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won74-3.00
Duels Lost77++0.00
Total Contests2——
Contests Won1——
Aerial Duels Won11++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost13++2.00
Tackles (Total)32-1.00
Tackles Won21-1.00
Interceptions1——
Clearances11++0.00
Shots Blocked01++1.00
Ball Recovery—2—
Challenges Lost12++1.00
Fouls Committed21-1.00
Fouls Drawn21-1.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists01++1.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.037——
Expected Assists (xA)0.0550.243++0.19
Key Passes—1—
Total Shots10-1.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target0——
xGOT0.050——
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created01++1.00
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
2
Dribbles Successful
1
Duel Win Rate
36.9%
Matchup Zone
Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel
Numerical Situation
1v1
JM
Johan Manzambi
⚙ Midfielder#44 · 182cm · €71.0M · Starter · XGB M_service
✓ Live Stats
56%
▼
6.84
Pred Rating
8.00
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
72
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.848.00++1.16
Minutes Played—72—
Touches3635-1.00
Possession Lost89++0.71
Unsuccessful Touches—2—
Dispossessed01++1.00
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes1824++6.00
Accurate Passes1618++2.00
Long Balls (Total)11++0.00
Long Balls (Accurate)1——
Own Half Passes (acc)46++2.00
Own Half Passes (tot)47++3.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)1212++0.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1417++3.00
Crosses (Total)0——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won34++1.00
Duels Lost44++0.00
Total Contests42-2.00
Contests Won12++1.00
Aerial Duels Won1——
Aerial Duels Lost13++2.00
Tackles (Total)1——
Tackles Won0——
Interceptions01++1.00
Clearances0——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery—2—
Challenges Lost0——
Fouls Committed0——
Fouls Drawn22++0.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals01++1.00
Assists10-1.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.2350.446++0.21
Expected Assists (xA)0.1450.172++0.03
Key Passes—2—
Total Shots33++0.00
Shots on Target11++0.00
Shots off Target2——
Shots Blocked—2—
xGOT0.3730.558++0.19
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
4
Dribbles Successful
2
Duel Win Rate
49.0%
Matchup Zone
Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle
Numerical Situation
1v1
⚽Forwards3 live · 0 form · 3 total
JM
John McGinn
⚽ Forward#7 · 178cm · €12.6M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
57%
▼
6.87
Pred Rating
7.00
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
45
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.877.00++0.13
Minutes Played—45—
Touches4228-14.00
Possession Lost1310-3.45
Dispossessed22-0.16
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes2617-9.00
Accurate Passes2012-8.00
Long Balls (Total)31-2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)2——
Own Half Passes (acc)—5—
Own Half Passes (tot)—7—
Opp Half Passes (acc)147-7.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1910-9.00
Crosses (Total)32-1.00
Crosses (Accurate)1——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won46++2.00
Duels Lost55++0.00
Total Contests22++0.00
Contests Won11++0.00
Aerial Duels Won2——
Aerial Duels Lost11++0.00
Tackles (Total)14++3.00
Tackles Won02++2.00
Interceptions1——
Clearances1——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery36++3.00
Challenges Lost01++1.00
Fouls Committed1——
Fouls Drawn31-2.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.164——
Expected Assists (xA)0.1100.020-0.09
Key Passes—1—
Total Shots10-1.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target1——
xGOT0.167——
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created0——
Offsides0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
2
Dribbles Successful
0
Duel Win Rate
18.0%
Matchup Zone
Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle
Numerical Situation
1v2
EB
Emiliano Buendía
⚽ Forward#10 · 170cm · €14.6M · Starter · XGB F_service
✓ Live Stats
67%
▼
6.87
Pred Rating
7.10
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
72
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.877.10++0.23
Minutes Played—72—
Touches4454++10.00
Possession Lost1110-1.24
Dispossessed11-0.38
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes2736++9.00
Accurate Passes2130++9.00
Long Balls (Total)23++1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)11++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)—10—
Own Half Passes (tot)—12—
Opp Half Passes (acc)1220++8.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1724++7.00
Crosses (Total)12++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won69++3.00
Duels Lost65-1.00
Total Contests12++1.00
Contests Won11++0.00
Aerial Duels Won1——
Aerial Duels Lost11++0.00
Tackles (Total)26++4.00
Tackles Won15++4.00
Interceptions11++0.00
Clearances0——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery54-1.00
Challenges Lost22++0.00
Fouls Committed1——
Fouls Drawn22++0.00
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals0——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.1460.225++0.08
Expected Assists (xA)0.1030.017-0.09
Total Shots11++0.00
Shots on Target0——
Shots off Target1——
Shots Blocked—1—
xGOT0.061——
Big Chances Missed0——
Big Chances Created0——
Hit Woodwork—1—
Offsides0——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
2
Dribbles Successful
0
Duel Win Rate
18.0%
Matchup Zone
Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle
Numerical Situation
1v2
NJ
Nicolas Jackson
⚽ Forward#11 · 186cm · €44.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)
✓ Live Stats
56%
▼
6.88
Pred Rating
6.80
Real Rating
—
Pred Minutes
90
Real Minutes
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating6.886.80-0.08
Minutes Played—90—
Touches3133++2.00
Possession Lost99-0.13
Unsuccessful Touches—3—
Dispossessed1——
🔑Passing▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Total Passes1421++7.00
Accurate Passes1215++3.00
Long Balls (Total)1——
Long Balls (Accurate)1——
Own Half Passes (acc)—3—
Own Half Passes (tot)—5—
Opp Half Passes (acc)912++3.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)1116++5.00
Crosses (Total)1——
Crosses (Accurate)0——
🛡Defending▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Duels Won52-3.00
Duels Lost610++4.00
Total Contests52-3.00
Contests Won22++0.00
Aerial Duels Won2——
Aerial Duels Lost28++6.00
Tackles (Total)1——
Tackles Won0——
Interceptions01++1.00
Clearances0——
Shots Blocked0——
Ball Recovery22++0.00
Challenges Lost02++2.00
Fouls Committed0——
Fouls Drawn1——
⚽Attacking▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Goals1——
Assists00++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)0.3440.363++0.02
Expected Assists (xA)0.0970.116++0.02
Key Passes—3—
Total Shots24++2.00
Shots on Target11++0.00
Shots off Target1——
Shots Blocked—3—
xGOT0.3400.135-0.20
Big Chances Missed01++1.00
Big Chances Created0——
Offsides1——
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
Dribbles Attempted
2
Dribbles Successful
0
Duel Win Rate
18.0%
Matchup Zone
Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle
Numerical Situation
1v2
🪑Bench Substitutes7 modeled candidates
Marco Bizot (G)
Exp Min: 4.4m App Prob: 13%Market substitute prior
Ian Maatsen (D)
Exp Min: 14.8m App Prob: 24%Market substitute prior
Matteo Ruggeri (D)
Exp Min: 11.5m App Prob: 62%Market substitute prior
Amadou Onana (M)
Exp Min: 23.4m App Prob: 56%Market substitute prior
Douglas Luiz (M)
Exp Min: 22.7m App Prob: 53%Market substitute prior
Ibrahim Mbaye (F)
Exp Min: 26.4m App Prob: 61%Market substitute prior
Alejandro Garnacho (F)
Exp Min: 16.8m App Prob: 74%Market substitute prior
📋Actual Players (Not Predicted) — 5 players
TM
Tyrone Mings
🛡 DefenderStarter · 90min
+ Actual
6.90
▼
6.90
Real Rating
90
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating—6.90—
Minutes Played—90—
Touches—52—
Possession Lost—9—
Unsuccessful Touches—3—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
RB
Ross Barkley
⚙ MidfielderSub · 18min
+ Actual
6.80
▼
6.80
Real Rating
18
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating—6.80—
Minutes Played—18—
Touches—15—
Possession Lost—5—
Unsuccessful Touches—1—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
LG
Leon Goretzka
⚙ MidfielderSub · 18min
+ Actual
7.10
▼
7.10
Real Rating
18
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating—7.10—
Minutes Played—18—
Touches—14—
Possession Lost—1—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
AL
Alysson
⚽ ForwardStarter · 45min
+ Actual
6.60
▼
6.60
Real Rating
45
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating—6.60—
Minutes Played—45—
Touches—28—
Possession Lost—9—
Unsuccessful Touches—4—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶
IM
Ibrahim Mbaye
⚽ ForwardSub · 18min
+ Actual
7.40
▼
7.40
Real Rating
18
Real Minutes
Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.
📊Core Performance▼
StatPredictedActualΔ Delta
Rating—7.40—
Minutes Played—18—
Touches—23—
Possession Lost—3—
Unsuccessful Touches—1—
🔑Passing▶
🛡Defending▶
⚽Attacking▶
🏃Physical & Tracking▶
📈Advanced Metrics▶