Forest vs Arsenal · Premier League Prediction Report

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Premier League 2026-10-18

Forest

3-4-2-1

1-1

Predicted

→

0-1

Actual

✗ Different

λ 1.117 / 1.792 · Confidence 75%

Arsenal

4-2-3-1

Win Probabilities

Home 24%Draw 23%Away 53%

Market Signals

O2.5 56%U2.5 44%BTTS 56%Home CS 17%Away CS 33%

Forest Ratings

DR6.81

MCR6.94

ATR6.86

GK7.0

Arsenal Ratings

DR6.81

MCR7.13

ATR7.09

GK6.93

Top 5 Scorelines

1-1 (?-?)0%

1-2 (?-?)0%

0-1 (?-?)0%

0-2 (?-?)0%

2-1 (?-?)0%

Match Analysis

⭐ Projected scorer(s): Dan Ndoye, Kai Havertz
Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Morgan Gibbs-White vs Declan Rice will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.09, Away: 1.10. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.
Midfield is evenly contested — Morgan Gibbs-White vs Declan Rice will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.09, Away: 1.10. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.

⚡ XGBoost Reasoning & FBref Tracing

Antagonist + XGBoost match analysis for Forest vs Arsenal. Player statistics regressed using position-specific XGBoost models (G, D, M, F) with 2026-2027 FBref priors. Micro-duels resolved across 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1 (duel lambdas: Home 1.150, Away 1.742). Final calibrated Poisson lambdas: Home 1.117, Away 1.792 (most likely score 1-1).
FBref Priors: Nottingham Forest (E[λ]=1.379) vs Arsenal (E[λ]=1.379) · Weight 0.192
Duel λ: 1.15 / 1.742 → Final λ: 1.117 / 1.792

Accuracy

52%

Overall Accuracy

Poor

55%

Goalkeepers

2 live / 0 form / 2 total

52%

Defenders

8 live / 0 form / 8 total

49%

Midfielders

7 live / 1 form / 8 total

58%

Forwards

4 live / 0 form / 4 total

✓ Live Match Stats Available21 of 22 players matched to real post-game data from the CSV. Accuracy scores reflect real vs predicted performance.

Delta Key Actual > Pred (≥+10%) Within ±10% Actual < Pred (≥-10%) One value missing

Forest

🧤Goalkeepers1 live · 0 form · 1 total

Matz Sels

🧤 Goalkeeper#26 · 188cm · €3.7M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

50%

▼

7.00

Pred Rating

6.20

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.00	6.20	-0.80
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	34	38	++4.00
Possession Lost	11	18	++7.18

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	25	34	++9.00
Accurate Passes	15	16	++1.00
Long Balls (Total)	15	33	++18.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	5	15	++10.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	11	3	-8.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	12	6	-6.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	13	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	28	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	0	—	—
Duels Lost	0	—	—
Total Contests	0	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	0	—	—
Clearances	1	1	++0.00
Ball Recovery	8	8	++0.00
Fouls Committed	0	—	—
Fouls Drawn	0	—	—

🧤Goalkeeper▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Saves	3	—	—
Goals Prevented	-0.01	-0.81	-0.80
Saves Inside Box	2	—	—
High Claims	0	1	++1.00
Punches	1	—	—
Sweeper Actions	1	—	—
Accurate Sweeper	1	—	—
Expected Saves (pred)	4.16	—	—
Hi-Pressure Saves (pred)	1.43	—	—
Shots Faced (pred)	17	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	25.07	—
Total Distance (km)	—	4.95	—
Sprints	—	0	—
Running (km)	—	0.10	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.03	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.00	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	38.0	—
Ball Carries	—	5	—
Total Progression	—	20	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.110	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.040	—
GK Value (norm.)	—	-0.800	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.20	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

🛡Defenders4 live · 0 form · 4 total

Ousmane Diomande

🛡 Defender#2 · 190cm · €44.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

50%

▼

6.83

Pred Rating

7.10

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.83	7.10	++0.27
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	61	27	-34.00
Possession Lost	5	6	++1.41
Dispossessed	0	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	49	19	-30.00
Accurate Passes	44	13	-31.00
Long Balls (Total)	4	3	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	3	—	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	31	11	-20.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	33	14	-19.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	13	2	-11.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	15	5	-10.00
Crosses (Total)	0	—	—
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	4	-1.00
Duels Lost	5	2	-3.00
Total Contests	0	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	3	1	-2.00
Aerial Duels Lost	3	2	-1.00
Tackles (Total)	1	3	++2.00
Tackles Won	1	2	++1.00
Interceptions	1	1	++0.00
Clearances	6	3	-3.00
Shots Blocked	1	1	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	1	—
Ball Recovery	7	3	-4.00
Challenges Lost	0	—	—
Fouls Committed	1	—	—
Fouls Drawn	0	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.062	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.007	0.001	-0.01
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	1	—	—
xGOT	0.000	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.09	—
Total Distance (km)	—	9.98	—
Sprints	—	6	—
Running (km)	—	1.03	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.42	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.13	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	48.3	—
Ball Carries	17	8	-9.00
Total Progression	53	19	-33.91
Progressive Carries #	0	0	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.040	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.030	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.790	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.10	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Def. Success Rate

77.8%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Opponent Faced

Kai Havertz

Neco Williams

🛡 Defender#3 · 183cm · €29.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

47%

▼

6.77

Pred Rating

6.40

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.77	6.40	-0.37
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	65	57	-8.00
Possession Lost	15	19	++3.56
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	1	++0.56

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	37	23	-14.00
Accurate Passes	30	16	-14.00
Long Balls (Total)	5	1	-4.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	1	-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	16	12	-4.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	18	13	-5.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	14	4	-10.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	20	10	-10.00
Crosses (Total)	6	7	++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	2	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	7	++2.00
Duels Lost	4	6	++2.00
Total Contests	1	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	4	++3.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	2	++1.00
Tackles (Total)	2	1	-1.00
Tackles Won	1	1	++0.00
Interceptions	1	2	++1.00
Clearances	2	7	++5.00
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	5	7	++2.00
Challenges Lost	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	2	++1.00
Fouls Drawn	1	2	++1.00

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.068	0.079	++0.01
Expected Assists (xA)	0.123	0.005	-0.12
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	1	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	1	—	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.020	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.91	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.66	—
Sprints	—	9	—
Running (km)	—	1.33	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.64	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.17	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	63.1	—
Ball Carries	16	7	-9.00
Total Progression	48	7	-41.35
Progressive Carries #	2	0	-2.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.320	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	-0.150	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.040	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.170	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Opponent Faced

Kai Havertz

Murillo

🛡 Defender#5 · 183cm · €49.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

61%

▼

6.89

Pred Rating

7.30

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.89	7.30	++0.41
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	68	50	-18.00
Possession Lost	9	7	-2.14
Dispossessed	0	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	49	34	-15.00
Accurate Passes	42	27	-15.00
Long Balls (Total)	7	11	++4.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	4	6	++2.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	26	19	-7.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	29	21	-8.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	16	8	-8.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	21	13	-8.00
Crosses (Total)	0	—	—
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	4	++0.00
Duels Lost	4	2	-2.00
Total Contests	1	1	++0.00
Contests Won	0	1	++1.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	2	2	++0.00
Tackles Won	1	2	++1.00
Interceptions	1	1	++0.00
Clearances	5	6	++1.00
Shots Blocked	1	—	—
Ball Recovery	4	5	++1.00
Challenges Lost	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	—	—
Fouls Drawn	0	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.075	0.217	++0.14
Expected Assists (xA)	0.029	0.177	++0.15
Key Passes	—	2	—
Total Shots	1	3	++2.00
Shots on Target	0	1	++1.00
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.019	0.063	++0.04
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.70	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.22	—
Sprints	—	5	—
Running (km)	—	1.37	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.53	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.11	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	76.7	—
Ball Carries	14	10	-4.00
Total Progression	58	28	-30.03
Best Carry Progression	—	19.5	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	20.5	—
Progressive Carries #	1	1	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.140	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.380	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.060	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.510	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.30	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.50	—

Def. Success Rate

58.9%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

LW vs CB

Opponent Faced

Martin Ødegaard

Jair

🛡 Defender#23 · 198cm · €26.0M · Starter · XGB D_service

✓ Live Stats

58%

▼

6.76

Pred Rating

6.70

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.76	6.70	-0.06
Minutes Played	—	85	—
Touches	48	24	-24.00
Possession Lost	8	2	-6.09
Dispossessed	0	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	33	15	-18.00
Accurate Passes	27	14	-13.00
Long Balls (Total)	5	—	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	—	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	17	10	-7.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	20	10	-10.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	10	4	-6.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	14	5	-9.00
Crosses (Total)	1	—	—
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	5	++1.00
Duels Lost	4	3	-1.00
Total Contests	0	2	++2.00
Contests Won	0	2	++2.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	3	++1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	2	—	—
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	—	—
Clearances	5	3	-2.00
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	2	2	++0.00
Challenges Lost	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.015	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.004	0.012	++0.01
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	0	0	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	0	—	—
xGOT	0.009	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.12	—
Total Distance (km)	—	9.48	—
Sprints	—	7	—
Running (km)	—	1.24	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.49	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.15	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	52.8	—
Ball Carries	9	6	-3.00
Total Progression	31	44	++13.18
Best Carry Progression	—	17.6	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	17.9	—
Progressive Carries #	0	1	++1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.250	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.090	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.130	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.70	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.80	—

Opponent Faced

Bukayo Saka

⚙Midfielders3 live · 1 form · 4 total

Ibrahim Sangaré

⚙ Midfielder#6 · 191cm · €21.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

43%

▼

6.93

Pred Rating

6.40

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.93	6.40	-0.53
Minutes Played	—	16	—
Touches	50	11	-39.00
Possession Lost	8	3	-5.23
Dispossessed	0	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	38	8	-30.00
Accurate Passes	32	5	-27.00
Long Balls (Total)	4	2	-2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	—	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	18	4	-14.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	19	5	-14.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	14	1	-13.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	19	3	-16.00
Crosses (Total)	0	—	—
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	1	-3.00
Duels Lost	5	2	-3.00
Total Contests	1	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	—	—
Aerial Duels Lost	1	—	—
Tackles (Total)	2	1	-1.00
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	1	++0.00
Clearances	1	—	—
Shots Blocked	1	1	++0.00
Ball Recovery	—	1	—
Challenges Lost	1	—	—
Fouls Committed	2	2	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.029	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.039	0.000	-0.04
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	0	—	—
xGOT	0.018	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	28.61	—
Total Distance (km)	—	2.85	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	0.69	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.09	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.04	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	9.7	—
Ball Carries	13	1	-12.00
Total Progression	31	3	-28.34
Progressive Carries #	0	0	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.40	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

36.0%

Matchup Zone

Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run

Numerical Situation

1v1

Morgan Gibbs-White

⚙ Midfielder#10 · 171cm · €76.0M · Starter · FBref (0.50g/90)

📅 Recent Form

▼

7.11

Pred Rating

6.50

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.11	6.50	—
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	57	46	—
Possession Lost	16	16	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	3	—
Dispossessed	2	1	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	36	29	—
Accurate Passes	30	21	—
Long Balls (Total)	3	2	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	0	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	8	6	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	10	8	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	22	15	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	26	21	—
Crosses (Total)	4	3	—
Crosses (Accurate)	1	1	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	2	—
Duels Lost	5	4	—
Total Contests	3	3	—
Contests Won	1	1	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	0	—
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	—
Tackles (Total)	1	0	—
Tackles Won	0	0	—
Interceptions	0	0	—
Clearances	0	0	—
Shots Blocked	0	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	1	—
Challenges Lost	0	0	—
Fouls Committed	1	0	—
Fouls Drawn	1	1	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	—
Assists	1	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	0.179	0.127	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.154	0.237	—
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	2	3	—
Shots on Target	1	0	—
Shots off Target	1	2	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.186	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	0	—
Big Chances Created	1	1	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.73	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.04	—
Sprints	—	15	—
Running (km)	—	1.82	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.69	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.26	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	127.3	—
Ball Carries	17	15	—
Total Progression	76	65	—
Best Carry Progression	—	13.5	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	13.5	—
Progressive Carries #	3	1	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.260	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.110	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.470	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.80	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

40.4%

Matchup Zone

Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel

Numerical Situation

1v1

James McAtee

⚙ Midfielder#24 · 180cm · €19.8M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

44%

▼

6.88

Pred Rating

7.10

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.88	7.10	++0.22
Minutes Played	—	85	—
Touches	59	38	-21.00
Possession Lost	14	10	-3.59
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	1	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	43	23	-20.00
Accurate Passes	34	17	-17.00
Long Balls (Total)	5	8	++3.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	5	++3.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	16	10	-6.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	19	14	-5.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	18	7	-11.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	24	9	-15.00
Crosses (Total)	3	4	++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	1	1	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	2	-2.00
Duels Lost	4	1	-3.00
Total Contests	1	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	—	—
Aerial Duels Lost	1	—	—
Tackles (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Tackles Won	1	2	++1.00
Interceptions	1	—	—
Clearances	1	2	++1.00
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	—	5	—
Challenges Lost	1	—	—
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.054	0.123	++0.07
Expected Assists (xA)	0.108	0.075	-0.03
Key Passes	—	2	—
Total Shots	1	2	++1.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	1	2	++1.00
xGOT	0.012	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.98	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.71	—
Sprints	—	10	—
Running (km)	—	1.78	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.63	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.20	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	58.9	—
Ball Carries	14	7	-7.00
Total Progression	61	21	-40.31
Best Carry Progression	—	21.0	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	32.7	—
Progressive Carries #	1	2	++1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.250	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.160	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.150	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.500	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.10	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.10	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

27.5%

Matchup Zone

Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run

Numerical Situation

1v1

Daniel Muñoz

⚙ Midfielder#27 · 183cm · €23.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

48%

▼

6.85

Pred Rating

6.80

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.85	6.80	-0.05
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	52	27	-25.00
Possession Lost	9	5	-4.26
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	32	15	-17.00
Accurate Passes	27	13	-14.00
Long Balls (Total)	2	1	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	1	++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	12	6	-6.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	13	7	-6.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	15	7	-8.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	20	8	-12.00
Crosses (Total)	2	1	-1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	1	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	4	-1.00
Duels Lost	5	2	-3.00
Total Contests	1	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	2	++1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	2	—	—
Tackles (Total)	2	2	++0.00
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	—	—
Clearances	3	3	++0.00
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	—	1	—
Challenges Lost	1	—	—
Fouls Committed	1	2	++1.00
Fouls Drawn	0	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.102	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.070	0.004	-0.07
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	1	—	—
xGOT	0.081	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.95	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.30	—
Sprints	—	18	—
Running (km)	—	1.87	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.89	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.43	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	7.2	—
Ball Carries	8	1	-7.00
Total Progression	20	6	-14.47
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.060	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.010	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.170	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.70	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

36.1%

Matchup Zone

Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel

Numerical Situation

1v1

⚽Forwards2 live · 0 form · 2 total

Dan Ndoye

⚽ Forward#14 · 184cm · €34.0M · Starter · FBref (0.71g/90)

✓ Live Stats

59%

▼

6.91

Pred Rating

6.30

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.91	6.30	-0.61
Minutes Played	—	73	—
Touches	28	17	-11.00
Possession Lost	9	6	-2.64
Unsuccessful Touches	—	3	—
Dispossessed	1	1	-0.08

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	13	6	-7.00
Accurate Passes	10	5	-5.00
Long Balls (Total)	1	1	++0.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	0	1	++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	7	4	-3.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	10	4	-6.00
Crosses (Total)	1	—	—
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	3	1	-2.00
Duels Lost	4	6	++2.00
Total Contests	2	—	—
Contests Won	1	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	—	—
Aerial Duels Lost	1	2	++1.00
Tackles (Total)	1	—	—
Tackles Won	0	—	—
Interceptions	0	—	—
Clearances	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	2	2	++0.00
Challenges Lost	1	2	++1.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	1	++0.00

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	1	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.227	0.128	-0.10
Expected Assists (xA)	0.073	0.002	-0.07
Total Shots	2	2	++0.00
Shots on Target	1	—	—
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.207	—	—
Big Chances Missed	1	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—
Offsides	0	2	++2.00

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	32.20	—
Total Distance (km)	—	8.59	—
Sprints	—	18	—
Running (km)	—	1.24	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.49	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.39	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	68.9	—
Ball Carries	10	3	-7.00
Total Progression	49	46	-3.36
Best Carry Progression	—	27.6	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	30.7	—
Progressive Carries #	3	1	-2.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.340	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.080	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.360	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.30	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.40	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

20.2%

Matchup Zone

Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

Liam Delap

⚽ Forward#19 · 186cm · €37.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

56%

▼

6.82

Pred Rating

7.50

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.82	7.50	++0.68
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	26	37	++11.00
Possession Lost	9	11	++2.03
Unsuccessful Touches	—	3	—
Dispossessed	1	2	++0.77

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	13	13	++0.00
Accurate Passes	8	9	++1.00
Long Balls (Total)	0	—	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	0	—	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	7	8	++1.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	10	11	++1.00
Crosses (Total)	0	1	++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	6	++1.00
Duels Lost	6	10	++4.00
Total Contests	2	4	++2.00
Contests Won	1	3	++2.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	2	5	++3.00
Tackles (Total)	0	1	++1.00
Tackles Won	0	—	—
Interceptions	0	—	—
Clearances	1	2	++1.00
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	2	—	—
Challenges Lost	0	—	—
Fouls Committed	2	2	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	1	++0.00

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.266	0.266	-0.00
Expected Assists (xA)	0.050	0.070	++0.02
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	2	4	++2.00
Shots on Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	2	—
xGOT	0.115	0.056	-0.06
Big Chances Missed	1	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—
Offsides	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.67	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.65	—
Sprints	—	15	—
Running (km)	—	1.53	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.69	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.33	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	139.4	—
Ball Carries	8	11	++3.00
Total Progression	25	89	++64.03
Best Carry Progression	—	25.4	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	101.1	—
Progressive Carries #	1	6	++5.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.080	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.640	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.710	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.510	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.00	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

21.9%

Matchup Zone

Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

🪑Bench Substitutes7 modeled candidates

John Victor (G)

Exp Min: 4.5m App Prob: 11%Market substitute prior

Nikola Milenković (D)

Exp Min: 14.6m App Prob: 24%Market substitute prior

Ola Aina (D)

Exp Min: 14.2m App Prob: 23%Market substitute prior

Omari Hutchinson (M)

Exp Min: 23.0m App Prob: 55%Market substitute prior

Xaver Schlager (M)

Exp Min: 19.5m App Prob: 51%Market substitute prior

Callum Hudson Odoi (F)

Exp Min: 26.5m App Prob: 61%Market substitute prior

Igor Jesus (F)

Exp Min: 26.3m App Prob: 35%Market substitute prior

📋Actual Players (Not Predicted) — 5 players

Xaver Schlager

⚙ MidfielderStarter · 90min

+ Actual

6.80

▼

6.80

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.80	—
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	—	31	—
Possession Lost	—	6	—
Dispossessed	—	1	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	16	—
Accurate Passes	—	11	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	2	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	9	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	11	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	5	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	9	—
Duels Lost	—	7	—
Total Contests	—	1	—
Contests Won	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	2	—
Tackles (Total)	—	7	—
Tackles Won	—	4	—
Interceptions	—	1	—
Clearances	—	1	—
Ball Recovery	—	5	—
Challenges Lost	—	2	—
Fouls Committed	—	2	—
Fouls Drawn	—	1	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.009	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.002	—
Key Passes	—	2	—
Total Shots	—	1	—
Shots off Target	—	1	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.35	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.31	—
Sprints	—	7	—
Running (km)	—	1.83	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.60	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.13	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	41.8	—
Ball Carries	—	7	—
Total Progression	—	30	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.040	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.090	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.240	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.040	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.20	—

Nicolás Domínguez

⚙ MidfielderStarter · 74min

+ Actual

6.70

▼

6.70

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.70	—
Minutes Played	—	74	—
Touches	—	25	—
Possession Lost	—	8	—
Dispossessed	—	3	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	11	—
Accurate Passes	—	7	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	1	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	3	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	5	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	8	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	5	—
Duels Lost	—	7	—
Total Contests	—	1	—
Contests Won	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	3	—
Tackles (Total)	—	3	—
Interceptions	—	1	—
Ball Recovery	—	3	—
Fouls Committed	—	1	—
Fouls Drawn	—	1	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.010	—
Total Shots	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.24	—
Total Distance (km)	—	9.14	—
Sprints	—	10	—
Running (km)	—	1.61	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.83	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.23	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	31.6	—
Ball Carries	—	4	—
Total Progression	—	8	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.010	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	-0.090	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.180	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.70	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.80	—

Arnaud Kalimuendo

⚽ ForwardSub · 17min

+ Actual

6.60

▼

6.60

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.60	—
Minutes Played	—	17	—
Touches	—	4	—
Possession Lost	—	1	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	1	—
Accurate Passes	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	1	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	0	—
Crosses (Total)	—	1	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	1	—
Duels Lost	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	1	—
Clearances	—	1	—
Fouls Drawn	—	1	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.000	—
Total Shots	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	32.40	—
Total Distance (km)	—	2.96	—
Sprints	—	3	—
Running (km)	—	0.64	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.39	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.09	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	15.2	—
Ball Carries	—	1	—
Total Progression	—	7	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.020	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.160	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

Callum Hudson Odoi

⚽ ForwardSub · 9min

+ Actual

6.80

▼

6.80

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.80	—
Minutes Played	—	9	—
Touches	—	5	—
Possession Lost	—	2	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	5	—
Accurate Passes	—	3	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	3	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	2	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Ball Recovery	—	2	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.065	—
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.52	—
Total Distance (km)	—	1.03	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	0.17	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.08	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.05	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	52.7	—
Ball Carries	—	3	—
Total Progression	—	41	—
Best Carry Progression	—	18.1	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	37.5	—
Progressive Carries #	—	2	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.200	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.190	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.70	—

Chris Wood

⚽ ForwardSub · 9min

+ Actual

6.60

▼

6.60

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.60	—
Minutes Played	—	9	—
Touches	—	3	—
Possession Lost	—	1	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	1	—
Accurate Passes	—	1	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	1	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	1	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	2	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	2	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.076	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.000	—
Total Shots	—	1	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	27.20	—
Total Distance (km)	—	1.22	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	0.26	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.10	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.03	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.160	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.60	—

Arsenal

🧤Goalkeepers1 live · 0 form · 1 total

David Raya

🧤 Goalkeeper#1 · 186cm · €33.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

60%

▼

6.93

Pred Rating

7.40

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.93	7.40	++0.47
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	44	41	-3.00
Possession Lost	12	9	-2.85

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	32	23	-9.00
Accurate Passes	20	14	-6.00
Long Balls (Total)	17	10	-7.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	6	2	-4.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	15	12	-3.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	17	14	-3.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	9	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	1	2	++1.00
Duels Lost	0	—	—
Total Contests	0	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	—	—
Clearances	1	—	—
Ball Recovery	11	14	++3.00
Fouls Committed	0	—	—
Fouls Drawn	1	2	++1.00

🧤Goalkeeper▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Saves	3	2	-1.00
Goals Prevented	-0.06	0.12	++0.18
Saves Inside Box	1	1	++0.00
Save Value	—	0.08	—
High Claims	1	3	++2.00
Punches	1	—	—
Sweeper Actions	1	1	++0.00
Accurate Sweeper	1	1	++0.00
Expected Saves (pred)	2.59	—	—
Hi-Pressure Saves (pred)	0.89	—	—
Shots Faced (pred)	11	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	27.10	—
Total Distance (km)	—	6.94	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	0.41	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.08	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.03	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	32.8	—
Ball Carries	—	5	—
Total Progression	—	15	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.050	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.450	—
GK Value (norm.)	—	0.100	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.50	—

🛡Defenders4 live · 0 form · 4 total

Ben White

🛡 Defender#4 · 186cm · €32.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

47%

▼

6.74

Pred Rating

6.90

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.74	6.90	++0.16
Minutes Played	—	66	—
Touches	55	68	++13.00
Possession Lost	11	12	++0.91
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	36	55	++19.00
Accurate Passes	29	48	++19.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	7	++4.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	2	++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	10	22	++12.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	11	24	++13.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	19	26	++7.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	25	31	++6.00
Crosses (Total)	2	1	-1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	1	-3.00
Duels Lost	2	1	-1.00
Total Contests	1	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	—	—
Aerial Duels Lost	1	—	—
Tackles (Total)	2	—	—
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	—	—
Clearances	2	1	-1.00
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	3	1	-2.00
Challenges Lost	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Committed	0	—	—
Fouls Drawn	1	1	++0.00

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.029	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.083	0.009	-0.07
Total Shots	0	0	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	0	—	—
xGOT	0.009	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.72	—
Total Distance (km)	—	7.89	—
Sprints	—	7	—
Running (km)	—	1.31	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.38	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.12	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	95.6	—
Ball Carries	9	12	++3.00
Total Progression	21	31	++10.41
Best Carry Progression	—	21.3	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	22.1	—
Progressive Carries #	0	1	++1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.140	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.040	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.90	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.80	—

Opponent Faced

Liam Delap

Gabriel Magalhães

🛡 Defender#6 · 190cm · €70.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

46%

▼

6.90

Pred Rating

8.00

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.90	8.00	++1.10
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	70	92	++22.00
Possession Lost	9	5	-3.65
Dispossessed	1	2	++1.48

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	55	73	++18.00
Accurate Passes	47	70	++23.00
Long Balls (Total)	5	4	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	2	++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	28	40	++12.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	31	41	++10.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	19	30	++11.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	24	32	++8.00
Crosses (Total)	0	—	—
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	9	++4.00
Duels Lost	4	4	++0.00
Total Contests	0	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	2	5	++3.00
Aerial Duels Lost	3	1	-2.00
Tackles (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	1	++0.00
Clearances	6	6	++0.00
Shots Blocked	1	3	++2.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	1	—
Ball Recovery	3	3	++0.00
Challenges Lost	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Committed	1	—	—
Fouls Drawn	1	2	++1.00

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.095	0.421	++0.33
Expected Assists (xA)	0.044	0.015	-0.03
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	2	++1.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	0	1	++1.00
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.075	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	1	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.40	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.59	—
Sprints	—	10	—
Running (km)	—	1.57	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.48	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.18	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	177.7	—
Ball Carries	18	25	++7.00
Total Progression	63	28	-35.07
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.230	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.110	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	1.000	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.660	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	8.00	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	8.00	—

Def. Success Rate

72.5%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run

Opponent Faced

James McAtee

Ezri Konsa

🛡 Defender#15 · 183cm · €53.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

64%

▼

6.83

Pred Rating

7.40

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.83	7.40	++0.57
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	68	94	++26.00
Possession Lost	3	3	-0.23
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	57	82	++25.00
Accurate Passes	55	80	++25.00
Long Balls (Total)	2	2	++0.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	2	++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	39	52	++13.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	40	53	++13.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	16	28	++12.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	17	29	++12.00
Crosses (Total)	0	—	—
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	5	++0.00
Duels Lost	3	5	++2.00
Total Contests	0	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	2	2	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	4	++3.00
Tackles (Total)	1	1	++0.00
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	2	++1.00
Clearances	5	1	-4.00
Shots Blocked	1	1	++0.00
Ball Recovery	3	8	++5.00
Challenges Lost	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Committed	1	—	—
Fouls Drawn	2	2	++0.00

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.051	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.009	0.009	-0.00
Total Shots	0	0	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	0	—	—
xGOT	0.002	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	32.02	—
Total Distance (km)	—	9.74	—
Sprints	—	7	—
Running (km)	—	1.12	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.40	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.14	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	183.2	—
Ball Carries	19	27	++8.00
Total Progression	57	99	++42.29
Progressive Carries #	0	0	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.210	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.120	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.320	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.40	—

Def. Success Rate

64.0%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run

Opponent Faced

Ibrahim Sangaré

Riccardo Calafiori

🛡 Defender#33 · 188cm · €63.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

44%

▼

6.75

Pred Rating

6.80

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.75	6.80	++0.05
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	45	56	++11.00
Possession Lost	9	6	-2.75
Unsuccessful Touches	—	2	—
Dispossessed	0	1	++0.59

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	29	44	++15.00
Accurate Passes	24	42	++18.00
Long Balls (Total)	1	—	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	0	—	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	10	12	++2.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	12	12	++0.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	14	30	++16.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	17	32	++15.00
Crosses (Total)	1	1	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	1	-3.00
Duels Lost	3	3	++0.00
Total Contests	1	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	1	—	—
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	2	++1.00
Clearances	2	—	—
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	3	2	-1.00
Challenges Lost	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Committed	1	—	—
Fouls Drawn	0	—	—
Error → Shot	—	1	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.183	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.080	0.299	++0.22
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	0	—	—
xGOT	0.148	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.27	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.57	—
Sprints	—	12	—
Running (km)	—	2.05	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.92	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.25	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	187.2	—
Ball Carries	9	17	++8.00
Total Progression	31	127	++96.42
Best Carry Progression	—	20.0	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	79.2	—
Progressive Carries #	1	4	++3.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.590	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.220	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.170	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Def. Success Rate

78.1%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle

Opponent Faced

Liam Delap

⚙Midfielders4 live · 0 form · 4 total

MØ

Martin Ødegaard

⚙ Midfielder#8 · 178cm · €88.0M · Starter · FBref (0.62g/90)

✓ Live Stats

51%

▼

7.20

Pred Rating

7.00

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.20	7.00	-0.20
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	61	89	++28.00
Possession Lost	11	15	++4.45
Unsuccessful Touches	—	4	—
Dispossessed	1	2	++1.46

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	50	75	++25.00
Accurate Passes	44	69	++25.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	4	++1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	2	++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	14	16	++2.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	15	17	++2.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	30	53	++23.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	35	58	++23.00
Crosses (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Duels Lost	3	3	++0.00
Total Contests	1	1	++0.00
Contests Won	0	1	++1.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	—	—
Aerial Duels Lost	0	—	—
Tackles (Total)	1	—	—
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	0	—	—
Clearances	0	—	—
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	—	2	—
Challenges Lost	0	—	—
Fouls Committed	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Drawn	1	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	1	0	-1.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.195	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.177	0.156	-0.02
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	2	0	-2.00
Shots on Target	1	—	—
Shots off Target	1	—	—
xGOT	0.124	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.44	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.93	—
Sprints	—	9	—
Running (km)	—	2.02	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.68	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.21	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	339.6	—
Ball Carries	25	40	++15.00
Total Progression	60	64	++3.99
Best Carry Progression	—	22.5	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	25.8	—
Progressive Carries #	2	1	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.320	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.080	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.170	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.00	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.20	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

41.1%

Matchup Zone

LW vs CB

Numerical Situation

1v1

Eberechi Eze

⚙ Midfielder#10 · 178cm · €63.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

55%

▼

6.84

Pred Rating

6.40

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.84	6.40	-0.44
Minutes Played	—	45	—
Touches	38	22	-16.00
Possession Lost	7	8	++1.21
Unsuccessful Touches	—	2	—
Dispossessed	1	2	++0.80

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	26	13	-13.00
Accurate Passes	23	9	-14.00
Long Balls (Total)	2	—	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	—	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	7	1	-6.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	8	1	-7.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	15	8	-7.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	18	12	-6.00
Crosses (Total)	0	—	—
Crosses (Accurate)	0	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	3	4	++1.00
Duels Lost	4	4	++0.00
Total Contests	1	1	++0.00
Contests Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	0	—	—
Tackles Won	0	—	—
Interceptions	0	—	—
Clearances	0	—	—
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Challenges Lost	0	—	—
Fouls Committed	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Drawn	2	2	++0.00

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.148	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.066	0.015	-0.05
Total Shots	2	0	-2.00
Shots on Target	1	—	—
Shots off Target	1	—	—
xGOT	0.341	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	28.03	—
Total Distance (km)	—	4.71	—
Sprints	—	4	—
Running (km)	—	0.64	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.26	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.06	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	57.3	—
Ball Carries	12	4	-8.00
Total Progression	12	-3	-15.39
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.010	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

43.9%

Matchup Zone

CAM vs CM

Numerical Situation

1v1

Bruno Guimarães

⚙ Midfielder#39 · 182cm · €77.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

55%

▼

7.18

Pred Rating

7.60

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.18	7.60	++0.42
Minutes Played	—	66	—
Touches	73	67	-6.00
Possession Lost	15	8	-7.38
Dispossessed	2	2	++0.49

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	52	56	++4.00
Accurate Passes	44	51	++7.00
Long Balls (Total)	4	2	-2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	3	1	-2.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	18	23	++5.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	20	24	++4.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	26	28	++2.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	32	32	++0.00
Crosses (Total)	4	1	-3.00
Crosses (Accurate)	1	—	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	6	10	++4.00
Duels Lost	5	2	-3.00
Total Contests	2	4	++2.00
Contests Won	1	4	++3.00
Aerial Duels Won	0	4	++4.00
Aerial Duels Lost	0	—	—
Tackles (Total)	2	2	++0.00
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	—	—
Clearances	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	0	1	++1.00
Ball Recovery	—	6	—
Challenges Lost	1	—	—
Fouls Committed	2	—	—
Fouls Drawn	3	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.116	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.150	0.025	-0.12
Total Shots	2	0	-2.00
Shots on Target	1	—	—
Shots off Target	1	—	—
xGOT	0.200	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	26.28	—
Total Distance (km)	—	8.32	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	1.31	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.30	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.03	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	212.7	—
Ball Carries	23	27	++4.00
Total Progression	56	46	-9.79
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.100	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.240	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.260	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.30	—

Matchup Zone

Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle

Declan Rice

⚙ Midfielder#41 · 188cm · €114.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

45%

▼

7.30

Pred Rating

7.70

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.30	7.70	++0.40
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	81	114	++33.00
Possession Lost	12	12	-0.29
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	2	++1.54

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	67	99	++32.00
Accurate Passes	59	93	++34.00
Long Balls (Total)	6	3	-3.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	3	2	-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	24	33	++9.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	27	33	++6.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	34	60	++26.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	40	66	++26.00
Crosses (Total)	3	5	++2.00
Crosses (Accurate)	1	2	++1.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	—	—
Duels Lost	3	5	++2.00
Total Contests	1	—	—
Contests Won	1	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	1	—	—
Aerial Duels Lost	1	—	—
Tackles (Total)	2	—	—
Tackles Won	1	—	—
Interceptions	1	1	++0.00
Clearances	2	1	-1.00
Shots Blocked	0	1	++1.00
Ball Recovery	—	6	—
Challenges Lost	0	2	++2.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	1	++1.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.045	0.162	++0.12
Expected Assists (xA)	0.143	0.389	++0.25
Key Passes	—	3	—
Total Shots	1	1	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	—	—
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
xGOT	0.011	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	1	++1.00

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.28	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.05	—
Sprints	—	10	—
Running (km)	—	1.54	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.53	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.15	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	446.1	—
Ball Carries	28	46	++18.00
Total Progression	85	213	++127.76
Best Carry Progression	—	47.6	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	90.0	—
Progressive Carries #	2	2	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.770	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.330	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.150	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.530	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.70	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.80	—

Matchup Zone

Midfield lane

⚽Forwards2 live · 0 form · 2 total

Bukayo Saka

⚽ Forward#7 · 178cm · €115.0M · Starter · FBref (1.18g/90)

✓ Live Stats

56%

▼

7.33

Pred Rating

6.90

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.33	6.90	-0.43
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	52	65	++13.00
Possession Lost	14	20	++6.04
Dispossessed	1	4	++3.26

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	30	35	++5.00
Accurate Passes	24	26	++2.00
Long Balls (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	—	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	4	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	6	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	19	22	++3.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	24	29	++5.00
Crosses (Total)	3	7	++4.00
Crosses (Accurate)	1	3	++2.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	9	++4.00
Duels Lost	5	11	++6.00
Total Contests	3	3	++0.00
Contests Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	3	++2.00
Tackles (Total)	1	4	++3.00
Tackles Won	1	2	++1.00
Interceptions	1	1	++0.00
Clearances	1	—	—
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	4	2	-2.00
Challenges Lost	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	3	3	++0.00

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.355	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.203	0.161	-0.04
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	2	0	-2.00
Shots on Target	1	—	—
Shots off Target	1	—	—
xGOT	0.496	—	—
Big Chances Missed	1	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—
Offsides	1	1	++0.00

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.81	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.36	—
Sprints	—	14	—
Running (km)	—	1.56	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.75	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.29	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	191.5	—
Ball Carries	19	23	++4.00
Total Progression	89	58	-31.45
Best Carry Progression	—	10.8	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	15.7	—
Progressive Carries #	4	1	-3.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.120	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.050	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.270	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.90	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.00	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

18.4%

Matchup Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

Kai Havertz

⚽ Forward#29 · 193cm · €58.0M · Starter · FBref (0.50g/90)

✓ Live Stats

62%

▼

6.85

Pred Rating

6.30

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.85	6.30	-0.55
Minutes Played	—	66	—
Touches	32	24	-8.00
Possession Lost	8	5	-3.43
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	1	—	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	21	16	-5.00
Accurate Passes	17	13	-4.00
Long Balls (Total)	0	—	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	0	—	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	5	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	5	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	13	8	-5.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	17	11	-6.00
Crosses (Total)	0	2	++2.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	1	++1.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	3	-1.00
Duels Lost	5	4	-1.00
Total Contests	1	—	—
Contests Won	0	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	2	3	++1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	3	3	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	0	—	—
Tackles Won	0	—	—
Interceptions	0	—	—
Clearances	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	0	—	—
Ball Recovery	1	—	—
Challenges Lost	0	—	—
Fouls Committed	1	2	++1.00
Fouls Drawn	1	—	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	1	—	—
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.400	0.329	-0.07
Expected Assists (xA)	0.078	0.028	-0.05
Total Shots	3	2	-1.00
Shots on Target	1	—	—
Shots off Target	2	2	++0.00
xGOT	0.445	—	—
Big Chances Missed	1	—	—
Big Chances Created	0	—	—
Offsides	1	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.81	—
Total Distance (km)	—	8.29	—
Sprints	—	9	—
Running (km)	—	1.30	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.58	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.15	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	41.3	—
Ball Carries	8	6	-2.00
Total Progression	23	11	-12.27
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.020	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.050	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.590	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.30	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

22.2%

Matchup Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

🪑Bench Substitutes7 modeled candidates

Illan Meslier (G)

Exp Min: 4.6m App Prob: 12%Market substitute prior

William Saliba (D)

Exp Min: 15.4m App Prob: 38%Market substitute prior

Jurriën Timber (D)

Exp Min: 15.3m App Prob: 38%Market substitute prior

Martín Zubimendi (M)

Exp Min: 18.9m App Prob: 73%Market substitute prior

Max Dowman (M)

Exp Min: 23.5m App Prob: 57%Market substitute prior

Viktor Gyökeres (F)

Exp Min: 26.9m App Prob: 63%Market substitute prior

Noni Madueke (F)

Exp Min: 24.7m App Prob: 75%Market substitute prior

📋Actual Players (Not Predicted) — 4 players

Jurriën Timber

🛡 DefenderSub · 24min

+ Actual

7.20

▼

7.20

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	7.20	—
Minutes Played	—	24	—
Touches	—	23	—
Possession Lost	—	4	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	16	—
Accurate Passes	—	14	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	3	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	2	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	12	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	14	—
Crosses (Total)	—	1	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Lost	—	1	—
Total Contests	—	1	—
Interceptions	—	1	—
Clearances	—	1	—
Ball Recovery	—	1	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.073	—
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.68	—
Total Distance (km)	—	3.27	—
Sprints	—	4	—
Running (km)	—	0.53	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.20	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.06	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	57.3	—
Ball Carries	—	5	—
Total Progression	—	48	—
Best Carry Progression	—	28.4	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	38.3	—
Progressive Carries #	—	2	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.340	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.190	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.130	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.20	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.80	—

Mikel Merino

⚙ MidfielderSub · 24min

+ Actual

6.60

▼

6.60

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.60	—
Minutes Played	—	24	—
Touches	—	26	—
Possession Lost	—	4	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	22	—
Accurate Passes	—	19	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	8	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	9	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	11	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	13	—
Crosses (Total)	—	1	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	3	—
Duels Lost	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	1	—
Ball Recovery	—	2	—
Fouls Drawn	—	2	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.089	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.007	—
Total Shots	—	1	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	27.07	—
Total Distance (km)	—	3.85	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	0.79	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.26	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.03	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	58.8	—
Ball Carries	—	6	—
Total Progression	—	38	—
Best Carry Progression	—	20.9	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	21.5	—
Progressive Carries #	—	1	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.140	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.030	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.180	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.80	—

Noni Madueke

⚽ ForwardSub · 45min

+ Actual

7.40

▼

7.40

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	7.40	—
Minutes Played	—	45	—
Touches	—	30	—
Possession Lost	—	9	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	2	—
Dispossessed	—	1	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	17	—
Accurate Passes	—	16	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	3	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	3	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	13	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	14	—
Crosses (Total)	—	6	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	1	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Lost	—	3	—
Challenges Lost	—	1	—
Fouls Committed	—	1	—
Error → Shot	—	1	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	1	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.062	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.035	—
Total Shots	—	2	—
Shots on Target	—	1	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	—	0.190	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	33.08	—
Total Distance (km)	—	5.75	—
Sprints	—	11	—
Running (km)	—	0.94	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.58	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.21	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	132.4	—
Ball Carries	—	13	—
Total Progression	—	87	—
Best Carry Progression	—	17.4	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	66.8	—
Progressive Carries #	—	4	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.030	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.360	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.170	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	0.500	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Viktor Gyökeres

⚽ ForwardSub · 24min

+ Actual

6.50

▼

6.50

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.50	—
Minutes Played	—	24	—
Touches	—	12	—
Possession Lost	—	6	—
Dispossessed	—	1	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	8	—
Accurate Passes	—	5	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	1	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	4	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	7	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	1	—
Duels Lost	—	4	—
Total Contests	—	2	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	1	—
Ball Recovery	—	1	—
Fouls Committed	—	1	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.078	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.034	—
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	—	1	—
Shots off Target	—	1	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.35	—
Total Distance (km)	—	3.44	—
Sprints	—	5	—
Running (km)	—	0.43	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.17	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.11	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	39.9	—
Ball Carries	—	5	—
Total Progression	—	14	—
Best Carry Progression	—	10.1	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	22.9	—
Progressive Carries #	—	2	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.250	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.010	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.210	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—