Aston Villa vs Fulham · Premier League Prediction Report

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Premier League 2026-10-31

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1

1-0

Predicted

→

1-1

Actual

✗ Different

λ 1.776 / 1.005 · Confidence 75%

Fulham

4-2-3-1

Win Probabilities

Home 55%Draw 23%Away 21%

Market Signals

O2.5 53%U2.5 47%BTTS 53%Home CS 37%Away CS 17%

Aston Villa Ratings

DR6.73

MCR6.89

ATR6.89

GK7.06

Fulham Ratings

DR6.92

MCR7.1

ATR6.83

GK7.16

Top 5 Scorelines

1-1 (?-?)0%

1-0 (?-?)0%

2-1 (?-?)0%

2-0 (?-?)0%

0-0 (?-?)0%

Match Analysis

⭐ Projected scorer(s): Nicolas Jackson
Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Johan Manzambi vs Josh King will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.01, Away: 0.89. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.
Midfield is evenly contested — Johan Manzambi vs Josh King will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.01, Away: 0.89. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.

⚡ XGBoost Reasoning & FBref Tracing

Antagonist + XGBoost match analysis for Aston Villa vs Fulham. Player statistics regressed using position-specific XGBoost models (G, D, M, F) with 2026-2027 FBref priors. Micro-duels resolved across 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1 (duel lambdas: Home 1.702, Away 1.048). Final calibrated Poisson lambdas: Home 1.776, Away 1.005 (most likely score 1-0).
Duel λ: 1.702 / 1.048 → Final λ: 1.776 / 1.005

Accuracy

58%

Overall Accuracy

Below Average

65%

Goalkeepers

2 live / 0 form / 2 total

57%

Defenders

8 live / 0 form / 8 total

58%

Midfielders

7 live / 0 form / 7 total

57%

Forwards

5 live / 0 form / 5 total

✓ Live Match Stats Available22 of 22 players matched to real post-game data from the CSV. Accuracy scores reflect real vs predicted performance.

Delta Key Actual > Pred (≥+10%) Within ±10% Actual < Pred (≥-10%) One value missing

Aston Villa

🧤Goalkeepers1 live · 0 form · 1 total

Zion Suzuki

🧤 Goalkeeper#1 · 189cm · €31.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

61%

▼

7.06

Pred Rating

9.40

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.06	9.40	++2.34
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	57	43	-14.00
Possession Lost	15	3	-12.20
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	43	32	-11.00
Accurate Passes	28	29	++1.00
Long Balls (Total)	21	8	-13.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	7	5	-2.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	24	25	++1.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	26	25	-1.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	4	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	7	—
Crosses (Total)	—	0	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Duels Lost	0	0	++0.00
Total Contests	0	0	++0.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	—	0	—
Tackles (Total)	—	1	—
Tackles Won	—	1	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	3	1	-2.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	1	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	10	6	-4.00
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	0	-1.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	1	—

🧤Goalkeeper▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Saves	3	4	++1.00
Goals Prevented	-0.08	0.87	++0.95
Saves Inside Box	3	4	++1.00
Save Value	—	1.45	—
High Claims	2	1	-1.00
Punches	1	0	-1.43
Sweeper Actions	1	0	-1.00
Accurate Sweeper	1	0	-1.00
Penalties Faced	—	0	—
Penalties Saved	—	0	—
Crosses Not Claimed	—	0	—
Expected Saves (pred)	2.32	—	—
Hi-Pressure Saves (pred)	0.80	—	—
Shots Faced (pred)	10	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	22.45	—
Total Distance (km)	—	5.56	—
Sprints	—	0	—
Running (km)	—	0.17	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.03	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.00	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	53.2	—
Ball Carries	—	8	—
Total Progression	—	36	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.080	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.010	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.140	—
GK Value (norm.)	—	0.970	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	9.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.40	—

🛡Defenders4 live · 0 form · 4 total

Matty Cash

🛡 Defender#2 · 185cm · €19.8M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

50%

▼

6.72

Pred Rating

7.20

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.72	7.20	++0.48
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	61	75	++14.00
Possession Lost	11	15	++3.67
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	0	-0.31

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	38	57	++19.00
Accurate Passes	32	47	++15.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	6	++3.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	2	++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	17	19	++2.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	18	25	++7.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	15	28	++13.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	19	32	++13.00
Crosses (Total)	2	2	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	1	++1.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	6	++1.00
Duels Lost	5	3	-2.00
Total Contests	0	0	++0.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	2	++1.00
Tackles (Total)	3	3	++0.00
Tackles Won	2	2	++0.00
Interceptions	1	0	-1.00
Clearances	3	1	-2.00
Shots Blocked	1	1	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	2	3	++1.00
Challenges Lost	2	0	-2.00
Fouls Committed	2	1	-1.00
Fouls Drawn	1	2	++1.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.036	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.058	0.160	++0.10
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.011	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	0	1	++1.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.21	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.09	—
Sprints	—	13	—
Running (km)	—	1.44	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.73	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.29	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	137.2	—
Ball Carries	13	21	++8.00
Total Progression	18	-35	-53.35
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.380	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.20	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.40	—

Def. Success Rate

79.8%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Opponent Faced

Gonzalo García

Victor Lindelöf

🛡 Defender#3 · 187cm · €4.8M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

56%

▼

6.80

Pred Rating

7.30

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.80	7.30	++0.50
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	60	82	++22.00
Possession Lost	5	3	-1.95
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	0	0	-0.09

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	51	78	++27.00
Accurate Passes	47	75	++28.00
Long Balls (Total)	4	5	++1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	5	++3.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	34	54	++20.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	36	56	++20.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	12	21	++9.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	15	22	++7.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Total Contests	0	0	++0.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	0	-2.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	0	-1.00
Tackles (Total)	1	1	++0.00
Tackles Won	1	0	-1.00
Interceptions	1	0	-1.00
Clearances	6	2	-4.00
Shots Blocked	0	1	++1.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	1	8	++7.00
Challenges Lost	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Committed	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Drawn	0	0	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.055	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.025	0.008	-0.02
Total Shots	0	0	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.080	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	32.47	—
Total Distance (km)	—	9.96	—
Sprints	—	9	—
Running (km)	—	1.16	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.43	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.23	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	284.7	—
Ball Carries	22	45	++23.00
Total Progression	84	92	++7.99
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.180	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.140	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.320	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.30	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Opponent Faced

Gonzalo García

Pau Torres

🛡 Defender#14 · 192cm · €21.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

60%

▼

6.75

Pred Rating

6.50

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.75	6.50	-0.25
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	60	81	++21.00
Possession Lost	8	9	++1.29
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	0	-0.11

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	53	69	++16.00
Accurate Passes	46	62	++16.00
Long Balls (Total)	7	7	++0.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	3	++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	31	48	++17.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	34	50	++16.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	15	14	-1.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	19	19	++0.00
Crosses (Total)	0	1	++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Duels Lost	2	3	++1.00
Total Contests	0	0	++0.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	2	++1.00
Tackles (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Tackles Won	1	0	-1.00
Interceptions	1	1	++0.00
Clearances	5	4	-1.00
Shots Blocked	1	1	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	3	1	-2.00
Challenges Lost	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Committed	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Drawn	0	0	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.078	0.262	++0.18
Expected Assists (xA)	0.017	0.007	-0.01
Total Shots	0	2	++2.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	0	2	++2.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.048	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	2	—
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.90	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.77	—
Sprints	—	6	—
Running (km)	—	1.45	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.48	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.12	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	267.5	—
Ball Carries	23	27	++4.00
Total Progression	107	150	++42.76
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.090	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.170	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.160	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.540	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

Def. Success Rate

79.8%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Opponent Faced

Gonzalo García

Ian Maatsen

🛡 Defender#22 · 178cm · €33.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

67%

▼

6.67

Pred Rating

6.80

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.67	6.80	++0.13
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	57	59	++2.00
Possession Lost	13	12	-0.92
Unsuccessful Touches	—	2	—
Dispossessed	1	0	-0.65

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	30	34	++4.00
Accurate Passes	25	29	++4.00
Long Balls (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	0	-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	13	11	-2.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	15	13	-2.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	12	18	++6.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	15	21	++6.00
Crosses (Total)	2	2	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	5	++1.00
Duels Lost	5	3	-2.00
Total Contests	2	2	++0.00
Contests Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	2	++1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	0	0	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	2	3	++1.00
Tackles Won	1	2	++1.00
Interceptions	1	1	++0.00
Clearances	2	2	++0.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	3	5	++2.00
Challenges Lost	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	0	-1.00
Fouls Drawn	0	0	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.074	0.053	-0.02
Expected Assists (xA)	0.187	0.015	-0.17
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	2	++1.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.018	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	32.43	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.87	—
Sprints	—	15	—
Running (km)	—	1.45	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.66	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.34	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	131.1	—
Ball Carries	13	14	++1.00
Total Progression	62	59	-2.63
Best Carry Progression	—	24.3	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	71.7	—
Progressive Carries #	2	3	++1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.250	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.260	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.140	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.190	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.70	—

Def. Success Rate

57.8%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle

Opponent Faced

Alex Iwobi

⚙Midfielders3 live · 0 form · 3 total

Boubacar Kamara

⚙ Midfielder#8 · 184cm · €49.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

63%

▼

6.95

Pred Rating

7.10

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.95	7.10	++0.15
Minutes Played	—	79	—
Touches	63	39	-24.00
Possession Lost	9	4	-5.21
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	1	0	-0.73

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	46	29	-17.00
Accurate Passes	40	25	-15.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	0	-3.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	0	-2.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	19	13	-6.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	21	14	-7.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	21	12	-9.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	25	15	-10.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	7	8	++1.00
Duels Lost	6	2	-4.00
Total Contests	1	1	++0.00
Contests Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	3	4	++1.00
Tackles Won	2	2	++0.00
Interceptions	1	0	-1.00
Clearances	2	1	-1.00
Shots Blocked	1	0	-1.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	3	—
Challenges Lost	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Committed	2	1	-1.00
Fouls Drawn	2	3	++1.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.059	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.059	0.007	-0.05
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.020	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	0	++0.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.81	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.11	—
Sprints	—	8	—
Running (km)	—	1.99	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.83	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.24	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	49.0	—
Ball Carries	13	12	-1.00
Total Progression	21	11	-9.96
Progressive Carries #	0	0	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.040	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.080	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.10	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.00	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

46.4%

Matchup Zone

CDM vs CDM

Numerical Situation

1v1

João Gomes

⚙ Midfielder#35 · 176cm · €36.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

50%

▼

6.79

Pred Rating

6.50

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.79	6.50	-0.29
Minutes Played	—	24	—
Touches	50	19	-31.00
Possession Lost	8	4	-3.89
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	2	0	-1.59

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	35	16	-19.00
Accurate Passes	30	13	-17.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	1	-2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	0	-2.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	15	2	-13.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	17	3	-14.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	15	11	-4.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	18	13	-5.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	6	1	-5.00
Duels Lost	6	3	-3.00
Total Contests	1	1	++0.00
Contests Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	3	1	-2.00
Tackles Won	2	0	-2.00
Interceptions	1	0	-1.00
Clearances	1	0	-1.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	1	—
Challenges Lost	2	0	-2.00
Fouls Committed	2	1	-1.00
Fouls Drawn	2	0	-2.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.046	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.094	0.008	-0.09
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.052	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	0	++0.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	28.75	—
Total Distance (km)	—	3.57	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	0.53	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.21	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.07	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	77.0	—
Ball Carries	13	5	-8.00
Total Progression	29	42	++13.47
Best Carry Progression	—	18.7	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	23.1	—
Progressive Carries #	1	1	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.070	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.080	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.130	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.40	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

40.8%

Matchup Zone

CDM vs CDM

Numerical Situation

1v1

Johan Manzambi

⚙ Midfielder#44 · 182cm · €71.0M · Starter · XGB M_service

✓ Live Stats

58%

▼

6.94

Pred Rating

6.90

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.94	6.90	-0.04
Minutes Played	—	66	—
Touches	36	45	++9.00
Possession Lost	8	12	++4.23
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	1	++0.72

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	18	22	++4.00
Accurate Passes	15	17	++2.00
Long Balls (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	0	-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	3	4	++1.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	4	7	++3.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	11	13	++2.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	14	15	++1.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	5	++0.00
Duels Lost	4	7	++3.00
Total Contests	3	4	++1.00
Contests Won	2	1	-1.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	2	0	-2.00
Tackles (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Tackles Won	0	0	++0.00
Interceptions	0	0	++0.00
Clearances	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	3	—
Challenges Lost	0	3	++3.00
Fouls Committed	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	2	2	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	1	1	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.348	0.099	-0.25
Expected Assists (xA)	0.231	0.010	-0.22
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	3	2	-1.00
Shots on Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots off Target	2	0	-2.00
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.556	0.040	-0.52
Big Chances Missed	0	0	++0.00
Big Chances Created	0	1	++1.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	1	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	26.54	—
Total Distance (km)	—	8.12	—
Sprints	—	1	—
Running (km)	—	1.60	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.43	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.03	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	122.7	—
Ball Carries	12	15	++3.00
Total Progression	62	28	-34.24
Best Carry Progression	—	11.1	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	24.4	—
Progressive Carries #	3	2	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.150	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.280	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.090	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.90	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

55.2%

Matchup Zone

Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle

Numerical Situation

1v1

⚽Forwards3 live · 0 form · 3 total

John McGinn

⚽ Forward#7 · 178cm · €12.6M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

53%

▼

6.82

Pred Rating

6.30

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.82	6.30	-0.52
Minutes Played	—	87	—
Touches	40	38	-2.00
Possession Lost	13	14	++1.22
Unsuccessful Touches	—	2	—
Dispossessed	2	1	-0.83

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	24	22	-2.00
Accurate Passes	18	18	++0.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	6	++3.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	3	++2.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	3	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	3	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	13	15	++2.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	17	19	++2.00
Crosses (Total)	3	8	++5.00
Crosses (Accurate)	1	2	++1.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	2	-2.00
Duels Lost	5	3	-2.00
Total Contests	2	0	-2.00
Contests Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	0	-2.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	0	-1.00
Tackles (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Tackles Won	0	1	++1.00
Interceptions	0	0	++0.00
Clearances	1	0	-1.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	3	4	++1.00
Challenges Lost	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	2	0	-2.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.177	0.788	++0.61
Expected Assists (xA)	0.167	0.097	-0.07
Key Passes	—	4	—
Total Shots	1	1	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.245	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	1	++1.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	1	—
Offsides	0	0	++0.00
Penalty Won	—	0	—
Penalty Miss	—	1	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.20	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.04	—
Sprints	—	8	—
Running (km)	—	2.10	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.64	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.17	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	77.0	—
Ball Carries	11	8	-3.00
Total Progression	30	-4	-33.74
Best Carry Progression	—	12.5	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	16.2	—
Progressive Carries #	1	1	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.300	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.030	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.110	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-1.000	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.30	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.60	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

18.0%

Matchup Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

Nicolas Jackson

⚽ Forward#11 · 186cm · €44.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

67%

▼

7.16

Pred Rating

8.50

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.16	8.50	++1.34
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	32	27	-5.00
Possession Lost	10	6	-3.86
Unsuccessful Touches	—	3	—
Dispossessed	2	1	-0.62

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	16	14	-2.00
Accurate Passes	12	12	++0.00
Long Balls (Total)	1	1	++0.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	1	++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	6	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	6	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	9	6	-3.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	12	8	-4.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	7	++2.00
Duels Lost	7	2	-5.00
Total Contests	4	3	-1.00
Contests Won	2	3	++1.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	2	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	2	1	-1.00
Tackles (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Tackles Won	0	0	++0.00
Interceptions	0	0	++0.00
Clearances	0	1	++1.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	2	3	++1.00
Challenges Lost	1	0	-1.00
Fouls Committed	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	2	++1.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	1	1	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.484	0.326	-0.16
Expected Assists (xA)	0.139	0.009	-0.13
Total Shots	3	2	-1.00
Shots on Target	1	2	++1.00
Shots off Target	2	0	-2.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.445	0.576	++0.13
Big Chances Missed	0	0	++0.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	1	1	++0.00
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.81	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.26	—
Sprints	—	18	—
Running (km)	—	1.50	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.70	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.41	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	171.8	—
Ball Carries	10	11	++1.00
Total Progression	82	113	++31.00
Best Carry Progression	—	34.1	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	125.4	—
Progressive Carries #	4	5	++1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.540	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.210	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	0.450	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	8.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.80	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

27.2%

Matchup Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

Alysson

⚽ Forward#47 · 184cm · €16.2M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

59%

▼

6.68

Pred Rating

6.50

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.68	6.50	-0.18
Minutes Played	—	66	—
Touches	16	26	++10.00
Possession Lost	5	11	++5.95
Unsuccessful Touches	—	7	—
Dispossessed	0	0	-0.12

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	8	6	-2.00
Accurate Passes	7	4	-3.00
Long Balls (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	4	2	-2.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	6	4	-2.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	3	2	-1.00
Duels Lost	3	4	++1.00
Total Contests	2	3	++1.00
Contests Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	0	1	++1.00
Tackles (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Tackles Won	1	0	-1.00
Interceptions	0	2	++2.00
Clearances	0	1	++1.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	1	0	-1.00
Challenges Lost	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	0	0	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.209	0.035	-0.17
Expected Assists (xA)	0.077	0.003	-0.07
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	1	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.029	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	0	++0.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	0	0	++0.00
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	33.69	—
Total Distance (km)	—	8.47	—
Sprints	—	23	—
Running (km)	—	1.33	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.74	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.48	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	104.5	—
Ball Carries	4	7	++3.00
Total Progression	27	78	++51.33
Best Carry Progression	—	22.8	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	89.5	—
Progressive Carries #	1	4	++3.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.040	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.450	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.200	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.140	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

18.0%

Matchup Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

🪑Bench Substitutes7 modeled candidates

Marco Bizot (G)

Exp Min: 4.4m App Prob: 13%Market substitute prior

Matteo Ruggeri (D)

Exp Min: 11.5m App Prob: 62%Market substitute prior

Taylor Harwood-Bellis (D)

Exp Min: 14.6m App Prob: 34%Market substitute prior

Amadou Onana (M)

Exp Min: 23.4m App Prob: 56%Market substitute prior

Douglas Luiz (M)

Exp Min: 22.7m App Prob: 53%Market substitute prior

Donyell Malen (F)

Exp Min: 26.8m App Prob: 63%Market substitute prior

Ibrahim Mbaye (F)

Exp Min: 26.4m App Prob: 61%Market substitute prior

📋Actual Players (Not Predicted) — 5 players

Leon Goretzka

⚙ MidfielderStarter · 66min

+ Actual

6.60

▼

6.60

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.60	—
Minutes Played	—	66	—
Touches	—	28	—
Possession Lost	—	4	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	19	—
Accurate Passes	—	16	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	0	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	10	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	12	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	6	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	7	—
Crosses (Total)	—	0	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	3	—
Duels Lost	—	4	—
Total Contests	—	1	—
Contests Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	2	—
Tackles (Total)	—	1	—
Tackles Won	—	1	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	—	1	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	2	—
Challenges Lost	—	1	—
Fouls Committed	—	0	—
Fouls Drawn	—	1	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	0	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.124	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.005	—
Total Shots	—	3	—
Shots on Target	—	0	—
Shots off Target	—	1	—
Shots Blocked	—	2	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	—	0	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.81	—
Total Distance (km)	—	8.63	—
Sprints	—	7	—
Running (km)	—	1.62	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.50	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.19	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	93.4	—
Ball Carries	—	8	—
Total Progression	—	43	—
Best Carry Progression	—	12.2	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	24.8	—
Progressive Carries #	—	2	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.060	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.300	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.030	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.310	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.60	—

Emiliano Buendía

⚙ MidfielderSub · 24min

+ Actual

6.50

▼

6.50

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.50	—
Minutes Played	—	24	—
Touches	—	18	—
Possession Lost	—	5	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	2	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	10	—
Accurate Passes	—	7	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	0	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	4	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	5	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	6	—
Crosses (Total)	—	2	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	2	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	0	—
Duels Lost	—	3	—
Total Contests	—	0	—
Contests Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	1	—
Tackles (Total)	—	0	—
Tackles Won	—	0	—
Interceptions	—	1	—
Clearances	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	1	—
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	—	0	—
Fouls Drawn	—	0	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	0	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.035	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.121	—
Key Passes	—	2	—
Total Shots	—	1	—
Shots on Target	—	0	—
Shots off Target	—	1	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	—	1	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.46	—
Total Distance (km)	—	3.78	—
Sprints	—	4	—
Running (km)	—	0.67	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.16	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.09	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	30.3	—
Ball Carries	—	4	—
Total Progression	—	24	—
Best Carry Progression	—	14.5	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	15.8	—
Progressive Carries #	—	1	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.200	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.100	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.100	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.00	—

Ross Barkley

⚙ MidfielderSub · 11min

+ Actual

6.50

▼

6.50

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.50	—
Minutes Played	—	11	—
Touches	—	9	—
Possession Lost	—	2	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	1	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	7	—
Accurate Passes	—	6	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	1	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	3	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	4	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	4	—
Crosses (Total)	—	0	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	0	—
Duels Lost	—	2	—
Total Contests	—	0	—
Contests Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	1	—
Tackles (Total)	—	0	—
Tackles Won	—	0	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	0	—
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	—	0	—
Fouls Drawn	—	0	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	0	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.021	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.002	—
Total Shots	—	1	—
Shots on Target	—	0	—
Shots off Target	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	—	0	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	26.17	—
Total Distance (km)	—	2.07	—
Sprints	—	1	—
Running (km)	—	0.39	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.08	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.02	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	42.5	—
Ball Carries	—	4	—
Total Progression	—	22	—
Best Carry Progression	—	13.3	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	13.4	—
Progressive Carries #	—	1	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.070	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.040	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

Ibrahim Mbaye

⚽ ForwardSub · 24min

+ Actual

6.80

▼

6.80

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.80	—
Minutes Played	—	24	—
Touches	—	21	—
Possession Lost	—	6	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	17	—
Accurate Passes	—	12	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	1	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	5	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	5	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	7	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	12	—
Crosses (Total)	—	1	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	3	—
Duels Lost	—	0	—
Total Contests	—	1	—
Contests Won	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	0	—
Tackles (Total)	—	0	—
Tackles Won	—	0	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	2	—
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	—	0	—
Fouls Drawn	—	1	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	0	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.011	—
Total Shots	—	0	—
Shots on Target	—	0	—
Shots off Target	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	—	0	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	32.92	—
Total Distance (km)	—	3.20	—
Sprints	—	8	—
Running (km)	—	0.38	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.20	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.24	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	61.8	—
Ball Carries	—	7	—
Total Progression	—	31	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.020	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.150	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.140	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.80	—

Alejandro Garnacho

⚽ ForwardSub · 9min

+ Actual

6.80

▼

6.80

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.80	—
Minutes Played	—	9	—
Touches	—	4	—
Possession Lost	—	0	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	2	—
Accurate Passes	—	2	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	0	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	0	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	2	—
Crosses (Total)	—	1	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	1	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	—
Duels Lost	—	—
Total Contests	—	—
Contests Won	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	—
Tackles (Total)	—	—
Tackles Won	—	—
Interceptions	—	—
Clearances	—	—
Shots Blocked	—	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	—
Clearance off Line	—	—
Ball Recovery	—	—
Challenges Lost	—	—
Fouls Committed	—	—
Fouls Drawn	—	—
Error → Shot	—	—
Error → Goal	—	—
Penalty Conceded	—	—
Own Goals	—	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	0	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Goals (xG)	—	0.091	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.049	—
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	—	1	—
Shots on Target	—	0	—
Shots off Target	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	—	0	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	28.55	—
Total Distance (km)	—	1.00	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	0.13	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.08	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.05	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	31.7	—
Ball Carries	—	3	—
Total Progression	—	25	—
Best Carry Progression	—	11.1	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	12.3	—
Progressive Carries #	—	1	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.140	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.330	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.190	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.70	—

Fulham

🧤Goalkeepers1 live · 0 form · 1 total

Bernd Leno

🧤 Goalkeeper#1 · 190cm · €5.5M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

69%

▼

7.16

Pred Rating

6.40

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.16	6.40	-0.76
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	48	39	-9.00
Possession Lost	8	6	-1.81
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	40	33	-7.00
Accurate Passes	32	27	-5.00
Long Balls (Total)	11	10	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	3	4	++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	29	25	-4.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	30	27	-3.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	6	—
Crosses (Total)	—	0	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	0	0	++0.00
Duels Lost	0	0	++0.00
Total Contests	0	0	++0.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	—	0	—
Tackles (Total)	—	0	—
Tackles Won	—	0	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	9	5	-4.00
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	0	0	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

🧤Goalkeeper▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Saves	3	2	-1.00
Goals Prevented	0.00	-0.38	-0.38
Saves Inside Box	2	1	-1.00
Save Value	—	0.08	—
High Claims	1	0	-1.00
Punches	1	0	-0.56
Sweeper Actions	1	0	-1.00
Accurate Sweeper	1	0	-1.00
Penalties Faced	—	1	—
Penalties Saved	—	0	—
Crosses Not Claimed	—	0	—
Expected Saves (pred)	4.14	—	—
Hi-Pressure Saves (pred)	1.42	—	—
Shots Faced (pred)	17	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	23.85	—
Total Distance (km)	—	5.40	—
Sprints	—	0	—
Running (km)	—	0.16	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.02	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.00	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	24.7	—
Ball Carries	—	5	—
Total Progression	—	-5	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.040	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	-0.110	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
GK Value (norm.)	—	-0.550	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.80	—

🛡Defenders4 live · 0 form · 4 total

Calvin Bassey

🛡 Defender#3 · 185cm · €29.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

70%

▼

7.13

Pred Rating

6.50

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.13	6.50	-0.63
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	87	81	-6.00
Possession Lost	10	11	++1.28
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	1	1	++0.46

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	71	69	-2.00
Accurate Passes	64	62	-2.00
Long Balls (Total)	7	5	-2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	3	2	-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	40	41	++1.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	42	44	++2.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	23	21	-2.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	29	25	-4.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	6	5	-1.00
Duels Lost	3	5	++2.00
Total Contests	1	2	++1.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Tackles Won	1	1	++0.00
Interceptions	1	0	-1.00
Clearances	5	1	-4.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	4	2	-2.00
Challenges Lost	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	2	2	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.037	0.087	++0.05
Expected Assists (xA)	0.013	0.011	-0.00
Total Shots	1	1	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	0	1	++1.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.018	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	33.44	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.88	—
Sprints	—	9	—
Running (km)	—	1.63	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.69	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.22	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	227.4	—
Ball Carries	29	34	++5.00
Total Progression	155	38	-117.46
Progressive Carries #	2	0	-2.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.170	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.020	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.110	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.360	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

Def. Success Rate

72.8%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Opponent Faced

Nicolas Jackson

Timothy Castagne

🛡 Defender#21 · 185cm · €7.6M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

50%

▼

6.79

Pred Rating

7.20

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.79	7.20	++0.41
Minutes Played	—	87	—
Touches	70	77	++7.00
Possession Lost	11	9	-1.97
Unsuccessful Touches	—	2	—
Dispossessed	0	0	-0.18

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	49	61	++12.00
Accurate Passes	42	56	++14.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	5	++2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	5	++4.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	23	38	++15.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	26	38	++12.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	19	18	-1.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	23	23	++0.00
Crosses (Total)	3	0	-3.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	2	-3.00
Duels Lost	4	6	++2.00
Total Contests	1	2	++1.00
Contests Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	2	1	-1.00
Tackles (Total)	2	1	-1.00
Tackles Won	1	0	-1.00
Interceptions	1	3	++2.00
Clearances	3	1	-2.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	3	5	++2.00
Challenges Lost	1	2	++1.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	0	-1.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.058	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.061	0.454	++0.39
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.032	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	0	1	++1.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	1	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	32.85	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.42	—
Sprints	—	11	—
Running (km)	—	2.09	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.93	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.24	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	116.9	—
Ball Carries	14	21	++7.00
Total Progression	40	6	-33.76
Progressive Carries #	0	0	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.620	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.020	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.190	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.20	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.00	—

Def. Success Rate

72.8%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Opponent Faced

Nicolas Jackson

David Affengruber

🛡 Defender#22 · 185cm · €18.1M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

53%

▼

6.98

Pred Rating

7.60

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.98	7.60	++0.62
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	91	82	-9.00
Possession Lost	10	6	-4.22
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	0	0	-0.11

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	76	59	-17.00
Accurate Passes	67	54	-13.00
Long Balls (Total)	7	5	-2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	4	++3.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	49	40	-9.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	51	43	-8.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	19	14	-5.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	25	16	-9.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	5	++1.00
Duels Lost	3	3	++0.00
Total Contests	0	0	++0.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	3	++1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Tackles Won	1	2	++1.00
Interceptions	1	5	++4.00
Clearances	5	11	++6.00
Shots Blocked	1	0	-1.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	4	5	++1.00
Challenges Lost	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	0	-1.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.028	0.189	++0.16
Expected Assists (xA)	0.025	0.022	-0.00
Total Shots	1	3	++2.00
Shots on Target	0	1	++1.00
Shots off Target	0	2	++2.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.007	0.545	++0.54
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	1	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.11	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.76	—
Sprints	—	12	—
Running (km)	—	1.37	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.49	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.26	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	182.8	—
Ball Carries	31	28	-3.00
Total Progression	122	11	-110.95
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.050	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.360	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.530	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	0.150	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.80	—

Def. Success Rate

44.8%

Clearances In Zone

Interceptions In Zone

Tackles In Zone

Tackles Won In Zone

Aerial Duels Won

Pressing Zone

Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle

Opponent Faced

Johan Manzambi

Antonee Robinson

🛡 Defender#33 · 183cm · €24.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

52%

▼

6.76

Pred Rating

6.80

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.76	6.80	++0.04
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	71	78	++7.00
Possession Lost	15	19	++3.54
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	0	2	++1.57

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	45	49	++4.00
Accurate Passes	37	40	++3.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	2	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	1	++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	19	22	++3.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	23	26	++3.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	18	18	++0.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	22	23	++1.00
Crosses (Total)	3	5	++2.00
Crosses (Accurate)	1	0	-1.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	2	-3.00
Duels Lost	6	9	++3.00
Total Contests	1	0	-1.00
Contests Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	3	++2.00
Tackles (Total)	3	1	-2.00
Tackles Won	2	1	-1.00
Interceptions	1	2	++1.00
Clearances	3	7	++4.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	4	5	++1.00
Challenges Lost	2	3	++1.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	0	-1.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.044	0.150	++0.11
Expected Assists (xA)	0.043	0.181	++0.14
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	1	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	1	++1.00
Shots off Target	1	0	-1.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.025	0.637	++0.61
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	0	1	++1.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.78	—
Total Distance (km)	—	11.29	—
Sprints	—	22	—
Running (km)	—	1.68	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.75	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.49	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	149.4	—
Ball Carries	14	11	-3.00
Total Progression	69	106	++37.48
Best Carry Progression	—	55.3	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	94.2	—
Progressive Carries #	2	2	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.260	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.150	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.090	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	0.210	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.30	—

Opponent Faced

John McGinn

⚙Midfielders4 live · 0 form · 4 total

Sander Berge

⚙ Midfielder#16 · 195cm · €26.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

58%

▼

6.99

Pred Rating

7.30

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.99	7.30	++0.31
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	70	80	++10.00
Possession Lost	9	4	-4.64
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	1	0	-0.62

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	60	70	++10.00
Accurate Passes	54	67	++13.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	5	++2.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	5	++3.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	30	40	++10.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	32	41	++9.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	24	27	++3.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	28	29	++1.00
Crosses (Total)	0	1	++1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	3	3	++0.00
Duels Lost	3	1	-2.00
Total Contests	1	0	-1.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	1	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Tackles Won	1	1	++0.00
Interceptions	1	0	-1.00
Clearances	1	2	++1.00
Shots Blocked	0	2	++2.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	4	—
Challenges Lost	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	0	0	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	1	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.049	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.048	0.016	-0.03
Total Shots	1	0	-1.00
Shots on Target	0	0	++0.00
Shots off Target	1	0	-1.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.061	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	0	++0.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.95	—
Total Distance (km)	—	12.46	—
Sprints	—	6	—
Running (km)	—	2.36	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.69	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.11	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	245.7	—
Ball Carries	23	33	++10.00
Total Progression	49	5	-44.20
Progressive Carries #	1	0	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.090	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.080	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.400	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.30	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

44.8%

Matchup Zone

CDM vs CDM

Numerical Situation

1v1

Alex Iwobi

⚙ Midfielder#17 · 183cm · €21.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

59%

▼

7.29

Pred Rating

6.60

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.29	6.60	-0.69
Minutes Played	—	75	—
Touches	69	60	-9.00
Possession Lost	12	13	++1.16
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	1	1	++0.21

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	55	44	-11.00
Accurate Passes	49	38	-11.00
Long Balls (Total)	4	3	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	3	2	-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	20	12	-8.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	21	14	-7.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	29	26	-3.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	34	30	-4.00
Crosses (Total)	4	8	++4.00
Crosses (Accurate)	2	3	++1.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Duels Lost	2	1	-1.00
Total Contests	1	1	++0.00
Contests Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	0	0	++0.00
Tackles (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Tackles Won	1	0	-1.00
Interceptions	0	2	++2.00
Clearances	0	0	++0.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	4	—
Challenges Lost	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Committed	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	0	0	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.107	0.629	++0.52
Expected Assists (xA)	0.169	0.156	-0.01
Key Passes	—	2	—
Total Shots	1	3	++2.00
Shots on Target	0	1	++1.00
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.057	0.287	++0.23
Big Chances Missed	0	1	++1.00
Big Chances Created	1	0	-1.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	1	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.38	—
Total Distance (km)	—	9.56	—
Sprints	—	13	—
Running (km)	—	1.48	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.65	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.32	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	115.5	—
Ball Carries	24	15	-9.00
Total Progression	80	25	-55.42
Best Carry Progression	—	36.3	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	37.5	—
Progressive Carries #	2	1	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.260	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.210	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.070	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.620	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.50	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

42.2%

Matchup Zone

Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle

Numerical Situation

1v1

Shea Charles

⚙ Midfielder#19 · 189cm · €24.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

62%

▼

7.13

Pred Rating

6.20

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	7.13	6.20	-0.93
Minutes Played	—	90	—
Touches	76	68	-8.00
Possession Lost	8	9	++0.62
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	1	2	++1.24

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	60	56	-4.00
Accurate Passes	56	49	-7.00
Long Balls (Total)	3	3	++0.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	2	1	-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	30	22	-8.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	31	27	-4.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	26	27	++1.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	29	29	++0.00
Crosses (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	5	4	-1.00
Duels Lost	4	3	-1.00
Total Contests	1	0	-1.00
Contests Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	2	++1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	0	-1.00
Tackles (Total)	2	1	-1.00
Tackles Won	1	1	++0.00
Interceptions	2	0	-2.00
Clearances	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	1	1	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	7	—
Challenges Lost	1	0	-1.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	1	1	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	2	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.039	0.509	++0.47
Expected Assists (xA)	0.065	0.019	-0.05
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	1	2	++1.00
Shots on Target	0	1	++1.00
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.018	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	1	++1.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.56	—
Total Distance (km)	—	12.44	—
Sprints	—	8	—
Running (km)	—	2.23	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.97	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.16	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	123.8	—
Ball Carries	21	12	-9.00
Total Progression	79	79	++0.30
Best Carry Progression	—	20.8	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	21.0	—
Progressive Carries #	2	1	-1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.110	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.110	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.090	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.760	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.20	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.40	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

43.2%

Matchup Zone

CDM vs CDM

Numerical Situation

1v1

Josh King

⚙ Midfielder#24 · 172cm · €41.0M · Starter · XGB M_service

✓ Live Stats

54%

▼

6.97

Pred Rating

6.40

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.97	6.40	-0.57
Minutes Played	—	79	—
Touches	44	45	++1.00
Possession Lost	10	9	-0.71
Unsuccessful Touches	—	2	—
Dispossessed	1	2	++1.19

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	31	24	-7.00
Accurate Passes	26	23	-3.00
Long Balls (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	1	0	-1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	10	8	-2.00
Own Half Passes (tot)	11	8	-3.00
Opp Half Passes (acc)	16	15	-1.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	20	16	-4.00
Crosses (Total)	1	1	++0.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	1	++1.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	3	5	++2.00
Duels Lost	4	9	++5.00
Total Contests	2	4	++2.00
Contests Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	1	++0.00
Aerial Duels Lost	0	2	++2.00
Tackles (Total)	1	2	++1.00
Tackles Won	1	0	-1.00
Interceptions	0	1	++1.00
Clearances	0	1	++1.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	2	—
Challenges Lost	0	0	++0.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	2	2	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.141	—	—
Expected Assists (xA)	0.110	0.200	++0.09
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	2	0	-2.00
Shots on Target	1	0	-1.00
Shots off Target	1	0	-1.00
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
xGOT	0.159	—	—
Big Chances Missed	0	0	++0.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	30.60	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.39	—
Sprints	—	14	—
Running (km)	—	1.82	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.76	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.28	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	249.7	—
Ball Carries	20	21	++1.00
Total Progression	76	92	++16.45
Best Carry Progression	—	38.4	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	124.1	—
Progressive Carries #	4	4	++0.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.020	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.160	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.40	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

19.7%

Matchup Zone

Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

⚽Forwards2 live · 0 form · 2 total

Gonzalo García

⚽ Forward#7 · 182cm · €36.0M · Starter · FBref (0.50g/90)

✓ Live Stats

63%

▼

6.68

Pred Rating

6.50

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.68	6.50	-0.18
Minutes Played	—	87	—
Touches	29	26	-3.00
Possession Lost	8	5	-3.32
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	1	0	-0.51

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	18	20	++2.00
Accurate Passes	14	17	++3.00
Long Balls (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	7	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	8	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	10	10	++0.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	12	12	++0.00
Crosses (Total)	1	0	-1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	0	0	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	3	1	-2.00
Duels Lost	5	2	-3.00
Total Contests	1	1	++0.00
Contests Won	0	0	++0.00
Aerial Duels Won	2	1	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	2	0	-2.00
Tackles (Total)	0	0	++0.00
Tackles Won	0	0	++0.00
Interceptions	0	0	++0.00
Clearances	1	0	-1.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	1	0	-1.00
Challenges Lost	1	0	-1.00
Fouls Committed	1	1	++0.00
Fouls Drawn	0	0	++0.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.254	0.365	++0.11
Expected Assists (xA)	0.051	0.012	-0.04
Total Shots	2	2	++0.00
Shots on Target	1	0	-1.00
Shots off Target	1	1	++0.00
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.124	—	—
Big Chances Missed	1	1	++0.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	0	1	++1.00
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	33.17	—
Total Distance (km)	—	10.42	—
Sprints	—	18	—
Running (km)	—	1.36	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.66	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.51	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	78.4	—
Ball Carries	8	9	++1.00
Total Progression	4	-5	-9.38
Best Carry Progression	—	9.7	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	26.4	—
Progressive Carries #	1	2	++1.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.240	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	-0.150	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.020	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	-0.550	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.50	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.40	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

20.2%

Matchup Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

Oscar Bobb

⚽ Forward#14 · 174cm · €27.0M · Starter · FBref (0.00g/90)

✓ Live Stats

43%

▼

6.99

Pred Rating

8.30

Real Rating

—

Pred Minutes

Real Minutes

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	6.99	8.30	++1.31
Minutes Played	—	79	—
Touches	41	54	++13.00
Possession Lost	10	11	++0.89
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	1	0	-0.78

🔑Passing▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	25	35	++10.00
Accurate Passes	21	29	++8.00
Long Balls (Total)	0	1	++1.00
Long Balls (Accurate)	0	1	++1.00
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	4	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	5	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	16	25	++9.00
Opp Half Passes (tot)	19	30	++11.00
Crosses (Total)	3	2	-1.00
Crosses (Accurate)	1	1	++0.00

🛡Defending▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	4	7	++3.00
Duels Lost	3	4	++1.00
Total Contests	2	7	++5.00
Contests Won	1	6	++5.00
Aerial Duels Won	1	0	-1.00
Aerial Duels Lost	1	0	-1.00
Tackles (Total)	1	1	++0.00
Tackles Won	0	0	++0.00
Interceptions	1	0	-1.00
Clearances	0	0	++0.00
Shots Blocked	0	0	++0.00
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	3	2	-1.00
Challenges Lost	0	1	++1.00
Fouls Committed	0	2	++2.00
Fouls Drawn	1	0	-1.00
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	0	0	++0.00
Assists	0	0	++0.00
Expected Goals (xG)	0.118	0.399	++0.28
Expected Assists (xA)	0.095	0.146	++0.05
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	2	2	++0.00
Shots on Target	0	1	++1.00
Shots off Target	1	0	-1.00
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
xGOT	0.122	0.404	++0.28
Big Chances Missed	0	1	++1.00
Big Chances Created	0	0	++0.00
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	0	0	++0.00
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	31.12	—
Total Distance (km)	—	9.27	—
Sprints	—	13	—
Running (km)	—	1.43	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.70	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.34	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	256.5	—
Ball Carries	13	22	++9.00
Total Progression	58	200	++141.98
Best Carry Progression	—	37.9	—
Progressive Carries (m)	—	191.8	—
Progressive Carries #	4	11	++7.00

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.600	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.850	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	-0.070	—
Shot Value (norm.)	—	0.010	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	8.30	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.30	—

Dribbles Attempted

Dribbles Successful

Duel Win Rate

18.0%

Matchup Zone

Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle

Numerical Situation

1v2

🪑Bench Substitutes7 modeled candidates

Benjamin Lecomte (G)

Exp Min: 4.4m App Prob: 11%Market substitute prior

Ryan Sessegnon (D)

Exp Min: 18.0m App Prob: 62%Market substitute prior

Joachim Andersen (D)

Exp Min: 14.4m App Prob: 23%Market substitute prior

Hugo Larsson (M)

Exp Min: 23.1m App Prob: 55%Market substitute prior

Emile Smith Rowe (M)

Exp Min: 18.4m App Prob: 71%Market substitute prior

Kevin (F)

Exp Min: 19.0m App Prob: 74%Market substitute prior

Rodrigo Muniz (F)

Exp Min: 16.7m App Prob: 74%Market substitute prior

📋Actual Players (Not Predicted) — 5 players

Kenny Tete

🛡 DefenderSub · 11min

+ Actual

7.30

▼

7.30

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	7.30	—
Minutes Played	—	11	—
Touches	—	10	—
Possession Lost	—	1	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	5	—
Accurate Passes	—	4	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	1	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	3	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	3	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	1	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	2	—
Crosses (Total)	—	0	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	2	—
Duels Lost	—	0	—
Total Contests	—	0	—
Contests Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	0	—
Tackles (Total)	—	2	—
Tackles Won	—	2	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	—	1	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	0	—
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	—	0	—
Fouls Drawn	—	0	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	0	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.001	—
Total Shots	—	0	—
Shots on Target	—	0	—
Shots off Target	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	—	0	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	24.85	—
Total Distance (km)	—	1.92	—
Sprints	—	0	—
Running (km)	—	0.27	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.07	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.00	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	27.7	—
Ball Carries	—	3	—
Total Progression	—	17	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.030	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.540	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	7.30	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	7.10	—

Tom Cairney

⚙ MidfielderSub · 15min

+ Actual

6.80

▼

6.80

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.80	—
Minutes Played	—	15	—
Touches	—	14	—
Possession Lost	—	1	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	10	—
Accurate Passes	—	9	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	1	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	1	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	5	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	6	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	4	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	4	—
Crosses (Total)	—	1	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	1	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	1	—
Duels Lost	—	1	—
Total Contests	—	0	—
Contests Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	1	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	0	—
Tackles (Total)	—	0	—
Tackles Won	—	0	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	—	1	—
Shots Blocked	—	1	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	1	—
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	—	1	—
Fouls Drawn	—	0	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	0	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.070	—
Key Passes	—	1	—
Total Shots	—	0	—
Shots on Target	—	0	—
Shots off Target	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	—	0	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	26.67	—
Total Distance (km)	—	2.46	—
Sprints	—	2	—
Running (km)	—	0.46	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.14	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.05	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	36.3	—
Ball Carries	—	5	—
Total Progression	—	-3	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.170	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	-0.050	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.160	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.80	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.90	—

César Palacios

⚙ MidfielderSub · 11min

+ Actual

6.60

▼

6.60

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.60	—
Minutes Played	—	11	—
Touches	—	7	—
Possession Lost	—	2	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	2	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	3	—
Accurate Passes	—	3	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	0	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	2	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	2	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	1	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	1	—
Crosses (Total)	—	0	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	1	—
Duels Lost	—	1	—
Total Contests	—	0	—
Contests Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	0	—
Tackles (Total)	—	1	—
Tackles Won	—	0	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	2	—
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	—	1	—
Fouls Drawn	—	0	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Goals	—	0	—
Assists	—	0	—
Expected Assists (xA)	—	0.000	—
Total Shots	—	0	—
Shots on Target	—	0	—
Shots off Target	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Big Chances Missed	—	0	—
Big Chances Created	—	0	—
Hit Woodwork	—	0	—
Offsides	—	0	—
Penalty Won	—	0	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	27.28	—
Total Distance (km)	—	2.26	—
Sprints	—	1	—
Running (km)	—	0.41	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.19	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.02	—
Ball Carry Distance (m)	—	8.3	—
Ball Carries	—	2	—
Total Progression	—	-8	—
Progressive Carries #	—	0	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Dribble Value (norm.)	—	-0.050	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

Hugo Larsson

⚙ MidfielderSub · 9min

+ Actual

6.60

▼

6.60

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.60	—
Minutes Played	—	9	—
Touches	—	1	—
Possession Lost	—	1	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	0	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	1	—
Accurate Passes	—	0	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	0	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	0	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	0	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	1	—
Crosses (Total)	—	0	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	—
Duels Lost	—	—
Total Contests	—	—
Contests Won	—	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	—
Tackles (Total)	—	—
Tackles Won	—	—
Interceptions	—	—
Clearances	—	—
Shots Blocked	—	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	—
Clearance off Line	—	—
Ball Recovery	—	—
Challenges Lost	—	—
Fouls Committed	—	—
Fouls Drawn	—	—
Error → Shot	—	—
Error → Goal	—	—
Penalty Conceded	—	—
Own Goals	—	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Δ Delta
Goals	—	—
Assists	—	—
Total Shots	—	—
Shots on Target	—	—
Shots off Target	—	—
Shots Blocked	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	—
Big Chances Created	—	—
Hit Woodwork	—	—
Offsides	—	—
Penalty Won	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	29.39	—
Total Distance (km)	—	1.10	—
Sprints	—	3	—
Running (km)	—	0.15	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.12	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.06	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—

Rodrigo Muniz

⚽ ForwardSub · 9min

+ Actual

6.60

▼

6.60

Real Rating

Real Minutes

Not in predicted lineup — this player actually played but was not included in the model's pre-match prediction.

📊Core Performance▼

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Rating	—	6.60	—
Minutes Played	—	9	—
Touches	—	3	—
Possession Lost	—	2	—
Unsuccessful Touches	—	1	—
Dispossessed	—	0	—

🔑Passing▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Total Passes	—	1	—
Accurate Passes	—	0	—
Long Balls (Total)	—	0	—
Long Balls (Accurate)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (acc)	—	0	—
Own Half Passes (tot)	—	0	—
Opp Half Passes (acc)	—	0	—
Opp Half Passes (tot)	—	1	—
Crosses (Total)	—	0	—
Crosses (Accurate)	—	0	—

🛡Defending▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Duels Won	—	1	—
Duels Lost	—	0	—
Total Contests	—	0	—
Contests Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Won	—	0	—
Aerial Duels Lost	—	0	—
Tackles (Total)	—	0	—
Tackles Won	—	0	—
Interceptions	—	0	—
Clearances	—	0	—
Shots Blocked	—	0	—
Last-Man Tackle	—	0	—
Clearance off Line	—	0	—
Ball Recovery	—	0	—
Challenges Lost	—	0	—
Fouls Committed	—	0	—
Fouls Drawn	—	1	—
Error → Shot	—	0	—
Error → Goal	—	0	—
Penalty Conceded	—	0	—
Own Goals	—	0	—

⚽Attacking▶

Stat	Predicted	Δ Delta
Goals	—	—
Assists	—	—
Total Shots	—	—
Shots on Target	—	—
Shots off Target	—	—
Shots Blocked	—	—
Big Chances Missed	—	—
Big Chances Created	—	—
Hit Woodwork	—	—
Offsides	—	—
Penalty Won	—	—

🏃Physical & Tracking▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Top Speed (km/h)	—	28.95	—
Total Distance (km)	—	1.04	—
Sprints	—	1	—
Running (km)	—	0.13	—
High-Speed Running (km)	—	0.06	—
Sprinting (km)	—	0.02	—

📈Advanced Metrics▶

Stat	Predicted	Actual	Δ Delta
Pass Value (norm.)	—	-0.010	—
Defensive Value (norm.)	—	0.000	—
Rating v1 (Official)	—	6.60	—
Rating v2 (Alt.)	—	6.50	—