{ "match_info": { "home_team": "South Korea", "away_team": "Czechia", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260611", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "3-4-3", "away_formation": "3-4-2-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-1", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 1, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1226, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1226 }, { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.1183 }, { "score": "1-2", "probability": 0.0934 }, { "score": "0-2", "probability": 0.0915 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.0787 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0787, "0-1": 0.1183, "0-2": 0.0915, "0-3": 0.0468, "0-4": 0.018, "0-5": 0.0055, "0-6": 0.0014, "1-0": 0.0783, "1-1": 0.1226, "1-2": 0.0934, "1-3": 0.0478, "1-4": 0.0183, "1-5": 0.0056, "1-6": 0.0014, "2-0": 0.0404, "2-1": 0.062, "2-2": 0.0476, "2-3": 0.0244, "2-4": 0.0093, "2-5": 0.0029, "2-6": 0.0007, "3-0": 0.0137, "3-1": 0.0211, "3-2": 0.0162, "3-3": 0.0083, "3-4": 0.0032, "3-5": 0.001, "4-0": 0.0035, "4-1": 0.0054, "4-2": 0.0041, "4-3": 0.0021, "4-4": 0.0008, "5-0": 0.0007, "5-1": 0.0011, "5-2": 0.0008 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.2508, "draw": 0.258, "away_win": 0.4912 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.4702, "under_2_5_goals": 0.5298, "btts_yes": 0.5026, "btts_no": 0.4974, "home_clean_sheet": 0.2155, "away_clean_sheet": 0.3606 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 85.72, "MCR": 82.22, "ATR": 86.77, "GK": 87.67 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 79.77, "MCR": 85.57, "ATR": 87.46, "GK": 82.23 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for South Korea vs Czechia. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Lambdas derived from 6 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Son Heung-min, Patrik Schick", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-4-3 and 3-4-2-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Kang-in Lee vs Tomáš Souček will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.56, Away: 1.27. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.74, "home_lambda": 1.02, "away_lambda": 1.535 }, "teams": { "South Korea": { "formation": "3-4-3", "players": { "Hwang Hee-chan": { "player_id": 786186, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 177, "market_value": 7300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0695, "goal_rate": 0.0004, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1753, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 81.4983, "minutes": 89, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 13, "total_long_balls": 3, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 9, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 5, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 31, "possession_lost": 11.4664, "dispossessed": 0.9971, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 6, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 3, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 8, "total_progression": 31, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.326, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Ladislav Krejčí", "opponent_faced": "Ladislav Krejčí", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "fifa_overall": 75.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1769 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14023960, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Burnley", "away_team": "Wolverhampton", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Wolverhampton", "opponent": "Burnley", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0459, "expected_assists": 0.3416, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 25, "accurate_pass": 20, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 1, "interceptions": 1, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 9 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023958, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Wolverhampton", "away_team": "Fulham", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Wolverhampton", "opponent": "Fulham", "stats": { "minutes": 79, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.0537, "expected_assists": 0.3013, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 14, "accurate_pass": 12, "key_pass": 3, "interceptions": 3, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023935, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "away_team": "Wolverhampton", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Wolverhampton", "opponent": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "stats": { "minutes": 89, "rating": 5.9, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1276, "expected_assists": 0.0002, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 6, "interceptions": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 14862, "combined_rank_score": 1165.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 2131.0, "fifa_overall": 75.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 5, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.4983, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Hwang Hee-chan", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Saud Abdulhamid", "ranking": 14857 }, { "player_name": "Maximilian Wöber", "ranking": 14858 }, { "player_name": "Tomáš Holeš", "ranking": 14859 }, { "player_name": "Philip Zinckernagel", "ranking": 14860 }, { "player_name": "Antonín Kinský", "ranking": 14861 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Ali Al Musrati", "ranking": 14863 }, { "player_name": "Florian Sotoca", "ranking": 14864 }, { "player_name": "Kyle Walker-Peters", "ranking": 14865 }, { "player_name": "Rodrigo Muniz", "ranking": 14866 }, { "player_name": "Albert Rusnák", "ranking": 14867 } ] } } }, "Son Heung-min": { "player_id": 111505, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 7, "height": 184, "market_value": 18600000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.1529, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_shots": 2, "rating": 92.0388, "minutes": 90, "expected_assists": 0.0518, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "key_pass": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.411, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Ladislav Krejčí", "opponent_faced": "Ladislav Krejčí", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "fifa_overall": 85.0, "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.3073 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 140, "combined_rank_score": 116.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 136.0, "fifa_overall": 85.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 3, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 7.0388, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Son Heung-min", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Federico Dimarco", "ranking": 135 }, { "player_name": "Alexis Mac Allister", "ranking": 136 }, { "player_name": "Roger Ibañez", "ranking": 137 }, { "player_name": "João Palhinha", "ranking": 138 }, { "player_name": "Samuel Lino", "ranking": 139 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Theo Hernández", "ranking": 141 }, { "player_name": "Ryan Gravenberch", "ranking": 142 }, { "player_name": "Bruno Guimarães", "ranking": 143 }, { "player_name": "Caín Fara", "ranking": 144 }, { "player_name": "Esteban Kirkman", "ranking": 145 } ] } } }, "Kang-in Lee": { "player_id": 917087, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 19, "height": 173, "market_value": 30000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0538, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 85.9433, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 14, "accurate_pass": 12, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 3, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 5, "accurate_own_half_passes": 5, "total_opp_half_passes": 8, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 7, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 18, "possession_lost": 2.9295, "dispossessed": 1.5979, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 6, "total_progression": 25, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.439, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Tomáš Souček", "opponent_faced": "Tomáš Souček", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "fifa_overall": 79.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0513 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14061910, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Paris FC", "away_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "Paris FC", "stats": { "minutes": 32, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0399, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 22, "accurate_pass": 20, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14064510, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "away_team": "Stade Brestois", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "Stade Brestois", "stats": { "minutes": 53, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0193, "expected_assists": 0.1432, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 30, "accurate_pass": 27, "key_pass": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632083, "match_date": "2026-04-08", "home_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "away_team": "Liverpool FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "Liverpool FC", "stats": { "minutes": 12, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1291, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 10, "key_pass": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631367, "match_date": "2026-03-17", "home_team": "Chelsea", "away_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "Chelsea", "stats": { "minutes": 17, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0011, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 11, "tackles": 1, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631341, "match_date": "2026-03-11", "home_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "away_team": "Chelsea", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "Chelsea", "stats": { "minutes": 21, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0687, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 13403, "combined_rank_score": 742.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 611.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.74, "sofascore_appearances": 10.0, "fifa_rank": 873.0, "fifa_overall": 79.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 1, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.9433, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Kang-in Lee", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Kim Jong-Seok", "ranking": 13398 }, { "player_name": "Breel Embolo", "ranking": 13399 }, { "player_name": "Lutsharel Geertruida", "ranking": 13400 }, { "player_name": "Samú Costa", "ranking": 13401 }, { "player_name": "Pablo Maffeo", "ranking": 13402 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Šime Gržan", "ranking": 13404 }, { "player_name": "Ibrahim Sangaré", "ranking": 13405 }, { "player_name": "Ciro Immobile", "ranking": 13406 }, { "player_name": "Alexsandro", "ranking": 13407 }, { "player_name": "Gianluca Scamacca", "ranking": 13408 } ] } } }, "Lee Tae-seok": { "player_id": 1002355, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 13, "height": 174, "market_value": 2100000, "stats": { "key_pass": 2, "expected_assists": 0.2157, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 75.8995, "minutes": 85, "total_pass": 30, "accurate_pass": 20, "ball_recovery": 4, 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"opponent_defenders": "Tomáš Souček", "opponent_faced": "Tomáš Souček", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "fifa_overall": 69.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0512 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15690640, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "FK Austria Wien", "away_team": "LASK", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "FK Austria Wien", "opponent": "LASK", "stats": { "minutes": 85, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.4988, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 41, "accurate_pass": 27, "key_pass": 5, "tackles": 4, "tackles_won": 3, "clearances": 2, "duels_won": 7, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Austrian Bundesliga", "league_id": "45", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Austria", "season_id": "77382", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15690638, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "SK Rapid Wien", "away_team": "FK Austria Wien", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "FK Austria Wien", "opponent": "SK Rapid Wien", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1053, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 24, "accurate_pass": 13, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 4, "tackles_won": 2, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 3, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Austrian Bundesliga", "league_id": "45", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Austria", "season_id": "77382", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15690626, "match_date": "2026-05-03", "home_team": "FK Austria Wien", "away_team": "TSV Hartberg", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "FK Austria Wien", "opponent": "TSV Hartberg", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.2, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1081, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 46, "accurate_pass": 35, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 2, 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"home_team": "Czechia", "away_team": "Gibraltar", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Czechia", "opponent": "Gibraltar", "stats": { "minutes": 2, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 15809, "combined_rank_score": 1892.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 914.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.35, "sofascore_appearances": 3.0, "fifa_rank": 2871.0, "fifa_overall": 74.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 16, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.4517, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Mojmír Chytil", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Edwuin Cetré", "ranking": 15804 }, { "player_name": "Daniel Cataño", "ranking": 15805 }, { "player_name": "Montassar Talbi", "ranking": 15806 }, { "player_name": "Igor", "ranking": 15807 }, { "player_name": "Gustavo Velázquez", "ranking": 15808 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Michael Keane", "ranking": 15810 }, { "player_name": "Yeremay", "ranking": 15811 }, { "player_name": "Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao", "ranking": 15812 }, { "player_name": "Bamo Meïté", "ranking": 15813 }, { "player_name": "Modibo Sagnan", "ranking": 15814 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.53, "expected_assists": 2.03, "total_shots": 16, "shots_on_target": 11, "total_passes": 427, "interceptions": 5, "tackles": 12, "avg_rating": 83.15, "possession_estimated_pct": 49.3, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.6 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Jae-sung Lee", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 2100000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.426, "defenders": [ "Ladislav Krejčí" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "LWB vs CB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.279, "xg_contribution": 0.0574, "shots_in_zone": 0.8, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.2, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ladislav Krejčí", "role": "CB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.721 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jae-sung Lee (LWB) is heavily outmatched defensively against Ladislav Krejčí in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 28%. The quality gap is significant (€2M vs €21M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.057 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Kang-in Lee", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 30000000, "attacker_height": 173, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.718, "defenders": [ "Tomáš Souček" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.541, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.439, "xg_contribution": 0.1462, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Tomáš Souček", "role": "CM", "market_value": 11600000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.561 } ], "duel_analysis": "Kang-in Lee (CM) is evenly matched against Tomáš Souček in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. The quality gap is significant (€30M vs €12M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.146 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Lee Tae-seok", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 2100000, "attacker_height": 174, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.426, "defenders": [ "Tomáš Souček" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.541, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.308, "xg_contribution": 0.0847, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Tomáš Souček", "role": "CM", "market_value": 11600000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.692 } ], "duel_analysis": "Lee Tae-seok (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Tomáš Souček in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 31%. Projected xG contribution: 0.085 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Hwang In-beom", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 6400000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.479, "defenders": [ "Vladimír Darida" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.404, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.478, "xg_contribution": 0.0538, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.3, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Vladimír Darida", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 345000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.522 } ], "duel_analysis": "Hwang In-beom (RWB) is evenly matched against Vladimír Darida in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 48%. Projected xG contribution: 0.054 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Hwang Hee-chan", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 7300000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.49, "defenders": [ "Ladislav Krejčí" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.326, "xg_contribution": 0.0695, "shots_in_zone": 2.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ladislav Krejčí", "role": "CB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.674 } ], "duel_analysis": "Hwang Hee-chan (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Ladislav Krejčí in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 33%. Projected xG contribution: 0.069 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Son Heung-min", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 18600000, "attacker_height": 184, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.617, "defenders": [ "Ladislav Krejčí" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.411, "xg_contribution": 0.1529, "shots_in_zone": 2.4, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ladislav Krejčí", "role": "CB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.589 } ], "duel_analysis": "Son Heung-min (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Ladislav Krejčí in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 41%. Projected xG contribution: 0.153 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Vladimír Darida", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 345000, "attacker_height": 171, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.404, "defenders": [ "Hwang In-beom" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.479, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.362, "xg_contribution": 0.2998, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hwang In-beom", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 6400000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.638 } ], "duel_analysis": "Vladimír Darida (LWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Hwang In-beom in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 36%. Projected xG contribution: 0.300 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Tomáš Souček", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 11600000, "attacker_height": 192, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.541, "defenders": [ "Kang-in Lee" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.718, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.401, "xg_contribution": 0.0962, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.4, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kang-in Lee", "role": "CM", "market_value": 30000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.599 } ], "duel_analysis": "Tomáš Souček (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Kang-in Lee in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. The quality gap is significant (€12M vs €30M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.096 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Pavel Šulc", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 21000000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.641, "defenders": [ "Kim Tae-hyeon" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.408, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.519, "xg_contribution": 0.1786, "shots_in_zone": 2.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kim Tae-hyeon", "role": "CB", "market_value": 655000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.481 } ], "duel_analysis": "Pavel Šulc (SS) is slightly favored against Kim Tae-hyeon in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 52%. The quality gap is significant (€21M vs €1M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.179 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Lukáš Provod", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 7500000, "attacker_height": 189, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.493, "defenders": [ "Kim Tae-hyeon" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.408, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.5, "xg_contribution": 0.3121, "shots_in_zone": 2.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kim Tae-hyeon", "role": "CB", "market_value": 655000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.5 } ], "duel_analysis": "Lukáš Provod (SS) is slightly favored against Kim Tae-hyeon in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 50%. Projected xG contribution: 0.312 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Patrik Schick", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 16600000, "attacker_height": 191, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.596, "defenders": [ "Kim Tae-hyeon", "Kim Min-jae" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.524, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.244, "xg_contribution": 0.3801, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 2.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kim Tae-hyeon", "role": "CB", "market_value": 655000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.756 }, { "player": "Kim Min-jae", "role": "CB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.756 } ], "duel_analysis": "Patrik Schick (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Kim Tae-hyeon and Kim Min-jae in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 24%. Projected xG contribution: 0.380 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.537, "away_midfield_power": 0.448, "home_creative_power": 0.467, "away_creative_power": 0.344, "home_defensive_power": 0.46, "away_defensive_power": 0.483, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.546, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 2, "home_midfield_players": [ "Kang-in Lee", "Lee Tae-seok", "Jae-sung Lee", "Hwang In-beom" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Vladimír Darida", "Tomáš Souček" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 50.7, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 49.3, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.6, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.6, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.3, "away_key_passes_projected": 3.6, "home_throughball_threat": 2.0, "away_throughball_threat": 1.6, "key_personal_duel": "Kang-in Lee vs Tomáš Souček", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.009, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.98 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "3-4-3", "away_formation": "3-4-2-1", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-4-3 and 3-4-2-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.02, "away_lambda": 1.535, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Jae-sung Lee": { "opponents": [ "Ladislav Krejčí", "Tomáš Souček" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs CB", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Kang-in Lee": { "opponents": [ "Tomáš Souček" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Lee Tae-seok": { "opponents": [ "Tomáš Souček", "Vladimír Darida" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Hwang In-beom": { "opponents": [ "Vladimír Darida" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Hwang Hee-chan": { "opponents": [ "Ladislav Krejčí" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Son Heung-min": { "opponents": [ "Ladislav Krejčí" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Kim Tae-hyeon": { "opponents": [ "Pavel Šulc", "Lukáš Provod", "Patrik Schick" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Kim Min-jae": { "opponents": [ "Patrik Schick" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Kim Seung-gyu": { "opponents": [ "Pavel Šulc", "Lukáš Provod" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Han-Beom Lee": { "opponents": [ "Pavel Šulc" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Young-woo Seol": { "opponents": [ "Patrik Schick" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Ladislav Krejčí": { "opponents": [ "Jae-sung Lee", "Hwang Hee-chan", "Son Heung-min" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs CB", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Tomáš Souček": { "opponents": [ "Kang-in Lee", "Lee Tae-seok", "Jae-sung Lee" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Vladimír Darida": { "opponents": [ "Hwang In-beom", "Lee Tae-seok" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Pavel Šulc": { "opponents": [ "Kim Tae-hyeon" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Lukáš Provod": { "opponents": [ "Kim Tae-hyeon" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Patrik Schick": { "opponents": [ "Kim Tae-hyeon", "Kim Min-jae" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Matěj Kovář": { "opponents": [ "Son Heung-min", "Hwang Hee-chan" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Robin Hranáč": { "opponents": [ "Son Heung-min" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Štěpán Chaloupek": { "opponents": [ "Hwang Hee-chan" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "David Jurásek": { "opponents": [ "Son Heung-min" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Vladimír Coufal": { "opponents": [ "Hwang Hee-chan" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Kang-in Lee vs Tomáš Souček will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.56, Away: 1.27. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9895, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0227, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.098, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.18, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9659, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9894, "home_midfield_factor": 1.009, "away_midfield_factor": 0.98, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": false, "home_avg_quality": 0.5105, "away_avg_quality": 0.5235, "avg_quality_gap": -0.013, "squad_value_gap_log": -0.0708, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.0239, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.1319, "elite_count_gap": 0, "combined_quality_gap": -0.0114, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.0, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.0, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0711, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0711, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": true, "competitive_underdog_floor": 1.02, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 0.91, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 1.535, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 0.9101, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 1.5351, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.02, "final_away_lambda": 1.535 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-11T22:39:13Z" }