{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Mexico", "away_team": "South Africa", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260611", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-1-2-3", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-1", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 1, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.13, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.13 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1253 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.0952 }, { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.0948 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0866 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0952, "0-1": 0.0948, "0-2": 0.0489, "0-3": 0.0166, "0-4": 0.0042, "0-5": 0.0009, "1-0": 0.1253, "1-1": 0.13, "1-2": 0.0658, "1-3": 0.0224, "1-4": 0.0057, "1-5": 0.0012, "2-0": 0.0849, "2-1": 0.0866, "2-2": 0.0442, "2-3": 0.015, "2-4": 0.0038, "2-5": 0.0008, "3-0": 0.0381, "3-1": 0.0388, "3-2": 0.0198, "3-3": 0.0067, "3-4": 0.0017, "4-0": 0.0128, "4-1": 0.013, "4-2": 0.0067, "4-3": 0.0023, "4-4": 0.0006, "5-0": 0.0034, "5-1": 0.0035, "5-2": 0.0018, "5-3": 0.0006, "6-0": 0.0008, "6-1": 0.0008 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.4404, "draw": 0.2767, "away_win": 0.2829 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.4209, "under_2_5_goals": 0.5791, "btts_yes": 0.4738, "btts_no": 0.5262, "home_clean_sheet": 0.3606, "away_clean_sheet": 0.2608 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 87.82, "MCR": 80.24, "ATR": 84.59, "GK": 88.74 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 84.57, "MCR": 88.87, "ATR": 78.37, "GK": 93.67 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Mexico vs South Africa. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Lambdas derived from 4 home and 4 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Julián Quiñones, Lyle Foster", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-1-2-3 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Álvaro Fidalgo vs Teboho Mokoena will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.79, Away: 0.38. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.72, "home_lambda": 1.344, "away_lambda": 1.02 }, "teams": { "Mexico": { "formation": "4-1-2-3", "players": { "Julián Quiñones": { "player_id": 843114, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 16, "height": 180, "market_value": 11100000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.4746, "goal_rate": 0.027, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.2442, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 86.8215, "minutes": 86, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 22, "accurate_pass": 16, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 17, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 12, "crosses_total": 7, "crosses_accurate": 3, "touches": 40, "possession_lost": 11.8744, "dispossessed": 2.0212, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.7478, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 10, "total_progression": 30, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.236, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Ime Okon, Khuliso Mudau", "opponent_faced": "Ime Okon, Khuliso Mudau", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "fifa_overall": 80.0, "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.4221 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14773803, "match_date": "2026-05-21", "home_team": "Al-Ittihad", "away_team": "Al-Qadsiah", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Qadsiah", "opponent": "Al-Ittihad", "stats": { "minutes": 76, "rating": 8.5, "goal_rate": 3.0, "goals": 3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 1.9077, "expected_assists": 0.007, "total_shots": 8, "shots_on_target": 3, "total_pass": 17, "accurate_pass": 13, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14773795, "match_date": "2026-05-14", "home_team": "Al-Qadsiah", "away_team": "Al-Hazem", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Qadsiah", "opponent": "Al-Hazem", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 8.2, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.7168, "expected_assists": 0.7163, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 14, "accurate_pass": 8, "key_pass": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14771882, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "Al-Fayha", "away_team": "Al-Qadsiah", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Qadsiah", "opponent": "Al-Fayha", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.5403, "expected_assists": 0.1103, "total_shots": 4, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 38, "accurate_pass": 30, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 11886364, "match_date": "2024-07-01", "home_team": "Mexico", "away_team": "Ecuador", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Mexico", "opponent": "Ecuador", "stats": { "minutes": 86, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1299, "expected_assists": 0.2508, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 14, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" }, { "match_id": 11886387, "match_date": "2024-06-27", "home_team": "Venezuela", "away_team": "Mexico", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Mexico", "opponent": "Venezuela", "stats": { "minutes": 78, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.081, "expected_assists": 0.3401, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 28, "accurate_pass": 18, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 7 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" }, { "match_id": 11886365, "match_date": "2024-06-23", "home_team": "Mexico", "away_team": "Jamaica", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Mexico", "opponent": "Jamaica", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1678, "expected_assists": 0.0521, "total_shots": 4, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 41, "accurate_pass": 35, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 3, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" } ], "ranking": 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13028 }, { "player_name": "Rodrigo Rey", "ranking": 13029 } ] } } }, "Raúl Jiménez": { "player_id": 192442, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 189, "market_value": 3200000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0322, "goal_rate": 0.0004, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0003, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 83.28, "minutes": 20, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 2, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 10, "possession_lost": 3.9279, "dispossessed": 0.982, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, 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1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023958, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Wolverhampton", "away_team": "Fulham", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Fulham", "opponent": "Wolverhampton", "stats": { "minutes": 23, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1101, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 13895, "combined_rank_score": 847.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 1466.0, "fifa_overall": 77.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 16, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.28, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Raúl Jiménez", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Seung-hyun Kim", "ranking": 13890 }, { "player_name": "Mikheil Basheleishvili", "ranking": 13891 }, { "player_name": "Ángel Gillard", "ranking": 13892 }, { "player_name": "Guruzeta", "ranking": 13893 }, { "player_name": "Guido Rodríguez", "ranking": 13894 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Urko Izeta", "ranking": 13896 }, { "player_name": "Min-young Lee", "ranking": 13897 }, { "player_name": "Kareem Tunde", "ranking": 13898 }, { "player_name": "Emanuel Reynoso", "ranking": 13899 }, { "player_name": "Aldrix Jara", "ranking": 13900 } ] } } }, "Roberto Alvarado": { "player_id": 865500, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 25, "height": 176, "market_value": 7300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.2235, "goal_rate": 0.0004, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 83.6576, "minutes": 12, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 3, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 0, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 7, "possession_lost": 3.9883, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 0, 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"league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 13564, "combined_rank_score": 1036.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 774.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.6, "sofascore_appearances": 1.0, "fifa_rank": 1298.0, "fifa_overall": 77.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 11, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.6576, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Roberto Alvarado", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Brian Rodríguez", "ranking": 13559 }, { "player_name": "Stiven Muhlethaler", "ranking": 13560 }, { "player_name": "Diego Moreno", "ranking": 13561 }, { "player_name": "Luis Abram", "ranking": 13562 }, { "player_name": "Jader Valencia", "ranking": 13563 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "José Andrés Hurtado", "ranking": 13565 }, { "player_name": "Nectarios Triantis", "ranking": 13566 }, { "player_name": "Jordi Cortizo", "ranking": 13567 }, { "player_name": "Motiejus Burba", "ranking": 13568 }, { "player_name": "Jonathan Bell", "ranking": 13569 } ] } } }, "Álvaro Fidalgo": { "player_id": 838629, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 8, "height": 174, "market_value": 10900000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0228, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 85.6752, "minutes": 43, "total_pass": 23, "accurate_pass": 19, "ball_recovery": 2, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 0, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 9, "accurate_own_half_passes": 8, "total_opp_half_passes": 14, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 12, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 30, "possession_lost": 5.2514, "dispossessed": 1.0099, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 3, "tackles": 4, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0202, "ball_carries": 7, "total_progression": 30, "progressive_carries": 1, "opponent_faced": "Teboho Mokoena, Oswin Appollis, Themba Zwane", "matchup_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "fifa_overall": 79.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0252 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14083710, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Real Betis", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Real Betis", "opponent": "Levante UD", "stats": { "minutes": 10, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0048, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 17, "accurate_pass": 16 }, "has_player_stats": true, 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"duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97, "fifa_overall": 81.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 1012, "combined_rank_score": 361.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 469.0, "fifa_overall": 81.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 11, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6724, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Thalente Mbatha", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Carles Pérez", "ranking": 1007 }, { "player_name": "Valentín Vada", "ranking": 1008 }, { "player_name": "Fábio Martins", "ranking": 1009 }, { "player_name": "Fiston Mayele", "ranking": 1010 }, { "player_name": "Diego Hernández", "ranking": 1011 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Saeid Ezatolahi", "ranking": 1013 }, { "player_name": "Aitor Cantalapiedra", "ranking": 1014 }, { "player_name": "Nkosinathi Sibisi", "ranking": 1015 }, { "player_name": "Kaio Pantaleão", "ranking": 1016 }, { "player_name": "Alexis Duarte", "ranking": 1017 } ] } } }, "Tshepang Moremi": { "player_id": 1101745, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 180, "market_value": 1000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0239, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.012, "rating": 88.6724, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97, "fifa_overall": 82.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 1431, "combined_rank_score": 327.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 395.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 16, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6724, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Tshepang Moremi", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Jack Fletcher", "ranking": 1426 }, { "player_name": "Jaloliddin Masharipov", "ranking": 1427 }, { "player_name": "Alex Santana", "ranking": 1428 }, { "player_name": "Ahmed Fatouh", "ranking": 1429 }, { "player_name": "Erick Belé", "ranking": 1430 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Lucas Freitas", "ranking": 1432 }, { "player_name": "Ismaël Olivier Toure", "ranking": 1433 }, { "player_name": "Willy Semedo", "ranking": 1434 }, { "player_name": "Puso Dithejane", "ranking": 1435 }, { "player_name": "Othniël Raterink", "ranking": 1436 } ] } } }, "Iqraam Rayners": { "player_id": 991024, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 13, "height": 176, "market_value": 2800000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0414, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 90.6724, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0138, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "fifa_overall": 84.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 780, "combined_rank_score": 236.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 231.0, "fifa_overall": 84.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 2, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6724, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Iqraam Rayners", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Victor Bak Jensen", "ranking": 775 }, { "player_name": "Presnel Kimpembe", "ranking": 776 }, { "player_name": "Samir Sophian Chergui", "ranking": 777 }, { "player_name": "Adonis Frías", "ranking": 778 }, { "player_name": "Mateusz Żukowski", "ranking": 779 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "João Klauss", "ranking": 781 }, { "player_name": "Adri Mehmeti", "ranking": 782 }, { "player_name": "Rodri Sánchez", "ranking": 783 }, { "player_name": "Alexandru Mățan", "ranking": 784 }, { "player_name": "Yusuf Bamidele", "ranking": 785 } ] } } }, "Evidence Makgopa": { "player_id": 1022170, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 17, "height": 188, "market_value": 1300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0414, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 87.6724, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0138, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "fifa_overall": 81.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 1237, "combined_rank_score": 353.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 450.0, "fifa_overall": 81.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 14, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6724, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Evidence Makgopa", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Edmund Addo", "ranking": 1232 }, { "player_name": "Uroš Miladinović", "ranking": 1233 }, { "player_name": "Ahmed Belhadji", "ranking": 1234 }, { "player_name": "Luc Zogbé", "ranking": 1235 }, { "player_name": "Keiber Lamadrid", "ranking": 1236 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Igor Sergeev", "ranking": 1238 }, { "player_name": "Khuliso Mudau", "ranking": 1239 }, { "player_name": "Sipho Chaine", "ranking": 1240 }, { "player_name": "Diego Callai", "ranking": 1241 }, { "player_name": "Mahdi Torabi", "ranking": 1242 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.02, "expected_assists": 0.57, "total_shots": 12, "shots_on_target": 2, "total_passes": 424, "interceptions": 4, "tackles": 8, "avg_rating": 86.79, "possession_estimated_pct": 48.7, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Brian Gutiérrez", "attacker_role": "LM", "attacker_market_value": 8300000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.502, "defenders": [ "Aubrey Modiba" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.424, "duel_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.539, "xg_contribution": 0.0586, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Aubrey Modiba", "role": "RB", "market_value": 1900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.461 } ], "duel_analysis": "Brian Gutiérrez (LM) is slightly favored against Aubrey Modiba in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 54%. Projected xG contribution: 0.059 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Julián Quiñones", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 11100000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.535, "defenders": [ "Ime Okon", "Khuliso Mudau" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.236, "xg_contribution": 0.4746, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ime Okon", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.764 }, { "player": "Khuliso Mudau", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.764 } ], "duel_analysis": "Julián Quiñones (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Ime Okon and Khuliso Mudau in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 24%. Projected xG contribution: 0.475 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Raúl Jiménez", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 3200000, "attacker_height": 189, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.44, "defenders": [ "Ime Okon", "Khuliso Mudau" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.229, "xg_contribution": 0.0322, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ime Okon", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.771 }, { "player": "Khuliso Mudau", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.771 } ], "duel_analysis": "Raúl Jiménez (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Ime Okon and Khuliso Mudau in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 23%. Projected xG contribution: 0.032 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Roberto Alvarado", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 7300000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.49, "defenders": [ "Ime Okon", "Khuliso Mudau" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.2, "xg_contribution": 0.2235, "shots_in_zone": 2.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.4, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ime Okon", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.8 }, { "player": "Khuliso Mudau", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.8 } ], "duel_analysis": "Roberto Alvarado (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Ime Okon and Khuliso Mudau in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 20%. Projected xG contribution: 0.224 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Jayden Adams", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 1400000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.417, "defenders": [ "Johan Vásquez" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.548, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.381, "xg_contribution": 0.0462, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Johan Vásquez", "role": "RB", "market_value": 12200000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.619 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jayden Adams (LW) faces tough defensive resistance against Johan Vásquez in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 38%. Projected xG contribution: 0.046 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Teboho Mokoena", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 2700000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.434, "defenders": [ "Álvaro Fidalgo" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.533, "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.423, "xg_contribution": 0.0492, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Álvaro Fidalgo", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 10900000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.577 } ], "duel_analysis": "Teboho Mokoena (CAM) is evenly matched against Álvaro Fidalgo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 42%. Projected xG contribution: 0.049 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Themba Zwane", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 290000, "attacker_height": 170, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.404, "defenders": [ "Erik Lira" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.559, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.402, "xg_contribution": 0.0477, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Erik Lira", "role": "LB", "market_value": 13200000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.598 } ], "duel_analysis": "Themba Zwane (RW) faces tough defensive resistance against Erik Lira in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. Projected xG contribution: 0.048 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Lyle Foster", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 10300000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.526, "defenders": [ "Jesús Gallardo", "César Montes" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.465, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.205, "xg_contribution": 0.2366, "shots_in_zone": 2.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Jesús Gallardo", "role": "CB", "market_value": 2700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.795 }, { "player": "César Montes", "role": "CB", "market_value": 7800000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.795 } ], "duel_analysis": "Lyle Foster (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Jesús Gallardo and César Montes in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 21%. Projected xG contribution: 0.237 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.493, "away_midfield_power": 0.471, "home_creative_power": 0.427, "away_creative_power": 0.358, "home_defensive_power": 0.52, "away_defensive_power": 0.358, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.511, "home_midfield_count": 2, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Álvaro Fidalgo", "Brian Gutiérrez" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Jayden Adams", "Teboho Mokoena", "Themba Zwane", "Relebohile Mofokeng", "Oswin Appollis" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 51.3, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 48.7, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.8, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.1, "away_key_passes_projected": 3.6, "home_throughball_threat": 1.9, "away_throughball_threat": 1.7, "key_personal_duel": "Álvaro Fidalgo vs Teboho Mokoena", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.009, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.985 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-1-2-3", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-1-2-3 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.344, "away_lambda": 1.02, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Brian Gutiérrez": { "opponents": [ "Aubrey Modiba", "Relebohile Mofokeng", "Jayden Adams" ], "primary_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Julián Quiñones": { "opponents": [ "Ime Okon", "Khuliso Mudau" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Raúl Jiménez": { "opponents": [ "Ime Okon", "Khuliso Mudau" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Roberto Alvarado": { "opponents": [ "Ime Okon", "Khuliso Mudau" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Johan Vásquez": { "opponents": [ "Jayden Adams" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Álvaro Fidalgo": { "opponents": [ "Teboho Mokoena", "Oswin Appollis", "Themba Zwane" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Erik Lira": { "opponents": [ "Themba Zwane" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jesús Gallardo": { "opponents": [ "Lyle Foster" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "César Montes": { "opponents": [ "Lyle Foster" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Raúl Rangel": { "opponents": [ "Lyle Foster", "Teboho Mokoena" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Israel Reyes": { "opponents": [ "Lyle Foster" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Aubrey Modiba": { "opponents": [ "Brian Gutiérrez" ], "primary_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Ime Okon": { "opponents": [ "Julián Quiñones", "Raúl Jiménez", "Roberto Alvarado" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Khuliso Mudau": { "opponents": [ "Julián Quiñones", "Raúl Jiménez", "Roberto Alvarado" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jayden Adams": { "opponents": [ "Johan Vásquez", "Brian Gutiérrez" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Teboho Mokoena": { "opponents": [ "Álvaro Fidalgo" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Themba Zwane": { "opponents": [ "Erik Lira", "Álvaro Fidalgo" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Lyle Foster": { "opponents": [ "Jesús Gallardo", "César Montes" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Relebohile Mofokeng": { "opponents": [ "Brian Gutiérrez" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Oswin Appollis": { "opponents": [ "Álvaro Fidalgo" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Ronwen Williams": { "opponents": [ "Julián Quiñones", "Roberto Alvarado" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Mbekezeli Mbokazi": { "opponents": [ "Raúl Jiménez" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Álvaro Fidalgo vs Teboho Mokoena will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.79, Away: 0.38. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0212, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9965, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.112, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.026, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0157, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9686, "home_midfield_factor": 1.009, "away_midfield_factor": 0.985, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.5021, "away_avg_quality": 0.4329, "avg_quality_gap": 0.0691, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.9371, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.7906, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.5679, "elite_count_gap": 0, "combined_quality_gap": 0.1682, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.0925, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.0538, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0971, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0681, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": true, "competitive_underdog_floor": 1.02, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 1.344, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 0.731, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.3441, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.7311, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.344, "final_away_lambda": 1.02 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-11T22:26:42Z" }