{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Morocco", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260613", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-0", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1315, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1315 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1156 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.1091 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0955 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.0798 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0798, "0-1": 0.0694, "0-2": 0.0305, "0-3": 0.0089, "0-4": 0.0019, "1-0": 0.1315, "1-1": 0.1156, "1-2": 0.0504, "1-3": 0.0147, "1-4": 0.0032, "1-5": 0.0006, "2-0": 0.1091, "2-1": 0.0955, "2-2": 0.0418, "2-3": 0.0122, "2-4": 0.0027, "3-0": 0.0602, "3-1": 0.0527, "3-2": 0.0231, "3-3": 0.0067, "3-4": 0.0015, "4-0": 0.0249, "4-1": 0.0218, "4-2": 0.0095, "4-3": 0.0028, "4-4": 0.0006, "5-0": 0.0083, "5-1": 0.0072, "5-2": 0.0032, "5-3": 0.0009, "6-0": 0.0023, "6-1": 0.002, "6-2": 0.0009, "7-0": 0.0005 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.558, "draw": 0.2446, "away_win": 0.1974 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.4641, "under_2_5_goals": 0.5359, "btts_yes": 0.4721, "btts_no": 0.5279, "home_clean_sheet": 0.4169, "away_clean_sheet": 0.1909 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 7.21, "MCR": 7.54, "ATR": 7.49, "GK": 7.03 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 7.03, "MCR": 7.5, "ATR": 6.75, "GK": 6.53 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Brazil vs Morocco. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Raphinha", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Bruno Guimarães vs Ayyoub Bouaddi will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.00, Away: 0.80. Home danger zone: Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle." }, "confidence": 0.76, "home_lambda": 1.656, "away_lambda": 0.875 }, "teams": { "Brazil": { "formation": "4-2-3-1", "players": { "Alex Sandro": { "player_id": 84854, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 6, "height": 181, "market_value": 1500000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 6.7542, "minutes": 84, "total_pass": 55, "accurate_pass": 50, "duels_won": 4, "total_long_balls": 4, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 26, "accurate_own_half_passes": 24, "total_opp_half_passes": 30, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 26, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 77, "possession_lost": 8.3404, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 2, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0392, "expected_assists": 0.3729, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 24, "total_progression": 113, "progressive_carries": 3, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 1.9, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.409, "opponent_faced": "Brahim Díaz", "pressing_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "matchup_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "fifa_overall": 88.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0117 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15235572, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Flamengo", "away_team": "Palmeiras", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Flamengo", "opponent": "Palmeiras", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0375, "expected_assists": 0.2919, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 39, "key_pass": 2, "interceptions": 2, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Brasileirão Betano", "league_id": "325", "league_slug": "brasileirao-serie-a", "league_country": "Brazil", "season_id": "87678", "season_name": "Brasileiro Serie A 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15235588, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Athletico", "away_team": "Flamengo", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Flamengo", "opponent": "Athletico", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.4604, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 62, "accurate_pass": 57, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Brasileirão Betano", "league_id": "325", "league_slug": "brasileirao-serie-a", "league_country": "Brazil", "season_id": "87678", "season_name": "Brasileiro Serie A 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 13856229, "match_date": "2025-06-11", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Paraguay", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Paraguay", "stats": { "minutes": 74, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 65, "accurate_pass": 60, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 13856221, "match_date": "2025-06-05", "home_team": "Ecuador", "away_team": "Brazil", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Ecuador", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 54, "accurate_pass": 48, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 2, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 745, "combined_rank_score": 138.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 241.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.1, "sofascore_appearances": 1.0, "fifa_rank": 35.0, "fifa_overall": 88.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 18, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.7542, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Alex Sandro", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Chi-Won Choi", "ranking": 740 }, { "player_name": "Juan Castellanos", "ranking": 741 }, { "player_name": "Beom Song", "ranking": 742 }, { "player_name": "Irakli Azarovi", "ranking": 743 }, { "player_name": "Roman Begunov", "ranking": 744 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Alassane Diatta", "ranking": 746 }, { "player_name": "Diego Crego", "ranking": 747 }, { "player_name": "Seok-joo Yoon", "ranking": 748 }, { "player_name": "Ismoilbek Usmonxo'jayev", "ranking": 749 }, { "player_name": "Alexander Isak", "ranking": 750 } ] } } }, "Gabriel Magalhães": { "player_id": 869792, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 3, "height": 190, "market_value": 70000000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 7.7225, "minutes": 88, "total_pass": 54, "accurate_pass": 49, "duels_won": 5, "total_long_balls": 5, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 32, "accurate_own_half_passes": 31, "total_opp_half_passes": 22, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 20, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 66, "possession_lost": 5.8338, "dispossessed": 1.1112, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "blocks": 2, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1667, "expected_assists": 0.0222, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 17, "total_progression": 59, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "tackles_in_zone": 1.2, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.3, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 1.2, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82, "opponent_faced": "Soufiane Rahimi", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "fifa_overall": 82.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0372 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14023963, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Crystal Palace", "away_team": "Arsenal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Crystal Palace", "stats": { "minutes": 45, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0014, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 30, "accurate_pass": 28, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023950, "match_date": "2026-05-18", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Burnley", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Burnley", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0025, "expected_assists": 0.0373, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 52, "accurate_pass": 44, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023942, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "West Ham United", "away_team": "Arsenal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "West Ham United", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.3017, "expected_assists": 0.0079, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 48, "accurate_pass": 41, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 8, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632635, "match_date": "2026-05-05", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Atlético Madrid", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Atlético Madrid", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0282, "expected_assists": 0.0189, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 38, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 7, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632633, "match_date": "2026-04-29", "home_team": "Atlético Madrid", "away_team": "Arsenal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Atlético Madrid", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0368, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 49, "accurate_pass": 45, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 7 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632631, "match_date": "2026-04-15", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Sporting CP", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Sporting CP", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.2, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0144, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 53, "accurate_pass": 47, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 2, "clearances": 3, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632086, "match_date": "2026-04-07", "home_team": "Sporting CP", "away_team": "Arsenal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Sporting CP", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0072, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 65, "accurate_pass": 61, "tackles": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631372, "match_date": "2026-03-17", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.8, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.2818, "expected_assists": 0.0106, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 40, "accurate_pass": 37, "tackles": 4, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 9, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631363, "match_date": "2026-03-11", "home_team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "away_team": "Arsenal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.2, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.02, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 65, "accurate_pass": 61, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14169219, "match_date": "2025-09-05", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Chile", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Chile", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.3, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 92, "accurate_pass": 88, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 368, "combined_rank_score": 255.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 194.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.175, "sofascore_appearances": 12.0, "fifa_rank": 316.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 6, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 7.7225, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Gabriel Magalhães", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Benjamín Rollheiser", "ranking": 363 }, { "player_name": "Enzo Fernández", "ranking": 364 }, { "player_name": "Lorenzo Reyes", "ranking": 365 }, { "player_name": "Nikola Milenković", "ranking": 366 }, { "player_name": "Joelinton", "ranking": 367 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Andrés Gómez", "ranking": 369 }, { "player_name": "Leroy Sané", "ranking": 370 }, { "player_name": "Moise Kean", "ranking": 371 }, { "player_name": "Sebastian Esposito", "ranking": 372 }, { "player_name": "João Cancelo", "ranking": 373 } ] } } }, "Marquinhos": { "player_id": 155995, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 4, "height": 183, "market_value": 29000000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 7.5508, "minutes": 92, "total_pass": 67, "accurate_pass": 63, "duels_won": 3, "total_long_balls": 8, "accurate_long_balls": 5, "total_own_half_passes": 47, "accurate_own_half_passes": 45, "total_opp_half_passes": 20, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 18, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 75, "possession_lost": 4.8792, "dispossessed": 1.063, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 4, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.085, "expected_assists": 0.0106, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 15, "total_progression": 28, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "tackles_in_zone": 1.1, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.2, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82, "opponent_faced": "Soufiane Rahimi", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "fifa_overall": 87.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0129 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14061910, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Paris FC", "away_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "team_side": "away", 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14065244, "match_date": "2026-05-02", "home_team": "TSG Hoffenheim", "away_team": "VfB Stuttgart", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "VfB Stuttgart", "opponent": "TSG Hoffenheim", "stats": { "minutes": 76, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.056, "expected_assists": 0.0117, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 26, "key_pass": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631840, "match_date": "2026-03-19", "home_team": "FC Porto", "away_team": "VfB Stuttgart", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "VfB Stuttgart", "opponent": "FC Porto", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1009, "expected_assists": 0.1544, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 53, "accurate_pass": 42, "key_pass": 3, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 3, "interceptions": 1, "duels_won": 7, "ball_recovery": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631832, "match_date": "2026-03-12", "home_team": "VfB Stuttgart", "away_team": "FC Porto", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "VfB Stuttgart", "opponent": "FC Porto", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1422, "expected_assists": 0.0703, "total_shots": 5, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 4, "total_pass": 50, "accurate_pass": 39, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 14562, "combined_rank_score": 955.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 1840.0, "fifa_overall": 76.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 6, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.7679, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Bilal El Khannouss", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Jaume Cuéllar", "ranking": 14557 }, { "player_name": "Daniel Cordero", "ranking": 14558 }, { "player_name": "Jun-seo Shin", "ranking": 14559 }, { "player_name": "Tayler Carrington", "ranking": 14560 }, { "player_name": "Giacomo Valentini", "ranking": 14561 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Eduardo 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"ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 4, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.569, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.52, "fifa_overall": 84.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14065245, "match_date": "2026-05-08", "home_team": "Borussia Dortmund", "away_team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "opponent": "Borussia Dortmund", "stats": { "minutes": 13, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065239, "match_date": "2026-05-02", "home_team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "away_team": "Hamburger SV", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "opponent": "Hamburger SV", "stats": { "minutes": 8, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.005, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 4, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 274, "combined_rank_score": 166.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 166.0, "fifa_overall": 84.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 14, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6787, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Andrei Cojuhar", "ranking": 269 }, { "player_name": "Wael Mohya", "ranking": 270 }, { "player_name": "Gilberto Mora", "ranking": 271 }, { "player_name": "Luka Modrić", "ranking": 272 }, { "player_name": "Juan Mata", "ranking": 273 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Sancet", "ranking": 275 }, { "player_name": "Xavi Simons", "ranking": 276 }, { "player_name": "Leonard Pllana", "ranking": 277 }, { "player_name": "Alan Medina", "ranking": 278 }, { "player_name": "Joaquín Moya", "ranking": 279 } ] } } }, "Ayoub El Kaabi": { "player_id": 919793, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 182, "market_value": 5400000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0781, "goal_rate": 0.0003, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0209, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.3894, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 1, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 2, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 3, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 5, "possession_lost": 2.0966, "dispossessed": 1.4852, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.1426, "offsides": 2, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 4, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.564, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.41, "fifa_overall": 80.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15866926, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "AEK Athens", "away_team": "Olympiacos FC", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Olympiacos FC", "opponent": "AEK Athens", "stats": { "minutes": 72, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1771, "expected_assists": 0.0067, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 2, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 9, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Stoiximan Super League", "league_id": "185", "league_slug": "stoiximan-super-league", "league_country": "Greece", "season_id": "78175", "season_name": "Super League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15866920, "match_date": "2026-05-13", "home_team": "Olympiacos FC", "away_team": "Panathinaikos FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Olympiacos FC", "opponent": "Panathinaikos FC", "stats": { "minutes": 17, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0793, "expected_assists": 0.0029, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "key_pass": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Stoiximan Super League", "league_id": "185", "league_slug": "stoiximan-super-league", "league_country": "Greece", "season_id": "78175", "season_name": "Super League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15866466, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "Olympiacos FC", "away_team": "PAOK", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Olympiacos FC", "opponent": "PAOK", "stats": { "minutes": 67, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.6871, "expected_assists": 0.2539, "total_shots": 4, "shots_on_target": 3, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 7, "key_pass": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Stoiximan Super League", "league_id": "185", "league_slug": "stoiximan-super-league", "league_country": "Greece", "season_id": "78175", "season_name": "Super League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15866463, "match_date": "2026-05-03", "home_team": "PAOK", "away_team": "Olympiacos FC", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Olympiacos FC", "opponent": "PAOK", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 1.2662, "expected_assists": 0.0693, "total_shots": 4, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 8, "key_pass": 1, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Stoiximan Super League", "league_id": "185", "league_slug": "stoiximan-super-league", "league_country": "Greece", "season_id": "78175", "season_name": "Super League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 8493, "combined_rank_score": 452.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 688.0, "fifa_overall": 80.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 16, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.3894, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Ayoub El Kaabi", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Ryota Kamihashi", "ranking": 8488 }, { "player_name": "Alexander Kapitan Bergman", "ranking": 8489 }, { "player_name": "Jiar Govand", "ranking": 8490 }, { "player_name": "Luis Zuniga", "ranking": 8491 }, { "player_name": "Giancarlos Moreno", "ranking": 8492 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Boulaye Dia", "ranking": 8494 }, { "player_name": "Kim Se-hoon", "ranking": 8495 }, { "player_name": "Mukhammadali Alikulov", "ranking": 8496 }, { "player_name": "Hamdi Marcelo", "ranking": 8497 }, { "player_name": "Álvaro Carreras", "ranking": 8498 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.88, "expected_assists": 0.95, "total_shots": 16, "shots_on_target": 8, "total_passes": 385, "interceptions": 3, "tackles": 11, "avg_rating": 7.17, "possession_estimated_pct": 49.5, "pressing_actions_per_90": 8.2 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Lucas Paquetá", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 36000000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.758, "defenders": [ "Achraf Hakimi" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.884, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.42, "xg_contribution": 0.0814, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 1.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Achraf Hakimi", "role": "RB", "market_value": 82000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 1.2, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.58 } ], "duel_analysis": "Lucas Paquetá (LW) faces tough defensive resistance against Achraf Hakimi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 42%. The quality gap is significant (€36M vs €82M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.081 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Matheus Cunha", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 73000000, "attacker_height": 184, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.875, "defenders": [ "Noussair Mazraoui" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.625, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.596, "xg_contribution": 0.3838, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.7, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Noussair Mazraoui", "role": "LB", "market_value": 19400000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.404 } ], "duel_analysis": "Matheus Cunha (RW) is slightly favored against Noussair Mazraoui in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 60%. The quality gap is significant (€73M vs €19M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.384 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Raphinha", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 72000000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.873, "defenders": [ "Neil El Aynaoui", "Ayyoub Bouaddi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM", "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.744, "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.26, "xg_contribution": 0.1987, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.8, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Neil El Aynaoui", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 22000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.74 }, { "player": "Ayyoub Bouaddi", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 54000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.74 } ], "duel_analysis": "Raphinha (CAM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Neil El Aynaoui and Ayyoub Bouaddi in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 26%. The quality gap is significant (€72M vs €38M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.199 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Vinícius Júnior", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 156000000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.9, "defenders": [ "Chadi Riad", "Issa Diop" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.534, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.309, "xg_contribution": 0.2877, "shots_in_zone": 2.5, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.4, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.7, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Chadi Riad", "role": "CB", "market_value": 11600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.691 }, { "player": "Issa Diop", "role": "CB", "market_value": 10300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.691 } ], "duel_analysis": "Vinícius Júnior (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Chadi Riad and Issa Diop in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 31%. The quality gap is significant (€156M vs €11M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.288 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Bruno Guimarães", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 77000000, "attacker_height": 182, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.879, "defenders": [ "Neil El Aynaoui" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.65, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.507, "xg_contribution": 0.0505, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Neil El Aynaoui", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 22000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.493 } ], "duel_analysis": "Bruno Guimarães (CDM) is slightly favored against Neil El Aynaoui in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 51%. The quality gap is significant (€77M vs €22M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.051 — creating consistent moderate threat." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Azzedine Ounahi", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 10300000, "attacker_height": 182, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.526, "defenders": [ "Danilo" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.432, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.514, "xg_contribution": 0.1607, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Danilo", "role": "RB", "market_value": 2600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.486 } ], "duel_analysis": "Azzedine Ounahi (LW) is slightly favored against Danilo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 51%. Projected xG contribution: 0.161 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Brahim Díaz", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 37000000, "attacker_height": 170, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.764, "defenders": [ "Alex Sandro" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.419, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.591, "xg_contribution": 0.1705, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 2.5, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Alex Sandro", "role": "LB", "market_value": 1500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.409 } ], "duel_analysis": "Brahim Díaz (RW) is slightly favored against Alex Sandro in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 59%. The quality gap is significant (€37M vs €2M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.171 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Ismael Saibari", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 44000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.8, "defenders": [ "Bruno Guimarães", "Casemiro" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM", "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.685, "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.298, "xg_contribution": 0.32, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.6, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Bruno Guimarães", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 77000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.2, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.702 }, { "player": "Casemiro", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 7300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.702 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ismael Saibari (CAM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Bruno Guimarães and Casemiro in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 30%. Projected xG contribution: 0.320 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Soufiane Rahimi", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 6200000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.477, "defenders": [ "Gabriel Magalhães", "Marquinhos" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.79, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.096, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Gabriel Magalhães", "role": "CB", "market_value": 70000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.2, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 1.2, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Marquinhos", "role": "CB", "market_value": 29000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Soufiane Rahimi (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Gabriel Magalhães and Marquinhos in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€6M vs €50M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.096 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Neil El Aynaoui", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 22000000, "attacker_height": 186, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.65, "defenders": [ "Bruno Guimarães" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.879, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.333, "xg_contribution": 0.0578, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Bruno Guimarães", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 77000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.667 } ], "duel_analysis": "Neil El Aynaoui (CDM) faces tough defensive resistance against Bruno Guimarães in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 33%. The quality gap is significant (€22M vs €77M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.058 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.775, "away_midfield_power": 0.766, "home_creative_power": 1.004, "away_creative_power": 0.722, "home_defensive_power": 0.816, "away_defensive_power": 0.703, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.503, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Bruno Guimarães", "Casemiro", "Raphinha", "Lucas Paquetá" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Ismael Saibari", "Azzedine Ounahi", "Brahim Díaz", "Neil El Aynaoui", "Ayyoub Bouaddi" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 50.5, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 49.5, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.7, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.2, "home_key_passes_projected": 7.5, "away_key_passes_projected": 5.8, "home_throughball_threat": 3.6, "away_throughball_threat": 2.8, "key_personal_duel": "Bruno Guimarães vs Ayyoub Bouaddi", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.013, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.995 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.656, "away_lambda": 0.875, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Lucas Paquetá": { "opponents": [ "Achraf Hakimi", "Azzedine Ounahi" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Matheus Cunha": { "opponents": [ "Noussair Mazraoui" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Raphinha": { "opponents": [ "Neil El Aynaoui", "Ayyoub Bouaddi", "Ismael Saibari", "Brahim Díaz" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Vinícius Júnior": { "opponents": [ "Chadi Riad", "Issa Diop" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Bruno Guimarães": { "opponents": [ "Neil El Aynaoui", "Ismael Saibari" ], "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Danilo": { "opponents": [ "Azzedine Ounahi" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Alex Sandro": { "opponents": [ "Brahim Díaz" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Casemiro": { "opponents": [ "Ismael Saibari", "Ayyoub Bouaddi" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Gabriel Magalhães": { "opponents": [ "Soufiane Rahimi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Marquinhos": { "opponents": [ "Soufiane Rahimi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Alisson": { "opponents": [ "Soufiane Rahimi", "Ayyoub Bouaddi" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Achraf Hakimi": { "opponents": [ "Lucas Paquetá" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Noussair Mazraoui": { "opponents": [ "Matheus Cunha" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Neil El Aynaoui": { "opponents": [ "Raphinha", "Bruno Guimarães" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ayyoub Bouaddi": { "opponents": [ "Raphinha", "Casemiro" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Chadi Riad": { "opponents": [ "Vinícius Júnior" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Issa Diop": { "opponents": [ "Vinícius Júnior" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Azzedine Ounahi": { "opponents": [ "Danilo", "Lucas Paquetá" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Brahim Díaz": { "opponents": [ "Alex Sandro", "Raphinha" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ismael Saibari": { "opponents": [ "Bruno Guimarães", "Casemiro", "Raphinha" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Soufiane Rahimi": { "opponents": [ "Gabriel Magalhães", "Marquinhos" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Bono": { "opponents": [ "Matheus Cunha", "Vinícius Júnior" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Bruno Guimarães vs Ayyoub Bouaddi will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.00, Away: 0.80. Home danger zone: Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0086, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9366, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.093, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.1193, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9311, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9529, "home_midfield_factor": 1.013, "away_midfield_factor": 0.995, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.7207, "away_avg_quality": 0.663, "avg_quality_gap": 0.0577, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.5549, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.6094, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.8546, "elite_count_gap": 2, "combined_quality_gap": 0.1144, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.2517, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.1602, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.1054, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0859, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": true, "mismatch_score_pressure_gap": 0.1144, "mismatch_favorite_lambda_boost": 1.0846, "mismatch_underdog_lambda_factor": 0.9783, "pre_mismatch_home_lambda": 1.527, "pre_mismatch_away_lambda": 0.894, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor": 0.85, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 1.656, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 0.875, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.5274, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.8939, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.656, "final_away_lambda": 0.875 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-13T19:23:55Z" }