{ "match_info": { "home_team": "USA", "away_team": "Paraguay", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260613", "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "3-5-2" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-0", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1912, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1912 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.142 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.1301 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1086 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.08 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.1301, "0-1": 0.0723, "0-2": 0.0205, "0-3": 0.0039, "0-4": 0.0005, "1-0": 0.1912, "1-1": 0.1086, "1-2": 0.0304, "1-3": 0.0057, "1-4": 0.0008, "2-0": 0.142, "2-1": 0.08, "2-2": 0.0225, "2-3": 0.0042, "2-4": 0.0006, "3-0": 0.0701, "3-1": 0.0395, "3-2": 0.0111, "3-3": 0.0021, "4-0": 0.026, "4-1": 0.0146, "4-2": 0.0041, "4-3": 0.0008, "5-0": 0.0077, "5-1": 0.0043, "5-2": 0.0012, "6-0": 0.0019, "6-1": 0.0011 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.5971, "draw": 0.2634, "away_win": 0.1395 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.3352, "under_2_5_goals": 0.6648, "btts_yes": 0.3332, "btts_no": 0.6668, "home_clean_sheet": 0.5695, "away_clean_sheet": 0.2274 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 6.84, "MCR": 7.06, "ATR": 7.25, "GK": 6.68 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 6.84, "MCR": 6.8, "ATR": 6.96, "GK": 6.88 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for USA vs Paraguay. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Lambdas derived from 7 home and 6 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Folarin Balogun", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 3-5-2. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Weston McKennie vs Diego Gómez will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.06, Away: 0.30. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat. Away danger zone: Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest." }, "confidence": 0.74, "home_lambda": 1.481, "away_lambda": 0.563 }, "teams": { "USA": { "formation": "3-4-2-1", "players": { "Patrick Schulte": { "player_id": 942252, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 28, "height": 191, "market_value": 3400000, "stats": { "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 0.2948, "rating": 6.6825, "minutes": 90, "expected_saves": 0.62, "high_pressure_saves": 0.24, "shots_faced": 1.3, "opponent_faced": "Julio Enciso, Alex Arce", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Antonee Robinson": { "player_id": 803174, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 33, "height": 183, "market_value": 27000000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 7.1535, "minutes": 83, "total_pass": 36, "accurate_pass": 28, "duels_won": 6, "total_long_balls": 4, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 17, "accurate_own_half_passes": 14, "total_opp_half_passes": 21, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 14, "crosses_total": 4, "crosses_accurate": 2, "touches": 62, "possession_lost": 14.7201, "dispossessed": 1.0582, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 5, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.5976, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1186, "expected_assists": 0.0741, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 2, "xgot": 0.8043, "ball_carries": 16, "total_progression": 98, "progressive_carries": 3, "key_pass": 2, "tackles_in_zone": 1.1, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.2, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82, "opponent_faced": "Ramón Sosa", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.054 } }, "Chris Richards": { "player_id": 931844, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 26, "height": 188, "market_value": 23000000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 3, "rating": 6.8098, "minutes": 86, "total_pass": 48, "accurate_pass": 41, "duels_won": 5, "total_long_balls": 7, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 30, "accurate_own_half_passes": 28, "total_opp_half_passes": 18, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 14, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 64, "possession_lost": 9.6926, "dispossessed": 1.0479, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0169, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1936, "expected_assists": 0.0419, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.6706, "ball_carries": 20, "total_progression": 32, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 2, "tackles_in_zone": 1.1, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.2, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82, "opponent_faced": "Ramón Sosa", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0515 } }, "Joe Scally": { "player_id": 1002920, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 29, "height": 184, "market_value": 6600000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 6.5632, "minutes": 88, "total_pass": 32, "accurate_pass": 23, "duels_won": 6, "total_long_balls": 3, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 18, "accurate_own_half_passes": 14, "total_opp_half_passes": 16, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 10, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 56, "possession_lost": 12.9289, "dispossessed": 1.1934, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 4, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 3, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0199, "expected_assists": 0.0696, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0696, "ball_carries": 11, "total_progression": 24, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 1, "opponent_faced": "Ramón Sosa", "matchup_zone": "Shape fallback", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0126 } }, "Weston McKennie": { "player_id": 881931, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 22, "height": 185, "market_value": 31000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 2, "expected_assists": 0.2616, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0548, "rating": 7.4843, "minutes": 93, "total_pass": 38, "accurate_pass": 32, "ball_recovery": 4, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 12, "accurate_own_half_passes": 10, "total_opp_half_passes": 27, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 22, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 59, "possession_lost": 12.5108, "dispossessed": 1.8467, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 3, "clearances": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "goal_rate": 0.6504, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 2, "xgot": 0.5124, "ball_carries": 11, "total_progression": 29, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.464, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Diego Gómez", "opponent_faced": "Diego Gómez", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1028 } }, "Malik Tillman": { "player_id": 975798, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 186, "market_value": 27000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0193, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0313, "rating": 7.0226, "minutes": 61, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 15, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 3, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 8, "accurate_own_half_passes": 7, "total_opp_half_passes": 10, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 9, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 26, "possession_lost": 5.9473, "dispossessed": 1.9366, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.8103, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 1.0582, "ball_carries": 6, "total_progression": 13, "progressive_carries": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.454, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Diego Gómez", "opponent_faced": "Diego Gómez", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1318 } }, "Johnny Cardoso": { "player_id": 990169, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 5, "height": 186, "market_value": 21000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0208, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 6.9546, "minutes": 52, "total_pass": 26, "accurate_pass": 22, "ball_recovery": 2, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 14, "accurate_own_half_passes": 12, "total_opp_half_passes": 13, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 11, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 34, "possession_lost": 6.0137, "dispossessed": 1.4904, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 1.0422, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.1146, "ball_carries": 9, "total_progression": 21, "progressive_carries": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "crosses_attempted": 2.6, "duel_win_rate": 0.519, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Damián Bobadilla", "opponent_faced": "Damián Bobadilla", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0964 } }, "Brenden Aaronson": { "player_id": 973431, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 178, "market_value": 18700000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0102, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0462, "rating": 6.7817, "minutes": 65, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 8, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 4, "accurate_own_half_passes": 3, "total_opp_half_passes": 9, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 7, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 23, "possession_lost": 8.8011, "dispossessed": 1.0354, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 4, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.0533, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 8, "total_progression": 25, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "crosses_attempted": 2.6, "duel_win_rate": 0.486, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Miguel Almirón", "opponent_faced": "Miguel Almirón", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0151 } }, "Christian Pulišić": { "player_id": 817957, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 177, "market_value": 54000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.2162, "goal_rate": 0.1715, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.226, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 7.4466, "minutes": 90, "total_shots": 3, "duels_won": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 34, "accurate_pass": 27, "total_long_balls": 3, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 27, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 20, "crosses_total": 6, "crosses_accurate": 2, "touches": 53, "possession_lost": 15.1402, "dispossessed": 1.7618, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 4, "won_contest": 3, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 2, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.1321, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 19, "total_progression": 91, "progressive_carries": 4, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.522, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Omar Alderete", "opponent_faced": "Omar Alderete", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1197 } }, "Folarin Balogun": { "player_id": 934237, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 179, "market_value": 27000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.319, "goal_rate": 0.5619, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0579, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 7.1164, "minutes": 87, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 15, "accurate_pass": 11, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 10, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 7, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 27, "possession_lost": 9.2278, "dispossessed": 1.4815, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 2, "xgot": 0.5926, "offsides": 2, "ball_carries": 7, "total_progression": 28, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.465, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Omar Alderete", "opponent_faced": "Omar Alderete", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.2323 } }, "Ricardo Pepi": { "player_id": 986395, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 185, "market_value": 26000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.2774, "goal_rate": 0.1864, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.1402, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 7.1785, "minutes": 70, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 10, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 8, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 6, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 20, "possession_lost": 4.3497, "dispossessed": 1.8053, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 2, "xgot": 0.7707, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 7, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.271, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Omar Alderete, Gustavo Gómez", "opponent_faced": "Omar Alderete, Gustavo Gómez", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.184 } } }, "bench_players": { "Matt Turner": { "player_id": 833943, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 30, "height": 190, "market_value": 2600000, "stats": { "saves": 0, "goals_prevented": 0.0122, "rating": 6.394, "minutes": 4, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "touches": 2, "clearances": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "high_claims": 0, "punches": 0.0, "aerial_won": 0, "sweeper_actions": 0, "sweeper_accurate": 0, "saves_inside_box": 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Cardoso", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Ramón Sosa": { "player_id": 1015733, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 19, "height": 178, "market_value": 10300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0367, "goal_rate": 0.0386, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0549, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 6.9901, "minutes": 64, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 8, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 9, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 6, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 21, "possession_lost": 7.1352, "dispossessed": 1.5117, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.4737, "offsides": 2, "ball_carries": 9, "total_progression": 41, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Antonee Robinson, Chris Richards", "opponent_faced": "Antonee Robinson, Chris Richards", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Alex Arce": { "player_id": 1167312, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 187, "market_value": 3200000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0817, "goal_rate": 0.2334, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0182, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.9212, "minutes": 73, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 5, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 14, "accurate_pass": 9, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 11, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 6, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 22, "possession_lost": 9.3288, "dispossessed": 1.5319, "duels_lost": 7, "aerial_lost": 4, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 1.3748, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 4, "total_progression": 5, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Antonee Robinson, Chris Richards", "opponent_faced": "Antonee Robinson, Chris Richards", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } } }, "bench_players": { "Carlos Coronel": { "player_id": 800150, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 31, "height": 190, "market_value": 1400000, "stats": { "saves": 0, "goals_prevented": 0.0515, "rating": 7.0831, "minutes": 4, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 0, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "touches": 1, "clearances": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "high_claims": 0, "punches": 0.0718, "aerial_won": 0, "sweeper_actions": 0, "sweeper_accurate": 0, "saves_inside_box": 0, "possession_lost": 0.5986, "duels_won": 0, "duels_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 0, "accurate_own_half_passes": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.109, "bench_expected_minutes": 4.39 } }, "Diego León": { "player_id": 1900795, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 37, "height": 177, "market_value": 3600000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "duels_won": 1, "rating": 6.5892, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.3, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.6 } }, "Agustín Sández": { "player_id": 1066556, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 3, "height": 184, "market_value": 2700000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 6.5033, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 4, "duels_won": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 2, "accurate_own_half_passes": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 3, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 7, "possession_lost": 1.4131, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0059, "expected_assists": 0.0059, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.003, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 10, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "Alejandro Romero": { "player_id": 788936, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 171, "market_value": 4600000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0048, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 6.5901, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 2, "ball_recovery": 0, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 1, "accurate_own_half_passes": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 3, "possession_lost": 0.8465, "dispossessed": 0.9872, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 0, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.502, "bench_expected_minutes": 22.05 } }, "Braian Ojeda": { "player_id": 883206, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 8, "height": 173, "market_value": 4200000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 6.6306, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 2, "ball_recovery": 0, "duels_won": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 1, "accurate_own_half_passes": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 3, "possession_lost": 0.4826, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "aerial_lost": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 0, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.501, "bench_expected_minutes": 22.03 } }, "Isidro Pitta": { "player_id": 979861, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 21, "height": 183, "market_value": 7700000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.024, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0127, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.5997, "minutes": 26, "total_shots": 1, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 3, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 3, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 6, "possession_lost": 1.8234, "dispossessed": 0.9985, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.1614, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.569, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.52 } }, "Diego González": { "player_id": 1106593, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 177, "market_value": 4200000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0128, "goal_rate": 0.0003, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1185, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 7.0267, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 1, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 0.5553, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0028, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 3, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.561, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.35 } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.56, "expected_assists": 0.63, "total_shots": 13, "shots_on_target": 9, "total_passes": 281, "interceptions": 12, "tackles": 16, "avg_rating": 6.84, "possession_estimated_pct": 49.1, "pressing_actions_per_90": 7.1 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Johnny Cardoso", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 21000000, "attacker_height": 186, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.641, "defenders": [ "Damián Bobadilla" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.466, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.519, "xg_contribution": 0.1075, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 2.6, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Damián Bobadilla", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 5300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.481 } ], "duel_analysis": "Johnny Cardoso (LWB) is slightly favored against Damián Bobadilla in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 52%. The quality gap is significant (€21M vs €5M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.107 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Weston McKennie", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 31000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.725, "defenders": [ "Diego Gómez" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.694, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.464, "xg_contribution": 0.0582, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Diego Gómez", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 27000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.536 } ], "duel_analysis": "Weston McKennie (CM) is evenly matched against Diego Gómez in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 46%. Projected xG contribution: 0.058 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Malik Tillman", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 27000000, "attacker_height": 186, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.694, "defenders": [ "Diego Gómez" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.694, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.454, "xg_contribution": 0.0328, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Diego Gómez", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 27000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.546 } ], "duel_analysis": "Malik Tillman (CM) is evenly matched against Diego Gómez in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 45%. Projected xG contribution: 0.033 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Brenden Aaronson", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 18700000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.618, "defenders": [ "Miguel Almirón" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.507, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.486, "xg_contribution": 0.0506, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.6, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Miguel Almirón", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 8700000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.514 } ], "duel_analysis": "Brenden Aaronson (RWB) is evenly matched against Miguel Almirón in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 49%. Projected xG contribution: 0.051 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Christian Pulišić", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 54000000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.837, "defenders": [ "Omar Alderete" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.589, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.522, "xg_contribution": 0.2162, "shots_in_zone": 2.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Omar Alderete", "role": "CB", "market_value": 15900000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.478 } ], "duel_analysis": "Christian Pulišić (SS) is slightly favored against Omar Alderete in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 52%. The quality gap is significant (€54M vs €16M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.216 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Folarin Balogun", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 27000000, "attacker_height": 179, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.694, "defenders": [ "Omar Alderete" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.589, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.465, "xg_contribution": 0.319, "shots_in_zone": 2.5, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Omar Alderete", "role": "CB", "market_value": 15900000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.535 } ], "duel_analysis": "Folarin Balogun (SS) is evenly matched against Omar Alderete in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 47%. Projected xG contribution: 0.319 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Ricardo Pepi", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 26000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.686, "defenders": [ "Omar Alderete", "Gustavo Gómez" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.518, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.271, "xg_contribution": 0.2774, "shots_in_zone": 2.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.6, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Omar Alderete", "role": "CB", "market_value": 15900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.729 }, { "player": "Gustavo Gómez", "role": "CB", "market_value": 3800000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.729 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ricardo Pepi (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Omar Alderete and Gustavo Gómez in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 27%. The quality gap is significant (€26M vs €10M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.277 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Miguel Almirón", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 8700000, "attacker_height": 174, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.507, "defenders": [ "Brenden Aaronson" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.618, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.354, "xg_contribution": 0.0316, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.3, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Brenden Aaronson", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 18700000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.646 } ], "duel_analysis": "Miguel Almirón (LWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Brenden Aaronson in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 35%. Projected xG contribution: 0.032 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Mauricio", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 14700000, "attacker_height": 174, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.576, "defenders": [ "Weston McKennie" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.725, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.309, "xg_contribution": 0.0477, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Weston McKennie", "role": "CM", "market_value": 31000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.691 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mauricio (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Weston McKennie in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 31%. The quality gap is significant (€15M vs €31M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.048 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Julio Enciso", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 21000000, "attacker_height": 173, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.641, "defenders": [ "Weston McKennie" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.725, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.334, "xg_contribution": 0.0856, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Weston McKennie", "role": "CM", "market_value": 31000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.666 } ], "duel_analysis": "Julio Enciso (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Weston McKennie in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 33%. Projected xG contribution: 0.086 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Damián Bobadilla", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 5300000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.466, "defenders": [ "Johnny Cardoso" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.321, "xg_contribution": 0.0131, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.2, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Johnny Cardoso", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.679 } ], "duel_analysis": "Damián Bobadilla (RWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Johnny Cardoso in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 32%. The quality gap is significant (€5M vs €21M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.013 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Ramón Sosa", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 10300000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.526, "defenders": [ "Antonee Robinson", "Chris Richards" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.677, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0367, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.5, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Antonee Robinson", "role": "CB", "market_value": 27000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Chris Richards", "role": "CB", "market_value": 23000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ramón Sosa (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Antonee Robinson and Chris Richards in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.037 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Alex Arce", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 3200000, "attacker_height": 187, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.44, "defenders": [ "Antonee Robinson", "Chris Richards" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.677, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0817, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Antonee Robinson", "role": "CB", "market_value": 27000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Chris Richards", "role": "CB", "market_value": 23000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Alex Arce (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Antonee Robinson and Chris Richards in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€3M vs €25M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.082 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.694, "away_midfield_power": 0.627, "home_creative_power": 0.656, "away_creative_power": 0.465, "home_defensive_power": 0.615, "away_defensive_power": 0.532, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.526, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Weston McKennie", "Malik Tillman", "Johnny Cardoso", "Brenden Aaronson" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Diego Gómez", "Julio Enciso", "Mauricio", "Miguel Almirón", "Damián Bobadilla" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 50.9, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 49.1, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.6, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.1, "home_key_passes_projected": 5.4, "away_key_passes_projected": 4.3, "home_throughball_threat": 2.6, "away_throughball_threat": 2.0, "key_personal_duel": "Weston McKennie vs Diego Gómez", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.013, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.985 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "3-5-2", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.02, "away_tactical_bonus": -0.02, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 3-5-2. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.481, "away_lambda": 0.563, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Johnny Cardoso": { "opponents": [ "Damián Bobadilla", "Julio Enciso" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Weston McKennie": { "opponents": [ "Diego Gómez", "Mauricio", "Julio Enciso", "Damián Bobadilla" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Malik Tillman": { "opponents": [ "Diego Gómez", "Mauricio" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Brenden Aaronson": { "opponents": [ "Miguel Almirón" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Christian Pulišić": { "opponents": [ "Omar Alderete" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Folarin Balogun": { "opponents": [ "Omar Alderete" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Ricardo Pepi": { "opponents": [ "Omar Alderete", "Gustavo Gómez" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Antonee Robinson": { "opponents": [ "Ramón Sosa", "Alex Arce" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Chris Richards": { "opponents": [ "Ramón Sosa", "Alex Arce" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Patrick Schulte": { "opponents": [ "Ramón Sosa", "Alex Arce" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Joe Scally": { "opponents": [ "Ramón Sosa" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Damián Bobadilla": { "opponents": [ "Johnny Cardoso", "Weston McKennie" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Diego Gómez": { "opponents": [ "Weston McKennie", "Malik Tillman" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Miguel Almirón": { "opponents": [ "Brenden Aaronson" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Omar Alderete": { "opponents": [ "Christian Pulišić", "Folarin Balogun", "Ricardo Pepi" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Gustavo Gómez": { "opponents": [ "Ricardo Pepi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Mauricio": { "opponents": [ "Weston McKennie", "Malik Tillman" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Julio Enciso": { "opponents": [ "Weston McKennie", "Johnny Cardoso" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ramón Sosa": { "opponents": [ "Antonee Robinson", "Chris Richards" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Alex Arce": { "opponents": [ "Antonee Robinson", "Chris Richards" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Orlando Gill": { "opponents": [ "Christian Pulišić", "Folarin Balogun" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Juan Cáceres": { "opponents": [ "Christian Pulišić" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Weston McKennie vs Diego Gómez will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.06, Away: 0.30. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat. Away danger zone: Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.002, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0086, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.0744, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.067, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9921, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.952, "home_midfield_factor": 1.013, "away_midfield_factor": 0.985, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.673, "away_avg_quality": 0.5331, "avg_quality_gap": 0.14, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.787, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.5764, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.7621, "elite_count_gap": 1, "combined_quality_gap": 0.2421, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.1743, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.121, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.017, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0421, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.481, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.5631, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.481, "final_away_lambda": 0.563 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-01T17:33:07Z" }