{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Spain", "away_team": "Cabo Verde", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260615", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "3-0", "home_goals": 3, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.114, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "3-0", "probability": 0.114 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.1033 }, { "score": "4-0", "probability": 0.0943 }, { "score": "3-1", "probability": 0.0756 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0685 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0189, "0-1": 0.0125, "0-2": 0.0041, "0-3": 0.0009, "1-0": 0.0624, "1-1": 0.0414, "1-2": 0.0137, "1-3": 0.003, "1-4": 0.0005, "2-0": 0.1033, "2-1": 0.0685, "2-2": 0.0227, "2-3": 0.005, "2-4": 0.0008, "3-0": 0.114, "3-1": 0.0756, "3-2": 0.0251, "3-3": 0.0055, "3-4": 0.0009, "4-0": 0.0943, "4-1": 0.0625, "4-2": 0.0207, "4-3": 0.0046, "4-4": 0.0008, "5-0": 0.0624, "5-1": 0.0414, "5-2": 0.0137, "5-3": 0.003, "5-4": 0.0005, "6-0": 0.0344, "6-1": 0.0228, "6-2": 0.0076, "6-3": 0.0017, "7-0": 0.0163, "7-1": 0.0108, "7-2": 0.0036, "7-3": 0.0008, "8-0": 0.0067, "8-1": 0.0045, "8-2": 0.0015, "9-0": 0.0025, "9-1": 0.0016, "9-2": 0.0005 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.8685, "draw": 0.0893, "away_win": 0.0422 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.7574, "under_2_5_goals": 0.2426, "btts_yes": 0.467, "btts_no": 0.533, "home_clean_sheet": 0.5153, "away_clean_sheet": 0.0366 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 7.05, "MCR": 7.8, "ATR": 7.26, "GK": 6.89 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 6.68, "MCR": 6.71, "ATR": 6.67, "GK": 6.67 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Spain vs Cabo Verde. Most likely scoreline: 3-0. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Mikel Oyarzabal, Ferran Torres (2)", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Home midfield dominates with ~55% possession expected (Pedri vs Kevin Lenini). Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.00, Away: 0.33. Home danger zone: Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle." }, "confidence": 0.91, "home_lambda": 3.31, "away_lambda": 0.663 }, "teams": { "Spain": { "formation": "4-2-3-1", "players": { "Mikel Oyarzabal": { "player_id": 823622, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 21, "height": 181, "market_value": 27000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.3292, "goal_rate": 0.0003, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0442, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 7.1953, "minutes": 52, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 5, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 16, "accurate_pass": 13, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 11, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 8, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 26, "possession_lost": 6.614, "dispossessed": 1.0582, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 3, "clearances": 2, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 8, "total_progression": 23, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.1, "crosses_attempted": 2.3, "duel_win_rate": 0.608, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Steven Moreira", "opponent_faced": "Steven Moreira", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "fifa_overall": 87.0, "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.5319 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14083719, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Espanyol", "away_team": "Real Sociedad", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Real Sociedad", "opponent": "Espanyol", "stats": { "minutes": 13, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0072, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 4, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083687, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Real Sociedad", "away_team": "Valencia", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Real Sociedad", "opponent": "Valencia", "stats": { "minutes": 33, "rating": 7.3, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.0267, "expected_assists": 0.2839, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 10, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083624, "match_date": "2026-05-14", "home_team": "Girona FC", "away_team": "Real Sociedad", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Real Sociedad", "opponent": "Girona FC", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0275, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 26, "accurate_pass": 22, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 13233692, "match_date": "2025-11-18", "home_team": "Spain", "away_team": "Türkiye", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Spain", "opponent": "Türkiye", "stats": { "minutes": 62, "rating": 7.5, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 16, "accurate_pass": 14, "key_pass": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 24, "combined_rank_score": 53.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 35.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.8667, "sofascore_appearances": 6.0, "fifa_rank": 72.0, "fifa_overall": 87.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 15, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 7.1953, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Mikel Oyarzabal", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Angel Fortuno", "ranking": 19 }, { "player_name": "Cole Palmer", "ranking": 20 }, { "player_name": "Kevin De Bruyne", "ranking": 21 }, { "player_name": "Ljupche Doriev", "ranking": 22 }, { "player_name": "Marko Arnautović", "ranking": 23 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Martin Ødegaard", "ranking": 25 }, { "player_name": "Vitinha", "ranking": 26 }, { "player_name": "Federico Valverde", "ranking": 27 }, { "player_name": "Bianneider Tamayo", "ranking": 28 }, { "player_name": "Pablo Cuñat", "ranking": 29 } ] } } }, "Alex Baena": { "player_id": 910031, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 15, "height": 174, "market_value": 48000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1072, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0503, "rating": 7.2369, "minutes": 35, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 15, "ball_recovery": 2, "duels_won": 3, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 4, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 7, "accurate_own_half_passes": 8, "total_opp_half_passes": 11, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 8, "crosses_total": 4, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 27, "possession_lost": 7.2492, "dispossessed": 2.1901, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0438, "ball_carries": 7, "total_progression": 40, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.6, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Jamiro Monteiro", "opponent_faced": "Jamiro Monteiro", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "fifa_overall": 84.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1767 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14083735, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Villarreal", "away_team": "Atlético Madrid", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Atlético Madrid", "opponent": "Villarreal", "stats": { "minutes": 61, "rating": 5.9, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0648, "expected_assists": 0.1678, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 38, "accurate_pass": 32, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083661, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Atlético Madrid", "away_team": "Girona FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Atlético Madrid", "opponent": "Girona FC", "stats": { "minutes": 61, "rating": 7.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1024, "expected_assists": 0.1685, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 29, "accurate_pass": 22, "key_pass": 4, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 2, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632635, "match_date": "2026-05-05", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Atlético Madrid", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Atlético Madrid", "opponent": "Arsenal", "stats": { "minutes": 24, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.02, "expected_assists": 0.1489, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 13, "accurate_pass": 10, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632633, "match_date": "2026-04-29", "home_team": "Atlético Madrid", "away_team": "Arsenal", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Atlético Madrid", "opponent": "Arsenal", "stats": { "minutes": 13, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0002, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 4, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632089, "match_date": "2026-04-14", "home_team": "Atlético Madrid", "away_team": "FC Barcelona", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Atlético Madrid", "opponent": "FC Barcelona", "stats": { "minutes": 24, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0248, "expected_assists": 0.1242, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 3, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632085, "match_date": "2026-04-08", "home_team": "FC Barcelona", "away_team": "Atlético Madrid", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Atlético Madrid", "opponent": "FC Barcelona", "stats": { "minutes": 30, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0145, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 21, "accurate_pass": 19, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631370, "match_date": "2026-03-18", "home_team": "Tottenham Hotspur", "away_team": "Atlético Madrid", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Atlético Madrid", "opponent": "Tottenham Hotspur", "stats": { "minutes": 12, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0584, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 1, "key_pass": 1, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 13233692, "match_date": "2025-11-18", "home_team": "Spain", "away_team": "Türkiye", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Spain", "opponent": "Türkiye", "stats": { "minutes": 28, "rating": 7.5, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 19, "accurate_pass": 17, "key_pass": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 222, "combined_rank_score": 148.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 100.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.425, "sofascore_appearances": 4.0, "fifa_rank": 196.0, "fifa_overall": 84.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 8, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 7.2369, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Alex Baena", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Gabriel Carvalho", "ranking": 217 }, { "player_name": "James Maddison", "ranking": 218 }, { "player_name": "Fagner", "ranking": 219 }, { "player_name": "Fabián Ruiz", "ranking": 220 }, { "player_name": "Moussa Diaby", "ranking": 221 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Fabián Mina", "ranking": 223 }, { "player_name": "Javohir Ilyosov", "ranking": 224 }, { "player_name": "Gabriel Brazão", "ranking": 225 }, { "player_name": "Marquinhos", "ranking": 226 }, { "player_name": "Sergej Milinković-Savić", "ranking": 227 } ] } } }, "Fabián Ruiz": { "player_id": 784655, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 8, "height": 189, "market_value": 29000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1206, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 7.469, "minutes": 65, "total_pass": 49, "accurate_pass": 43, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 3, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 5, "accurate_long_balls": 4, "total_own_half_passes": 19, "accurate_own_half_passes": 18, "total_opp_half_passes": 29, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 25, "crosses_total": 3, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 61, "possession_lost": 9.2162, "dispossessed": 1.063, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 3, "tackles": 3, "clearances": 2, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 14, "total_progression": 55, "progressive_carries": 1, "opponent_faced": "Kevin Lenini, Deroy Duarte", "matchup_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "fifa_overall": 85.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1447 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14061910, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Paris FC", "away_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "Paris FC", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.2, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.1044, "expected_assists": 0.3295, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 78, "accurate_pass": 68, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 3, "interceptions": 4, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15889331, "match_date": "2026-05-13", "home_team": "RC Lens", "away_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "RC Lens", "stats": { "minutes": 29, "rating": 7.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0032, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 36, "accurate_pass": 33, "tackles": 4, "tackles_won": 3, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14064510, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "away_team": "Stade Brestois", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "Stade Brestois", "stats": { "minutes": 61, "rating": 7.7, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1092, "expected_assists": 0.1541, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 56, "accurate_pass": 53, "key_pass": 1, "interceptions": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632634, "match_date": "2026-05-06", "home_team": "FC Bayern München", "away_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "opponent": "FC Bayern München", "stats": { "minutes": 76, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0072, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 23, "accurate_pass": 15, 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"market_value": 1200000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0239, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.012, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97, "fifa_overall": 85.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 1303, "combined_rank_score": 187.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 117.0, "fifa_overall": 85.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 8, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6724, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Hélio Varela", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Saman Ghoddos", "ranking": 1298 }, { "player_name": "Pape Cabral", "ranking": 1299 }, { "player_name": "Emilio Aristizábal", "ranking": 1300 }, { "player_name": "Mahmoud Saber", "ranking": 1301 }, { "player_name": "Léo", "ranking": 1302 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Gonçalo Sousa", "ranking": 1304 }, { "player_name": "Azarias Londoño", "ranking": 1305 }, { "player_name": "Joshua Nga Kana", "ranking": 1306 }, { "player_name": "Juan Jose Arias", "ranking": 1307 }, { "player_name": "Rúben Ramos Ismael", "ranking": 1308 } ] } } }, "Benchimol": { "player_id": 1111215, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 175, "market_value": 930000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0414, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0138, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "fifa_overall": 87.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 1614, "combined_rank_score": 168.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 64.0, "fifa_overall": 87.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 10, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6724, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Benchimol", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Tommy Setford", "ranking": 1609 }, { "player_name": "Ronwen Williams", "ranking": 1610 }, { "player_name": "Milad Mohammadi", "ranking": 1611 }, { "player_name": "Odiljon Khamrobekov", "ranking": 1612 }, { "player_name": "Flavio Goncalves", "ranking": 1613 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Mauricio González", "ranking": 1615 }, { "player_name": "Diney Borges", "ranking": 1616 }, { "player_name": "Zinedine Derrag", "ranking": 1617 }, { "player_name": "Hayato Tanaka", "ranking": 1618 }, { "player_name": "William Saliba", "ranking": 1619 } ] } } }, "Nuno Da Costa": { "player_id": 209374, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 184, "market_value": 380000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0169, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0006, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.5679, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 5, "possession_lost": 1.9302, "dispossessed": 1.9625, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "fifa_overall": 74.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14109922, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "Gaziantep FK", "away_team": "Başakşehir FK", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Başakşehir FK", "opponent": "Gaziantep FK", "stats": { "minutes": 64, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.2253, "expected_assists": 0.0029, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 4, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "interceptions": 2, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 8, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Trendyol Süper Lig", "league_id": "52", "league_slug": "trendyol-super-lig", "league_country": "Turkey", "season_id": "77805", "season_name": "Super Lig 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14109904, "match_date": "2026-05-02", "home_team": "Fenerbahçe", "away_team": "Başakşehir FK", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Başakşehir FK", "opponent": "Fenerbahçe", "stats": { "minutes": 16, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0009, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 2, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Trendyol Süper Lig", "league_id": "52", "league_slug": "trendyol-super-lig", "league_country": "Turkey", "season_id": "77805", "season_name": "Super Lig 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 15433, "combined_rank_score": 1602.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 2826.0, "fifa_overall": 74.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 15, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.5679, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Nuno Da Costa", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Mattia Zanotti", "ranking": 15428 }, { "player_name": "Sivera", "ranking": 15429 }, { "player_name": "Matěj Ryneš", "ranking": 15430 }, { "player_name": "Jeremiah St. Juste", "ranking": 15431 }, { "player_name": "Agustín García Basso", "ranking": 15432 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Olivier Ntcham", "ranking": 15434 }, { "player_name": "Santiago Arzamendia", "ranking": 15435 }, { "player_name": "Ozan Tufan", "ranking": 15436 }, { "player_name": "Santiago Mouriño", "ranking": 15437 }, { "player_name": "Elías Gómez", "ranking": 15438 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.66, "expected_assists": 0.72, "total_shots": 11, "shots_on_target": 2, "total_passes": 328, "interceptions": 5, "tackles": 9, "avg_rating": 6.69, "possession_estimated_pct": 45.4, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Rodri", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 59000000, "attacker_height": 191, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.85, "defenders": [ "Diney Borges" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.412, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.701, "xg_contribution": 0.2737, "shots_in_zone": 2.5, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 2.6, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Diney Borges", "role": "RB", "market_value": 930000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.299 } ], "duel_analysis": "Rodri (LW) has a clear attacking advantage against Diney Borges in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 70%. The quality gap is significant (€59M vs €1M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.274 — and projects to generate high-quality chances." }, { "attacker": "Mikel Oyarzabal", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 27000000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.694, "defenders": [ "Steven Moreira" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.419, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.608, "xg_contribution": 0.3292, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.3, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Steven Moreira", "role": "LB", "market_value": 1500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.392 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mikel Oyarzabal (RW) has a clear attacking advantage against Steven Moreira in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 61%. The quality gap is significant (€27M vs €2M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.329 — and projects to generate high-quality chances." }, { "attacker": "Pedri", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 164000000, "attacker_height": 174, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.9, "defenders": [ "Jamiro Monteiro", "Deroy Duarte" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM", "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.414, "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.45, "xg_contribution": 0.2751, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Jamiro Monteiro", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 590000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 0.8, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.55 }, { "player": "Deroy Duarte", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 1700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 0.8, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.55 } ], "duel_analysis": "Pedri (CAM) is evenly matched against Jamiro Monteiro and Deroy Duarte in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 45%. The quality gap is significant (€164M vs €1M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.275 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Ferran Torres", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 54000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.837, "defenders": [ "Logan Costa", "Pico" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.505, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.342, "xg_contribution": 0.063, "shots_in_zone": 2.7, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.6, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Logan Costa", "role": "CB", "market_value": 17500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.658 }, { "player": "Pico", "role": "CB", "market_value": 260000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.658 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ferran Torres (ST) faces tough defensive resistance against Logan Costa and Pico in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 34%. The quality gap is significant (€54M vs €9M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.063 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Alex Baena", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 48000000, "attacker_height": 174, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.817, "defenders": [ "Jamiro Monteiro" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.407, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.6, "xg_contribution": 0.0635, "shots_in_zone": 1.2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Jamiro Monteiro", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 590000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.4 } ], "duel_analysis": "Alex Baena (CDM) has a clear attacking advantage against Jamiro Monteiro in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 60%. The quality gap is significant (€48M vs €1M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.063 — and projects to generate high-quality chances." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Ryan Mendes", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 220000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.403, "defenders": [ "Marc Cucurella" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.831, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.287, "xg_contribution": 0.0394, "shots_in_zone": 1.5, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Marc Cucurella", "role": "RB", "market_value": 52000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 1.2, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.713 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ryan Mendes (LW) is heavily outmatched defensively against Marc Cucurella in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 29%. The quality gap is significant (€0M vs €52M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.039 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Jovane Cabral", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 910000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.411, "defenders": [ "Marcos Llorente" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.66, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.336, "xg_contribution": 0.1287, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Marcos Llorente", "role": "LB", "market_value": 23000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.664 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jovane Cabral (RW) faces tough defensive resistance against Marcos Llorente in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 34%. The quality gap is significant (€1M vs €23M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.129 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Kevin Lenini", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 4900000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.461, "defenders": [ "Alex Baena", "Fabián Ruiz" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM", "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.763, "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0318, "shots_in_zone": 1.5, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Alex Baena", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 48000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Fabián Ruiz", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 29000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Kevin Lenini (CAM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Alex Baena and Fabián Ruiz in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€5M vs €38M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.032 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Dailon Rocha Livramento", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 775000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.41, "defenders": [ "Aymeric Laporte", "Pau Cubarsí" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.696, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0949, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Aymeric Laporte", "role": "CB", "market_value": 9400000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Pau Cubarsí", "role": "CB", "market_value": 75000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.2, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 1.2, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Dailon Rocha Livramento (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Aymeric Laporte and Pau Cubarsí in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€1M vs €42M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.095 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Jamiro Monteiro", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 590000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.407, "defenders": [ "Alex Baena" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.817, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.24, "xg_contribution": 0.0363, "shots_in_zone": 0.8, "dribbles_attempted": 1, "dribbles_successful": 0.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Alex Baena", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 48000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.4, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.76 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jamiro Monteiro (CDM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Alex Baena in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 24%. The quality gap is significant (€1M vs €48M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.036 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.844, "away_midfield_power": 0.448, "home_creative_power": 0.881, "away_creative_power": 0.39, "home_defensive_power": 0.694, "away_defensive_power": 0.364, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.653, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 4, "home_midfield_players": [ "Alex Baena", "Fabián Ruiz", "Rodri", "Pedri" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Jamiro Monteiro", "Ryan Mendes", "Kevin Lenini", "Deroy Duarte" ], "possession_advantage": "home", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 54.6, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 45.4, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.2, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0, "home_key_passes_projected": 6.8, "away_key_passes_projected": 3.8, "home_throughball_threat": 3.2, "away_throughball_threat": 1.8, "key_personal_duel": "Pedri vs Kevin Lenini", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.063, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.947 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 3.31, "away_lambda": 0.663, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Rodri": { "opponents": [ "Diney Borges", "Ryan Mendes" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Mikel Oyarzabal": { "opponents": [ "Steven Moreira" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Pedri": { "opponents": [ "Jamiro Monteiro", "Deroy Duarte", "Kevin Lenini" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ferran Torres": { "opponents": [ "Logan Costa", "Pico" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Alex Baena": { "opponents": [ "Jamiro Monteiro", "Kevin Lenini" ], "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Marc Cucurella": { "opponents": [ "Ryan Mendes" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Marcos Llorente": { "opponents": [ "Jovane Cabral" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Fabián Ruiz": { "opponents": [ "Kevin Lenini", "Deroy Duarte" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Aymeric Laporte": { "opponents": [ "Dailon Rocha Livramento" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Pau Cubarsí": { "opponents": [ "Dailon Rocha Livramento" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Unai Simón": { "opponents": [ "Jovane Cabral", "Dailon Rocha Livramento" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Diney Borges": { "opponents": [ "Rodri" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Steven Moreira": { "opponents": [ "Mikel Oyarzabal" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jamiro Monteiro": { "opponents": [ "Pedri", "Alex Baena" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Deroy Duarte": { "opponents": [ "Pedri", "Fabián Ruiz" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Logan Costa": { "opponents": [ "Ferran Torres" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Pico": { "opponents": [ "Ferran Torres" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Ryan Mendes": { "opponents": [ "Marc Cucurella", "Rodri" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Jovane Cabral": { "opponents": [ "Marcos Llorente" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Kevin Lenini": { "opponents": [ "Alex Baena", "Fabián Ruiz", "Pedri" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Double Pivot — Tight Space Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Dailon Rocha Livramento": { "opponents": [ "Aymeric Laporte", "Pau Cubarsí" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Vozinha": { "opponents": [ "Mikel Oyarzabal", "Ferran Torres" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Home midfield dominates with ~55% possession expected (Pedri vs Kevin Lenini). Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.00, Away: 0.33. Home danger zone: Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0258, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9159, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.1268, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.052, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0037, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9086, "home_midfield_factor": 1.063, "away_midfield_factor": 0.947, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.7691, "away_avg_quality": 0.4353, "avg_quality_gap": 0.3338, "squad_value_gap_log": 2.6398, "top5_value_gap_log": 2.4277, "attack_value_gap_log": 3.0655, "elite_count_gap": 6, "combined_quality_gap": 0.5203, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.95, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.6, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.1335, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0629, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": true, "mismatch_score_pressure_gap": 0.5203, "mismatch_favorite_lambda_boost": 1.2145, "mismatch_underdog_lambda_factor": 0.9296, "pre_mismatch_home_lambda": 2.725, "pre_mismatch_away_lambda": 0.713, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 2.7245, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.7129, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 3.31, "final_away_lambda": 0.663 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-15T13:39:50Z" }