{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Saudi Arabia", "away_team": "Uruguay", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260615", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-3-3", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "0-1", "home_goals": 0, "away_goals": 1, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1647, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.1647 }, { "score": "0-2", "probability": 0.1257 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1154 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.1082 }, { "score": "1-2", "probability": 0.088 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.1082, "0-1": 0.1647, "0-2": 0.1257, "0-3": 0.0639, "0-4": 0.0244, "0-5": 0.0074, "0-6": 0.0019, "1-0": 0.0756, "1-1": 0.1154, "1-2": 0.088, "1-3": 0.0447, "1-4": 0.017, "1-5": 0.0052, "1-6": 0.0013, "2-0": 0.0265, "2-1": 0.0404, "2-2": 0.0308, "2-3": 0.0157, "2-4": 0.006, "2-5": 0.0018, "3-0": 0.0062, "3-1": 0.0094, "3-2": 0.0072, "3-3": 0.0037, "3-4": 0.0014, "4-0": 0.0011, "4-1": 0.0016, "4-2": 0.0013, "4-3": 0.0006 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.1706, "draw": 0.2583, "away_win": 0.5711 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.384, "under_2_5_goals": 0.616, "btts_yes": 0.3939, "btts_no": 0.6061, "home_clean_sheet": 0.2176, "away_clean_sheet": 0.4966 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 6.74, "MCR": 5.92, "ATR": 7.01, "GK": 6.67 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 6.82, "MCR": 7.5, "ATR": 6.77, "GK": 6.78 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Federico Valverde", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Away midfield dictates play with ~54% possession expected (Saud Abdulhamid vs Federico Valverde). Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.50, Away: 0.43. Home danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel." }, "confidence": 0.74, "home_lambda": 0.7, "away_lambda": 1.525 }, "teams": { "Saudi Arabia": { "formation": "4-3-3", "players": { "Nawaf Al-Aqidi": { "player_id": 1014518, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 1, "height": 188, "market_value": 755000, "stats": { "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 0.2944, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "expected_saves": 0.91, "high_pressure_saves": 0.35, "shots_faced": 2.0, "opponent_faced": "Guillermo Varela, Darwin Núñez", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "fifa_overall": 72.0, "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 16060, "combined_rank_score": 2097.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 3890.0, "fifa_overall": 72.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 15, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.6724, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Nawaf Al-Aqidi", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Ezequiel Piovi", "ranking": 16055 }, { "player_name": "Darlin Yongwa", "ranking": 16056 }, { "player_name": "Jordan Morris", "ranking": 16057 }, { "player_name": "Lukáš Horníček", "ranking": 16058 }, { "player_name": "Nicolás Figal", "ranking": 16059 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Victor Kristiansen", "ranking": 16061 }, { "player_name": "Jeremy Toljan", "ranking": 16062 }, { "player_name": "Lucas Cepeda", "ranking": 16063 }, { "player_name": "Karim Konaté", "ranking": 16064 }, { "player_name": "Odsonne Édouard", "ranking": 16065 } ] } } }, "Saud Abdulhamid": { "player_id": 966849, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 12, "height": 178, "market_value": 8400000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0582, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 6.373, "minutes": 63, "total_pass": 21, "accurate_pass": 19, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 3, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 9, "accurate_own_half_passes": 9, "total_opp_half_passes": 13, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 10, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 34, "possession_lost": 4.5047, "dispossessed": 1.001, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 4, "total_progression": 15, "progressive_carries": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.352, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Rodrigo Bentancur", "opponent_faced": "Rodrigo Bentancur", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "fifa_overall": 75.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14061911, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Olympique Lyonnais", "away_team": "RC Lens", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "RC Lens", "opponent": "Olympique Lyonnais", "stats": { "minutes": 45, "rating": 6.1, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0033, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 17, "accurate_pass": 12, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14167992, "match_date": "2026-05-02", "home_team": "Nice", "away_team": "RC Lens", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "RC Lens", "opponent": "Nice", "stats": { "minutes": 81, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1342, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 25, "accurate_pass": 25, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 14857, "combined_rank_score": 1161.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 2134.0, "fifa_overall": 75.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 1, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.373, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Saud Abdulhamid", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Marash Kumbulla", "ranking": 14852 }, { "player_name": "Christopher Trimmel", "ranking": 14853 }, { "player_name": "Alban Lafont", "ranking": 14854 }, { "player_name": "Eric Smith", "ranking": 14855 }, { "player_name": "Oleksandr Pikhalyonok", "ranking": 14856 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Maximilian Wöber", "ranking": 14858 }, { "player_name": "Tomáš Holeš", "ranking": 14859 }, { "player_name": "Philip Zinckernagel", "ranking": 14860 }, { "player_name": "Antonín Kinský", "ranking": 14861 }, { "player_name": "Hwang Hee-chan", "ranking": 14862 } ] } } }, "Hassan Altambakti": { "player_id": 881837, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 5, "height": 182, "market_value": 1900000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 6.7517, "minutes": 65, "total_pass": 32, "accurate_pass": 29, "duels_won": 4, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 21, "accurate_own_half_passes": 26, "total_opp_half_passes": 11, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 9, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 44, "possession_lost": 4.1702, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0098, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 9, "total_progression": 39, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "tackles_in_zone": 1.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 0.9, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.673, "opponent_faced": "Darwin Núñez", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "fifa_overall": 82.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14773800, "match_date": "2026-05-21", "home_team": "Al-Fayha", "away_team": "Al-Hilal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Hilal", "opponent": "Al-Fayha", "stats": { "minutes": 88, "rating": 7.2, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0092, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 41, "accurate_pass": 39, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 3, "interceptions": 3, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14773794, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "Al-Hilal", "away_team": "Neom SC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Hilal", "opponent": "Neom SC", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0119, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 40, "tackles": 4, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 4, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14771891, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "Al-Nassr", "away_team": "Al-Hilal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Hilal", "opponent": "Al-Nassr", "stats": { "minutes": 69, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.001, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 42, "accurate_pass": 39, "tackles": 2, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 16017798, "match_date": "2026-05-05", "home_team": "Al-Khaleej", "away_team": "Al-Hilal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Al-Hilal", "opponent": "Al-Khaleej", "stats": { "minutes": 16, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0001, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 953, "combined_rank_score": 295.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 340.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 4, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.7517, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Hassan Altambakti", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Martin Zlomislić", "ranking": 948 }, { "player_name": "Mateo Gamarra", "ranking": 949 }, { "player_name": "Xander Dierckx", "ranking": 950 }, { "player_name": "Ismael Kandouss", "ranking": 951 }, { "player_name": "Ante Oreč", "ranking": 952 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Oscar Kabwit", "ranking": 954 }, { "player_name": "Bogdan Kostić", "ranking": 955 }, { "player_name": "Hossam Abdelmaguid", "ranking": 956 }, { "player_name": "Mateusz Łęgowski", "ranking": 957 }, { "player_name": "Javier Hernández", "ranking": 958 } ] } } }, "Salem Al-Dawsari": { "player_id": 160893, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 171, "market_value": 1300000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0116, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 2.4636, "minutes": 7, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 1, "accurate_own_half_passes": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 4, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 4, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 8, "possession_lost": 1.9625, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 21, "progressive_carries": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "crosses_attempted": 1.8, "duel_win_rate": 0.339, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Maximiliano Araújo", "opponent_faced": "Maximiliano Araújo", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "fifa_overall": 82.0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14773800, "match_date": "2026-05-21", "home_team": "Al-Fayha", "away_team": "Al-Hilal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Al-Hilal", "opponent": "Al-Fayha", "stats": { "minutes": 2, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0112, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 4, "interceptions": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14771891, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "Al-Nassr", "away_team": "Al-Hilal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Hilal", "opponent": "Al-Nassr", "stats": { "minutes": 69, "rating": 5.9, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0565, "expected_assists": 0.0095, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 7, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 16017798, "match_date": "2026-05-05", "home_team": "Al-Khaleej", "away_team": "Al-Hilal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Al-Hilal", "opponent": "Al-Khaleej", "stats": { "minutes": 12, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1599, "expected_assists": 0.0156, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 1892, "combined_rank_score": 298.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 339.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 8, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 2.4636, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Salem Al-Dawsari", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Gabriel Lima", "ranking": 1887 }, { "player_name": "Sardorbek Bakhromov", "ranking": 1888 }, { "player_name": "Nemanja Ćalasan", "ranking": 1889 }, { "player_name": "Khurshidbek Mukhtorov", "ranking": 1890 }, { "player_name": "Dalibor Večerka", "ranking": 1891 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Oussama Benbot", "ranking": 1893 }, { "player_name": "Konrad Michalak", "ranking": 1894 }, { "player_name": "Dodi Lukebakio", "ranking": 1895 }, { "player_name": "Carlos Eduardo", "ranking": 1896 }, { "player_name": "Kelvin Florez", "ranking": 1897 } ] } } }, "Firas Al-Buraikan": { "player_id": 893307, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 181, "market_value": 3700000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0073, "goal_rate": 0.6331, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0048, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 7.1221, "minutes": 50, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 5, "total_long_balls": 0, 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"crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 14, "possession_lost": 4.931, "dispossessed": 1.0018, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0057, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 6, "total_progression": 23, "progressive_carries": 1, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.571, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.56, "fifa_overall": 77.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 16081535, "match_date": "2026-05-11", "home_team": "Pumas UNAM", "away_team": "Club América", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Club América", "opponent": "Pumas UNAM", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.4, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.1007, "expected_assists": 0.6985, "total_shots": 4, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 52, "accurate_pass": 47, "key_pass": 3, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Liga MX, Clausura", "league_id": "11620", "league_slug": "liga-mx-clausura", "league_country": "Mexico", "season_id": "87699", "season_name": "Liga MX, Clausura 2026", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15239045, "match_date": "2026-04-26", "home_team": "Club América", "away_team": "Atlas FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Club América", "opponent": "Atlas FC", "stats": { "minutes": 86, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1131, "expected_assists": 0.0462, "total_shots": 4, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 25, "tackles": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 8, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Liga MX, Clausura", "league_id": "11620", "league_slug": "liga-mx-clausura", "league_country": "Mexico", "season_id": "87699", "season_name": "Liga MX, Clausura 2026", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15239033, "match_date": "2026-04-22", "home_team": "Club León", "away_team": "Club América", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Club América", "opponent": "Club León", "stats": { "minutes": 65, "rating": 7.4, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.2084, "expected_assists": 0.0335, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 15, "accurate_pass": 9, "key_pass": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Liga MX, Clausura", "league_id": "11620", "league_slug": "liga-mx-clausura", "league_country": "Mexico", "season_id": "87699", "season_name": "Liga MX, Clausura 2026", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14169222, "match_date": "2025-09-09", "home_team": "Chile", "away_team": "Uruguay", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Uruguay", "opponent": "Chile", "stats": { "minutes": 71, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 25, "accurate_pass": 18, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14169221, "match_date": "2025-09-04", "home_team": "Uruguay", "away_team": "Peru", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Uruguay", "opponent": "Peru", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 8.0, "assists": 1, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 37, "accurate_pass": 30, "key_pass": 5, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 13856220, "match_date": "2025-06-05", "home_team": "Paraguay", "away_team": "Uruguay", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Uruguay", "opponent": "Paraguay", "stats": { "minutes": 13, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 13129487, "match_date": "2025-03-21", "home_team": "Uruguay", "away_team": "Argentina", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Uruguay", "opponent": "Argentina", "stats": { "minutes": 32, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 15, "accurate_pass": 15, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 13559, "combined_rank_score": 1036.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 774.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.6, "sofascore_appearances": 1.0, "fifa_rank": 1298.0, "fifa_overall": 77.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 12, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.7924, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Brian Rodríguez", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Agon Elezi", "ranking": 13554 }, { "player_name": "Alaat Abdul-Rahman", "ranking": 13555 }, { "player_name": "Behruz Uktamov", "ranking": 13556 }, { "player_name": "Jano Monserrate", "ranking": 13557 }, { "player_name": "Sergei Karpovich", "ranking": 13558 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Stiven Muhlethaler", "ranking": 13560 }, { "player_name": "Diego Moreno", "ranking": 13561 }, { "player_name": "Luis Abram", "ranking": 13562 }, { "player_name": "Jader Valencia", "ranking": 13563 }, { "player_name": "Roberto Alvarado", "ranking": 13564 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.52, "expected_assists": 0.43, "total_shots": 12, "shots_on_target": 6, "total_passes": 408, "interceptions": 8, "tackles": 22, "avg_rating": 6.99, "possession_estimated_pct": 54.0, "pressing_actions_per_90": 8.5 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Sultan Mandash", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 390000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.405, "defenders": [ "Sebastián Cáceres" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.451, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.427, "xg_contribution": 0.1847, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Sebastián Cáceres", "role": "RB", "market_value": 4099999, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.573 } ], "duel_analysis": "Sultan Mandash (LW) is evenly matched against Sebastián Cáceres in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 43%. Projected xG contribution: 0.185 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Salem Al-Dawsari", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 1300000, "attacker_height": 171, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.416, "defenders": [ "Maximiliano Araújo" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.66, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.339, "xg_contribution": 0.1634, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Maximiliano Araújo", "role": "LB", "market_value": 23000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.661 } ], "duel_analysis": "Salem Al-Dawsari (RW) faces tough defensive resistance against Maximiliano Araújo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 34%. The quality gap is significant (€1M vs €23M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.163 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Firas Al-Buraikan", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 3700000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.446, "defenders": [ "Matías Viña", "Mathías Olivera" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.512, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0073, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Matías Viña", "role": "CB", "market_value": 4099999, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Mathías Olivera", "role": "CB", "market_value": 14500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Firas Al-Buraikan (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Matías Viña and Mathías Olivera in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.007 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Mohamed Kanno", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 930000, "attacker_height": 191, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.412, "defenders": [ "Rodrigo Bentancur" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.333, "xg_contribution": 0.0433, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 1, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Rodrigo Bentancur", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.667 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mohamed Kanno (CDM) faces tough defensive resistance against Rodrigo Bentancur in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 33%. The quality gap is significant (€1M vs €21M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.043 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Saud Abdulhamid", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 8400000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.503, "defenders": [ "Rodrigo Bentancur" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.352, "xg_contribution": 0.101, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Rodrigo Bentancur", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.648 } ], "duel_analysis": "Saud Abdulhamid (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Rodrigo Bentancur in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 35%. Projected xG contribution: 0.101 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Federico Valverde", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 116000000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.897, "defenders": [ "Ziyad Aljohani" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.41, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.703, "xg_contribution": 0.0823, "shots_in_zone": 2.5, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.7, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ziyad Aljohani", "role": "RB", "market_value": 775000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.297 } ], "duel_analysis": "Federico Valverde (LW) has a clear attacking advantage against Ziyad Aljohani in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 70%. The quality gap is significant (€116M vs €1M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.082 — and projects to generate high-quality chances." }, { "attacker": "Federico Viñas", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 3600000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.445, "defenders": [ "Moteb Al-Harbi" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.415, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.529, "xg_contribution": 0.0396, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 1.9, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Moteb Al-Harbi", "role": "LB", "market_value": 1200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.471 } ], "duel_analysis": "Federico Viñas (RW) is slightly favored against Moteb Al-Harbi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 53%. Projected xG contribution: 0.040 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Guillermo Varela", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 1300000, "attacker_height": 171, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.416, "defenders": [ "Mohamed Kanno" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.412, "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.402, "xg_contribution": 0.153, "shots_in_zone": 2.1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mohamed Kanno", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 930000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.598 } ], "duel_analysis": "Guillermo Varela (CAM) faces tough defensive resistance against Mohamed Kanno in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. Projected xG contribution: 0.153 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Darwin Núñez", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 23000000, "attacker_height": 188, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.66, "defenders": [ "Hassan Altambakti", "Abdulelah Al-Amri" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.418, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.327, "xg_contribution": 0.0861, "shots_in_zone": 2.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hassan Altambakti", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.673 }, { "player": "Abdulelah Al-Amri", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.673 } ], "duel_analysis": "Darwin Núñez (ST) faces tough defensive resistance against Hassan Altambakti and Abdulelah Al-Amri in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 33%. The quality gap is significant (€23M vs €1M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.086 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Rodrigo Bentancur", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 21000000, "attacker_height": 187, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.641, "defenders": [ "Saud Abdulhamid" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.503, "duel_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.498, "xg_contribution": 0.0732, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Saud Abdulhamid", "role": "CM", "market_value": 8400000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.502 } ], "duel_analysis": "Rodrigo Bentancur (CDM) is evenly matched against Saud Abdulhamid in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 50%. Projected xG contribution: 0.073 — with neither side clearly dominant." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.49, "away_midfield_power": 0.749, "home_creative_power": 0.401, "away_creative_power": 0.762, "home_defensive_power": 0.37, "away_defensive_power": 0.772, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.395, "home_midfield_count": 5, "away_midfield_count": 3, "home_midfield_players": [ "Saud Abdulhamid", "Salem Al-Dawsari", "Ziyad Aljohani", "Musab Al Juwayr", "Mohamed Kanno" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Federico Valverde", "Rodrigo Bentancur", "Manuel Ugarte" ], "possession_advantage": "away", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 46.0, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 54.0, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.1, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.5, "home_key_passes_projected": 3.9, "away_key_passes_projected": 6.1, "home_throughball_threat": 1.8, "away_throughball_threat": 2.9, "key_personal_duel": "Saud Abdulhamid vs Federico Valverde", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 0.955, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 1.047 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-3-3", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.03, "away_tactical_bonus": -0.01, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 0.7, "away_lambda": 1.525, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Sultan Mandash": { "opponents": [ "Sebastián Cáceres" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Salem Al-Dawsari": { "opponents": [ "Maximiliano Araújo", "Manuel Ugarte" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Firas Al-Buraikan": { "opponents": [ "Matías Viña", "Mathías Olivera" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Mohamed Kanno": { "opponents": [ "Rodrigo Bentancur", "Guillermo Varela" ], "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Saud Abdulhamid": { "opponents": [ "Rodrigo Bentancur", "Manuel Ugarte" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ziyad Aljohani": { "opponents": [ "Federico Valverde", "Rodrigo Bentancur" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Moteb Al-Harbi": { "opponents": [ "Federico Viñas" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Hassan Altambakti": { "opponents": [ "Darwin Núñez" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Abdulelah Al-Amri": { "opponents": [ "Darwin Núñez" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Musab Al Juwayr": { "opponents": [ "Federico Valverde" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Nawaf Al-Aqidi": { "opponents": [ "Federico Viñas", "Darwin Núñez" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Sebastián Cáceres": { "opponents": [ "Sultan Mandash" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Maximiliano Araújo": { "opponents": [ "Salem Al-Dawsari" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Matías Viña": { "opponents": [ "Firas Al-Buraikan" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Mathías Olivera": { "opponents": [ "Firas Al-Buraikan" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Rodrigo Bentancur": { "opponents": [ "Mohamed Kanno", "Saud Abdulhamid", "Ziyad Aljohani" ], "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Federico Valverde": { "opponents": [ "Ziyad Aljohani", "Musab Al Juwayr" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Federico Viñas": { "opponents": [ "Moteb Al-Harbi" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Guillermo Varela": { "opponents": [ "Mohamed Kanno" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Darwin Núñez": { "opponents": [ "Hassan Altambakti", "Abdulelah Al-Amri" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Manuel Ugarte": { "opponents": [ "Saud Abdulhamid", "Salem Al-Dawsari" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Fernando Muslera": { "opponents": [ "Sultan Mandash", "Firas Al-Buraikan" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Away midfield dictates play with ~54% possession expected (Saud Abdulhamid vs Federico Valverde). Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.50, Away: 0.43. Home danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0227, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0221, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.0, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.036, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9715, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0282, "home_midfield_factor": 0.955, "away_midfield_factor": 1.047, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.4302, "away_avg_quality": 0.5904, "avg_quality_gap": -0.1602, "squad_value_gap_log": -1.9849, "top5_value_gap_log": -2.0015, "attack_value_gap_log": -1.9036, "elite_count_gap": -1, "combined_quality_gap": -0.2926, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.6438, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.4097, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0635, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0764, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": true, "mismatch_score_pressure_gap": -0.2926, "mismatch_favorite_lambda_boost": 1.1416, "mismatch_underdog_lambda_factor": 0.9569, "pre_mismatch_home_lambda": 0.714, "pre_mismatch_away_lambda": 1.336, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": true, "competitive_underdog_floor": 0.7, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 0.683, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 1.525, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 0.7135, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 1.3364, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 0.7, "final_away_lambda": 1.525 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-15T13:40:10Z" }