{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Iran", "away_team": "New Zealand", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260616", "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "3-5-2" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-0", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1501, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1501 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1262 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.1095 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.1051 }, { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.0891 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.1095, "0-1": 0.0891, "0-2": 0.0373, "0-3": 0.0103, "0-4": 0.0021, "1-0": 0.1501, "1-1": 0.1262, "1-2": 0.0519, "1-3": 0.0143, "1-4": 0.003, "2-0": 0.1051, "2-1": 0.0871, "2-2": 0.0361, "2-3": 0.01, "2-4": 0.0021, "3-0": 0.0487, "3-1": 0.0404, "3-2": 0.0167, "3-3": 0.0046, "3-4": 0.001, "4-0": 0.0169, "4-1": 0.014, "4-2": 0.0058, "4-3": 0.0016, "5-0": 0.0047, "5-1": 0.0039, "5-2": 0.0016, "6-0": 0.0011, "6-1": 0.0009 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.5005, "draw": 0.2768, "away_win": 0.2227 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.3826, "under_2_5_goals": 0.6174, "btts_yes": 0.4242, "btts_no": 0.5758, "home_clean_sheet": 0.4365, "away_clean_sheet": 0.2488 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 6.57, "MCR": 6.68, "ATR": 6.65, "GK": 6.67 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 6.72, "MCR": 6.72, "ATR": 6.96, "GK": 6.67 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Iran vs New Zealand. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Lambdas derived from 7 home and 6 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Sardar Azmoun", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 3-5-2. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Mehdi Ghayedi vs Marko Stamenić will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.06, Away: 0.40. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.72, "home_lambda": 1.391, "away_lambda": 0.829 }, "teams": { "Iran": { "formation": "3-4-2-1", "players": { "Mohammad Khalife": { "player_id": 1464886, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 1, "height": 187, "market_value": 740000, "stats": { "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 0.2944, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "expected_saves": 0.85, "high_pressure_saves": 0.32, "shots_faced": 1.8, "opponent_faced": "Chris Wood, Callum McCowatt", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Hossein Kanaani": { "player_id": 812952, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 6, "height": 188, "market_value": 1700000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "rating": 6.5742, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 40, "accurate_pass": 32, "goal_rate": 0.0443, "goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0393, "tackles_in_zone": 1.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.0, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.761, "opponent_faced": "Chris Wood", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0402 } }, "Mohammad Amin Hazbavi": { "player_id": 1154508, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 55, "height": 188, "market_value": 1200000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "rating": 6.5742, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 40, "accurate_pass": 32, "tackles_in_zone": 1.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.0, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.761, "opponent_faced": "Chris Wood", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0329 } }, "Milad Mohammadi": { "player_id": 812531, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 4, "height": 178, "market_value": 1000000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "rating": 6.5742, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 40, "accurate_pass": 32, "goal_rate": 0.0061, "goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0054, "opponent_faced": "Chris Wood", "matchup_zone": "Shape fallback", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0206 } }, "Mehdi Ghayedi": { "player_id": 881182, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 164, "market_value": 4700000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0988, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1138, "rating": 6.7153, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 36, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 2, "goal_rate": 0.2222, "goals": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_won": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.427, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Elijah Just", "opponent_faced": "Elijah Just", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0762 } }, "Ali Gholizadeh": { "player_id": 359350, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 8, "height": 172, "market_value": 1900000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0981, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0758, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 36, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 2, "goal_rate": 0.125, "goals": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_won": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.444, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Elijah Just", "opponent_faced": "Elijah Just", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0534 } }, "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad": { "player_id": 1464885, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 180, "market_value": 1600000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0981, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0491, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 36, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_won": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 2.1, "duel_win_rate": 0.425, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Callum McCowatt", "opponent_faced": "Callum McCowatt", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0236 } }, "Saeid Ezatolahi": { "player_id": 359334, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 6, "height": 190, "market_value": 1600000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0981, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0307, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 36, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0094, "goals": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_won": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 2.1, "duel_win_rate": 0.438, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Liberato Cacace", "opponent_faced": "Liberato Cacace", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.021 } }, "Sardar Azmoun": { "player_id": 150998, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 20, "height": 186, "market_value": 6600000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.3555, "goal_rate": 0.2819, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_shots": 2, "rating": 6.7628, "minutes": 90, "expected_assists": 0.0497, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "key_pass": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.462, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Finn Surman", "opponent_faced": "Finn Surman", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.2796 } }, "Mehdi Taremi": { "player_id": 812533, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 99, "height": 187, "market_value": 2600000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.2268, "goal_rate": 0.2517, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0307, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.5051, "minutes": 65, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 4, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 13, "accurate_pass": 9, "total_long_balls": 3, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 10, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 7, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 21, "possession_lost": 6.4957, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.471, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 4, "total_progression": 10, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.214, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Finn Surman, Francis De Vries", "opponent_faced": "Finn Surman, Francis De Vries", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.275 } }, "Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh": { "player_id": 905472, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 99, "height": 176, "market_value": 1900000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.1995, "goal_rate": 0.1406, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_shots": 2, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "expected_assists": 0.0491, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "key_pass": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.396, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Finn Surman", "opponent_faced": "Finn Surman", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1775 } } }, "bench_players": { "Payam Niazmand": { "player_id": 932221, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 1, "height": 193, "market_value": 730000, "stats": { "saves": 0, "goals_prevented": 0.0144, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 4, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.109, "bench_expected_minutes": 4.39 } }, "Mehdi Zare": { "player_id": 1983378, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 22, "height": 195, "market_value": 875000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "duels_won": 1, "rating": 6.5742, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "Omid Noorafkan": { "player_id": 871355, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 19, "height": 182, "market_value": 875000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "duels_won": 1, "rating": 6.5742, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "Aria Yousefi": { "player_id": 1170977, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 14, "height": 181, "market_value": 1500000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0239, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.012, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97 } }, "Mohammad Ghorbani": { "player_id": 1171024, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 6, "height": 186, "market_value": 1400000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0239, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.012, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97 } }, "Mahdi Torabi": { "player_id": 812953, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 185, "market_value": 1400000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0414, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0138, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29 } }, "Ali Alipour": { "player_id": 791368, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 181, "market_value": 1400000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0414, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0138, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29 } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.39, "expected_assists": 0.6, "total_shots": 14, "shots_on_target": 2, "total_passes": 347, "interceptions": 4, "tackles": 7, "avg_rating": 6.64, "possession_estimated_pct": 49.7, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0 } }, "New Zealand": { "formation": "3-5-2", "players": { "Max Crocombe": { "player_id": 197904, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 15, "height": 193, "market_value": 1000000, "stats": { "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 0.2944, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "expected_saves": 2.22, "high_pressure_saves": 0.84, "shots_faced": 4.7, "opponent_faced": "Sardar Azmoun, Mehdi Taremi", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Finn Surman": { "player_id": 1167100, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 20, "height": 190, "market_value": 1600000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "rating": 6.5742, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 40, "accurate_pass": 32, "goal_rate": 0.0529, "goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0471, "tackles_in_zone": 1.9, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.538, "opponent_faced": "Sardar Azmoun", "pressing_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Tyler Bindon": { "player_id": 1514870, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 6, "height": 188, "market_value": 1500000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "rating": 6.5742, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 40, "accurate_pass": 32, "goal_rate": 0.0391, "goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0348, "opponent_faced": "Sardar Azmoun", "matchup_zone": "Shape fallback", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Francis De Vries": { "player_id": 867714, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 15, "height": 181, "market_value": 630000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 6.9973, "minutes": 77, "total_pass": 27, "accurate_pass": 18, "duels_won": 5, "total_long_balls": 7, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 12, "accurate_own_half_passes": 9, "total_opp_half_passes": 17, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 10, "crosses_total": 7, "crosses_accurate": 3, "touches": 56, "possession_lost": 18.2214, "dispossessed": 1.305, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 4, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0119, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0106, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 2, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 10, "total_progression": 34, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 3, "tackles_in_zone": 0.9, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.0, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.786, "opponent_faced": "Mehdi Taremi", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Marko Stamenić": { "player_id": 1002620, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 6, "height": 188, "market_value": 3100000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0982, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0507, "rating": 6.6749, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 36, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 2, "goal_rate": 0.0608, "goals": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_won": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.471, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Mehdi Ghayedi", "opponent_faced": "Mehdi Ghayedi", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Joe Bell": { "player_id": 822749, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 8, "height": 182, "market_value": 3100000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0982, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0364, "rating": 6.6749, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 36, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 2, "goal_rate": 0.0242, "goals": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_won": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.471, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Mehdi Ghayedi", "opponent_faced": "Mehdi Ghayedi", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Liberato Cacace": { "player_id": 905264, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 13, "height": 184, "market_value": 2700000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0981, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0354, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 36, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0214, "goals": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_won": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 2.2, "duel_win_rate": 0.402, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Saeid Ezatolahi", "opponent_faced": "Saeid Ezatolahi", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Callum McCowatt": { "player_id": 822753, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 17, "height": 178, "market_value": 2200000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0981, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.066, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 36, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 1, "goal_rate": 0.1, "goals": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_won": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 2.2, "duel_win_rate": 0.415, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad", "opponent_faced": "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Elijah Just": { "player_id": 905267, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 21, "height": 174, "market_value": 1600000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.1742, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1886, "rating": 6.9047, "minutes": 84, "total_pass": 32, "accurate_pass": 25, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 3, "total_long_balls": 3, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 10, "accurate_own_half_passes": 9, "total_opp_half_passes": 22, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 16, "crosses_total": 3, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 49, "possession_lost": 12.5892, "dispossessed": 1.57, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.612, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.5004, "ball_carries": 16, "total_progression": 104, "progressive_carries": 4, "opponent_faced": "Mehdi Ghayedi, Ali Gholizadeh", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Chris Wood": { "player_id": 50480, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 191, "market_value": 6300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.1537, "goal_rate": 0.2304, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0153, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.4451, "minutes": 69, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 10, "accurate_pass": 7, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 6, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 4, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 15, "possession_lost": 6.7057, "dispossessed": 0.9934, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 3, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.6457, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 17, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.239, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Hossein Kanaani, Mohammad Amin Hazbavi", "opponent_faced": "Hossein Kanaani, Mohammad Amin Hazbavi", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Jesse Randall": { "player_id": 1002506, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 21, "height": 176, "market_value": 620000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.058, "goal_rate": 0.238, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "key_pass": 2, "rating": 7.4775, "minutes": 81, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 19, "accurate_pass": 13, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 13, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 9, "crosses_total": 8, "crosses_accurate": 3, "touches": 40, "possession_lost": 16.6809, "dispossessed": 1.6387, "duels_lost": 6, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 4, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 11, "total_progression": 78, "progressive_carries": 3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Hossein Kanaani, Mohammad Amin Hazbavi", "opponent_faced": "Hossein Kanaani, Mohammad Amin Hazbavi", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } } }, "bench_players": { "Alex Paulsen": { "player_id": 1000379, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 18, "height": 184, "market_value": 780000, "stats": { "saves": 0, "goals_prevented": 0.0144, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 4, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.109, "bench_expected_minutes": 4.39 } }, "Lukas Kelly-Heald": { "player_id": 1493506, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 18, "height": 198, "market_value": 480000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 6.4691, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 2, "duels_won": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 1, "accurate_own_half_passes": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 0.6836, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 2, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "James McGarry": { "player_id": 813841, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 23, "height": 179, "market_value": 410000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 6.7423, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5, "duels_won": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 3, "accurate_own_half_passes": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 3, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 10, "possession_lost": 1.8008, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 6, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "Benjamin Old": { "player_id": 1122425, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 172, "market_value": 1200000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0239, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.012, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97 } }, "Andre De Jong": { "player_id": 358792, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 14, "height": 181, "market_value": 865000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0006, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 6.469, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 0, "accurate_own_half_passes": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 0, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 2, "possession_lost": 0.7187, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "aerial_lost": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 0, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97 } }, "Ben Waine": { "player_id": 944481, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 19, "height": 179, "market_value": 535000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0414, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0138, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29 } }, "Kosta Barbarouses": { "player_id": 31857, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 171, "market_value": 305000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.2908, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 1.3319, "dispossessed": 1.9625, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 7, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29 } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.83, "expected_assists": 0.62, "total_shots": 15, "shots_on_target": 3, "total_passes": 370, "interceptions": 5, "tackles": 10, "avg_rating": 6.76, "possession_estimated_pct": 50.3, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.1 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 1600000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.42, "defenders": [ "Callum McCowatt" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.427, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.425, "xg_contribution": 0.0493, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Callum McCowatt", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 2200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.575 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad (LWB) is evenly matched against Callum McCowatt in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 42%. Projected xG contribution: 0.049 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Mehdi Ghayedi", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 4700000, "attacker_height": 164, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.458, "defenders": [ "Elijah Just" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.427, "xg_contribution": 0.1147, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.7, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Elijah Just", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 1600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.573 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mehdi Ghayedi (CM) is evenly matched against Elijah Just in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 43%. Projected xG contribution: 0.115 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Ali Gholizadeh", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 1900000, "attacker_height": 172, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.424, "defenders": [ "Elijah Just" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.444, "xg_contribution": 0.0782, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Elijah Just", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 1600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.556 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ali Gholizadeh (CM) is evenly matched against Elijah Just in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.078 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Saeid Ezatolahi", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 1600000, "attacker_height": 190, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.42, "defenders": [ "Liberato Cacace" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.434, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.438, "xg_contribution": 0.0314, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Liberato Cacace", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 2700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.562 } ], "duel_analysis": "Saeid Ezatolahi (RWB) is evenly matched against Liberato Cacace in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.031 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Sardar Azmoun", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 6600000, "attacker_height": 186, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.482, "defenders": [ "Finn Surman" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.462, "xg_contribution": 0.3555, "shots_in_zone": 2.5, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Finn Surman", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.538 } ], "duel_analysis": "Sardar Azmoun (SS) is evenly matched against Finn Surman in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 46%. Projected xG contribution: 0.355 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 1900000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.424, "defenders": [ "Finn Surman" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.396, "xg_contribution": 0.1995, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Finn Surman", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.604 } ], "duel_analysis": "Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Finn Surman in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. Projected xG contribution: 0.200 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Mehdi Taremi", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 2600000, "attacker_height": 187, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.432, "defenders": [ "Finn Surman", "Francis De Vries" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.414, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.214, "xg_contribution": 0.2268, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Finn Surman", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.786 }, { "player": "Francis De Vries", "role": "CB", "market_value": 630000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.786 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mehdi Taremi (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Finn Surman and Francis De Vries in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 21%. Projected xG contribution: 0.227 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Liberato Cacace", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 2700000, "attacker_height": 184, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.434, "defenders": [ "Saeid Ezatolahi" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.402, "xg_contribution": 0.0344, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.2, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Saeid Ezatolahi", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 1600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.598 } ], "duel_analysis": "Liberato Cacace (LWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Saeid Ezatolahi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. Projected xG contribution: 0.034 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Marko Stamenić", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 3100000, "attacker_height": 188, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.439, "defenders": [ "Mehdi Ghayedi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.458, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.471, "xg_contribution": 0.0544, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mehdi Ghayedi", "role": "CM", "market_value": 4700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.529 } ], "duel_analysis": "Marko Stamenić (CM) is evenly matched against Mehdi Ghayedi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 47%. Projected xG contribution: 0.054 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Joe Bell", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 3100000, "attacker_height": 182, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.439, "defenders": [ "Mehdi Ghayedi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.458, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.471, "xg_contribution": 0.039, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mehdi Ghayedi", "role": "CM", "market_value": 4700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.529 } ], "duel_analysis": "Joe Bell (CM) is evenly matched against Mehdi Ghayedi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 47%. Projected xG contribution: 0.039 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Callum McCowatt", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 2200000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.427, "defenders": [ "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.42, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.415, "xg_contribution": 0.0654, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.2, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 1600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.585 } ], "duel_analysis": "Callum McCowatt (RWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 42%. Projected xG contribution: 0.065 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Chris Wood", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 6300000, "attacker_height": 191, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.478, "defenders": [ "Hossein Kanaani", "Mohammad Amin Hazbavi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.418, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.239, "xg_contribution": 0.1537, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 2.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hossein Kanaani", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.761 }, { "player": "Mohammad Amin Hazbavi", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.761 } ], "duel_analysis": "Chris Wood (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Hossein Kanaani and Mohammad Amin Hazbavi in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 24%. Projected xG contribution: 0.154 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Jesse Randall", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 620000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.408, "defenders": [ "Hossein Kanaani", "Mohammad Amin Hazbavi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.418, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.058, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.4, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hossein Kanaani", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Mohammad Amin Hazbavi", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jesse Randall (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Hossein Kanaani and Mohammad Amin Hazbavi in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.058 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.456, "away_midfield_power": 0.482, "home_creative_power": 0.366, "away_creative_power": 0.392, "home_defensive_power": 0.366, "away_defensive_power": 0.369, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.486, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Mehdi Ghayedi", "Ali Gholizadeh", "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad", "Saeid Ezatolahi" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Marko Stamenić", "Joe Bell", "Liberato Cacace", "Callum McCowatt", "Elijah Just" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 49.7, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 50.3, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.1, "home_key_passes_projected": 3.7, "away_key_passes_projected": 3.9, "home_throughball_threat": 1.7, "away_throughball_threat": 1.8, "key_personal_duel": "Mehdi Ghayedi vs Marko Stamenić", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 0.997, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 1.005 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "3-5-2", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.02, "away_tactical_bonus": -0.02, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 3-5-2. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.391, "away_lambda": 0.829, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "RWB vs LWB" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad": { "opponents": [ "Callum McCowatt", "Joe Bell" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Mehdi Ghayedi": { "opponents": [ "Elijah Just", "Marko Stamenić", "Joe Bell", "Callum McCowatt" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ali Gholizadeh": { "opponents": [ "Elijah Just", "Marko Stamenić" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Saeid Ezatolahi": { "opponents": [ "Liberato Cacace" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Sardar Azmoun": { "opponents": [ "Finn Surman" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh": { "opponents": [ "Finn Surman" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Mehdi Taremi": { "opponents": [ "Finn Surman", "Francis De Vries" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Hossein Kanaani": { "opponents": [ "Chris Wood", "Jesse Randall" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Mohammad Amin Hazbavi": { "opponents": [ "Chris Wood", "Jesse Randall" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Mohammad Khalife": { "opponents": [ "Chris Wood", "Jesse Randall" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Milad Mohammadi": { "opponents": [ "Chris Wood" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Callum McCowatt": { "opponents": [ "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad", "Mehdi Ghayedi" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Elijah Just": { "opponents": [ "Mehdi Ghayedi", "Ali Gholizadeh" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Liberato Cacace": { "opponents": [ "Saeid Ezatolahi" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Finn Surman": { "opponents": [ "Sardar Azmoun", "Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh", "Mehdi Taremi" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Francis De Vries": { "opponents": [ "Mehdi Taremi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Marko Stamenić": { "opponents": [ "Mehdi Ghayedi", "Ali Gholizadeh" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Joe Bell": { "opponents": [ "Mehdi Ghayedi", "Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Chris Wood": { "opponents": [ "Hossein Kanaani", "Mohammad Amin Hazbavi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Jesse Randall": { "opponents": [ "Hossein Kanaani", "Mohammad Amin Hazbavi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Max Crocombe": { "opponents": [ "Sardar Azmoun", "Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Tyler Bindon": { "opponents": [ "Sardar Azmoun" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Mehdi Ghayedi vs Marko Stamenić will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.06, Away: 0.40. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0209, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0222, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.109, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.123, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0287, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0285, "home_midfield_factor": 0.997, "away_midfield_factor": 1.005, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": false, "home_avg_quality": 0.4309, "away_avg_quality": 0.4291, "avg_quality_gap": 0.0018, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.0426, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.0109, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.0423, "elite_count_gap": 0, "combined_quality_gap": 0.006, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.0, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.0, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0681, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0341, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.3911, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.8291, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.391, "final_away_lambda": 0.829 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-01T17:38:02Z" }