{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Argentina", "away_team": "Algeria", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260617", "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "3-4-2-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "2-0", "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1286, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.1286 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1196 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0951 }, { "score": "3-0", "probability": 0.092 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.089 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0563, "0-1": 0.041, "0-2": 0.0153, "0-3": 0.0038, "0-4": 0.0007, "1-0": 0.1196, "1-1": 0.089, "1-2": 0.0328, "1-3": 0.0081, "1-4": 0.0015, "2-0": 0.1286, "2-1": 0.0951, "2-2": 0.0351, "2-3": 0.0087, "2-4": 0.0016, "3-0": 0.092, "3-1": 0.068, "3-2": 0.0251, "3-3": 0.0062, "3-4": 0.0011, "4-0": 0.0493, "4-1": 0.0364, "4-2": 0.0135, "4-3": 0.0033, "4-4": 0.0006, "5-0": 0.0212, "5-1": 0.0156, "5-2": 0.0058, "5-3": 0.0014, "6-0": 0.0076, "6-1": 0.0056, "6-2": 0.0021, "6-3": 0.0005, "7-0": 0.0023, "7-1": 0.0017, "7-2": 0.0006, "8-0": 0.0006 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.6974, "draw": 0.1872, "away_win": 0.1153 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.5503, "under_2_5_goals": 0.4497, "btts_yes": 0.4616, "btts_no": 0.5384, "home_clean_sheet": 0.4776, "away_clean_sheet": 0.1171 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 7.4, "MCR": 7.45, "ATR": 7.58, "GK": 6.96 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 7.19, "MCR": 7.0, "ATR": 7.16, "GK": 6.67 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Argentina vs Algeria. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Lambdas derived from 7 home and 7 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Julián Alvarez, Lautaro Martínez", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 3-4-2-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Home midfield dominates with ~53% possession expected (Alexis Mac Allister vs Anis Hadj Moussa). Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.23, Away: 0.92. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat. Away danger zone: Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest." }, "confidence": 0.81, "home_lambda": 2.145, "away_lambda": 0.739 }, "teams": { "Argentina": { "formation": "3-4-2-1", "players": { "Emiliano Martínez": { "player_id": 158263, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 23, "height": 195, "market_value": 14400000, "stats": { "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 0.2108, "rating": 6.9573, "minutes": 92, "total_pass": 36, "accurate_pass": 28, "total_long_balls": 13, "accurate_long_balls": 5, "touches": 45, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 9, "high_claims": 2, "punches": 1.0218, "aerial_won": 1, "sweeper_actions": 1, "sweeper_accurate": 1, "saves_inside_box": 2, "possession_lost": 8.2662, "duels_won": 1, "duels_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 26, "accurate_own_half_passes": 24, "expected_saves": 1.93, "high_pressure_saves": 0.73, "shots_faced": 4.1, "opponent_faced": "Anis Hadj Moussa, Amine Gouiri", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Cristian Romero": { "player_id": 829932, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 17, "height": 185, "market_value": 46000000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "rating": 7.9, "minutes": 93, "total_pass": 68, "accurate_pass": 63, "duels_won": 6, "total_long_balls": 4, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 46, "accurate_own_half_passes": 43, "total_opp_half_passes": 22, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 19, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 83, "possession_lost": 6.3374, "dispossessed": 1.639, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 5, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.6134, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0531, "expected_assists": 0.1748, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.4043, "ball_carries": 15, "total_progression": 45, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 2.3, "tackles_won_in_zone": 2.1, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.611, "opponent_faced": "Amine Gouiri", "pressing_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.093 } }, "Marcos Senesi": { "player_id": 830659, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 5, "height": 184, "market_value": 20000000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 3, "rating": 7.7394, "minutes": 94, "total_pass": 68, "accurate_pass": 54, "duels_won": 7, "total_long_balls": 12, "accurate_long_balls": 4, "total_own_half_passes": 34, "accurate_own_half_passes": 30, "total_opp_half_passes": 34, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 24, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 86, "possession_lost": 16.8889, "dispossessed": 1.0393, "duels_lost": 6, "aerial_lost": 4, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 5, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "blocks": 2, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0935, "expected_assists": 0.0831, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 26, "total_progression": 134, "progressive_carries": 2, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 1.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.1, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.794, "opponent_faced": "Ibrahim Maza", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0394 } }, "Nahuel Molina": { "player_id": 831799, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 16, "height": 175, "market_value": 14600000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 6.5582, "minutes": 74, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 25, "duels_won": 3, "total_long_balls": 4, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 15, "accurate_own_half_passes": 13, "total_opp_half_passes": 16, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 13, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 43, "possession_lost": 8.8646, "dispossessed": 1.0224, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.5658, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0256, "expected_assists": 0.0307, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.0818, "ball_carries": 9, "total_progression": 41, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 1, "opponent_faced": "Ibrahim Maza", "matchup_zone": "Shape fallback", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0553 } }, "Alexis Mac Allister": { "player_id": 895324, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 176, "market_value": 88000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0655, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0742, "rating": 7.3362, "minutes": 89, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 39, "ball_recovery": 5, "duels_won": 5, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 3, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 18, "accurate_own_half_passes": 16, "total_opp_half_passes": 27, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 23, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 58, "possession_lost": 8.3504, "dispossessed": 1.6076, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.8627, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 2, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.7033, "ball_carries": 15, "total_progression": 37, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.6, "crosses_attempted": 3.1, "duel_win_rate": 0.606, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Ilan Kebbal", "opponent_faced": "Ilan Kebbal", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.2259 } }, "Enzo Fernández": { "player_id": 974505, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 8, "height": 177, "market_value": 87000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 2, "expected_assists": 0.2186, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1636, "rating": 7.5606, "minutes": 88, "total_pass": 59, "accurate_pass": 52, "ball_recovery": 5, "duels_won": 3, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 4, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 22, "accurate_own_half_passes": 21, "total_opp_half_passes": 35, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 29, "crosses_total": 4, "crosses_accurate": 2, "touches": 74, "possession_lost": 12.1663, "dispossessed": 2.0426, "duels_lost": 6, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.6645, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.5023, "ball_carries": 24, "total_progression": 90, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.535, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Anis Hadj Moussa", "opponent_faced": "Anis Hadj Moussa", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.195 } }, "Nico Paz": { "player_id": 1171451, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 185, "market_value": 70000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.1151, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1271, "rating": 7.6675, "minutes": 82, "total_pass": 35, "accurate_pass": 29, "ball_recovery": 4, "duels_won": 7, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 3, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 9, "accurate_own_half_passes": 7, "total_opp_half_passes": 23, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 19, "crosses_total": 3, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 53, "possession_lost": 11.2232, "dispossessed": 2.0002, "duels_lost": 6, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 3, "tackles": 4, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 4, "won_contest": 3, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.6533, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 3, "shots_off_target": 2, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 2, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.8001, "ball_carries": 17, "total_progression": 70, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.5, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.559, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Anis Hadj Moussa", "opponent_faced": "Anis Hadj Moussa", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.2286 } }, "Giuliano Simeone": { "player_id": 1099352, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 20, "height": 173, "market_value": 44000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0994, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0562, "rating": 7.2274, "minutes": 85, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 26, "ball_recovery": 4, "duels_won": 5, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 12, "accurate_own_half_passes": 10, "total_opp_half_passes": 19, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 15, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 48, "possession_lost": 10.9007, "dispossessed": 1.6351, "duels_lost": 6, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 3, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 2, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.6302, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 2, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.436, "ball_carries": 13, "total_progression": 51, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "crosses_attempted": 2.9, "duel_win_rate": 0.526, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Hicham Boudaoui", "opponent_faced": "Hicham Boudaoui", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1572 } }, "Julián Alvarez": { "player_id": 944656, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 19, "height": 170, "market_value": 87000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.3114, "goal_rate": 0.5668, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.1343, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 8.1192, "minutes": 87, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 32, "accurate_pass": 26, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 22, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 17, "crosses_total": 5, "crosses_accurate": 2, "touches": 49, "possession_lost": 13.2937, "dispossessed": 1.9087, "duels_lost": 6, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 1.0157, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 15, "total_progression": 47, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.464, "pressing_faced": "HIGH", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "opponent_faced": "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.4161 } }, "Lautaro Martínez": { "player_id": 823984, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 175, "market_value": 80000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.4106, "goal_rate": 0.2239, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.1615, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 7.6034, "minutes": 72, "total_shots": 3, "duels_won": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 16, "accurate_pass": 13, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 11, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 8, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 28, "possession_lost": 8.0251, "dispossessed": 2.8534, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.7579, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 7, "total_progression": 10, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.482, "pressing_faced": "HIGH", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "opponent_faced": "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.3592 } }, "Franco Mastantuono": { "player_id": 1403559, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 30, "height": 177, "market_value": 44000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0017, "goal_rate": 0.0003, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0233, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 7.0173, "minutes": 29, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 2, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 10, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 9, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 8, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 20, "possession_lost": 5.6684, "dispossessed": 1.4062, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 3, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.327, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 8, "total_progression": 17, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.257, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Rayan Aït-Nouri, Jaouen Hadjam", "opponent_faced": "Rayan Aït-Nouri, Jaouen Hadjam", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0831 } } }, 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"total_progression": 83, "progressive_carries": 3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.206, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Cristian Romero, Marcos Senesi", "opponent_faced": "Cristian Romero, Marcos Senesi", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Amine Gouiri": { "player_id": 859026, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 180, "market_value": 30000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.2078, "goal_rate": 0.1716, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.137, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 7.0781, "minutes": 75, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 20, "accurate_pass": 16, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_opp_half_passes": 16, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 12, "crosses_total": 4, "crosses_accurate": 3, "touches": 33, "possession_lost": 11.718, "dispossessed": 2.1305, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 2, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.5007, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 10, "total_progression": 20, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.389, "pressing_faced": "ULTRA_HIGH", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Cristian Romero", "opponent_faced": "Cristian Romero", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Mohamed Amoura": { "player_id": 1107591, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 169, "market_value": 29000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.178, "goal_rate": 0.1945, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0556, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.904, "minutes": 74, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 12, "total_long_balls": 3, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 12, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 9, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 32, "possession_lost": 11.9587, "dispossessed": 1.063, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 2, "xgot": 0.1594, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 8, "total_progression": 38, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.346, "pressing_faced": "ULTRA_HIGH", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Cristian Romero", "opponent_faced": "Cristian Romero", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } } }, "bench_players": { "Oussama Benbot": { "player_id": 1007589, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 25, "height": 190, "market_value": 790000, "stats": { "saves": 0, "goals_prevented": 0.0144, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 4, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.109, "bench_expected_minutes": 4.39 } }, "Samir Sophian Chergui": { "player_id": 981168, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 31, "height": 185, "market_value": 2800000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 6.4761, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 3, "duels_won": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 2, "accurate_own_half_passes": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 0.4439, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0133, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0089, "ball_carries": 0, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "Youcef Atal": { "player_id": 894238, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 20, "height": 176, "market_value": 2800000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "duels_won": 1, "rating": 6.5742, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "Adem Zorgane": { "player_id": 1000472, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 8, "height": 184, "market_value": 10400000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0192, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 6.8185, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 13, "accurate_pass": 11, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 6, "accurate_own_half_passes": 5, "total_opp_half_passes": 7, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 6, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 16, "possession_lost": 2.6636, "dispossessed": 1.3005, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.5002, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.1075, "ball_carries": 3, "total_progression": 7, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.515, "bench_expected_minutes": 22.33 } }, "Ismaël Bennacer": { "player_id": 823733, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 4, "height": 175, "market_value": 9500000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0152, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 6.7841, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 7, "accurate_pass": 6, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 3, "accurate_own_half_passes": 3, "total_opp_half_passes": 4, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 3, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 8, "possession_lost": 0.9954, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0224, "ball_carries": 3, "total_progression": 10, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.513, "bench_expected_minutes": 22.29 } }, "Farès Ghedjemis": { "player_id": 1445228, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 7, "height": 183, "market_value": 5000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0418, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 6.7228, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0139, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.563, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.39 } }, "Amin Chiakha": { "player_id": 1417092, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 18, "height": 191, "market_value": 3200000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0414, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 6.6774, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0138, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.3 } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.74, "expected_assists": 1.53, "total_shots": 15, "shots_on_target": 8, "total_passes": 334, "interceptions": 10, "tackles": 17, "avg_rating": 7.06, "possession_estimated_pct": 46.6, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.7 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Alexis Mac Allister", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 88000000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.888, "defenders": [ "Ilan Kebbal" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.536, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.606, "xg_contribution": 0.0943, "shots_in_zone": 1.2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 3.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ilan Kebbal", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 11200000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.394 } ], "duel_analysis": "Alexis Mac Allister (LWB) has a clear attacking advantage against Ilan Kebbal in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 61%. The quality gap is significant (€88M vs €11M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.094 — and projects to generate high-quality chances." }, { "attacker": "Enzo Fernández", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 87000000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.887, "defenders": [ "Anis Hadj Moussa" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.535, "xg_contribution": 0.1908, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Anis Hadj Moussa", "role": "CM", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.465 } ], "duel_analysis": "Enzo Fernández (CM) is slightly favored against Anis Hadj Moussa in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 53%. The quality gap is significant (€87M vs €21M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.191 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Nico Paz", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 70000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.871, "defenders": [ "Anis Hadj Moussa" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.559, "xg_contribution": 0.1528, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Anis Hadj Moussa", "role": "CM", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.441 } ], "duel_analysis": "Nico Paz (CM) is slightly favored against Anis Hadj Moussa in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 56%. The quality gap is significant (€70M vs €21M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.153 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Giuliano Simeone", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 44000000, "attacker_height": 173, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.8, "defenders": [ "Hicham Boudaoui" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.538, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.526, "xg_contribution": 0.0648, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.9, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hicham Boudaoui", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 11300000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.474 } ], "duel_analysis": "Giuliano Simeone (RWB) is slightly favored against Hicham Boudaoui in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 53%. The quality gap is significant (€44M vs €11M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.065 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Julián Alvarez", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 87000000, "attacker_height": 170, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.887, "defenders": [ "Rayan Aït-Nouri" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.775, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.464, "xg_contribution": 0.3114, "shots_in_zone": 2.5, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "role": "CB", "market_value": 39000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.536 } ], "duel_analysis": "Julián Alvarez (SS) is evenly matched against Rayan Aït-Nouri in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 46%. The quality gap is significant (€87M vs €39M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.311 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Lautaro Martínez", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 80000000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.882, "defenders": [ "Rayan Aït-Nouri" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.775, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.482, "xg_contribution": 0.4106, "shots_in_zone": 2.6, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "role": "CB", "market_value": 39000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.518 } ], "duel_analysis": "Lautaro Martínez (SS) is evenly matched against Rayan Aït-Nouri in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 48%. The quality gap is significant (€80M vs €39M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.411 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Franco Mastantuono", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 44000000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.8, "defenders": [ "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "Jaouen Hadjam" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.634, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.257, "xg_contribution": 0.0017, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.5, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.7, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "role": "CB", "market_value": 39000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 1.1, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.743 }, { "player": "Jaouen Hadjam", "role": "CB", "market_value": 7500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.743 } ], "duel_analysis": "Franco Mastantuono (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Rayan Aït-Nouri and Jaouen Hadjam in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 26%. The quality gap is significant (€44M vs €23M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.002 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Hicham Boudaoui", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 11300000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.538, "defenders": [ "Giuliano Simeone" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.8, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.314, "xg_contribution": 0.0705, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Giuliano Simeone", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 44000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.686 } ], "duel_analysis": "Hicham Boudaoui (LWB) is heavily outmatched defensively against Giuliano Simeone in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 31%. The quality gap is significant (€11M vs €44M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.070 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Anis Hadj Moussa", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 21000000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.641, "defenders": [ "Enzo Fernández" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.887, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.305, "xg_contribution": 0.2437, "shots_in_zone": 1.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Enzo Fernández", "role": "CM", "market_value": 87000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.695 } ], "duel_analysis": "Anis Hadj Moussa (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Enzo Fernández in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 31%. The quality gap is significant (€21M vs €87M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.244 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Farès Chaïbi", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 14500000, "attacker_height": 183, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.574, "defenders": [ "Enzo Fernández" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.887, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.303, "xg_contribution": 0.0454, "shots_in_zone": 1.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Enzo Fernández", "role": "CM", "market_value": 87000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.697 } ], "duel_analysis": "Farès Chaïbi (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Enzo Fernández in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 30%. The quality gap is significant (€14M vs €87M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.045 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Ilan Kebbal", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 11200000, "attacker_height": 169, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.536, "defenders": [ "Alexis Mac Allister" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.888, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.234, "xg_contribution": 0.0605, "shots_in_zone": 0.7, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Alexis Mac Allister", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 88000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.5, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.766 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ilan Kebbal (RWB) is heavily outmatched defensively against Alexis Mac Allister in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 23%. The quality gap is significant (€11M vs €88M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.061 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Amine Gouiri", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 30000000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.718, "defenders": [ "Cristian Romero" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.809, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.389, "xg_contribution": 0.2078, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Cristian Romero", "role": "CB", "market_value": 46000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.611 } ], "duel_analysis": "Amine Gouiri (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Cristian Romero in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 39%. The quality gap is significant (€30M vs €46M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.208 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Mohamed Amoura", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 29000000, "attacker_height": 169, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.71, "defenders": [ "Cristian Romero" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.809, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.346, "xg_contribution": 0.178, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Cristian Romero", "role": "CB", "market_value": 46000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.654 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mohamed Amoura (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Cristian Romero in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 35%. The quality gap is significant (€29M vs €46M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.178 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Ibrahim Maza", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 37000000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.764, "defenders": [ "Cristian Romero", "Marcos Senesi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.72, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.206, "xg_contribution": 0.1113, "shots_in_zone": 2.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.7, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Cristian Romero", "role": "CB", "market_value": 46000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 1.1, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.794 }, { "player": "Marcos Senesi", "role": "CB", "market_value": 20000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.794 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ibrahim Maza (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Cristian Romero and Marcos Senesi in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 21%. Projected xG contribution: 0.111 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.887, "away_midfield_power": 0.597, "home_creative_power": 0.818, "away_creative_power": 0.618, "home_defensive_power": 0.812, "away_defensive_power": 0.457, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.598, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 4, "home_midfield_players": [ "Alexis Mac Allister", "Enzo Fernández", "Nico Paz", "Giuliano Simeone" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Anis Hadj Moussa", "Farès Chaïbi", "Hicham Boudaoui", "Ilan Kebbal" ], "possession_advantage": "home", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 53.4, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 46.6, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.9, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.7, "home_key_passes_projected": 6.4, "away_key_passes_projected": 5.2, "home_throughball_threat": 3.1, "away_throughball_threat": 2.5, "key_personal_duel": "Alexis Mac Allister vs Anis Hadj Moussa", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.041, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.969 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "3-4-2-1", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 3-4-2-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 2.145, "away_lambda": 0.739, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Alexis Mac Allister": { "opponents": [ "Ilan Kebbal", "Hicham Boudaoui" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Enzo Fernández": { "opponents": [ "Anis Hadj Moussa", "Farès Chaïbi" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Nico Paz": { "opponents": [ "Anis Hadj Moussa", "Farès Chaïbi" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Giuliano Simeone": { "opponents": [ "Hicham Boudaoui", "Ilan Kebbal" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Julián Alvarez": { "opponents": [ "Rayan Aït-Nouri" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Lautaro Martínez": { "opponents": [ "Rayan Aït-Nouri" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Franco Mastantuono": { "opponents": [ "Rayan Aït-Nouri", "Jaouen Hadjam" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Cristian Romero": { "opponents": [ "Amine Gouiri", "Mohamed Amoura", "Ibrahim Maza" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Marcos Senesi": { "opponents": [ "Ibrahim Maza" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Emiliano Martínez": { "opponents": [ "Amine Gouiri", "Mohamed Amoura" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Nahuel Molina": { "opponents": [ "Ibrahim Maza" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Ilan Kebbal": { "opponents": [ "Alexis Mac Allister", "Giuliano Simeone" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Anis Hadj Moussa": { "opponents": [ "Enzo Fernández", "Nico Paz" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Hicham Boudaoui": { "opponents": [ "Giuliano Simeone", "Alexis Mac Allister" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Rayan Aït-Nouri": { "opponents": [ "Julián Alvarez", "Lautaro Martínez", "Franco Mastantuono" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jaouen Hadjam": { "opponents": [ "Franco Mastantuono" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Farès Chaïbi": { "opponents": [ "Enzo Fernández", "Nico Paz" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Amine Gouiri": { "opponents": [ "Cristian Romero" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Mohamed Amoura": { "opponents": [ "Cristian Romero" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Ibrahim Maza": { "opponents": [ "Cristian Romero", "Marcos Senesi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Luca Zidane": { "opponents": [ "Julián Alvarez", "Lautaro Martínez" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Ramy Bensebaini": { "opponents": [ "Julián Alvarez" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Home midfield dominates with ~53% possession expected (Alexis Mac Allister vs Anis Hadj Moussa). Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.23, Away: 0.92. Home danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat. Away danger zone: Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0213, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9552, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.067, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.0421, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9606, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9317, "home_midfield_factor": 1.041, "away_midfield_factor": 0.969, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.803, "away_avg_quality": 0.624, "avg_quality_gap": 0.1791, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.9971, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.933, "attack_value_gap_log": 1.1345, "elite_count_gap": 8, "combined_quality_gap": 0.4023, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.2896, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.2011, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.111, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.059, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": true, "mismatch_score_pressure_gap": 0.4023, "mismatch_favorite_lambda_boost": 1.1512, "mismatch_underdog_lambda_factor": 0.9195, "pre_mismatch_home_lambda": 1.863, "pre_mismatch_away_lambda": 0.804, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.863, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.804, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 2.145, "final_away_lambda": 0.739 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-01T17:39:03Z" }