{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Austria", "away_team": "Jordan", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260617", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "3-4-3" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-1", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 1, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1075, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1075 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1019 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0988 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.0941 }, { "score": "3-1", "probability": 0.0607 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0557, "0-1": 0.0579, "0-2": 0.0305, "0-3": 0.0107, "0-4": 0.0028, "0-5": 0.0006, "1-0": 0.1019, "1-1": 0.1075, "1-2": 0.0563, "1-3": 0.0197, "1-4": 0.0052, "1-5": 0.0011, "2-0": 0.0941, "2-1": 0.0988, "2-2": 0.0519, "2-3": 0.0182, "2-4": 0.0048, "2-5": 0.001, "3-0": 0.0578, "3-1": 0.0607, "3-2": 0.0319, "3-3": 0.0112, "3-4": 0.0029, "3-5": 0.0006, "4-0": 0.0266, "4-1": 0.028, "4-2": 0.0147, "4-3": 0.0051, "4-4": 0.0013, "5-0": 0.0098, "5-1": 0.0103, "5-2": 0.0054, "5-3": 0.0019, "6-0": 0.003, "6-1": 0.0032, "6-2": 0.0017, "6-3": 0.0006, "7-0": 0.0008, "7-1": 0.0008 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.559, "draw": 0.2277, "away_win": 0.2133 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.5524, "under_2_5_goals": 0.4476, "btts_yes": 0.5474, "btts_no": 0.4526, "home_clean_sheet": 0.3499, "away_clean_sheet": 0.1583 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 87.28, "MCR": 85.73, "ATR": 87.82, "GK": 79.71 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 84.88, "MCR": 88.2, "ATR": 88.92, "GK": 87.67 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Austria vs Jordan. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Lambdas derived from 4 home and 7 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Michael Gregoritsch, Odeh Fakhoury", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 3-4-3. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Home midfield dominates with ~53% possession expected (Nicolas Seiwald vs Nizar Al-Rashdan). Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.72, Away: 0.67. Home danger zone: RW vs CB. Away danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat." }, "confidence": 0.77, "home_lambda": 1.843, "away_lambda": 1.05 }, "teams": { "Austria": { "formation": "4-2-3-1", "players": { "Alexander Schlager": { "player_id": 282073, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 1, "height": 184, "market_value": 1900000, "stats": { "saves": 2, "goals_prevented": 0.0712, "rating": 79.7063, "minutes": 88, "total_pass": 24, "accurate_pass": 17, "total_long_balls": 12, "accurate_long_balls": 6, "touches": 33, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 10, "high_claims": 2, "punches": 0.9812, "aerial_won": 0, "sweeper_actions": 1, "sweeper_accurate": 1, "saves_inside_box": 1, "possession_lost": 7.8498, "duels_won": 0, "duels_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 15, "accurate_own_half_passes": 14, "expected_saves": 1.4, "high_pressure_saves": 0.53, "shots_faced": 3.0, "opponent_faced": "Odeh Fakhoury, Mousa Tamari", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "assists": 0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 73.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15690648, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "away_team": "TSV Hartberg", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "opponent": "TSV Hartberg", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0004, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 13, "accurate_pass": 13, "ball_recovery": 12, "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": -0.3454 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Austrian Bundesliga", "league_id": "45", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Austria", "season_id": "77382", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15690637, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "LASK", "away_team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "opponent": "LASK", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0004, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 21, "accurate_pass": 19, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 10, "saves": 4, "goals_prevented": 0.051 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Austrian Bundesliga", "league_id": "45", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Austria", "season_id": "77382", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15690639, "match_date": "2026-05-03", "home_team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "away_team": "SK Sturm Graz", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "opponent": "SK Sturm Graz", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0036, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 25, "accurate_pass": 12, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 10, "saves": 2, "goals_prevented": 0.3663 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Austrian Bundesliga", "league_id": "45", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Austria", "season_id": "77382", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15690645, "match_date": "2026-04-26", "home_team": "SK Rapid Wien", "away_team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "opponent": "SK Rapid Wien", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0249, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 30, "accurate_pass": 19, "ball_recovery": 10, "saves": 1, "goals_prevented": 0.3942 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Austrian Bundesliga", "league_id": "45", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Austria", "season_id": "77382", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15690627, "match_date": "2026-04-22", "home_team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "away_team": "FK Austria Wien", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Red Bull Salzburg", "opponent": "FK Austria Wien", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0023, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 33, "accurate_pass": 23, "ball_recovery": 9, "saves": 1, "goals_prevented": 0.1366 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Austrian Bundesliga", "league_id": "45", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Austria", "season_id": "77382", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 13233693, "match_date": "2025-11-18", "home_team": "Austria", "away_team": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Austria", "opponent": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 24, "accurate_pass": 21, "clearances": 2, "ball_recovery": 10 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 17254, "combined_rank_score": 1842.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 532.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.8, "sofascore_appearances": 5.0, "fifa_rank": 3152.0, "fifa_overall": 73.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 17, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.7063, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Alexander Schlager", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Danilo", "ranking": 17249 }, { "player_name": "Koki Machida", "ranking": 17250 }, { "player_name": "Danny Namaso", "ranking": 17251 }, { "player_name": "Taras Stepanenko", "ranking": 17252 }, { "player_name": "Nicolas Cozza", "ranking": 17253 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Bartosz Slisz", "ranking": 17255 }, { "player_name": "Woo-Yeong Jeong", "ranking": 17256 }, { "player_name": "Jiří Pavlenka", "ranking": 17257 }, { "player_name": "Hugo Rincón", "ranking": 17258 }, { "player_name": "Dennis Geiger", "ranking": 17259 } ] } } }, "Stefan Posch": { "player_id": 355486, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 5, "height": 188, "market_value": 6200000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "rating": 85.6466, "minutes": 61, "total_pass": 37, "accurate_pass": 30, "duels_won": 5, "total_long_balls": 6, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 20, "accurate_own_half_passes": 18, "total_opp_half_passes": 16, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 11, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 48, "possession_lost": 8.6893, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 5, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1039, "expected_assists": 0.0993, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 2, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.0397, "ball_carries": 20, "total_progression": 73, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 2.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.9, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.665, "opponent_faced": "Ehsan Haddad", "pressing_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "matchup_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0479, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0749, "fifa_overall": 79.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14065562, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "1. FC Heidenheim", "away_team": "1. FSV Mainz 05", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "1. FSV Mainz 05", "opponent": "1. FC Heidenheim", "stats": { "minutes": 45, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0049, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 26, "accurate_pass": 18, "key_pass": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065247, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "1. FSV Mainz 05", "away_team": "1. FC Union Berlin", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "1. FSV Mainz 05", "opponent": "1. FC Union Berlin", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0795, "expected_assists": 0.0191, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 52, "accurate_pass": 44, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 6, "aerial_won": 6, "duels_won": 7, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065246, "match_date": "2026-05-03", "home_team": "FC St. Pauli", "away_team": "1. FSV Mainz 05", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "1. FSV Mainz 05", "opponent": "FC St. Pauli", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0637, "expected_assists": 0.2702, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 63, "accurate_pass": 52, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 3, "clearances": 6, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 8 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 13233693, "match_date": "2025-11-18", "home_team": "Austria", "away_team": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Austria", "opponent": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "stats": { "minutes": 21, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 7, "accurate_pass": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 14010, "combined_rank_score": 502.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 109.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.3857, "sofascore_appearances": 7.0, "fifa_rank": 896.0, "fifa_overall": 79.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 11, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.6466, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Stefan Posch", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Callum McGregor", "ranking": 14005 }, { "player_name": "Gayà", "ranking": 14006 }, { "player_name": "Wesley Fofana", "ranking": 14007 }, { "player_name": "Alexander Freeman", "ranking": 14008 }, { "player_name": "Chris Smalling", "ranking": 14009 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Diego Llorente", "ranking": 14011 }, { "player_name": "Rafael Caroca", "ranking": 14012 }, { "player_name": "Lionel Altamirano", "ranking": 14013 }, { "player_name": "Brody Burkitt", "ranking": 14014 }, { "player_name": "Pablo Fornals", "ranking": 14015 } ] } } }, "Philipp Lienhart": { "player_id": 576266, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 15, "height": 189, "market_value": 9600000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 4, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 85.5815, "minutes": 66, "total_pass": 49, "accurate_pass": 42, "duels_won": 3, "total_long_balls": 6, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 29, "accurate_own_half_passes": 27, "total_opp_half_passes": 20, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 15, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 60, "possession_lost": 8.2236, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 4, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 1.0053, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.3909, "expected_assists": 0.0101, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.5429, "ball_carries": 18, "total_progression": 76, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 2.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.9, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.638, "opponent_faced": "Odeh Fakhoury", "pressing_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1329, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0508, "fifa_overall": 79.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15632626, "match_date": "2026-05-20", "home_team": "SC Freiburg", "away_team": "Aston Villa", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "SC Freiburg", "opponent": "Aston Villa", "stats": { "minutes": 61, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0018, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 44, "accurate_pass": 38, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065555, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "SC Freiburg", "away_team": "RB Leipzig", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "SC Freiburg", "opponent": "RB Leipzig", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0027, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 39, "accurate_pass": 31, "clearances": 8, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065255, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "Hamburger SV", "away_team": "SC Freiburg", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "SC Freiburg", "opponent": "Hamburger SV", "stats": { "minutes": 22, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0067, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 21, "accurate_pass": 18, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632624, "match_date": "2026-05-07", "home_team": "SC Freiburg", "away_team": "Sporting Braga", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "SC Freiburg", "opponent": "Sporting Braga", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.4529, "expected_assists": 0.0276, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 78, "accurate_pass": 66, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065240, "match_date": "2026-05-03", "home_team": "SC Freiburg", "away_team": "VfL Wolfsburg", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "SC Freiburg", "opponent": "VfL Wolfsburg", "stats": { "minutes": 32, "rating": 8.1, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1781, "expected_assists": 0.0053, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 37, 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"player_name": "Stanley Kanu", "ranking": 3740 }, { "player_name": "Lucas Suárez", "ranking": 3741 }, { "player_name": "Gubari Sherko", "ranking": 3742 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Ed Carlos", "ranking": 3744 }, { "player_name": "Giorgio Puzzoli", "ranking": 3745 }, { "player_name": "Miloš Pantović", "ranking": 3746 }, { "player_name": "Đorđe Petrović", "ranking": 3747 }, { "player_name": "Antonio Sivera", "ranking": 3748 } ] } } }, "Ibrahim Sadeh": { "player_id": 997817, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 0, "height": 174, "market_value": 415000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0239, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0189, "rating": 86.6724, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97, "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 80.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 3906, "combined_rank_score": 531.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 691.0, "fifa_overall": 80.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 9, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6724, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Ibrahim Sadeh", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Carbone", "ranking": 3901 }, { "player_name": "Alessandro Burlamaqui", "ranking": 3902 }, { "player_name": "Amin Gröller", "ranking": 3903 }, { "player_name": "Ahmed Hasan Maknazi", "ranking": 3904 }, { "player_name": "Caio Roque", "ranking": 3905 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Paul Charpentier", "ranking": 3907 }, { "player_name": "Julien Ngoy", "ranking": 3908 }, { "player_name": 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"expected_assists": 0.0028, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "HNL", "league_id": "170", "league_slug": "hnl", "league_country": "Croatia", "season_id": "76980", "season_name": "HNL 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023433, "match_date": "2026-04-25", "home_team": "NK Osijek", "away_team": "NK Lokomotiva Zagreb", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "NK Lokomotiva Zagreb", "opponent": "NK Osijek", "stats": { "minutes": 14, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0945, "expected_assists": 0.0062, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "HNL", "league_id": "170", "league_slug": "hnl", "league_country": "Croatia", "season_id": "76980", "season_name": "HNL 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023439, "match_date": "2026-04-21", "home_team": "NK Lokomotiva Zagreb", "away_team": "NK Slaven Belupo", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "NK Lokomotiva Zagreb", "opponent": "NK Slaven Belupo", "stats": { "minutes": 57, "rating": 6.1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1379, "expected_assists": 0.0016, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 7, "accurate_pass": 6, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "HNL", "league_id": "170", "league_slug": "hnl", "league_country": "Croatia", "season_id": "76980", "season_name": "HNL 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 3628, "combined_rank_score": 495.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 626.0, "fifa_overall": 80.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 12, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.3201, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Ibrahim Sabra", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Islomzhon Kobilov", "ranking": 3623 }, { "player_name": "Athanasios Androutsos", "ranking": 3624 }, { "player_name": "Antonio Mance", "ranking": 3625 }, { "player_name": "Bruno Larregui", "ranking": 3626 }, { "player_name": "Youness Akharraz", "ranking": 3627 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Luka Lijeskić", "ranking": 3629 }, { "player_name": "Patricio Tanda", "ranking": 3630 }, { "player_name": "Franko Kolić", "ranking": 3631 }, { "player_name": "Soulaimane El Bouchqali", "ranking": 3632 }, { "player_name": "Semen Vovchenko", "ranking": 3633 } ] } } }, "Mohammad Abu Zrayq": { "player_id": 986341, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 27, "height": 168, "market_value": 400000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0775, "rating": 86.7777, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 7, "accurate_pass": 6, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 1, "accurate_own_half_passes": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 6, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 5, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 11, "possession_lost": 1.6769, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_won": 0, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.1198, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 0, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 80.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 16201517, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Olympique Dcheira", "away_team": "Raja Club Athletic", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Raja Club Athletic", "opponent": "Olympique Dcheira", "stats": { "minutes": 70, "rating": 7.1, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 1.06, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 2, "total_pass": 29, "accurate_pass": 24, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Botola Pro", "league_id": "937", "league_slug": "botola-pro", "league_country": "Morocco", "season_id": "78750", "season_name": "Botola Pro D1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 16086283, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "Raja Club Athletic", "away_team": "Wydad Casablanca", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Raja Club Athletic", "opponent": "Wydad Casablanca", "stats": { "minutes": 65, "rating": 7.1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.02, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 25, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Botola Pro", "league_id": "937", "league_slug": "botola-pro", "league_country": "Morocco", "season_id": "78750", "season_name": "Botola Pro D1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 4026, "combined_rank_score": 526.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 678.0, "fifa_overall": 80.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 10, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.7777, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Mohammad Abu Zrayq", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Khozhimat Erkinov", "ranking": 4021 }, { "player_name": "Rafael Sabino", "ranking": 4022 }, { "player_name": "Salah Moussadak", "ranking": 4023 }, { "player_name": "Galego", "ranking": 4024 }, { "player_name": "Alexander Selecký", "ranking": 4025 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Pierre Kalulu", "ranking": 4027 }, { "player_name": "Delvin Alfonzo", "ranking": 4028 }, { "player_name": "Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa", "ranking": 4029 }, { "player_name": "Romelu Lukaku", "ranking": 4030 }, { "player_name": "Raúl Asencio", "ranking": 4031 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.05, "expected_assists": 0.51, "total_shots": 14, "shots_on_target": 3, "total_passes": 371, "interceptions": 7, "tackles": 7, "avg_rating": 87.44, "possession_estimated_pct": 47.2, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Xaver Schlager", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 9500000, "attacker_height": 174, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.517, "defenders": [ "Saleem Obaid" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.401, "duel_zone": "LW vs CB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.444, "xg_contribution": 0.1068, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Saleem Obaid", "role": "CB", "market_value": 97000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.556 } ], "duel_analysis": "Xaver Schlager (LW) is evenly matched against Saleem Obaid in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.107 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Romano Schmid", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 16500000, "attacker_height": 168, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.595, "defenders": [ "Nizar Al-Rashdan" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.408, "duel_zone": "CAM vs CM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.444, "xg_contribution": 0.2035, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Nizar Al-Rashdan", "role": "CM", "market_value": 620000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.556 } ], "duel_analysis": "Romano Schmid (CAM) is evenly matched against Nizar Al-Rashdan in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. The quality gap is significant (€16M vs €1M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.204 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Michael Gregoritsch", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 1600000, "attacker_height": 193, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.42, "defenders": [ "Saleem Obaid", "Abdallah Nasib" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.403, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.248, "xg_contribution": 0.2014, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 2.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Saleem Obaid", "role": "CB", "market_value": 97000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.752 }, { "player": "Abdallah Nasib", "role": "CB", "market_value": 360000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.752 } ], "duel_analysis": "Michael Gregoritsch (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Saleem Obaid and Abdallah Nasib in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 25%. Projected xG contribution: 0.201 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Marko Arnautović", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 2100000, "attacker_height": 192, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.426, "defenders": [ "Saleem Obaid" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.401, "duel_zone": "RW vs CB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.475, "xg_contribution": 0.2037, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.4, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Saleem Obaid", "role": "CB", "market_value": 97000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.525 } ], "duel_analysis": "Marko Arnautović (RW) is evenly matched against Saleem Obaid in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 48%. Projected xG contribution: 0.204 — with neither side clearly dominant." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Noor Al-Deen Al Rawabdeh", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 455000, "attacker_height": 179, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.406, "defenders": [ "David Alaba" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.434, "duel_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.383, "xg_contribution": 0.0463, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "David Alaba", "role": "RB", "market_value": 2700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.617 } ], "duel_analysis": "Noor Al-Deen Al Rawabdeh (LWB) faces tough defensive resistance against David Alaba in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 38%. Projected xG contribution: 0.046 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Nizar Al-Rashdan", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 620000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.408, "defenders": [ "Marcel Sabitzer" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.477, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.451, "xg_contribution": 0.1033, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Marcel Sabitzer", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 6200000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.549 } ], "duel_analysis": "Nizar Al-Rashdan (CM) is evenly matched against Marcel Sabitzer in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 45%. Projected xG contribution: 0.103 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Mohannad Abu Taha", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 535000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.407, "defenders": [ "Marcel Sabitzer" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.477, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.414, "xg_contribution": 0.0486, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Marcel Sabitzer", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 6200000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.586 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mohannad Abu Taha (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Marcel Sabitzer in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 41%. Projected xG contribution: 0.049 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Ehsan Haddad", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 290000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.404, "defenders": [ "Stefan Posch" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.477, "duel_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.335, "xg_contribution": 0.0428, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Stefan Posch", "role": "LB", "market_value": 6200000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.665 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ehsan Haddad (RWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Stefan Posch in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 34%. Projected xG contribution: 0.043 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Odeh Fakhoury", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 225000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.403, "defenders": [ "Philipp Lienhart" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.518, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.362, "xg_contribution": 0.1796, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Philipp Lienhart", "role": "CB", "market_value": 9600000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.638 } ], "duel_analysis": "Odeh Fakhoury (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Philipp Lienhart in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 36%. Projected xG contribution: 0.180 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Mousa Tamari", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 10800000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.532, "defenders": [ "Philipp Lienhart" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.518, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.4, "xg_contribution": 0.1518, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Philipp Lienhart", "role": "CB", "market_value": 9600000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.6 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mousa Tamari (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Philipp Lienhart in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. Projected xG contribution: 0.152 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Ali Olwan", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 825000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.41, "defenders": [ "Philipp Lienhart", "Konrad Laimer" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.621, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0949, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Philipp Lienhart", "role": "CB", "market_value": 9600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Konrad Laimer", "role": "CB", "market_value": 31000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ali Olwan (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Philipp Lienhart and Konrad Laimer in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€1M vs €20M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.095 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.589, "away_midfield_power": 0.431, "home_creative_power": 0.557, "away_creative_power": 0.345, "home_defensive_power": 0.604, "away_defensive_power": 0.376, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.578, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 4, "home_midfield_players": [ "Marcel Sabitzer", "Romano Schmid", "Nicolas Seiwald", "Xaver Schlager" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Mohannad Abu Taha", "Nizar Al-Rashdan", "Noor Al-Deen Al Rawabdeh", "Ehsan Haddad" ], "possession_advantage": "home", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 52.8, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 47.2, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.4, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.8, "away_key_passes_projected": 3.6, "home_throughball_threat": 2.3, "away_throughball_threat": 1.6, "key_personal_duel": "Nicolas Seiwald vs Nizar Al-Rashdan", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.031, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.964 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "3-4-3", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 3-4-3. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.843, "away_lambda": 1.05, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "RW vs CB", "CAM vs CM" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Xaver Schlager": { "opponents": [ "Saleem Obaid", "Ehsan Haddad" ], "primary_zone": "LW vs CB", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Romano Schmid": { "opponents": [ "Nizar Al-Rashdan" ], "primary_zone": "CAM vs CM", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Michael Gregoritsch": { "opponents": [ "Saleem Obaid", "Abdallah Nasib" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Marko Arnautović": { "opponents": [ "Saleem Obaid" ], "primary_zone": "RW vs CB", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "David Alaba": { "opponents": [ "Noor Al-Deen Al Rawabdeh" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Marcel Sabitzer": { "opponents": [ "Nizar Al-Rashdan", "Mohannad Abu Taha" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Stefan Posch": { "opponents": [ "Ehsan Haddad" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Philipp Lienhart": { "opponents": [ "Odeh Fakhoury", "Mousa Tamari", "Ali Olwan" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Konrad Laimer": { "opponents": [ "Ali Olwan" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Nicolas Seiwald": { "opponents": [ "Noor Al-Deen Al Rawabdeh" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Alexander Schlager": { "opponents": [ "Mousa Tamari", "Odeh Fakhoury" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Saleem Obaid": { "opponents": [ "Xaver Schlager", "Michael Gregoritsch", "Marko Arnautović" ], "primary_zone": "LW vs CB", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Nizar Al-Rashdan": { "opponents": [ "Romano Schmid", "Marcel Sabitzer" ], "primary_zone": "CAM vs CM", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Abdallah Nasib": { "opponents": [ "Michael Gregoritsch" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Noor Al-Deen Al Rawabdeh": { "opponents": [ "David Alaba", "Nicolas Seiwald" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Mohannad Abu Taha": { "opponents": [ "Marcel Sabitzer" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ehsan Haddad": { "opponents": [ "Stefan Posch", "Xaver Schlager" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Odeh Fakhoury": { "opponents": [ "Philipp Lienhart" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Mousa Tamari": { "opponents": [ "Philipp Lienhart" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Ali Olwan": { "opponents": [ "Philipp Lienhart", "Konrad Laimer" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Yazeed Abu Laila": { "opponents": [ "Marko Arnautović", "Michael Gregoritsch" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Yazan Al-Arab": { "opponents": [ "Marko Arnautović" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Home midfield dominates with ~53% possession expected (Nicolas Seiwald vs Nizar Al-Rashdan). Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.72, Away: 0.67. Home danger zone: RW vs CB. Away danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0245, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0163, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.179, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.026, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0269, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.977, "home_midfield_factor": 1.031, "away_midfield_factor": 0.964, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.5257, "away_avg_quality": 0.4187, "avg_quality_gap": 0.107, "squad_value_gap_log": 1.5554, "top5_value_gap_log": 1.4423, "attack_value_gap_log": 1.0795, "elite_count_gap": 0, "combined_quality_gap": 0.1966, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.4324, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.2752, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.1335, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0577, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": true, "competitive_underdog_floor": 1.05, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 1.843, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 0.708, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.8425, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.7077, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.843, "final_away_lambda": 1.05 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-16T13:39:36Z" }