{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Czechia", "away_team": "South Africa", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260618", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-0", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1393, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1393 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.137 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.0949 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0933 }, { "score": "3-0", "probability": 0.0898 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0709, "0-1": 0.0483, "0-2": 0.0164, "0-3": 0.0037, "0-4": 0.0006, "1-0": 0.1393, "1-1": 0.0949, "1-2": 0.0323, "1-3": 0.0073, "1-4": 0.0012, "2-0": 0.137, "2-1": 0.0933, "2-2": 0.0318, "2-3": 0.0072, "2-4": 0.0012, "3-0": 0.0898, "3-1": 0.0611, "3-2": 0.0208, "3-3": 0.0047, "3-4": 0.0008, "4-0": 0.0441, "4-1": 0.03, "4-2": 0.0102, "4-3": 0.0023, "5-0": 0.0173, "5-1": 0.0118, "5-2": 0.004, "5-3": 0.0009, "6-0": 0.0057, "6-1": 0.0039, "6-2": 0.0013, "7-0": 0.0016, "7-1": 0.0011 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.6775, "draw": 0.2026, "away_win": 0.1199 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.4933, "under_2_5_goals": 0.5067, "btts_yes": 0.4247, "btts_no": 0.5753, "home_clean_sheet": 0.5061, "away_clean_sheet": 0.14 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 80.74, "MCR": 86.69, "ATR": 86.84, "GK": 82.06 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 85.55, "MCR": 88.46, "ATR": 77.96, "GK": 88.24 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Czechia vs South Africa. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 4 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Patrik Schick", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Tomáš Souček vs Teboho Mokoena will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.36, Away: 0.34. Home danger zone: Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run. Away danger zone: CAM vs CM." }, "confidence": 0.8, "home_lambda": 1.966, "away_lambda": 0.681 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.6775, "draw": 0.2026, "away_win": 0.1199 }, "favorite": "Czechia", "favorite_win_probability": 0.6775, "fair_spread": 1.285, "fair_total": 2.647, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Czechia", "estimate": 1.966, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "South Africa", "estimate": 0.681, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.4933, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.4247, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Czechia", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.5061, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "South Africa", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.14, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Tomáš Holeš (Czechia)", "estimate": 0.7568, "probability": 0.0857, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Relebohile Mofokeng (South Africa)", "estimate": 0.199, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Vladimír Coufal (Czechia)", "estimate": 0.1744, "probability": 0.1455, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Relebohile Mofokeng (South Africa)", "estimate": 0.2079, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "balanced", "expected_total_goals": 2.647, "expected_total_shots": 18, "expected_total_passes": 733, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 12.4, "possession_home_pct": 50.2, "possession_away_pct": 49.8, "notes": "possession projects near even" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Czechia", "favorite_win_probability": 0.6775, "script": "Czechia is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains favorite-led: fair spread +1.28 goals and fair total 2.65.", "first_half": "Expect balanced tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 9 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; South Africa must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Czechia lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Czechia chance creation leans on Tomáš Holeš against Aubrey Modiba in Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run; possession projects near even.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Czechia: starters carry the main goal usage through Patrik Schick; bench watchlist: Pavel Šulc, Lukáš Horníček, Michal Sadílek.", "South Africa: starters carry the main goal usage through the highest xG attackers; bench watchlist: Iqraam Rayners, Samukelo Kabini, Olwethu Makhanya.", "Assist usage should flow through Alexandr Sojka; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Czechia tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects balanced tempo, about 9 total first-half shots, and 1.32 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If South Africa is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Czechia.", "South Africa wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Czechia": { "formation": "3-4-2-1", "players": { "Patrik Schick": { "player_id": 280609, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 191, "market_value": 16600000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.1961, "goal_rate": 0.001, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0102, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 91.499, "minutes": 67, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 7, "accurate_pass": 5, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 7, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 5, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 23, "possession_lost": 6.3792, "dispossessed": 1.2861, "duels_lost": 7, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 2, "xgot": 1.8623, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 4, "total_progression": 4, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.302, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Mbekezeli Mbokazi, Ime Okon", "opponent_faced": "Mbekezeli Mbokazi, Ime Okon", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.2378, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0235, "fifa_overall": 85.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186720, "match_date": "2026-06-12", "home_team": "South Korea", "away_team": "Czechia", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Czechia", "opponent": "South Korea", "stats": { "minutes": 64, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0017, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 3, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14065557, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "away_team": "Hamburger SV", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "opponent": "Hamburger SV", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 1.0815, "expected_assists": 0.0139, "total_shots": 4, "shots_on_target": 3, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 6, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 4, "duels_won": 7 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065248, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "VfB Stuttgart", "away_team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "opponent": "VfB Stuttgart", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1304, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 16, "accurate_pass": 13, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 7, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065236, "match_date": "2026-05-02", "home_team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "away_team": "RB Leipzig", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "opponent": "RB Leipzig", "stats": { "minutes": 89, "rating": 9.2, "goal_rate": 3.0, "goals": 3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 2.8387, "expected_assists": 0.0207, "total_shots": 9, "shots_on_target": 5, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 19, "accurate_pass": 18, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631372, "match_date": "2026-03-17", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "opponent": "Arsenal", "stats": { "minutes": 20, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, 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UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 257, "combined_rank_score": 158.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 161.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.2375, "sofascore_appearances": 8.0, "fifa_rank": 156.0, "fifa_overall": 85.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 3, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.499, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Patrik Schick", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Yann Sommer", "ranking": 252 }, { "player_name": "Nikolai Ivanov", "ranking": 253 }, { "player_name": "Francisco Trincão", "ranking": 254 }, { "player_name": "Mathew Ryan", "ranking": 255 }, { "player_name": "Erick Pulga", "ranking": 256 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Dávid Hancko", "ranking": 258 }, { "player_name": "Gerson", "ranking": 259 }, { "player_name": "Christian Eriksen", "ranking": 260 }, { "player_name": "Jean Lucas", "ranking": 261 }, { "player_name": "Nuno Mendes", "ranking": 262 } ] } } }, "Adam Hložek": { "player_id": 963801, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 186, "market_value": 10300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.1597, "goal_rate": 0.0013, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0259, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 83.9683, "minutes": 22, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 4, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 7, "possession_lost": 2.0156, "dispossessed": 2.0156, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, 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"bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065252, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "TSG Hoffenheim", "away_team": "SV Werder Bremen", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "TSG Hoffenheim", "opponent": "SV Werder Bremen", "stats": { "minutes": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0072, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 15373, "combined_rank_score": 842.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 239.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.1, "sofascore_appearances": 1.0, "fifa_rank": 1445.0, "fifa_overall": 77.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 6, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.9683, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Adam Hložek", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Kyeong Baek", "ranking": 15368 }, { "player_name": "Jonathan Bamba", "ranking": 15369 }, { "player_name": "Kaku", "ranking": 15370 }, { "player_name": "Leo Román", "ranking": 15371 }, { "player_name": "Jakub Kiwior", "ranking": 15372 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Lucas Bergvall", "ranking": 15374 }, { "player_name": "Alemão", "ranking": 15375 }, { "player_name": "Axel Disasi", "ranking": 15376 }, { "player_name": "Yastin Cuevas", "ranking": 15377 }, { "player_name": "Je-min Yeon", "ranking": 15378 } ] } } }, "Jaroslav Zelený": { "player_id": 118204, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 20, "height": 189, "market_value": 640000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 78.803, "minutes": 85, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 26, "duels_won": 3, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 20, "accurate_own_half_passes": 20, "total_opp_half_passes": 18, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 14, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 51, "possession_lost": 5.8874, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 6, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0222, "expected_assists": 0.0463, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 9, "total_progression": 23, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 2, "opponent_faced": "Lyle Foster", "matchup_zone": "Shape fallback", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0201, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.1054, "fifa_overall": 72.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186720, "match_date": "2026-06-12", "home_team": "South Korea", "away_team": "Czechia", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Czechia", "opponent": "South Korea", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0409, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 28, "accurate_pass": 22, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 16073315, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "AC Sparta Praha", "away_team": "FC Hradec Králové", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "AC Sparta Praha", "opponent": "FC Hradec Králové", "stats": { "minutes": 69, "rating": 6.5, 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"player_name": "Shon Weissman", "ranking": 2189 }, { "player_name": "Isaac Thelin", "ranking": 2190 }, { "player_name": "Tomoya Koyamatsu", "ranking": 2191 } ] } } }, "Iqraam Rayners": { "player_id": 991024, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 13, "height": 176, "market_value": 2800000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0005, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.001, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 90.155, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 2, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 3, "possession_lost": 1.1719, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0248, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 6, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 84.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186710, "match_date": "2026-06-11", "home_team": "Mexico", "away_team": "South Africa", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "South Africa", "opponent": "Mexico", "stats": { "minutes": 76, "rating": 6.1, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.003, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 10, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14365976, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "TS Galaxy", "away_team": "Mamelodi Sundowns", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Mamelodi Sundowns", "opponent": "TS Galaxy", "stats": { "minutes": 14, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0089, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "South African Premier Division", "league_id": "358", "league_slug": "premiership", "league_country": "South Africa", "season_id": "79701", "season_name": "Premiership 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14365957, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "Mamelodi Sundowns", "away_team": "Siwelele FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Mamelodi Sundowns", "opponent": "Siwelele FC", "stats": { "minutes": 23, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0092, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 5, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "South African Premier Division", "league_id": "358", "league_slug": "premiership", "league_country": "South Africa", "season_id": "79701", "season_name": "Premiership 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14500088, "match_date": "2026-05-06", "home_team": "Mamelodi Sundowns", "away_team": "Kaizer Chiefs", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Mamelodi Sundowns", "opponent": "Kaizer Chiefs", "stats": { "minutes": 10, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1187, "expected_assists": 0.0004, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "South African Premier Division", "league_id": "358", "league_slug": "premiership", "league_country": "South Africa", "season_id": "79701", "season_name": "Premiership 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 840, "combined_rank_score": 236.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 231.0, "fifa_overall": 84.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 5, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.155, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Iqraam Rayners", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Tomoya Ando", "ranking": 835 }, { "player_name": "Anthoni", "ranking": 836 }, { "player_name": "Adonis Frías", "ranking": 837 }, { "player_name": "Rayane Messi Tanfouri", "ranking": 838 }, { "player_name": "Kanu", "ranking": 839 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Victor Bak Jensen", "ranking": 841 }, { "player_name": "Presnel Kimpembe", "ranking": 842 }, { "player_name": "Samir Sophian Chergui", "ranking": 843 }, { "player_name": "Mateusz Żukowski", "ranking": 844 }, { "player_name": "João Klauss", "ranking": 845 } ] } } }, "Evidence Makgopa": { "player_id": 1022170, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 17, "height": 188, "market_value": 1300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0011, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0023, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 91.7198, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 1.4477, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 2, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 85.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186710, "match_date": "2026-06-11", "home_team": "Mexico", "away_team": "South Africa", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "South Africa", "opponent": "Mexico", "stats": { "minutes": 14, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0092, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 2, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14372311, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "ORBIT College FC", "away_team": "Orlando Pirates", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Orlando Pirates", "opponent": "ORBIT College FC", "stats": { "minutes": 20, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0058, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 10, "tackles": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "South African Premier Division", "league_id": "358", "league_slug": "premiership", "league_country": "South Africa", "season_id": "79701", "season_name": "Premiership 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14365971, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "Orlando Pirates", "away_team": "Durban City FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Orlando Pirates", "opponent": "Durban City FC", "stats": { "minutes": 51, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.2915, "expected_assists": 0.0055, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 13, "accurate_pass": 7, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 5, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "South African Premier Division", "league_id": "358", "league_slug": "premiership", "league_country": "South Africa", "season_id": "79701", "season_name": "Premiership 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14365964, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "Magesi FC", "away_team": "Orlando Pirates", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Orlando Pirates", "opponent": "Magesi FC", "stats": { "minutes": 61, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.0772, "expected_assists": 0.005, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 7, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "South African Premier Division", "league_id": "358", "league_slug": "premiership", "league_country": "South Africa", "season_id": "79701", "season_name": "Premiership 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 1410, "combined_rank_score": 187.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 117.0, "fifa_overall": 85.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 14, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.7198, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Evidence Makgopa", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Renzo Machado", "ranking": 1405 }, { "player_name": "Mohamed Shehata", "ranking": 1406 }, { "player_name": "Nabil Donga", "ranking": 1407 }, { "player_name": "Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel", "ranking": 1408 }, { "player_name": "Sota Miura", "ranking": 1409 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Khuliso Mudau", "ranking": 1411 }, { "player_name": "Souleymane Isaak Touré", "ranking": 1412 }, { "player_name": "Marko Soldo", "ranking": 1413 }, { "player_name": "Ayoub Khairi", "ranking": 1414 }, { "player_name": "Thiago Espinosa", "ranking": 1415 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.68, "expected_assists": 0.62, "total_shots": 8, "shots_on_target": 9, "total_passes": 371, "interceptions": 7, "tackles": 18, "avg_rating": 86.43, "possession_estimated_pct": 49.8, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Patrik Schick", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 16600000, "attacker_height": 191, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.596, "defenders": [ "Mbekezeli Mbokazi", "Ime Okon" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.436, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.302, "xg_contribution": 0.1729, "shots_in_zone": 2.5, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 2.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mbekezeli Mbokazi", "role": "CB", "market_value": 3800000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.698 }, { "player": "Ime Okon", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.698 } ], "duel_analysis": "Patrik Schick (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Mbekezeli Mbokazi and Ime Okon in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 30%. Projected xG contribution: 0.173 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Adam Hložek", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 10300000, "attacker_height": 186, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.526, "defenders": [ "Thalente Mbatha", "Mbekezeli Mbokazi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.437, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.366, "xg_contribution": 0.1408, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Thalente Mbatha", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 2100000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.634 }, { "player": "Mbekezeli Mbokazi", "role": "CB", "market_value": 3800000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.634 } ], "duel_analysis": "Adam Hložek (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Thalente Mbatha and Mbekezeli Mbokazi in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 37%. Projected xG contribution: 0.141 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Alexandr Sojka", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 2200000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.427, "defenders": [ "Khuliso Mudau" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.416, "duel_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.393, "xg_contribution": 0.1071, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.2, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Khuliso Mudau", "role": "RB", "market_value": 1300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.607 } ], "duel_analysis": "Alexandr Sojka (LWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Khuliso Mudau in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 39%. Projected xG contribution: 0.107 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Tomáš Holeš", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 1000000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.412, "defenders": [ "Aubrey Modiba" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.424, "duel_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.447, "xg_contribution": 0.6919, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Aubrey Modiba", "role": "LB", "market_value": 1900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.553 } ], "duel_analysis": "Tomáš Holeš (RWB) is evenly matched against Aubrey Modiba in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 45%. Projected xG contribution: 0.692 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Tomáš Souček", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 9700000, "attacker_height": 192, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.519, "defenders": [ "Thalente Mbatha" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.426, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.552, "xg_contribution": 0.2481, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.4, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Thalente Mbatha", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 2100000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.448 } ], "duel_analysis": "Tomáš Souček (CM) is slightly favored against Thalente Mbatha in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 55%. Projected xG contribution: 0.248 — creating consistent moderate threat." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Teboho Mokoena", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 3100000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.439, "defenders": [ "Ladislav Krejčí" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "LW vs CB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.269, "xg_contribution": 0.0765, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 1.9, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ladislav Krejčí", "role": "CB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.731 } ], "duel_analysis": "Teboho Mokoena (LW) is heavily outmatched defensively against Ladislav Krejčí in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 27%. The quality gap is significant (€3M vs €21M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.076 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Relebohile Mofokeng", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 2900000, "attacker_height": 166, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.436, "defenders": [ "Tomáš Souček" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.519, "duel_zone": "CAM vs CM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.323, "xg_contribution": 0.1376, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.7, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Tomáš Souček", "role": "CM", "market_value": 9700000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.3, "defensive_success_rate": 0.677 } ], "duel_analysis": "Relebohile Mofokeng (CAM) faces tough defensive resistance against Tomáš Souček in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 32%. Projected xG contribution: 0.138 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Oswin Appollis", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 2700000, "attacker_height": 172, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.434, "defenders": [ "Ladislav Krejčí" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "RW vs CB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.267, "xg_contribution": 0.1077, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 1.9, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ladislav Krejčí", "role": "CB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.733 } ], "duel_analysis": "Oswin Appollis (RW) is heavily outmatched defensively against Ladislav Krejčí in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 27%. The quality gap is significant (€3M vs €21M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.108 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Lyle Foster", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 8300000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.502, "defenders": [ "Ladislav Krejčí", "Robin Hranáč" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.587, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0195, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ladislav Krejčí", "role": "CB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Robin Hranáč", "role": "CB", "market_value": 10900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Lyle Foster (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Ladislav Krejčí and Robin Hranáč in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.020 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.448, "away_midfield_power": 0.482, "home_creative_power": 0.466, "away_creative_power": 0.419, "home_defensive_power": 0.441, "away_defensive_power": 0.365, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.482, "home_midfield_count": 2, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Alexandr Sojka", "Tomáš Souček" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Oswin Appollis", "Teboho Mokoena", "Thalente Mbatha", "Jayden Adams", "Relebohile Mofokeng" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 50.2, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 49.8, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.4, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.0, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.3, "away_key_passes_projected": 4.0, "home_throughball_threat": 2.0, "away_throughball_threat": 1.9, "key_personal_duel": "Tomáš Souček vs Teboho Mokoena", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.005, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 1.002 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1", "home_tactical_bonus": -0.05, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.05, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.966, "away_lambda": 0.681, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "CAM vs CM", "RW vs CB" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Patrik Schick": { "opponents": [ "Mbekezeli Mbokazi", "Ime Okon" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Adam Hložek": { "opponents": [ "Thalente Mbatha", "Mbekezeli Mbokazi" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Alexandr Sojka": { "opponents": [ "Khuliso Mudau", "Thalente Mbatha", "Teboho Mokoena" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Tomáš Holeš": { "opponents": [ "Aubrey Modiba" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Tomáš Souček": { "opponents": [ "Thalente Mbatha", "Relebohile Mofokeng", "Jayden Adams", "Oswin Appollis" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ladislav Krejčí": { "opponents": [ "Teboho Mokoena", "Oswin Appollis", "Lyle Foster" ], "primary_zone": "LW vs CB", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Robin Hranáč": { "opponents": [ "Lyle Foster" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Matěj Kovář": { "opponents": [ "Lyle Foster", "Relebohile Mofokeng" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Jaroslav Zelený": { "opponents": [ "Lyle Foster" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Lukáš Provod": { "opponents": [ "Aubrey Modiba", "Ime Okon" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Vladimír Coufal": { "opponents": [ "Lyle Foster" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Mbekezeli Mbokazi": { "opponents": [ "Patrik Schick", "Adam Hložek" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Ime Okon": { "opponents": [ "Patrik Schick" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Thalente Mbatha": { "opponents": [ "Adam Hložek", "Tomáš Souček", "Alexandr Sojka" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs CDM + CB — Zone 14 Battle", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Khuliso Mudau": { "opponents": [ "Alexandr Sojka" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Aubrey Modiba": { "opponents": [ "Tomáš Holeš" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Teboho Mokoena": { "opponents": [ "Ladislav Krejčí", "Alexandr Sojka" ], "primary_zone": "LW vs CB", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Relebohile Mofokeng": { "opponents": [ "Tomáš Souček" ], "primary_zone": "CAM vs CM", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Oswin Appollis": { "opponents": [ "Ladislav Krejčí", "Tomáš Souček" ], "primary_zone": "RW vs CB", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Lyle Foster": { "opponents": [ "Ladislav Krejčí", "Robin Hranáč" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Jayden Adams": { "opponents": [ "Tomáš Souček" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Ronwen Williams": { "opponents": [ "Lukáš Provod", "Patrik Schick" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Tomáš Souček vs Teboho Mokoena will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.36, Away: 0.34. Home danger zone: Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run. Away danger zone: CAM vs CM.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0218, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9841, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.18, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.046, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0046, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9802, "home_midfield_factor": 1.005, "away_midfield_factor": 1.002, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.4986, "away_avg_quality": 0.4372, "avg_quality_gap": 0.0614, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.838, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.9356, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.5967, "elite_count_gap": 0, "combined_quality_gap": 0.1128, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.2481, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.1579, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0707, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0315, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.9657, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.6815, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.966, "final_away_lambda": 0.681 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-18T13:38:58Z" }