{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Mexico", "away_team": "South Korea", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260619", "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "3-4-2-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-0", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1386, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1386 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1358 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.1281 }, { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.1207 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.0771 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.1281, "0-1": 0.1207, "0-2": 0.0587, "0-3": 0.0188, "0-4": 0.0045, "0-5": 0.0009, "1-0": 0.1386, "1-1": 0.1358, "1-2": 0.0647, "1-3": 0.0208, "1-4": 0.005, "1-5": 0.001, "2-0": 0.0771, "2-1": 0.0742, "2-2": 0.0357, "2-3": 0.0114, "2-4": 0.0028, "2-5": 0.0005, "3-0": 0.0284, "3-1": 0.0273, "3-2": 0.0131, "3-3": 0.0042, "3-4": 0.001, "4-0": 0.0078, "4-1": 0.0075, "4-2": 0.0036, "4-3": 0.0012, "5-0": 0.0017, "5-1": 0.0017, "5-2": 0.0008 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.3844, "draw": 0.3041, "away_win": 0.3115 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.3409, "under_2_5_goals": 0.6591, "btts_yes": 0.4141, "btts_no": 0.5859, "home_clean_sheet": 0.3821, "away_clean_sheet": 0.3319 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 7.17, "MCR": 6.68, "ATR": 6.89, "GK": 6.75 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 6.9, "MCR": 6.69, "ATR": 6.65, "GK": 6.89 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Mexico vs South Korea. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Lambdas derived from 7 home and 7 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Julián Quiñones", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 3-4-2-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Edson Álvarez vs Kang-in Lee will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.82, Away: 0.73. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat." }, "confidence": 0.7, "home_lambda": 1.103, "away_lambda": 0.962 }, "teams": { "Mexico": { "formation": "3-4-2-1", "players": { "Luis Malagón": { "player_id": 830240, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 1, "height": 182, "market_value": 6000000, "stats": { "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 0.2977, "rating": 6.7479, "minutes": 90, "expected_saves": 1.53, "high_pressure_saves": 0.58, "shots_faced": 3.3, "opponent_faced": "Son Heung-min, Hyeon-gyu Oh", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } }, "Erik Lira": { "player_id": 944068, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 6, "height": 172, "market_value": 13200000, "stats": { "interceptions": 3, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 2, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 7.5854, "minutes": 92, "total_pass": 73, "accurate_pass": 64, "duels_won": 7, "total_long_balls": 10, "accurate_long_balls": 7, "total_own_half_passes": 45, "accurate_own_half_passes": 41, "total_opp_half_passes": 28, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 23, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 92, "possession_lost": 11.1956, "dispossessed": 1.0178, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 7, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 2, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0204, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 22, "total_progression": 100, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 2.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.476, "opponent_faced": "Son Heung-min", "pressing_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0097 } }, "Johan Vásquez": { "player_id": 889785, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 22, "height": 185, "market_value": 12200000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 4, "aerial_won": 2, "rating": 7.051, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 58, "accurate_pass": 50, "duels_won": 7, "total_long_balls": 6, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 38, "accurate_own_half_passes": 35, "total_opp_half_passes": 20, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 15, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 73, "possession_lost": 10.7017, "dispossessed": 1.0144, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 3, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 2, "blocks": 2, "goal_rate": 0.5625, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0599, "expected_assists": 0.0203, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.1826, "ball_carries": 17, "total_progression": 78, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 1, "opponent_faced": "Son Heung-min", "matchup_zone": "Shape fallback", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0664 } }, "César Montes": { "player_id": 818406, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 23, "height": 195, "market_value": 7300000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 4, "aerial_won": 5, "rating": 6.8886, "minutes": 82, "total_pass": 52, "accurate_pass": 41, "duels_won": 7, "total_long_balls": 7, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 25, "accurate_own_half_passes": 23, "total_opp_half_passes": 26, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 17, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 63, "possession_lost": 11.6359, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0123, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0712, "expected_assists": 0.0798, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 2, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.2892, "ball_carries": 0, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 2, "tackles_in_zone": 1.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.0, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.765, "opponent_faced": "Hyeon-gyu Oh", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0858 } }, "Edson Álvarez": { "player_id": 847151, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 190, "market_value": 17500000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0037, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0213, "rating": 6.4055, "minutes": 49, "total_pass": 13, "accurate_pass": 10, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 6, "accurate_own_half_passes": 9, "total_opp_half_passes": 7, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 6, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 14, "possession_lost": 3.6111, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0246, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 1, "progressive_carries": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "crosses_attempted": 2.5, "duel_win_rate": 0.548, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Hong Hyun-seok", "opponent_faced": "Hong Hyun-seok", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.015 } }, "Gilberto Mora": { "player_id": 1914576, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 19, "height": 166, "market_value": 11000000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.2747, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0807, "rating": 6.9041, "minutes": 71, "total_pass": 25, "accurate_pass": 22, "ball_recovery": 4, "duels_won": 2, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 13, "accurate_own_half_passes": 11, "total_opp_half_passes": 13, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 12, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 39, "possession_lost": 8.587, "dispossessed": 1.0102, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 1.0102, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 3, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.9193, "ball_carries": 15, "total_progression": 71, "progressive_carries": 3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.309, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Kang-in Lee", "opponent_faced": "Kang-in Lee", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.2259 } }, "Álvaro Fidalgo": { "player_id": 838629, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 15, "height": 174, "market_value": 10900000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0329, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 6.5477, "minutes": 57, "total_pass": 34, "accurate_pass": 30, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 3, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 12, "accurate_own_half_passes": 11, "total_opp_half_passes": 22, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 19, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 42, "possession_lost": 5.7665, "dispossessed": 1.3432, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 3, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0909, "ball_carries": 15, "total_progression": 51, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.341, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Kang-in Lee", "opponent_faced": "Kang-in Lee", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0253 } }, "Marcel Ruíz": { "player_id": 942167, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 14, "height": 182, "market_value": 10600000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0751, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0543, "rating": 6.8811, "minutes": 59, "total_pass": 56, "accurate_pass": 49, "ball_recovery": 4, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 6, "accurate_long_balls": 4, "total_own_half_passes": 22, "accurate_own_half_passes": 21, "total_opp_half_passes": 34, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 28, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 67, "possession_lost": 8.8274, "dispossessed": 2.0177, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 3, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 3, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.1211, "ball_carries": 18, "total_progression": 79, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "crosses_attempted": 2.4, "duel_win_rate": 0.467, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Jens Castrop", "opponent_faced": "Jens Castrop", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0357 } }, "Armando González": { "player_id": 1595162, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 34, "height": 179, "market_value": 16000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.1572, "goal_rate": 0.0755, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.1212, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 6.7373, "minutes": 86, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 16, "accurate_pass": 12, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 11, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 8, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 24, "possession_lost": 6.5009, "dispossessed": 1.027, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 2, "blocks": 2, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.267, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 7, "total_progression": 20, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.363, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Kim Min-jae", "opponent_faced": "Kim Min-jae", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1562 } }, "Germán Berterame": { "player_id": 822606, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 19, "height": 173, "market_value": 12400000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.1501, "goal_rate": 0.1, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_shots": 2, "rating": 6.9024, "minutes": 90, "expected_assists": 0.0508, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "key_pass": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "fouls_drawn": 1, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.329, "pressing_faced": "MEDIUM", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Kim Min-jae", "opponent_faced": "Kim Min-jae", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1153 } }, "Julián Quiñones": { "player_id": 843114, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 33, "height": 180, "market_value": 11100000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.2555, "goal_rate": 0.0567, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.2793, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 7.0312, "minutes": 90, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 4, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 28, "accurate_pass": 22, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 22, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 16, "crosses_total": 3, "crosses_accurate": 2, "touches": 45, "possession_lost": 12.5818, "dispossessed": 2.5972, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 4, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 1.0813, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 12, "total_progression": 33, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Kim Min-jae, Young-woo Seol", "opponent_faced": "Kim Min-jae, Young-woo Seol", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.2647 } } }, "bench_players": { "Raúl Rangel": { "player_id": 990408, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 1, "height": 190, "market_value": 5800000, "stats": { "saves": 0, "goals_prevented": 0.0016, "rating": 6.7124, "minutes": 5, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "touches": 2, "clearances": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "high_claims": 0, "punches": 0.0, "aerial_won": 0, "sweeper_actions": 0, "sweeper_accurate": 0, "saves_inside_box": 0, "possession_lost": 0.2994, "duels_won": 0, "duels_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 1, "accurate_own_half_passes": 1, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.115, "bench_expected_minutes": 4.53 } }, "Jesús Orozco": { "player_id": 1088274, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 5, "height": 189, "market_value": 6300000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "duels_won": 1, "rating": 6.656, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.306, 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"progressive_carries": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.439, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Erik Lira", "opponent_faced": "Erik Lira", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0 } } }, "bench_players": { "Jo Hyeonwoo": { "player_id": 825502, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 21, "height": 189, "market_value": 680000, "stats": { "saves": 0, "goals_prevented": 0.0, "rating": 6.5328, "minutes": 4, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "touches": 2, "clearances": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "high_claims": 0, "punches": 0.08, "aerial_won": 0, "sweeper_actions": 0, "sweeper_accurate": 0, "saves_inside_box": 0, "possession_lost": 0.3481, "duels_won": 0, "duels_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 1, "accurate_own_half_passes": 1, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.109, "bench_expected_minutes": 4.39 } }, "Han-Beom Lee": { "player_id": 1002448, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 3, "height": 188, "market_value": 1700000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 6.6283, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 2, "duels_won": 0, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 0, "accurate_own_half_passes": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 3, "possession_lost": 0.5919, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0044, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 1, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "Ju-sung Kim": { "player_id": 985153, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 37, "height": 186, "market_value": 775000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 6.5142, "minutes": 14, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 3, "duels_won": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 2, "accurate_own_half_passes": 2, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 6, "possession_lost": 1.1838, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 2, "progressive_carries": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.299, "bench_expected_minutes": 13.57 } }, "Jun-Ho Bae": { "player_id": 1185869, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 180, "market_value": 2900000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0239, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.012, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97 } }, "Seung Ho Paik": { "player_id": 881307, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 8, "height": 182, "market_value": 2400000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0239, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.012, "rating": 6.6724, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 9, "ball_recovery": 1, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97 } }, "Yang Hyun-Jun": { "player_id": 1103531, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 13, "height": 179, "market_value": 3200000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.022, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 6.6687, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 4, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 4, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 3, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 8, "possession_lost": 2.3466, "dispossessed": 0.982, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 10, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.3 } }, "Gue-sung Cho": { "player_id": 1014281, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 188, "market_value": 2900000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0219, "goal_rate": 0.2674, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0012, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 7.3801, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 3, "possession_lost": 0.5515, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.1544, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 6, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29 } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.96, "expected_assists": 0.6, "total_shots": 14, "shots_on_target": 7, "total_passes": 351, "interceptions": 9, "tackles": 12, "avg_rating": 6.76, "possession_estimated_pct": 48.6, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.3 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Edson Álvarez", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 17500000, "attacker_height": 190, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.606, "defenders": [ "Hong Hyun-seok" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.436, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.548, "xg_contribution": 0.0253, "shots_in_zone": 1.2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 2.5, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hong Hyun-seok", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 2900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.452 } ], "duel_analysis": "Edson Álvarez (LWB) is slightly favored against Hong Hyun-seok in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 55%. Projected xG contribution: 0.025 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Álvaro Fidalgo", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 10900000, "attacker_height": 174, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.533, "defenders": [ "Kang-in Lee" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.718, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.341, "xg_contribution": 0.1028, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kang-in Lee", "role": "CM", "market_value": 30000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.659 } ], "duel_analysis": "Álvaro Fidalgo (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Kang-in Lee in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 34%. The quality gap is significant (€11M vs €30M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.103 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Gilberto Mora", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 11000000, "attacker_height": 166, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.534, "defenders": [ "Kang-in Lee" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.718, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.309, "xg_contribution": 0.0674, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.7, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kang-in Lee", "role": "CM", "market_value": 30000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.3, "defensive_success_rate": 0.691 } ], "duel_analysis": "Gilberto Mora (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Kang-in Lee in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 31%. The quality gap is significant (€11M vs €30M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.067 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Marcel Ruíz", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 10600000, "attacker_height": 182, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.529, "defenders": [ "Jens Castrop" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.47, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.467, "xg_contribution": 0.0579, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Jens Castrop", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 5600000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.533 } ], "duel_analysis": "Marcel Ruíz (RWB) is evenly matched against Jens Castrop in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 47%. Projected xG contribution: 0.058 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Armando González", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 16000000, "attacker_height": 179, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.59, "defenders": [ "Kim Min-jae" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.686, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.363, "xg_contribution": 0.1572, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kim Min-jae", "role": "CB", "market_value": 26000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.637 } ], "duel_analysis": "Armando González (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Kim Min-jae in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 36%. Projected xG contribution: 0.157 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Germán Berterame", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 12400000, "attacker_height": 173, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.55, "defenders": [ "Kim Min-jae" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.686, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.329, "xg_contribution": 0.1501, "shots_in_zone": 2.1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kim Min-jae", "role": "CB", "market_value": 26000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.671 } ], "duel_analysis": "Germán Berterame (SS) faces tough defensive resistance against Kim Min-jae in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 33%. Projected xG contribution: 0.150 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Julián Quiñones", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 11100000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.535, "defenders": [ "Kim Min-jae", "Young-woo Seol" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.575, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.2555, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kim Min-jae", "role": "CB", "market_value": 26000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Young-woo Seol", "role": "CB", "market_value": 5200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Julián Quiñones (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Kim Min-jae and Young-woo Seol in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.256 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Jens Castrop", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 5600000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.47, "defenders": [ "Marcel Ruíz" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.529, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.373, "xg_contribution": 0.0544, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.2, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Marcel Ruíz", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 10600000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.627 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jens Castrop (LWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Marcel Ruíz in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 37%. Projected xG contribution: 0.054 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Kang-in Lee", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 30000000, "attacker_height": 173, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.718, "defenders": [ "Álvaro Fidalgo" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.533, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.499, "xg_contribution": 0.0778, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Álvaro Fidalgo", "role": "CM", "market_value": 10900000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.501 } ], "duel_analysis": "Kang-in Lee (CM) is evenly matched against Álvaro Fidalgo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 50%. The quality gap is significant (€30M vs €11M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.078 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Hwang In-beom", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 7300000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.49, "defenders": [ "Álvaro Fidalgo" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.533, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.413, "xg_contribution": 0.0553, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Álvaro Fidalgo", "role": "CM", "market_value": 10900000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.587 } ], "duel_analysis": "Hwang In-beom (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Álvaro Fidalgo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 41%. Projected xG contribution: 0.055 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Hong Hyun-seok", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 2900000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.436, "defenders": [ "Edson Álvarez" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.606, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.292, "xg_contribution": 0.0595, "shots_in_zone": 0.8, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.2, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Edson Álvarez", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 17500000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.708 } ], "duel_analysis": "Hong Hyun-seok (RWB) is heavily outmatched defensively against Edson Álvarez in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 29%. Projected xG contribution: 0.060 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Son Heung-min", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 18600000, "attacker_height": 184, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.617, "defenders": [ "Erik Lira" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.559, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.524, "xg_contribution": 0.2742, "shots_in_zone": 2.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Erik Lira", "role": "CB", "market_value": 13200000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.476 } ], "duel_analysis": "Son Heung-min (SS) is slightly favored against Erik Lira in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 52%. Projected xG contribution: 0.274 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Hwang Hee-chan", "attacker_role": "SS", "attacker_market_value": 7300000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.49, "defenders": [ "Erik Lira" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.559, "duel_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.439, "xg_contribution": 0.0869, "shots_in_zone": 2.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Erik Lira", "role": "CB", "market_value": 13200000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.561 } ], "duel_analysis": "Hwang Hee-chan (SS) is evenly matched against Erik Lira in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.087 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Hyeon-gyu Oh", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 16000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.59, "defenders": [ "Erik Lira", "César Montes" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.525, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.235, "xg_contribution": 0.1184, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Erik Lira", "role": "CB", "market_value": 13200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.765 }, { "player": "César Montes", "role": "CB", "market_value": 7300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.765 } ], "duel_analysis": "Hyeon-gyu Oh (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Erik Lira and César Montes in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 24%. Projected xG contribution: 0.118 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.576, "away_midfield_power": 0.553, "home_creative_power": 0.565, "away_creative_power": 0.54, "home_defensive_power": 0.579, "away_defensive_power": 0.385, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.51, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 4, "home_midfield_players": [ "Edson Álvarez", "Gilberto Mora", "Álvaro Fidalgo", "Marcel Ruíz" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Kang-in Lee", "Hwang In-beom", "Jens Castrop", "Hong Hyun-seok" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 51.4, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 48.6, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.3, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.3, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.9, "away_key_passes_projected": 4.7, "home_throughball_threat": 2.3, "away_throughball_threat": 2.2, "key_personal_duel": "Edson Álvarez vs Kang-in Lee", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.015, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.995 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "3-4-2-1", "away_formation": "3-4-2-1", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-4-2-1 and 3-4-2-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.103, "away_lambda": 0.962, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Edson Álvarez": { "opponents": [ "Hong Hyun-seok", "Jens Castrop" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Álvaro Fidalgo": { "opponents": [ "Kang-in Lee", "Hwang In-beom" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Gilberto Mora": { "opponents": [ "Kang-in Lee", "Hwang In-beom" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Marcel Ruíz": { "opponents": [ "Jens Castrop", "Hong Hyun-seok" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Armando González": { "opponents": [ "Kim Min-jae" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Germán Berterame": { "opponents": [ "Kim Min-jae" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Julián Quiñones": { "opponents": [ "Kim Min-jae", "Young-woo Seol" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Erik Lira": { "opponents": [ "Son Heung-min", "Hwang Hee-chan", "Hyeon-gyu Oh" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "César Montes": { "opponents": [ "Hyeon-gyu Oh" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Luis Malagón": { "opponents": [ "Son Heung-min", "Hwang Hee-chan" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Johan Vásquez": { "opponents": [ "Son Heung-min" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Hong Hyun-seok": { "opponents": [ "Edson Álvarez", "Marcel Ruíz" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Kang-in Lee": { "opponents": [ "Álvaro Fidalgo", "Gilberto Mora" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Jens Castrop": { "opponents": [ "Marcel Ruíz", "Edson Álvarez" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Kim Min-jae": { "opponents": [ "Armando González", "Germán Berterame", "Julián Quiñones" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Young-woo Seol": { "opponents": [ "Julián Quiñones" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Hwang In-beom": { "opponents": [ "Álvaro Fidalgo", "Gilberto Mora" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Son Heung-min": { "opponents": [ "Erik Lira" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Hwang Hee-chan": { "opponents": [ "Erik Lira" ], "primary_zone": "Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Hyeon-gyu Oh": { "opponents": [ "Erik Lira", "César Montes" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Bum-keun Song": { "opponents": [ "Armando González", "Germán Berterame" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Yu-min Cho": { "opponents": [ "Armando González" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Edson Álvarez vs Kang-in Lee will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.82, Away: 0.73. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Shadow Striker vs Centre Back — Half-Space Threat.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0211, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9955, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.081, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.0691, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9916, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.974, "home_midfield_factor": 1.015, "away_midfield_factor": 0.995, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": false, "home_avg_quality": 0.5475, "away_avg_quality": 0.5385, "avg_quality_gap": 0.009, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.0106, "top5_value_gap_log": -0.2831, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.0183, "elite_count_gap": 0, "combined_quality_gap": 0.0003, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.0, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.0, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0375, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0338, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.1025, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.9618, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.103, "final_away_lambda": 0.962 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-01T17:42:23Z" }