{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Belgium", "away_team": "Iran", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260621", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-4-2" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "2-0", "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.118, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.118 }, { "score": "3-0", "probability": 0.1162 }, { "score": "4-0", "probability": 0.0858 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.0799 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0775 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0271, "0-1": 0.0178, "0-2": 0.0058, "0-3": 0.0013, "1-0": 0.0799, "1-1": 0.0525, "1-2": 0.0172, "1-3": 0.0038, "1-4": 0.0006, "2-0": 0.118, "2-1": 0.0775, "2-2": 0.0255, "2-3": 0.0056, "2-4": 0.0009, "3-0": 0.1162, "3-1": 0.0764, "3-2": 0.0251, "3-3": 0.0055, "3-4": 0.0009, "4-0": 0.0858, "4-1": 0.0564, "4-2": 0.0185, "4-3": 0.0041, "4-4": 0.0007, "5-0": 0.0507, "5-1": 0.0333, "5-2": 0.0109, "5-3": 0.0024, "6-0": 0.025, "6-1": 0.0164, "6-2": 0.0054, "6-3": 0.0012, "7-0": 0.0105, "7-1": 0.0069, "7-2": 0.0023, "8-0": 0.0039, "8-1": 0.0026, "8-2": 0.0008, "9-0": 0.0013, "9-1": 0.0008 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.8341, "draw": 0.1112, "away_win": 0.0546 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.6989, "under_2_5_goals": 0.3011, "btts_yes": 0.4565, "btts_no": 0.5435, "home_clean_sheet": 0.5184, "away_clean_sheet": 0.0522 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 81.79, "MCR": 90.81, "ATR": 89.81, "GK": 95.98 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 59.81, "MCR": 88.86, "ATR": 87.7, "GK": 87.37 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Belgium vs Iran. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 4 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Romelu Lukaku, Charles De Ketelaere", "tactical_analysis": "4-2-3-1 creates structural superiority against 4-4-2. Home team should exploit wider spaces and numerical advantages in transition. Home midfield dominates with ~53% possession expected (Amadou Onana vs Mehdi Ghayedi). Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.14, Away: 0.51. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel." }, "confidence": 0.89, "home_lambda": 2.954, "away_lambda": 0.657 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.8341, "draw": 0.1112, "away_win": 0.0546 }, "favorite": "Belgium", "favorite_win_probability": 0.8341, "fair_spread": 2.297, "fair_total": 3.611, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Belgium", "estimate": 2.954, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Iran", "estimate": 0.657, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.6989, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.4565, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Belgium", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.5184, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Iran", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.0522, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Charles De Ketelaere (Belgium)", "estimate": 0.6396, "probability": 0.3897, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Ramin Rezaeian (Iran)", "estimate": 0.1577, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Youri Tielemans (Belgium)", "estimate": 0.3881, "probability": 0.5654, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Ramin Rezaeian (Iran)", "estimate": 0.2611, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "high", "expected_total_goals": 3.611, "expected_total_shots": 26, "expected_total_passes": 834, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 13.7, "possession_home_pct": 52.7, "possession_away_pct": 47.3, "notes": "Belgium projects to control midfield possession" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Belgium", "favorite_win_probability": 0.8341, "script": "Belgium is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains favorite-led: fair spread +2.30 goals and fair total 3.61.", "first_half": "Expect high tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 13 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Iran must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Belgium lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Belgium chance creation leans on Charles De Ketelaere against Shoja Khalilzadeh, Ali Nemati in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; Belgium projects to control midfield possession.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Belgium: starters carry the main goal usage through Romelu Lukaku, Charles De Ketelaere; bench watchlist: Jérémy Doku, Senne Lammens, Matías Fernández-Pardo.", "Iran: starters carry the main goal usage through the highest xG attackers; bench watchlist: Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh, Dennis Eckert Ayensa, Hossein Kanaani.", "Assist usage should flow through Kevin De Bruyne, Youri Tielemans; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Belgium tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects high tempo, about 13 total first-half shots, and 1.81 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If Iran is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Belgium.", "Iran wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Belgium": { "formation": "4-2-3-1", "players": { "Romelu Lukaku": { "player_id": 78893, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 191, "market_value": 5800000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.5243, "goal_rate": 0.0003, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0174, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 90.18, "minutes": 24, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 6, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 3, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 3, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 10, "possession_lost": 1.9832, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_lost": 0, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 4, "total_progression": 3, "progressive_carries": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.5, "crosses_attempted": 1.9, "duel_win_rate": 0.559, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Milad Mohammadi", "opponent_faced": "Milad Mohammadi", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.3162, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0199, "fifa_overall": 84.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186837, "match_date": "2026-06-15", "home_team": "Belgium", "away_team": "Egypt", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Belgium", "opponent": "Egypt", "stats": { "minutes": 24, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.2614, "expected_assists": 0.0179, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 4030, "combined_rank_score": 375.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 532.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.8, "sofascore_appearances": 2.0, "fifa_rank": 219.0, "fifa_overall": 84.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 16, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.18, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Romelu Lukaku", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Alexander Selecký", "ranking": 4025 }, { "player_name": "Mohammad Abu Zrayq", "ranking": 4026 }, { "player_name": "Pierre Kalulu", "ranking": 4027 }, { "player_name": "Delvin Alfonzo", "ranking": 4028 }, { "player_name": "Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa", "ranking": 4029 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Raúl Asencio", "ranking": 4031 }, { "player_name": "Walid Rhailouf", "ranking": 4032 }, { "player_name": "Gonzalo Salega", "ranking": 4033 }, { "player_name": "Abdellatif Benkassou", "ranking": 4034 }, { "player_name": "Alejo Antilef", "ranking": 4035 } ] } } }, "Leandro Trossard": { "player_id": 135666, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 172, "market_value": 19300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.2652, "goal_rate": 0.0003, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.1191, "key_pass": 2, "rating": 90.0038, "minutes": 77, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 6, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 30, "accurate_pass": 26, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 16, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 13, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 30, "possession_lost": 7.4681, "dispossessed": 1.3795, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 2, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 2, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 12, "total_progression": 34, "progressive_carries": 2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.464, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "CAM vs CM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Ramin Rezaeian", "opponent_faced": "Ramin Rezaeian", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.2091, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.1919, "fifa_overall": 83.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186837, "match_date": "2026-06-15", "home_team": "Belgium", "away_team": "Egypt", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Belgium", "opponent": "Egypt", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.2003, "expected_assists": 0.1513, "total_shots": 3, "total_pass": 35, "accurate_pass": 30, "key_pass": 3, "tackles": 2, "duels_won": 7, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14023950, "match_date": "2026-05-18", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Burnley", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Burnley", "stats": { "minutes": 89, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.075, "expected_assists": 0.1064, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 28, "key_pass": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023942, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "West Ham United", "away_team": "Arsenal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "West Ham United", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.9, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.45, "expected_assists": 0.0402, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 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"UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632633, "match_date": "2026-04-29", "home_team": "Atlético Madrid", "away_team": "Arsenal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Atlético Madrid", "stats": { "minutes": 22, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1314, "expected_assists": 0.015, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 12, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632631, "match_date": "2026-04-15", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Sporting CP", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Sporting CP", "stats": { "minutes": 11, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 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"76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631372, "match_date": "2026-03-17", "home_team": "Arsenal", "away_team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Arsenal", "opponent": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "stats": { "minutes": 69, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.3503, "expected_assists": 0.0301, "total_shots": 5, "shots_on_target": 3, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 25, "accurate_pass": 22, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 13233695, "match_date": "2025-11-18", "home_team": "Belgium", "away_team": "Liechtenstein", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Belgium", 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UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 4290, "combined_rank_score": 381.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 458.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.8636, "sofascore_appearances": 11.0, "fifa_rank": 304.0, "fifa_overall": 83.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 13, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 7.0038, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Leandro Trossard", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Andres Mena", "ranking": 4285 }, { "player_name": "Vincentas Sarkauskas", "ranking": 4286 }, { "player_name": "Oleg Kudryk", "ranking": 4287 }, { "player_name": "Adrian Cela", "ranking": 4288 }, { "player_name": "Miroslav Serdyuk", "ranking": 4289 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Iván Maggi", "ranking": 4291 }, { "player_name": "Nahuel López", "ranking": 4292 }, { "player_name": "Márk Kovácsréti", "ranking": 4293 }, { "player_name": "Admir Bristrić", "ranking": 4294 }, { "player_name": "Nikola Kuveljić", "ranking": 4295 } ] } } }, "Kevin De Bruyne": { "player_id": 70996, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 7, "height": 181, "market_value": 8300000, "stats": { "key_pass": 2, "expected_assists": 0.1339, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.3427, "rating": 93.6876, "minutes": 80, "total_pass": 39, "accurate_pass": 32, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 3, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 11, "accurate_own_half_passes": 10, "total_opp_half_passes": 33, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 28, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 2, "touches": 55, "possession_lost": 11.3378, "dispossessed": 2.0014, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, 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"key_pass": 0, "rating": 88.5611, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 2, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 0.8273, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 6, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186832, "match_date": "2026-06-16", "home_team": "Iran", "away_team": "New Zealand", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Iran", "opponent": "New Zealand", "stats": { "minutes": 10, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0077, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 7, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 941, "combined_rank_score": 332.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 419.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 2, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.5611, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Chris Ramos", "ranking": 936 }, { "player_name": "Thiago Maia", "ranking": 937 }, { "player_name": "Juan Dominguez", "ranking": 938 }, { "player_name": "Maksim Samorodov", "ranking": 939 }, { "player_name": "Filip Uremović", "ranking": 940 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Mycael", "ranking": 942 }, { "player_name": "Kaick", "ranking": 943 }, { "player_name": "Cho Sang-Jun", "ranking": 944 }, { "player_name": "Adson", "ranking": 945 }, { "player_name": "Emiliano Gómez", "ranking": 946 } ] } } }, "Dennis Eckert Ayensa": { "player_id": 812797, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 181, "market_value": 1900000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0007, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0154, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 79.4326, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 3, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 3, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 1.4698, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 3, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 73.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15858603, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Standard Liège", "away_team": "RC Sporting Charleroi", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Standard Liège", "opponent": "RC Sporting Charleroi", "stats": { "minutes": 23, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0176, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 5, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Pro League", "league_id": "38", "league_slug": "pro-league", "league_country": "Belgium", "season_id": "77040", "season_name": "Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15858600, "match_date": "2026-05-19", "home_team": "KVC Westerlo", "away_team": "Standard Liège", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Standard Liège", "opponent": "KVC Westerlo", "stats": { "minutes": 12, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Pro League", "league_id": "38", "league_slug": "pro-league", "league_country": "Belgium", "season_id": "77040", "season_name": "Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15858597, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "Standard Liège", "away_team": "KRC Genk", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Standard Liège", "opponent": "KRC Genk", "stats": { "minutes": 73, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1828, "expected_assists": 0.1255, "total_shots": 2, "total_pass": 21, "accurate_pass": 13, "key_pass": 3, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Pro League", "league_id": "38", "league_slug": "pro-league", "league_country": "Belgium", "season_id": "77040", "season_name": "Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15858588, "match_date": "2026-05-08", "home_team": "Standard Liège", "away_team": "Oud-Heverlee Leuven", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Standard Liège", "opponent": "Oud-Heverlee Leuven", "stats": { "minutes": 27, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.4888, "expected_assists": 0.1487, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 10, "key_pass": 2, "clearances": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Pro League", "league_id": "38", "league_slug": "pro-league", "league_country": "Belgium", "season_id": "77040", "season_name": "Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 17306, "combined_rank_score": 1885.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 3519.0, "fifa_overall": 73.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 5, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.4326, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Dennis Eckert Ayensa", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Jaroslav Zelený", "ranking": 17301 }, { "player_name": "Jon Gorenc Stanković", "ranking": 17302 }, { "player_name": "Mohamed Bayo", "ranking": 17303 }, { "player_name": "Andrew Omobamidele", "ranking": 17304 }, { "player_name": "Josef Martínez", "ranking": 17305 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Georgios Giakoumakis", "ranking": 17307 }, { "player_name": "Victor Eriksson", "ranking": 17308 }, { "player_name": "Alberto Dossena", "ranking": 17309 }, { "player_name": "Warmed Omari", "ranking": 17310 }, { "player_name": "Pedrinho", "ranking": 17311 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.66, "expected_assists": 0.62, "total_shots": 13, "shots_on_target": 4, "total_passes": 399, "interceptions": 7, "tackles": 13, "avg_rating": 80.48, "possession_estimated_pct": 47.3, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.3 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Kevin De Bruyne", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 8300000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.502, "defenders": [ "Mehdi Taremi" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.426, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.49, "xg_contribution": 0.227, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mehdi Taremi", "role": "RB", "market_value": 2100000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.51 } ], "duel_analysis": "Kevin De Bruyne (LW) is evenly matched against Mehdi Taremi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 49%. Projected xG contribution: 0.227 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Romelu Lukaku", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 5800000, "attacker_height": 191, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.472, "defenders": [ "Milad Mohammadi" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.412, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.559, "xg_contribution": 0.3155, "shots_in_zone": 2.1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 1.9, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Milad Mohammadi", "role": "LB", "market_value": 930000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.441 } ], "duel_analysis": "Romelu Lukaku (RW) is slightly favored against Milad Mohammadi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 56%. Projected xG contribution: 0.316 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Leandro Trossard", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 19300000, "attacker_height": 172, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.624, "defenders": [ "Ramin Rezaeian" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.403, "duel_zone": "CAM vs CM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.464, "xg_contribution": 0.1596, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ramin Rezaeian", "role": "CM", "market_value": 230000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.536 } ], "duel_analysis": "Leandro Trossard (CAM) is evenly matched against Ramin Rezaeian in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 46%. The quality gap is significant (€19M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.160 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Charles De Ketelaere", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 27000000, "attacker_height": 192, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.694, "defenders": [ "Shoja Khalilzadeh", "Ali Nemati" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.404, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.369, "xg_contribution": 0.3849, "shots_in_zone": 2.8, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 2.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Shoja Khalilzadeh", "role": "CB", "market_value": 110000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.631 }, { "player": "Ali Nemati", "role": "CB", "market_value": 515000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.631 } ], "duel_analysis": "Charles De Ketelaere (ST) faces tough defensive resistance against Shoja Khalilzadeh and Ali Nemati in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 37%. The quality gap is significant (€27M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.385 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Youri Tielemans", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 33000000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.739, "defenders": [ "Ramin Rezaeian" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.403, "duel_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.515, "xg_contribution": 0.0577, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ramin Rezaeian", "role": "CM", "market_value": 230000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.485 } ], "duel_analysis": "Youri Tielemans (CDM) is slightly favored against Ramin Rezaeian in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 52%. The quality gap is significant (€33M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.058 — creating consistent moderate threat." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Mohammad Mohebi", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 2300000, "attacker_height": 188, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.429, "defenders": [ "Brandon Mechele", "Nathan Ngoy" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.551, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.1724, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Brandon Mechele", "role": "CB", "market_value": 2700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Nathan Ngoy", "role": "CB", "market_value": 24000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mohammad Mohebi (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Brandon Mechele and Nathan Ngoy in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.172 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Aria Yousefi", "attacker_role": "LM", "attacker_market_value": 1600000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.42, "defenders": [ "Thomas Meunier" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.417, "duel_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.425, "xg_contribution": 0.0532, "shots_in_zone": 1.5, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Thomas Meunier", "role": "RB", "market_value": 1400000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.575 } ], "duel_analysis": "Aria Yousefi (LM) is evenly matched against Thomas Meunier in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 43%. Projected xG contribution: 0.053 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Saeid Ezatolahi", "attacker_role": "RM", "attacker_market_value": 1700000, "attacker_height": 190, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.421, "defenders": [ "Maxim De Cuyper" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.641, "duel_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.389, "xg_contribution": 0.0583, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Maxim De Cuyper", "role": "LB", "market_value": 21000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.1, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.611 } ], "duel_analysis": "Saeid Ezatolahi (RM) faces tough defensive resistance against Maxim De Cuyper in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 39%. The quality gap is significant (€2M vs €21M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.058 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Ramin Rezaeian", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 230000, "attacker_height": 186, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.403, "defenders": [ "Youri Tielemans" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.739, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.335, "xg_contribution": 0.2253, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Youri Tielemans", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 33000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.665 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ramin Rezaeian (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Youri Tielemans in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 33%. The quality gap is significant (€0M vs €33M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.225 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.676, "away_midfield_power": 0.451, "home_creative_power": 0.777, "away_creative_power": 0.449, "home_defensive_power": 0.574, "away_defensive_power": 0.421, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.6, "home_midfield_count": 3, "away_midfield_count": 4, "home_midfield_players": [ "Kevin De Bruyne", "Youri Tielemans", "Amadou Onana" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Ramin Rezaeian", "Mehdi Ghayedi", "Aria Yousefi", "Saeid Ezatolahi" ], "possession_advantage": "home", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 52.7, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 47.3, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.4, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.3, "home_key_passes_projected": 6.2, "away_key_passes_projected": 4.2, "home_throughball_threat": 2.9, "away_throughball_threat": 1.9, "key_personal_duel": "Amadou Onana vs Mehdi Ghayedi", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.043, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.969 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-4-2", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.07, "away_tactical_bonus": -0.04, "formation_verdict": "4-2-3-1 creates structural superiority against 4-4-2. Home team should exploit wider spaces and numerical advantages in transition." }, "home_lambda": 2.954, "away_lambda": 0.657, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Kevin De Bruyne": { "opponents": [ "Mehdi Taremi", "Aria Yousefi" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Romelu Lukaku": { "opponents": [ "Milad Mohammadi" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Leandro Trossard": { "opponents": [ "Ramin Rezaeian" ], "primary_zone": "CAM vs CM", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Charles De Ketelaere": { "opponents": [ "Shoja Khalilzadeh", "Ali Nemati" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Youri Tielemans": { "opponents": [ "Ramin Rezaeian", "Saeid Ezatolahi" ], "primary_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Brandon Mechele": { "opponents": [ "Mohammad Mohebi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Nathan Ngoy": { "opponents": [ "Mohammad Mohebi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Thomas Meunier": { "opponents": [ "Aria Yousefi" ], "primary_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Maxim De Cuyper": { "opponents": [ "Saeid Ezatolahi" ], "primary_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Amadou Onana": { "opponents": [ "Mehdi Ghayedi" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Thibaut Courtois": { "opponents": [ "Shahriar Moghanlou", "Mehdi Taremi" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Mehdi Taremi": { "opponents": [ "Kevin De Bruyne" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Milad Mohammadi": { "opponents": [ "Romelu Lukaku" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Ramin Rezaeian": { "opponents": [ "Leandro Trossard", "Youri Tielemans" ], "primary_zone": "CAM vs CM", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Shoja Khalilzadeh": { "opponents": [ "Charles De Ketelaere" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Ali Nemati": { "opponents": [ "Charles De Ketelaere" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Mohammad Mohebi": { "opponents": [ "Brandon Mechele", "Nathan Ngoy" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Aria Yousefi": { "opponents": [ "Thomas Meunier", "Kevin De Bruyne" ], "primary_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Saeid Ezatolahi": { "opponents": [ "Maxim De Cuyper", "Youri Tielemans" ], "primary_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Mehdi Ghayedi": { "opponents": [ "Amadou Onana" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Alireza Beiranvand": { "opponents": [ "Leandro Trossard", "Romelu Lukaku" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Shahriar Moghanlou": { "opponents": [ "Nathan Ngoy", "Maxim De Cuyper" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Home midfield dominates with ~53% possession expected (Amadou Onana vs Mehdi Ghayedi). Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.14, Away: 0.51. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0229, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9548, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.18, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.108, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0318, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9714, "home_midfield_factor": 1.043, "away_midfield_factor": 0.969, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.5978, "away_avg_quality": 0.4186, "avg_quality_gap": 0.1792, "squad_value_gap_log": 2.0492, "top5_value_gap_log": 1.9408, "attack_value_gap_log": 1.8209, "elite_count_gap": 1, "combined_quality_gap": 0.3049, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.6707, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.4268, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0633, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.021, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": true, "mismatch_score_pressure_gap": 0.3049, "mismatch_favorite_lambda_boost": 1.0812, "mismatch_underdog_lambda_factor": 0.9795, "pre_mismatch_home_lambda": 2.732, "pre_mismatch_away_lambda": 0.671, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 2.7323, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.671, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 2.954, "final_away_lambda": 0.657 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-21T13:31:01Z" }