{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Switzerland", "away_team": "Canada", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260624", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-4-2" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "2-1", "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 1, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.0968, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0968 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.0927 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.0825 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.079 }, { "score": "3-1", "probability": 0.0758 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0337, "0-1": 0.0351, "0-2": 0.0183, "0-3": 0.0064, "0-4": 0.0017, "1-0": 0.079, "1-1": 0.0825, "1-2": 0.0431, "1-3": 0.015, "1-4": 0.0039, "1-5": 0.0008, "2-0": 0.0927, "2-1": 0.0968, "2-2": 0.0505, "2-3": 0.0176, "2-4": 0.0046, "2-5": 0.001, "3-0": 0.0726, "3-1": 0.0758, "3-2": 0.0396, "3-3": 0.0138, "3-4": 0.0036, "3-5": 0.0008, "4-0": 0.0426, "4-1": 0.0445, "4-2": 0.0232, "4-3": 0.0081, "4-4": 0.0021, "5-0": 0.02, "5-1": 0.0209, "5-2": 0.0109, "5-3": 0.0038, "5-4": 0.001, "6-0": 0.0078, "6-1": 0.0082, "6-2": 0.0043, "6-3": 0.0015, "7-0": 0.0026, "7-1": 0.0027, "7-2": 0.0014, "8-0": 0.0008, "8-1": 0.0008 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.6639, "draw": 0.1828, "away_win": 0.1532 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.6587, "under_2_5_goals": 0.3413, "btts_yes": 0.5861, "btts_no": 0.4139, "home_clean_sheet": 0.352, "away_clean_sheet": 0.0956 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 84.81, "MCR": 83.67, "ATR": 84.1, "GK": 92.82 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 77.82, "MCR": 79.14, "ATR": 86.71, "GK": 75.66 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Switzerland vs Canada. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 4 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Breel Embolo, Johan Manzambi, Jonathan David", "tactical_analysis": "4-2-3-1 creates structural superiority against 4-4-2. Home team should exploit wider spaces and numerical advantages in transition. Midfield is evenly contested — Johan Manzambi vs Tajon Buchanan will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.66, Away: 1.32. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.82, "home_lambda": 2.348, "away_lambda": 1.044 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.6639, "draw": 0.1828, "away_win": 0.1532 }, "favorite": "Switzerland", "favorite_win_probability": 0.6639, "fair_spread": 1.304, "fair_total": 3.392, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Switzerland", "estimate": 2.348, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Canada", "estimate": 1.044, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.6587, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.5861, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Switzerland", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.352, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Canada", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.0956, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Breel Embolo (Switzerland)", "estimate": 0.4634, "probability": 0.4862, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Cyle Larin (Canada)", "estimate": 0.3058, "probability": 0.2608, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Breel Embolo (Switzerland)", "estimate": 0.3956, "probability": 0.311, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Richie Laryea (Canada)", "estimate": 0.2737, "probability": 0.0852, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "high", "expected_total_goals": 3.392, "expected_total_shots": 25, "expected_total_passes": 932, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 14.2, "possession_home_pct": 52.1, "possession_away_pct": 47.9, "notes": "possession projects near even" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Switzerland", "favorite_win_probability": 0.6639, "script": "Switzerland is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains favorite-led: fair spread +1.30 goals and fair total 3.39.", "first_half": "Expect high tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 12 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Canada must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Switzerland lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Canada chance creation leans on Jonathan David against Manuel Akanji, Nico Elvedi in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; possession projects near even.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Switzerland: starters carry the main goal usage through Breel Embolo, Johan Manzambi; bench watchlist: Ardon Jashari, Noah Okafor, Denis Zakaria.", "Canada: starters carry the main goal usage through Jonathan David; bench watchlist: Alphonso Davies, Ismael Koné, Promise David.", "Assist usage should flow through Breel Embolo, Rubén Vargas, Stephen Eustaquio; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Switzerland tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects high tempo, about 12 total first-half shots, and 1.70 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If Canada is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Switzerland.", "Canada wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Switzerland": { "formation": "4-2-3-1", "players": { "Breel Embolo": { "player_id": 352296, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 7, "height": 185, "market_value": 13600000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.4634, "goal_rate": 0.7001, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.3956, "key_pass": 3, "rating": 84.1041, "minutes": 83, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 4, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 11, "accurate_pass": 8, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 9, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 6, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 25, "possession_lost": 7.9797, "dispossessed": 1.8344, "duels_lost": 4, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 3, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "assists": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 3, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.5503, "offsides": 2, "ball_carries": 4, "total_progression": 24, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.262, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Luc De Fougerolles, Derek Cornelius", "opponent_faced": "Luc De Fougerolles, Derek Cornelius", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.4862, "projected_assists": 1, "assist_probability": 0.311, "fifa_overall": 77.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186806, "match_date": "2026-06-18", "home_team": "Switzerland", "away_team": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Switzerland", "opponent": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "stats": { "minutes": 89, "rating": 7.4, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.147, "expected_assists": 0.1268, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 15, "accurate_pass": 10, "key_pass": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186526, "match_date": "2026-06-13", "home_team": "Qatar", "away_team": "Switzerland", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Switzerland", "opponent": "Qatar", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.0, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 1.1436, "expected_assists": 0.8388, "total_shots": 4, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 6, "key_pass": 5, "tackles": 1, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14061907, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Olympique de Marseille", "away_team": "Stade Rennais", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Stade Rennais", "opponent": "Olympique de Marseille", "stats": { "minutes": 45, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.7833, "expected_assists": 0.0071, "total_shots": 5, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 3, "total_pass": 13, "accurate_pass": 11, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14064513, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "Stade Rennais", "away_team": "Paris FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Stade Rennais", "opponent": "Paris FC", "stats": { "minutes": 23, "rating": 7.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0143, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 3, "key_pass": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14167989, "match_date": "2026-05-03", "home_team": "Olympique Lyonnais", "away_team": "Stade Rennais", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Stade Rennais", "opponent": "Olympique Lyonnais", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.3807, "expected_assists": 0.0053, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 7, "clearances": 4, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Ligue 1", "league_id": "34", "league_slug": "ligue-1", "league_country": "France", "season_id": "77356", "season_name": "Ligue 1 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 13233687, "match_date": "2025-11-18", "home_team": "Kosovo", "away_team": "Switzerland", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Switzerland", "opponent": "Kosovo", "stats": { "minutes": 69, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 16, "accurate_pass": 12, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 14898, "combined_rank_score": 741.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 139.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.3, "sofascore_appearances": 6.0, "fifa_rank": 1343.0, "fifa_overall": 77.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 8, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 7.1041, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Breel Embolo", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "José Luis Gayà", "ranking": 14893 }, { "player_name": "Kim Jong-Seok", "ranking": 14894 }, { "player_name": "Lutsharel Geertruida", "ranking": 14895 }, { "player_name": "Nicolò Fagioli", "ranking": 14896 }, { "player_name": "Tyrone Mings", "ranking": 14897 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Samú Costa", "ranking": 14899 }, { "player_name": "Pablo Maffeo", "ranking": 14900 }, { "player_name": "Šime Gržan", "ranking": 14901 }, { "player_name": "Kang-in Lee", "ranking": 14902 }, { "player_name": "Abbos Gulomov", "ranking": 14903 } ] } } }, "Rubén Vargas": { "player_id": 872919, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 17, "height": 179, "market_value": 11100000, "stats": { "key_pass": 2, "expected_assists": 0.3173, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.3224, "rating": 82.7983, "minutes": 47, "total_pass": 19, "accurate_pass": 17, "ball_recovery": 2, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 7, "accurate_own_half_passes": 7, "total_opp_half_passes": 12, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 10, "crosses_total": 3, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 32, "possession_lost": 8.0847, "dispossessed": 1.0106, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 5, "won_contest": 2, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 1.0032, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.6468, "ball_carries": 11, "total_progression": 51, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.449, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "CAM vs CM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Stephen Eustaquio", "opponent_faced": "Stephen Eustaquio", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.3061, "projected_assists": 1, "assist_probability": 0.3853, "fifa_overall": 75.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186806, "match_date": "2026-06-18", "home_team": "Switzerland", "away_team": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Switzerland", "opponent": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "stats": { "minutes": 19, "rating": 8.4, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.3643, "expected_assists": 0.2013, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 2, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 8, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186526, "match_date": "2026-06-13", "home_team": "Qatar", "away_team": "Switzerland", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Switzerland", "opponent": "Qatar", "stats": { "minutes": 79, "rating": 7.9, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.3682, "expected_assists": 0.5834, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 29, "accurate_pass": 27, "key_pass": 5, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 8, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14083715, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "Sevilla", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Sevilla", "opponent": "Celta Vigo", "stats": { "minutes": 26, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0792, "expected_assists": 0.0506, "total_shots": 3, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 20, "accurate_pass": 20, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083702, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Sevilla", "away_team": "Real Madrid", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Sevilla", "opponent": "Real Madrid", "stats": { "minutes": 54, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0954, "expected_assists": 0.133, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 15, "accurate_pass": 11, "key_pass": 3, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083644, "match_date": "2026-05-13", "home_team": "Villarreal", "away_team": "Sevilla", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Sevilla", "opponent": "Villarreal", "stats": { "minutes": 67, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.0288, "expected_assists": 0.1584, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 26, 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"team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Canada", "opponent": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "stats": { "minutes": 29, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.035, "expected_assists": 0.0486, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 1, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 16426, "combined_rank_score": 1215.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 2330.0, "fifa_overall": 75.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 4, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6174, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Promise David", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Joel Ordóñez", "ranking": 16421 }, { "player_name": "Roberto Piccoli", "ranking": 16422 }, { "player_name": "Johan Vásquez", "ranking": 16423 }, { "player_name": "Juan Quintero", "ranking": 16424 }, { "player_name": "Fashion Sakala", "ranking": 16425 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Aritz Elustondo", "ranking": 16427 }, { "player_name": "Marcel Hartel", "ranking": 16428 }, { "player_name": "Lazaros Rota", "ranking": 16429 }, { "player_name": "Deiver Machado", "ranking": 16430 }, { "player_name": "Miguel Almirón", "ranking": 16431 } ] } } }, "Tani Oluwaseyi": { "player_id": 1172477, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 12, "height": 188, "market_value": 8600000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.017, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0004, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 76.296, "minutes": 26, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 2.0487, "dispossessed": 1.6729, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0341, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 4, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.571, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.56, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 70.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186798, "match_date": "2026-06-18", "home_team": "Canada", "away_team": "Qatar", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Canada", "opponent": "Qatar", "stats": { "minutes": 19, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1015, "expected_assists": 0.0004, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186836, "match_date": "2026-06-12", "home_team": "Canada", "away_team": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Canada", "opponent": "Bosnia & Herzegovina", "stats": { "minutes": 76, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.18, "expected_assists": 0.0033, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 20, "accurate_pass": 6, "key_pass": 2, "aerial_won": 5, "duels_won": 8, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14083682, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Rayo Vallecano", "away_team": "Villarreal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Villarreal", "opponent": "Rayo Vallecano", "stats": { "minutes": 63, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1448, "expected_assists": 0.0023, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 7, "accurate_pass": 5, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "interceptions": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 11886259, "match_date": "2024-07-10", "home_team": "Argentina", "away_team": "Canada", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Canada", "opponent": "Argentina", "stats": { "minutes": 26, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.2702, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" }, { "match_id": 11886368, "match_date": "2024-06-30", "home_team": "Canada", "away_team": "Chile", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Canada", "opponent": "Chile", "stats": { "minutes": 14, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0201, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 4, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" }, { "match_id": 11886361, "match_date": "2024-06-25", "home_team": "Peru", "away_team": "Canada", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Canada", "opponent": "Peru", "stats": { "minutes": 8, "rating": 5.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.8307, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 19083, "combined_rank_score": 3285.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 855.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.504, "sofascore_appearances": 27.0, "fifa_rank": 5716.0, "fifa_overall": 70.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 6, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.296, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Tani Oluwaseyi", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Gumbau", "ranking": 19078 }, { "player_name": "Karl Hein", "ranking": 19079 }, { "player_name": "Assan Ouédraogo", "ranking": 19080 }, { "player_name": "Nicolai Vallys", "ranking": 19081 }, { "player_name": "Morgan Whittaker", "ranking": 19082 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Mohamed Belloumi", "ranking": 19084 }, { "player_name": "Isaac Price", "ranking": 19085 }, { "player_name": "Alexis Beka Beka", "ranking": 19086 }, { "player_name": "Jeppe Erenbjerg", "ranking": 19087 }, { "player_name": "Nico Serrano", "ranking": 19088 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.04, "expected_assists": 1.04, "total_shots": 15, "shots_on_target": 8, "total_passes": 410, "interceptions": 10, "tackles": 22, "avg_rating": 79.72, "possession_estimated_pct": 47.9, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.5 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Dan Ndoye", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 31000000, "attacker_height": 184, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.725, "defenders": [ "Alistair Johnston" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.494, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.6, "xg_contribution": 0.221, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Alistair Johnston", "role": "RB", "market_value": 7600000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.4 } ], "duel_analysis": "Dan Ndoye (LW) is slightly favored against Alistair Johnston in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 60%. The quality gap is significant (€31M vs €8M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.221 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Granit Xhaka", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 8500000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.505, "defenders": [ "Richie Laryea" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.412, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.562, "xg_contribution": 0.3801, "shots_in_zone": 2.1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Richie Laryea", "role": "LB", "market_value": 950000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.438 } ], "duel_analysis": "Granit Xhaka (RW) is slightly favored against Richie Laryea in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 56%. Projected xG contribution: 0.380 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Rubén Vargas", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 11100000, "attacker_height": 179, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.535, "defenders": [ "Stephen Eustaquio" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.481, "duel_zone": "CAM vs CM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.449, "xg_contribution": 0.3045, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Stephen Eustaquio", "role": "CM", "market_value": 6500000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.551 } ], "duel_analysis": "Rubén Vargas (CAM) is evenly matched against Stephen Eustaquio in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 45%. Projected xG contribution: 0.304 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Breel Embolo", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 13600000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.564, "defenders": [ "Luc De Fougerolles", "Derek Cornelius" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.421, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.262, "xg_contribution": 0.421, "shots_in_zone": 2.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Luc De Fougerolles", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.738 }, { "player": "Derek Cornelius", "role": "CB", "market_value": 2300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.738 } ], "duel_analysis": "Breel Embolo (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Luc De Fougerolles and Derek Cornelius in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 26%. Projected xG contribution: 0.421 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Johan Manzambi", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 54000000, "attacker_height": 182, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.837, "defenders": [ "Stephen Eustaquio" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.481, "duel_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.576, "xg_contribution": 0.3324, "shots_in_zone": 1.2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 1.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Stephen Eustaquio", "role": "CM", "market_value": 6500000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.424 } ], "duel_analysis": "Johan Manzambi (CDM) is slightly favored against Stephen Eustaquio in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 58%. The quality gap is significant (€54M vs €6M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.332 — creating consistent moderate threat." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Jonathan David", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 29000000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.71, "defenders": [ "Manuel Akanji", "Nico Elvedi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.537, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.248, "xg_contribution": 0.6813, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.6, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Manuel Akanji", "role": "CB", "market_value": 15500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.752 }, { "player": "Nico Elvedi", "role": "CB", "market_value": 7300000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.752 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jonathan David (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Manuel Akanji and Nico Elvedi in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 25%. The quality gap is significant (€29M vs €11M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.681 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Tajon Buchanan", "attacker_role": "LM", "attacker_market_value": 13000000, "attacker_height": 183, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.557, "defenders": [ "Remo Freuler" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.439, "duel_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.521, "xg_contribution": 0.5062, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.3, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Remo Freuler", "role": "RB", "market_value": 3100000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.479 } ], "duel_analysis": "Tajon Buchanan (LM) is slightly favored against Remo Freuler in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 52%. Projected xG contribution: 0.506 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Ali Ahmed", "attacker_role": "RM", "attacker_market_value": 5400000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.467, "defenders": [ "Ricardo Rodríguez" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.419, "duel_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.474, "xg_contribution": 0.122, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Ricardo Rodríguez", "role": "LB", "market_value": 1500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.526 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ali Ahmed (RM) is evenly matched against Ricardo Rodríguez in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 47%. Projected xG contribution: 0.122 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Stephen Eustaquio", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 6500000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.481, "defenders": [ "Johan Manzambi" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.837, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.274, "xg_contribution": 0.011, "shots_in_zone": 1.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Johan Manzambi", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 54000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.726 } ], "duel_analysis": "Stephen Eustaquio (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Johan Manzambi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 27%. The quality gap is significant (€6M vs €54M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.011 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.65, "away_midfield_power": 0.523, "home_creative_power": 0.533, "away_creative_power": 0.572, "home_defensive_power": 0.642, "away_defensive_power": 0.444, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.554, "home_midfield_count": 6, "away_midfield_count": 4, "home_midfield_players": [ "Rubén Vargas", "Johan Manzambi", "Granit Xhaka", "Remo Freuler", "Silvan Widmer", "Dan Ndoye" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Tajon Buchanan", "Stephen Eustaquio", "Nathan-Dylan Saliba", "Ali Ahmed" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 52.1, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 47.9, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.7, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.5, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.7, "away_key_passes_projected": 4.9, "home_throughball_threat": 2.2, "away_throughball_threat": 2.3, "key_personal_duel": "Johan Manzambi vs Tajon Buchanan", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.018, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.984 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-4-2", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.07, "away_tactical_bonus": -0.04, "formation_verdict": "4-2-3-1 creates structural superiority against 4-4-2. Home team should exploit wider spaces and numerical advantages in transition." }, "home_lambda": 2.348, "away_lambda": 1.044, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Dan Ndoye": { "opponents": [ "Alistair Johnston", "Ali Ahmed" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Granit Xhaka": { "opponents": [ "Richie Laryea", "Nathan-Dylan Saliba" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Rubén Vargas": { "opponents": [ "Stephen Eustaquio" ], "primary_zone": "CAM vs CM", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Breel Embolo": { "opponents": [ "Luc De Fougerolles", "Derek Cornelius" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Johan Manzambi": { "opponents": [ "Stephen Eustaquio", "Nathan-Dylan Saliba" ], "primary_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Manuel Akanji": { "opponents": [ "Jonathan David" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Nico Elvedi": { "opponents": [ "Jonathan David" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Remo Freuler": { "opponents": [ "Tajon Buchanan", "Stephen Eustaquio" ], "primary_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ricardo Rodríguez": { "opponents": [ "Ali Ahmed" ], "primary_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Silvan Widmer": { "opponents": [ "Tajon Buchanan" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Gregor Kobel": { "opponents": [ "Cyle Larin", "Jonathan David" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Alistair Johnston": { "opponents": [ "Dan Ndoye" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Richie Laryea": { "opponents": [ "Granit Xhaka" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Stephen Eustaquio": { "opponents": [ "Rubén Vargas", "Johan Manzambi", "Remo Freuler" ], "primary_zone": "CAM vs CM", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Luc De Fougerolles": { "opponents": [ "Breel Embolo" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Derek Cornelius": { "opponents": [ "Breel Embolo" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jonathan David": { "opponents": [ "Manuel Akanji", "Nico Elvedi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Tajon Buchanan": { "opponents": [ "Remo Freuler", "Silvan Widmer" ], "primary_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ali Ahmed": { "opponents": [ "Ricardo Rodríguez", "Dan Ndoye" ], "primary_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Nathan-Dylan Saliba": { "opponents": [ "Johan Manzambi", "Granit Xhaka" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Maxime Crépeau": { "opponents": [ "Breel Embolo", "Rubén Vargas" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Cyle Larin": { "opponents": [ "Manuel Akanji", "Nico Elvedi" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Johan Manzambi vs Tajon Buchanan will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.66, Away: 1.32. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0163, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.8678, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.0957, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.062, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0015, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.997, "home_midfield_factor": 1.018, "away_midfield_factor": 0.984, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.5507, "away_avg_quality": 0.4892, "avg_quality_gap": 0.0615, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.5947, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.6163, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.5736, "elite_count_gap": 1, "combined_quality_gap": 0.1035, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.2277, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.1449, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0673, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0536, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 2.3483, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 1.0436, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 2.348, "final_away_lambda": 1.044 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-24T13:34:51Z" }