{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Senegal", "away_team": "Iraq", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260626", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-3-3", "away_formation": "4-1-4-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "2-0", "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1237, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.1237 }, { "score": "3-0", "probability": 0.1164 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.0876 }, { "score": "4-0", "probability": 0.0822 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0804 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.031, "0-1": 0.0202, "0-2": 0.0066, "0-3": 0.0014, "1-0": 0.0876, "1-1": 0.057, "1-2": 0.0185, "1-3": 0.004, "1-4": 0.0007, "2-0": 0.1237, "2-1": 0.0804, "2-2": 0.0261, "2-3": 0.0057, "2-4": 0.0009, "3-0": 0.1164, "3-1": 0.0757, "3-2": 0.0246, "3-3": 0.0053, "3-4": 0.0009, "4-0": 0.0822, "4-1": 0.0534, "4-2": 0.0174, "4-3": 0.0038, "4-4": 0.0006, "5-0": 0.0464, "5-1": 0.0301, "5-2": 0.0098, "5-3": 0.0021, "6-0": 0.0218, "6-1": 0.0142, "6-2": 0.0046, "6-3": 0.001, "7-0": 0.0088, "7-1": 0.0057, "7-2": 0.0019, "8-0": 0.0031, "8-1": 0.002, "8-2": 0.0007, "9-0": 0.001, "9-1": 0.0006 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.8204, "draw": 0.1201, "away_win": 0.0595 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.6739, "under_2_5_goals": 0.3261, "btts_yes": 0.4495, "btts_no": 0.5505, "home_clean_sheet": 0.522, "away_clean_sheet": 0.0595 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 84.45, "MCR": 85.54, "ATR": 86.35, "GK": 76.87 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 83.6, "MCR": 77.13, "ATR": 72.34, "GK": 89.54 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Senegal vs Iraq. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Ismaïla Sarr (2)", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-3-3 and 4-1-4-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Home midfield dominates with ~53% possession expected (Lamine Camara vs Ahmed Qasem). Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.14, Away: 0.62. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.88, "home_lambda": 2.823, "away_lambda": 0.65 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.8204, "draw": 0.1201, "away_win": 0.0595 }, "favorite": "Senegal", "favorite_win_probability": 0.8204, "fair_spread": 2.173, "fair_total": 3.473, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Senegal", "estimate": 2.823, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Iraq", "estimate": 0.65, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.6739, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.4495, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Senegal", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.522, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Iraq", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.0595, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Ismaïla Sarr (Senegal)", "estimate": 1.3784, "probability": 0.6879, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Ali Al-Hamadi (Iraq)", "estimate": 0.2871, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Idrissa Gana Gueye (Senegal)", "estimate": 0.1733, "probability": 0.1555, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Merchas Doski (Iraq)", "estimate": 0.1609, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "high", "expected_total_goals": 3.473, "expected_total_shots": 20, "expected_total_passes": 838, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 14.7, "possession_home_pct": 53.2, "possession_away_pct": 46.8, "notes": "Senegal projects to control midfield possession" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Senegal", "favorite_win_probability": 0.8204, "script": "Senegal is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains favorite-led: fair spread +2.17 goals and fair total 3.47.", "first_half": "Expect high tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 10 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Iraq must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Senegal lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Senegal chance creation leans on Ismaïla Sarr against Zaid Tahseen, Hussein Ali in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; Senegal projects to control midfield possession.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Senegal: starters carry the main goal usage through Ismaïla Sarr (2); bench watchlist: Iliman Ndiaye, Habib Diarra, Assane Diao.", "Iraq: starters carry the main goal usage through the highest xG attackers; bench watchlist: Marko Farji, Aimar Sher, Mohanad Ali.", "Assist usage should flow through Sadio Mané; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Senegal tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects high tempo, about 10 total first-half shots, and 1.74 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If Iraq is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Senegal.", "Iraq wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Senegal": { "formation": "4-3-3", "players": { "Sadio Mané": { "player_id": 217704, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 175, "market_value": 5600000, "stats": { "key_pass": 4, "expected_assists": 0.1378, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.063, "rating": 89.7471, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 26, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 7, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 2, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 10, "accurate_own_half_passes": 9, "total_opp_half_passes": 19, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 14, "crosses_total": 4, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 50, "possession_lost": 16.052, "dispossessed": 1.6547, "duels_lost": 8, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "tackles": 3, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 6, "won_contest": 2, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 2, "goal_rate": 0.9909, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 1, "xgot": 0.3369, "ball_carries": 18, "total_progression": 59, "progressive_carries": 4, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 1.9, "duel_win_rate": 0.471, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Akam Hashem", "opponent_faced": "Akam Hashem", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.1675, "projected_assists": 1, "assist_probability": 0.3159, "fifa_overall": 83.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186770, "match_date": "2026-06-23", "home_team": "Norway", "away_team": "Senegal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Senegal", "opponent": "Norway", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 1, "expected_assists": 0.2474, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 34, "accurate_pass": 29, "key_pass": 5, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 2, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 11, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186501, "match_date": "2026-06-16", "home_team": "France", "away_team": "Senegal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Senegal", "opponent": "France", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0342, "expected_assists": 0.0152, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, 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"Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14771891, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "Al-Nassr", "away_team": "Al-Hilal", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Nassr", "opponent": "Al-Hilal", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.2326, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 29, "accurate_pass": 22, "key_pass": 3, "interceptions": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 7, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14773797, "match_date": "2026-05-07", "home_team": "Al-Shabab", "away_team": "Al-Nassr", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Nassr", "opponent": "Al-Shabab", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.7119, "expected_assists": 0.4938, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 28, "accurate_pass": 22, "key_pass": 4, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Saudi Pro League", "league_id": "955", "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league", "league_country": "Saudi Arabia", "season_id": "80443", "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 807, "combined_rank_score": 240.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 274.0, "fifa_overall": 83.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 15, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.7471, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Sadio Mané", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Milan Iloski", "ranking": 802 }, { "player_name": "Daniel Pereira", "ranking": 803 }, { "player_name": "Dje Tah D'Avilla", "ranking": 804 }, { "player_name": "Jules Koundé", "ranking": 805 }, { "player_name": "Álvaro Angulo", "ranking": 806 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Alexander Isak", "ranking": 808 }, { "player_name": "Ángel Di María", "ranking": 809 }, { "player_name": "Gleiker Mendoza", "ranking": 810 }, { "player_name": "Kawabe Hayao", "ranking": 811 }, { "player_name": "Taxiarchis Fountas", "ranking": 812 } ] } } }, "Nicolas Jackson": { "player_id": 1085381, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 11, "height": 186, "market_value": 39000000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.6432, "goal_rate": 0.0005, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 1, "expected_assists": 0.0813, "key_pass": 1, "rating": 86.5701, "minutes": 77, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 14, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 1, "total_opp_half_passes": 12, 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"fifa_overall": 80.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186770, "match_date": "2026-06-23", "home_team": "Norway", "away_team": "Senegal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Senegal", "opponent": "Norway", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.2454, "expected_assists": 0.1175, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 19, "accurate_pass": 16, "key_pass": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 4, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186501, "match_date": "2026-06-16", "home_team": "France", "away_team": "Senegal", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Senegal", "opponent": "France", "stats": { "minutes": 83, "rating": 5.9, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1289, "expected_assists": 0.0218, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 12, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14065556, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "FC Bayern München", "away_team": "1. FC Köln", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "FC Bayern München", "opponent": "1. FC Köln", "stats": { "minutes": 12, "rating": 7.6, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.296, "expected_assists": 0.009, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 4, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065251, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "VfL Wolfsburg", "away_team": "FC Bayern München", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "FC Bayern München", "opponent": "VfL Wolfsburg", "stats": { "minutes": 60, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0643, "expected_assists": 0.1317, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 25, "accurate_pass": 19, "key_pass": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632634, "match_date": "2026-05-06", "home_team": "FC Bayern München", "away_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "FC Bayern München", "opponent": "Paris Saint-Germain", "stats": { "minutes": 11, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0516, "expected_assists": 0.0054, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14065232, "match_date": "2026-05-02", "home_team": "FC Bayern München", "away_team": "1. FC Heidenheim", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "FC Bayern München", "opponent": "1. FC Heidenheim", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.7176, "expected_assists": 0.0562, "total_shots": 4, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 33, "accurate_pass": 28, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Bundesliga", "league_id": "35", "league_slug": "bundesliga", "league_country": "Germany", "season_id": "77333", "season_name": "Bundesliga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632632, "match_date": "2026-04-28", "home_team": "Paris Saint-Germain", "away_team": "FC Bayern München", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "FC Bayern München", "opponent": "Paris Saint-Germain", "stats": { "minutes": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0015, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", 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"stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0007, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 73.4168, "minutes": 22, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 5, "ball_recovery": 0, "duels_won": 1, "total_shots": 0, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 4, "accurate_own_half_passes": 4, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 6, "possession_lost": 0.9582, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "aerial_lost": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 2, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499, "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97, 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SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 5, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.4168, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Aimar Sher", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Julian Baas", "ranking": 20462 }, { "player_name": "Ronald Hernández", "ranking": 20463 }, { "player_name": "Marian Aioani", "ranking": 20464 }, { "player_name": "Steven Benda", "ranking": 20465 }, { "player_name": "Umut Meraş", "ranking": 20466 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Nikola Čavlina", "ranking": 20468 }, { "player_name": "Park Cheol-woo", "ranking": 20469 }, { "player_name": "Simone Perilli", "ranking": 20470 }, { "player_name": "Philippe Keny", "ranking": 20471 }, { "player_name": "Gavriel Kanichowsky", "ranking": 20472 } ] } } }, "Mohanad Ali": { "player_id": 951859, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 182, "market_value": 1300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 88.442, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 0, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 0, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 0, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 1, "possession_lost": 0.5515, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 0, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186773, "match_date": "2026-06-16", "home_team": "Iraq", "away_team": "Norway", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Iraq", "opponent": "Norway", "stats": { "minutes": 12, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 1293, "combined_rank_score": 322.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 389.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 6, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.442, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Mohanad Ali", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Ahmed Hadzimujovic", "ranking": 1288 }, { "player_name": "Mahmoud Marei", "ranking": 1289 }, { "player_name": "Cristian Calderón", "ranking": 1290 }, { "player_name": "Sebastián Santos", "ranking": 1291 }, { "player_name": "Lucas Merolla", "ranking": 1292 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Matheus Donelli", "ranking": 1294 }, { "player_name": "Shaqueel van Persie", "ranking": 1295 }, { "player_name": "Mateus Carvalho", "ranking": 1296 }, { "player_name": "Igor Rabello", "ranking": 1297 }, { "player_name": "Hossein Kanaani", "ranking": 1298 } ] } } }, "Youssef Amyn": { "player_id": 1106352, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 7, "height": 175, "market_value": 535000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0014, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 87.4354, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 3, "possession_lost": 1.103, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 2, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 81.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186769, "match_date": "2026-06-22", "home_team": "France", "away_team": "Iraq", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Iraq", "opponent": "France", "stats": { "minutes": 30, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0052, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 5, "tackles": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 2926, "combined_rank_score": 432.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 525.0, "fifa_overall": 81.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 12, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.4354, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Youssef Amyn", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Min-deok Kim", "ranking": 2921 }, { "player_name": "Ioan Vermesan", "ranking": 2922 }, { "player_name": "Niko Takahashi", "ranking": 2923 }, { "player_name": "Zain Issaka", "ranking": 2924 }, { "player_name": "Maksym Smiyan", "ranking": 2925 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Alireza Jahanbakhsh", "ranking": 2927 }, { "player_name": "Rami Rabia", "ranking": 2928 }, { "player_name": "Galymzhan Kenzhebek", "ranking": 2929 }, { "player_name": "Abdulla Abdullaev", "ranking": 2930 }, { "player_name": "Lūkass Vapne", "ranking": 2931 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.65, "expected_assists": 0.43, "total_shots": 8, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_passes": 390, "interceptions": 10, "tackles": 19, "avg_rating": 80.17, "possession_estimated_pct": 46.8, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.3 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Pape Gueye", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 39000000, "attacker_height": 187, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.775, "defenders": [ "Zaid Ismail" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.406, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.624, "xg_contribution": 0.1954, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Zaid Ismail", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 480000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.376 } ], "duel_analysis": "Pape Gueye (CM) has a clear attacking advantage against Zaid Ismail in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 62%. The quality gap is significant (€39M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.195 — and projects to generate high-quality chances." }, { "attacker": "Lamine Camara", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 41000000, "attacker_height": 174, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.786, "defenders": [ "Zaid Ismail" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.406, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.577, "xg_contribution": 0.1514, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Zaid Ismail", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 480000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.423 } ], "duel_analysis": "Lamine Camara (CM) is slightly favored against Zaid Ismail in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 58%. The quality gap is significant (€41M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.151 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Nicolas Jackson", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 39000000, "attacker_height": 186, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.775, "defenders": [ "Merchas Doski" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.422, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.691, "xg_contribution": 0.2441, "shots_in_zone": 2.4, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 2.5, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Merchas Doski", "role": "RB", "market_value": 1800000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.309 } ], "duel_analysis": "Nicolas Jackson (LW) has a clear attacking advantage against Merchas Doski in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 69%. The quality gap is significant (€39M vs €2M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.244 — and projects to generate high-quality chances." }, { "attacker": "Ismaïla Sarr", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 38000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.77, "defenders": [ "Zaid Tahseen", "Hussein Ali" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.406, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.358, "xg_contribution": 0.5231, "shots_in_zone": 2.7, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Zaid Tahseen", "role": "CB", "market_value": 565000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.642 }, { "player": "Hussein Ali", "role": "CB", "market_value": 370000, "tackles_attempted": 0.9, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.642 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ismaïla Sarr (ST) faces tough defensive resistance against Zaid Tahseen and Hussein Ali in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 36%. The quality gap is significant (€38M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.523 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Sadio Mané", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 5600000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.47, "defenders": [ "Akam Hashem" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.409, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.471, "xg_contribution": 0.0256, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 1.9, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Akam Hashem", "role": "LB", "market_value": 720000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.529 } ], "duel_analysis": "Sadio Mané (RW) is evenly matched against Akam Hashem in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 47%. Projected xG contribution: 0.026 — with neither side clearly dominant." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Ali Al-Hamadi", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 1500000, "attacker_height": 187, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.419, "defenders": [ "Kalidou Koulibaly", "Moussa Niakhaté" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.515, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.2456, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kalidou Koulibaly", "role": "CB", "market_value": 4400000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Moussa Niakhaté", "role": "CB", "market_value": 14600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ali Al-Hamadi (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Kalidou Koulibaly and Moussa Niakhaté in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.246 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Ibrahim Bayesh", "attacker_role": "LM", "attacker_market_value": 730000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.409, "defenders": [ "Idrissa Gana Gueye" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.406, "duel_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.473, "xg_contribution": 0.1443, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.0, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Idrissa Gana Gueye", "role": "RB", "market_value": 485000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.6, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.527 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ibrahim Bayesh (LM) is evenly matched against Idrissa Gana Gueye in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 47%. Projected xG contribution: 0.144 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Zidane Iqbal", "attacker_role": "RM", "attacker_market_value": 1000000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.412, "defenders": [ "El Hadji Malick Diouf" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.71, "duel_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.314, "xg_contribution": 0.108, "shots_in_zone": 1.3, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "El Hadji Malick Diouf", "role": "LB", "market_value": 29000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.686 } ], "duel_analysis": "Zidane Iqbal (RM) is heavily outmatched defensively against El Hadji Malick Diouf in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 31%. The quality gap is significant (€1M vs €29M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.108 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Amir Al-Ammari", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 935000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.412, "defenders": [ "Pape Gueye" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.775, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.228, "xg_contribution": 0.0713, "shots_in_zone": 1.2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Pape Gueye", "role": "CM", "market_value": 39000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.4, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.772 } ], "duel_analysis": "Amir Al-Ammari (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Pape Gueye in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 23%. The quality gap is significant (€1M vs €39M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.071 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Zaid Ismail", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 480000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.406, "defenders": [ "Krépin Diatta" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.472, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.438, "xg_contribution": 0.0506, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 1, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Krépin Diatta", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 5800000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.562 } ], "duel_analysis": "Zaid Ismail (CDM) is evenly matched against Krépin Diatta in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.051 — with neither side clearly dominant." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.632, "away_midfield_power": 0.467, "home_creative_power": 0.552, "away_creative_power": 0.4, "home_defensive_power": 0.781, "away_defensive_power": 0.417, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.575, "home_midfield_count": 5, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Sadio Mané", "Pape Gueye", "Idrissa Gana Gueye", "Lamine Camara", "Krépin Diatta" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Ibrahim Bayesh", "Zidane Iqbal", "Zaid Ismail", "Amir Al-Ammari", "Ahmed Qasem" ], "possession_advantage": "home", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 53.2, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 46.8, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.4, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.3, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.8, "away_key_passes_projected": 3.9, "home_throughball_threat": 2.3, "away_throughball_threat": 1.8, "key_personal_duel": "Lamine Camara vs Ahmed Qasem", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.026, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.961 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-3-3", "away_formation": "4-1-4-1", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.01, "away_tactical_bonus": -0.01, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-3-3 and 4-1-4-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 2.823, "away_lambda": 0.65, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Pape Gueye": { "opponents": [ "Zaid Ismail", "Amir Al-Ammari" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Lamine Camara": { "opponents": [ "Zaid Ismail", "Ahmed Qasem" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Nicolas Jackson": { "opponents": [ "Merchas Doski" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Ismaïla Sarr": { "opponents": [ "Zaid Tahseen", "Hussein Ali" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Sadio Mané": { "opponents": [ "Akam Hashem", "Zidane Iqbal" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Kalidou Koulibaly": { "opponents": [ "Ali Al-Hamadi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Moussa Niakhaté": { "opponents": [ "Ali Al-Hamadi" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Idrissa Gana Gueye": { "opponents": [ "Ibrahim Bayesh" ], "primary_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "El Hadji Malick Diouf": { "opponents": [ "Zidane Iqbal" ], "primary_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Krépin Diatta": { "opponents": [ "Zaid Ismail" ], "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Mory Diaw": { "opponents": [ "Ali Al-Hamadi", "Ahmed Qasem" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Zaid Ismail": { "opponents": [ "Pape Gueye", "Lamine Camara", "Krépin Diatta" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Merchas Doski": { "opponents": [ "Nicolas Jackson" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Zaid Tahseen": { "opponents": [ "Ismaïla Sarr" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Hussein Ali": { "opponents": [ "Ismaïla Sarr" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Akam Hashem": { "opponents": [ "Sadio Mané" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Ali Al-Hamadi": { "opponents": [ "Kalidou Koulibaly", "Moussa Niakhaté" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Ibrahim Bayesh": { "opponents": [ "Idrissa Gana Gueye" ], "primary_zone": "Left Mid vs Right Back — Wide Channel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Zidane Iqbal": { "opponents": [ "El Hadji Malick Diouf", "Sadio Mané" ], "primary_zone": "Right Mid vs Left Back — Wide Channel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Amir Al-Ammari": { "opponents": [ "Pape Gueye" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ahmed Qasem": { "opponents": [ "Lamine Camara" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Ahmed Basil": { "opponents": [ "Nicolas Jackson", "Ismaïla Sarr" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Home midfield dominates with ~53% possession expected (Lamine Camara vs Ahmed Qasem). Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.14, Away: 0.62. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0236, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0211, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.1257, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.092, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0153, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9678, "home_midfield_factor": 1.026, "away_midfield_factor": 0.961, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.6194, "away_avg_quality": 0.4146, "avg_quality_gap": 0.2048, "squad_value_gap_log": 2.3471, "top5_value_gap_log": 2.4003, "attack_value_gap_log": 2.3741, "elite_count_gap": 1, "combined_quality_gap": 0.3591, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.79, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.5027, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0409, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0052, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": true, "mismatch_score_pressure_gap": 0.3591, "mismatch_favorite_lambda_boost": 1.0948, "mismatch_underdog_lambda_factor": 0.9741, "pre_mismatch_home_lambda": 2.579, "pre_mismatch_away_lambda": 0.655, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 2.5789, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.6552, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 2.823, "final_away_lambda": 0.65 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-26T13:33:54Z" }