{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Japan", "tournament": "FIFA World Cup", "date": "20260629", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-3-3", "away_formation": "3-5-2" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-0", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1002, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1002 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.099 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.0943 }, { "score": "3-1", "probability": 0.0617 }, { "score": "3-0", "probability": 0.0588 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0545, "0-1": 0.056, "0-2": 0.0297, "0-3": 0.0104, "0-4": 0.0027, "0-5": 0.0006, "1-0": 0.1002, "1-1": 0.1065, "1-2": 0.0556, "1-3": 0.0195, "1-4": 0.0051, "1-5": 0.0011, "2-0": 0.0943, "2-1": 0.099, "2-2": 0.052, "2-3": 0.0182, "2-4": 0.0048, "2-5": 0.001, "3-0": 0.0588, "3-1": 0.0617, "3-2": 0.0324, "3-3": 0.0113, "3-4": 0.003, "3-5": 0.0006, "4-0": 0.0275, "4-1": 0.0289, "4-2": 0.0151, "4-3": 0.0053, "4-4": 0.0014, "5-0": 0.0103, "5-1": 0.0108, "5-2": 0.0057, "5-3": 0.002, "5-4": 0.0005, "6-0": 0.0032, "6-1": 0.0034, "6-2": 0.0018, "6-3": 0.0006, "7-0": 0.0009, "7-1": 0.0009 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.5648, "draw": 0.2259, "away_win": 0.2093 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.5586, "under_2_5_goals": 0.4414, "btts_yes": 0.5505, "btts_no": 0.4495, "home_clean_sheet": 0.3499, "away_clean_sheet": 0.1541 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 88.56, "MCR": 90.49, "ATR": 93.14, "GK": 96.06 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 83.31, "MCR": 85.1, "ATR": 83.68, "GK": 81.59 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Brazil vs Japan. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Lambdas derived from 4 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Vinícius Júnior", "tactical_analysis": "4-3-3 creates structural superiority against 3-5-2. Home team should exploit wider spaces and numerical advantages in transition. Midfield is evenly contested — Bruno Guimarães vs Kaishu Sano will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.00, Away: 0.57. Home danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.77, "home_lambda": 1.87, "away_lambda": 1.05 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.5648, "draw": 0.2259, "away_win": 0.2093 }, "favorite": "Brazil", "favorite_win_probability": 0.5648, "fair_spread": 0.82, "fair_total": 2.92, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Brazil", "estimate": 1.87, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Japan", "estimate": 1.05, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.5586, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.5505, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Brazil", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.3499, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Japan", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.1541, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Vinícius Júnior (Brazil)", "estimate": 0.8371, "probability": 0.3243, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Daizen Maeda (Japan)", "estimate": 0.3037, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Vinícius Júnior (Brazil)", "estimate": 0.2755, "probability": 0.1906, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Keito Nakamura (Japan)", "estimate": 0.236, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "balanced", "expected_total_goals": 2.92, "expected_total_shots": 26, "expected_total_passes": 951, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 15.6, "possession_home_pct": 50.6, "possession_away_pct": 49.4, "notes": "possession projects near even" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Brazil", "favorite_win_probability": 0.5648, "script": "Brazil is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains favorite-led: fair spread +0.82 goals and fair total 2.92.", "first_half": "Expect balanced tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 13 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Japan must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Brazil lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Brazil chance creation leans on Vinícius Júnior against Daichi Kamada in Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank; possession projects near even.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Brazil: starters carry the main goal usage through Vinícius Júnior; bench watchlist: Estêvão, Raphinha, Rodrygo.", "Japan: starters carry the main goal usage through the highest xG attackers; bench watchlist: Yuito Suzuki, Takefusa Kubo, Tsuyoshi Watanabe.", "Assist usage should flow through Lucas Paquetá; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Brazil tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects balanced tempo, about 13 total first-half shots, and 1.46 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If Japan is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Brazil.", "Japan wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Brazil": { "formation": "4-3-3", "players": { "Danilo": { "player_id": 124992, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 13, "height": 184, "market_value": 2600000, "stats": { "interceptions": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 79.7597, "minutes": 74, "total_pass": 56, "accurate_pass": 49, "duels_won": 3, "total_long_balls": 4, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 24, "accurate_own_half_passes": 22, "total_opp_half_passes": 32, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 27, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 68, "possession_lost": 7.9578, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0579, "expected_assists": 0.1079, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 17, "total_progression": 81, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 1.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.1, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.807, "opponent_faced": "Daichi Kamada", "pressing_zone": "RWB vs LW + LB", "matchup_zone": "RWB vs LW + LB", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0064, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0605, "fifa_overall": 73.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186861, "match_date": "2026-06-24", "home_team": "Scotland", "away_team": "Brazil", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Scotland", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.4661, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 68, "accurate_pass": 64, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "interceptions": 2, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 7 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186856, "match_date": "2026-06-20", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Haiti", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Haiti", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0087, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 54, "accurate_pass": 46, "tackles": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186850, "match_date": "2026-06-13", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Morocco", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Morocco", "stats": { "minutes": 45, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0052, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 38, "accurate_pass": 32, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15832766, "match_date": "2026-05-27", "home_team": "Flamengo", "away_team": "Cusco FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Flamengo", "opponent": "Cusco FC", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0473, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 85, "accurate_pass": 79, "clearances": 2, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "CONMEBOL Libertadores", "league_id": "384", "league_slug": "conmebol-libertadores", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "87760", "season_name": "CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15235588, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Athletico", "away_team": "Flamengo", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Flamengo", "opponent": "Athletico", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0453, "expected_assists": 0.0322, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 68, "accurate_pass": 67, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Brasileirão Betano", "league_id": "325", "league_slug": "brasileirao-serie-a", "league_country": "Brazil", "season_id": "87678", "season_name": "Brasileiro Serie A 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 13856229, "match_date": "2025-06-11", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Paraguay", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Paraguay", "stats": { "minutes": 1, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 11886385, "match_date": "2024-07-03", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Colombia", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Colombia", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.009, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 43, "accurate_pass": 34, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 3, "clearances": 5, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" }, { "match_id": 11886398, "match_date": "2024-06-29", "home_team": "Paraguay", "away_team": "Brazil", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Paraguay", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0491, "expected_assists": 0.0632, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 56, "accurate_pass": 45, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" }, { "match_id": 11886366, "match_date": "2024-06-25", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Costa Rica", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Costa Rica", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.2346, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 96, "accurate_pass": 85, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Copa América", "league_id": "133", "league_slug": "copa-america", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "57114", "season_name": "Copa America 2024", "season_year": "2024" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 17249, "combined_rank_score": 1840.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 193.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.175, "sofascore_appearances": 4.0, "fifa_rank": 3488.0, "fifa_overall": 73.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 18, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.7597, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Danilo", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Ricky van Wolfswinkel", "ranking": 17244 }, { "player_name": "Nathan Zeze", "ranking": 17245 }, { "player_name": "Pedro Chirivella", "ranking": 17246 }, { "player_name": "Sinaly Diomandé", "ranking": 17247 }, { "player_name": "Mamadou Sangare", "ranking": 17248 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Koki Machida", "ranking": 17250 }, { "player_name": "Danny Namaso", "ranking": 17251 }, { "player_name": "Taras Stepanenko", "ranking": 17252 }, { "player_name": "Nicolas Cozza", "ranking": 17253 }, { "player_name": "Alexander Schlager", "ranking": 17254 } ] } } }, "Alisson": { "player_id": 243609, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 1, "height": 193, "market_value": 16500000, "stats": { "saves": 2, "goals_prevented": 0.6106, "rating": 96.0638, "minutes": 92, "total_pass": 26, "accurate_pass": 21, "total_long_balls": 8, "accurate_long_balls": 3, "touches": 35, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 8, "high_claims": 2, "punches": 1.2857, "aerial_won": 1, "sweeper_actions": 2, "sweeper_accurate": 2, "saves_inside_box": 2, "possession_lost": 6.1715, "duels_won": 2, "duels_lost": 0, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 3, "total_own_half_passes": 21, "accurate_own_half_passes": 19, "expected_saves": 1.21, "high_pressure_saves": 0.46, "shots_faced": 2.6, "opponent_faced": "Daizen Maeda, Kaishu Sano", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "assists": 0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 89.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186861, "match_date": "2026-06-24", "home_team": "Scotland", "away_team": "Brazil", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Scotland", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 8.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0008, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 16, "clearances": 2, "ball_recovery": 8, "saves": 5, "goals_prevented": 1.2294 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186856, "match_date": "2026-06-20", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Haiti", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Haiti", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0046, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 29, "accurate_pass": 23, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 5, "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 0.4334 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186850, "match_date": "2026-06-13", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Morocco", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Morocco", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0034, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 27, "accurate_pass": 22, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 4, "saves": 2, "goals_prevented": -0.2586 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14023962, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Liverpool FC", "away_team": "Brentford", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Liverpool FC", "opponent": "Brentford", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0005, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 30, "accurate_pass": 19, "ball_recovery": 8, "saves": 1, "goals_prevented": -0.1557 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631369, "match_date": "2026-03-18", "home_team": "Liverpool FC", "away_team": "Galatasaray", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Liverpool FC", "opponent": "Galatasaray", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0013, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 26, "accurate_pass": 16, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 7, "saves": 1, "goals_prevented": 0.0185 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Champions League", "league_id": "7", "league_slug": "uefa-champions-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76953", "season_name": "UEFA Champions League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14169220, "match_date": "2025-09-09", "home_team": "Bolivia", "away_team": "Brazil", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Bolivia", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 8.6, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 36, "accurate_pass": 29, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 15, "saves": 9 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14169219, "match_date": "2025-09-05", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Chile", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Chile", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 20, "accurate_pass": 19, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. 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"league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14083624, "match_date": "2026-05-14", "home_team": "Girona FC", "away_team": "Real Sociedad", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Real Sociedad", "opponent": "Girona FC", "stats": { "minutes": 57, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0329, "expected_assists": 0.0075, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 8, "key_pass": 1, "interceptions": 2, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 3093, "combined_rank_score": 349.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 298.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.025, "sofascore_appearances": 24.0, "fifa_rank": 400.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 4, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.891, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Takefusa Kubo", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Chambos Kyriakou", "ranking": 3088 }, { "player_name": "Carlos Sejas", "ranking": 3089 }, { "player_name": "Osvald Soe", "ranking": 3090 }, { "player_name": "Abdul Awudu", "ranking": 3091 }, { "player_name": "Álex Rodríguez", "ranking": 3092 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Abdullokh Yuldashev", "ranking": 3094 }, { "player_name": "Min-woo Kim", "ranking": 3095 }, { "player_name": "Andrija Katić", "ranking": 3096 }, { "player_name": "Magnus Kaastrup", "ranking": 3097 }, { "player_name": "Dominik Kovačić", "ranking": 3098 } ] } } }, "Keisuke Goto": { "player_id": 1391315, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 191, "market_value": 9300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0398, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0043, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 62.6625, "minutes": 26, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 3, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 3, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 6, "possession_lost": 2.0707, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 3, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0971, "offsides": 3, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 5, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.573, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.6, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 56.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15186963, "match_date": "2026-06-21", "home_team": "Tunisia", "away_team": "Japan", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Japan", "opponent": "Tunisia", "stats": { "minutes": 13, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0018, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15858569, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Sint-Truidense VV", "away_team": "KV Mechelen", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Sint-Truidense VV", "opponent": "KV Mechelen", "stats": { "minutes": 81, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0153, "expected_assists": 0.009, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 21, "accurate_pass": 18, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Pro League", "league_id": "38", "league_slug": "pro-league", "league_country": "Belgium", "season_id": "77040", "season_name": "Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15858579, "match_date": "2026-05-21", "home_team": "RSC Anderlecht", "away_team": "Sint-Truidense VV", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Sint-Truidense VV", "opponent": "RSC Anderlecht", "stats": { "minutes": 18, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.3039, "expected_assists": 0.0016, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 6, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Pro League", "league_id": "38", "league_slug": "pro-league", "league_country": "Belgium", "season_id": "77040", "season_name": "Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15858577, "match_date": "2026-05-16", "home_team": "Sint-Truidense VV", "away_team": "KAA Gent", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Sint-Truidense VV", "opponent": "KAA Gent", "stats": { "minutes": 81, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.7506, "expected_assists": 0.0782, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 22, "accurate_pass": 18, "key_pass": 2, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Pro League", "league_id": "38", "league_slug": "pro-league", "league_country": "Belgium", "season_id": "77040", "season_name": "Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15858563, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "Club Brugge KV", "away_team": "Sint-Truidense VV", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Sint-Truidense VV", "opponent": "Club Brugge KV", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0402, "expected_assists": 0.0119, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 24, "accurate_pass": 15, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Pro League", "league_id": "38", "league_slug": "pro-league", "league_country": "Belgium", "season_id": "77040", "season_name": "Pro League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 24770, "combined_rank_score": 8527.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 16856.0, "fifa_overall": 56.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 13, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6625, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Keisuke Goto", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Tibault Citherlet", "ranking": 24765 }, { "player_name": "Ehije Ukaki", "ranking": 24766 }, { "player_name": "Haitham Asiri", "ranking": 24767 }, { "player_name": "Simone Stroscio", "ranking": 24768 }, { "player_name": "Martin Männel", "ranking": 24769 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Peter Abrahamsson", "ranking": 24771 }, { "player_name": "Jop Tijink", "ranking": 24772 }, { "player_name": "Telli Siwe", "ranking": 24773 }, { "player_name": "Lionel Mpasi", "ranking": 24774 }, { "player_name": "Oscar Johansson Schellhas", "ranking": 24775 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 1.05, "expected_assists": 0.92, "total_shots": 10, "shots_on_target": 4, "total_passes": 427, "interceptions": 10, "tackles": 17, "avg_rating": 84.03, "possession_estimated_pct": 49.4, "pressing_actions_per_90": 7.8 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Vinícius Júnior", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 146000000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.899, "defenders": [ "Daichi Kamada" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.526, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.576, "xg_contribution": 0.7099, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 2.0, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.7, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Daichi Kamada", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 10300000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.5, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.424 } ], "duel_analysis": "Vinícius Júnior (LW) is slightly favored against Daichi Kamada in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 58%. The quality gap is significant (€146M vs €10M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.710 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Casemiro", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 5500000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.468, "defenders": [ "Keito Nakamura" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.531, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Wingback — Compact Flank", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.432, "xg_contribution": 0.0407, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 1.9, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Keito Nakamura", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 10700000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.568 } ], "duel_analysis": "Casemiro (RW) is evenly matched against Keito Nakamura in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 43%. Projected xG contribution: 0.041 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Matheus Cunha", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 79000000, "attacker_height": 184, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.881, "defenders": [ "Hiroki Itō", "Shogo Taniguchi", "Takehiro Tomiyasu" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.502, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Three Centre Backs — Overloaded Defensive Block", "numerical_situation": "1v3", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.1076, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.7, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.9, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hiroki Itō", "role": "CB", "market_value": 19800000, "tackles_attempted": 0.7, "tackles_won": 0.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Shogo Taniguchi", "role": "CB", "market_value": 775000, "tackles_attempted": 0.6, "tackles_won": 0.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Takehiro Tomiyasu", "role": "CB", "market_value": 5400000, "tackles_attempted": 0.7, "tackles_won": 0.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Matheus Cunha (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Hiroki Itō and Shogo Taniguchi and Takehiro Tomiyasu in a 3-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€79M vs €9M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.108 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Rayan", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 58000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.848, "defenders": [ "Kaishu Sano" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.791, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.482, "xg_contribution": 0.1467, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Kaishu Sano", "role": "CM", "market_value": 42000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.518 } ], "duel_analysis": "Rayan (CM) is evenly matched against Kaishu Sano in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 48%. The quality gap is significant (€58M vs €42M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.147 — with neither side clearly dominant." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Daizen Maeda", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 12600000, "attacker_height": 173, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.552, "defenders": [ "Gabriel Magalhães", "Marquinhos" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.782, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.233, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.6, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Gabriel Magalhães", "role": "CB", "market_value": 70000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.2, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 1.2, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Marquinhos", "role": "CB", "market_value": 27000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Daizen Maeda (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Gabriel Magalhães and Marquinhos in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€13M vs €48M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.233 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Keito Nakamura", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 10700000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.531, "defenders": [ "Casemiro", "Douglas Santos" ], "defender_roles": [ "RW", "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.477, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RW + RB", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.266, "xg_contribution": 0.0954, "shots_in_zone": 0.8, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Casemiro", "role": "RW", "market_value": 5500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.734 }, { "player": "Douglas Santos", "role": "RB", "market_value": 7000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.734 } ], "duel_analysis": "Keito Nakamura (LWB) is heavily outmatched defensively against Casemiro and Douglas Santos in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 27%. Projected xG contribution: 0.095 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Daichi Kamada", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 10300000, "attacker_height": 184, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.526, "defenders": [ "Vinícius Júnior", "Danilo" ], "defender_roles": [ "LW", "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.666, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LW + LB", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.193, "xg_contribution": 0.0548, "shots_in_zone": 0.7, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "MEDIUM", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Vinícius Júnior", "role": "LW", "market_value": 146000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.2, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.807 }, { "player": "Danilo", "role": "LB", "market_value": 2600000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.807 } ], "duel_analysis": "Daichi Kamada (RWB) is heavily outmatched defensively against Vinícius Júnior and Danilo in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 19%. The quality gap is significant (€10M vs €74M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.055 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Kaishu Sano", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 42000000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.791, "defenders": [ "Rayan" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.848, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.358, "xg_contribution": 0.1385, "shots_in_zone": 1.5, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Rayan", "role": "CM", "market_value": 58000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.642 } ], "duel_analysis": "Kaishu Sano (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Rayan in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 36%. The quality gap is significant (€42M vs €58M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.138 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Ao Tanaka", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 14000000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.568, "defenders": [ "Lucas Paquetá" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.758, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.335, "xg_contribution": 0.053, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Lucas Paquetá", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 36000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.665 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ao Tanaka (CDM) faces tough defensive resistance against Lucas Paquetá in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 33%. The quality gap is significant (€14M vs €36M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.053 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.762, "away_midfield_power": 0.65, "home_creative_power": 0.866, "away_creative_power": 0.708, "home_defensive_power": 0.63, "away_defensive_power": 0.663, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.54, "home_midfield_count": 4, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Rayan", "Lucas Paquetá", "Casemiro", "Bruno Guimarães" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Keito Nakamura", "Ao Tanaka", "Kaishu Sano", "Daichi Kamada", "Ritsu Doan" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 50.6, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 49.4, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.8, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.8, "home_key_passes_projected": 6.7, "away_key_passes_projected": 5.7, "home_throughball_threat": 3.2, "away_throughball_threat": 2.7, "key_personal_duel": "Bruno Guimarães vs Kaishu Sano", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.018, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.995 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-3-3", "away_formation": "3-5-2", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.08, "away_tactical_bonus": -0.05, "formation_verdict": "4-3-3 creates structural superiority against 3-5-2. Home team should exploit wider spaces and numerical advantages in transition." }, "home_lambda": 1.87, "away_lambda": 1.05, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank", "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Vinícius Júnior": { "opponents": [ "Daichi Kamada" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel" }, "Casemiro": { "opponents": [ "Keito Nakamura" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Wingback — Compact Flank", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Matheus Cunha": { "opponents": [ "Hiroki Itō", "Shogo Taniguchi", "Takehiro Tomiyasu" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Three Centre Backs — Overloaded Defensive Block", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Rayan": { "opponents": [ "Kaishu Sano" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Gabriel Magalhães": { "opponents": [ "Daizen Maeda" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Marquinhos": { "opponents": [ "Daizen Maeda" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Douglas Santos": { "opponents": [ "Keito Nakamura" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RW + RB", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Danilo": { "opponents": [ "Daichi Kamada" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LW + LB", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Lucas Paquetá": { "opponents": [ "Ao Tanaka", "Daichi Kamada" ], "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Bruno Guimarães": { "opponents": [ "Ritsu Doan" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Alisson": { "opponents": [ "Ayase Ueda", "Daizen Maeda" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Daichi Kamada": { "opponents": [ "Vinícius Júnior", "Danilo", "Lucas Paquetá" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Keito Nakamura": { "opponents": [ "Casemiro", "Douglas Santos" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Wingback — Compact Flank", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Hiroki Itō": { "opponents": [ "Matheus Cunha" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Three Centre Backs — Overloaded Defensive Block", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Shogo Taniguchi": { "opponents": [ "Matheus Cunha" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Three Centre Backs — Overloaded Defensive Block", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Takehiro Tomiyasu": { "opponents": [ "Matheus Cunha" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Three Centre Backs — Overloaded Defensive Block", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Kaishu Sano": { "opponents": [ "Rayan" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Daizen Maeda": { "opponents": [ "Gabriel Magalhães", "Marquinhos" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Ao Tanaka": { "opponents": [ "Lucas Paquetá" ], "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ritsu Doan": { "opponents": [ "Bruno Guimarães" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Zion Suzuki": { "opponents": [ "Vinícius Júnior", "Matheus Cunha" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Ayase Ueda": { "opponents": [ "Gabriel Magalhães", "Marquinhos" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Bruno Guimarães vs Kaishu Sano will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 1.00, Away: 0.57. Home danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9273, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9459, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.1062, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.0807, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9985, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9439, "home_midfield_factor": 1.018, "away_midfield_factor": 0.995, "stage_discount": 0.92, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.7212, "away_avg_quality": 0.5655, "avg_quality_gap": 0.1557, "squad_value_gap_log": 1.1799, "top5_value_gap_log": 1.3055, "attack_value_gap_log": 1.1271, "elite_count_gap": 4, "combined_quality_gap": 0.2476, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.5448, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.3467, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0864, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0349, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": true, "competitive_underdog_floor": 1.05, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 1.87, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 0.65, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.8704, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.6329, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": true, "final_home_lambda": 1.87, "final_away_lambda": 1.05 } }, "home_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "away_standing": { "available": false, "team_position": null, "opponent_position": null, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": null, "defense_concede_index": null, "form_multiplier": null, "team_attack_rate_contextual": null, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null, "team_ppg": null, "opponent_ppg": null }, "timestamp": "2026-06-29T13:31:26Z" }