{
  "match_info": {
    "home_team": "Argentina",
    "away_team": "H2",
    "tournament": "FIFA World Cup",
    "date": "20260703",
    "timezone": "America/New_York",
    "home_formation": "3-5-2",
    "away_formation": "4-4-2"
  },
  "prediction": {
    "most_likely_score": "2-0",
    "home_goals": 2,
    "away_goals": 0,
    "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1392,
    "match_resolution": "penalties_if_level",
    "predicted_winner": "Argentina",
    "tiebreaker": {
      "applies": true,
      "method": "penalties_if_level",
      "regulation_draw_probability": 0.1868,
      "shootout_home_win_probability": 0.62,
      "shootout_away_win_probability": 0.38,
      "home_advance_probability": 0.8249,
      "away_advance_probability": 0.1751,
      "projected_winner": "Argentina",
      "projected_winner_probability": 0.8249,
      "reason": "Knockout match: a tied scoreline remains possible, then the advancing team is projected through penalties."
    },
    "top_5_scorelines": [
      {
        "score": "2-0",
        "probability": 0.1392
      },
      {
        "score": "1-0",
        "probability": 0.1318
      },
      {
        "score": "3-0",
        "probability": 0.0977
      },
      {
        "score": "2-1",
        "probability": 0.0922
      },
      {
        "score": "1-1",
        "probability": 0.088
      }
    ],
    "scoreline_probabilities": {
      "0-0": 0.0632,
      "0-1": 0.0411,
      "0-2": 0.0138,
      "0-3": 0.003,
      "0-4": 0.0005,
      "1-0": 0.1318,
      "1-1": 0.088,
      "1-2": 0.029,
      "1-3": 0.0064,
      "1-4": 0.0011,
      "2-0": 0.1392,
      "2-1": 0.0922,
      "2-2": 0.0305,
      "2-3": 0.0067,
      "2-4": 0.0011,
      "3-0": 0.0977,
      "3-1": 0.0647,
      "3-2": 0.0214,
      "3-3": 0.0047,
      "3-4": 0.0008,
      "4-0": 0.0515,
      "4-1": 0.0341,
      "4-2": 0.0113,
      "4-3": 0.0025,
      "5-0": 0.0217,
      "5-1": 0.0144,
      "5-2": 0.0048,
      "5-3": 0.001,
      "6-0": 0.0076,
      "6-1": 0.005,
      "6-2": 0.0017,
      "7-0": 0.0023,
      "7-1": 0.0015,
      "7-2": 0.0005,
      "8-0": 0.0006
    },
    "outcome": {
      "home_win": 0.7091,
      "draw": 0.1868,
      "away_win": 0.1041
    },
    "markets": {
      "over_2_5_goals": 0.5229,
      "under_2_5_goals": 0.4771,
      "btts_yes": 0.4257,
      "btts_no": 0.5743,
      "home_clean_sheet": 0.5157,
      "away_clean_sheet": 0.1217
    },
    "home_ratings": {
      "DR": 88.86,
      "MCR": 88.54,
      "ATR": 94.68,
      "GK": 91.95
    },
    "away_ratings": {
      "DR": 6.8,
      "MCR": 6.9,
      "ATR": 6.9,
      "GK": 6.8
    },
    "insights": {
      "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Argentina vs H2. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 4 away individual player duels.",
      "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Julián Alvarez, Lautaro Martínez",
      "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-5-2 and 4-4-2. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Home midfield dominates with ~55% possession expected (Alexis Mac Allister vs H2 M1). Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.62, Away: 0.34. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle."
    },
    "confidence": 0.81,
    "home_lambda": 2.217,
    "away_lambda": 0.697
  },
  "pregame_baseline": {
    "fair_win_probability": {
      "home_win": 0.7091,
      "draw": 0.1868,
      "away_win": 0.1041
    },
    "favorite": "Argentina",
    "favorite_win_probability": 0.7091,
    "fair_spread": 1.52,
    "fair_total": 2.914,
    "prop_estimates": [
      {
        "market": "team_total_goals",
        "selection": "Argentina",
        "estimate": 2.217,
        "probability": null,
        "unit": "goals"
      },
      {
        "market": "team_total_goals",
        "selection": "H2",
        "estimate": 0.697,
        "probability": null,
        "unit": "goals"
      },
      {
        "market": "over_2_5_goals",
        "selection": "yes",
        "estimate": 2.5,
        "probability": 0.5229,
        "unit": "probability"
      },
      {
        "market": "both_teams_to_score",
        "selection": "yes",
        "estimate": 1.0,
        "probability": 0.4257,
        "unit": "probability"
      },
      {
        "market": "clean_sheet",
        "selection": "Argentina",
        "estimate": 1.0,
        "probability": 0.5157,
        "unit": "probability"
      },
      {
        "market": "clean_sheet",
        "selection": "H2",
        "estimate": 1.0,
        "probability": 0.1217,
        "unit": "probability"
      },
      {
        "market": "anytime_goal",
        "selection": "Lautaro Martínez (Argentina)",
        "estimate": 0.6592,
        "probability": 0.4627,
        "unit": "xG"
      },
      {
        "market": "anytime_goal",
        "selection": "H2 F2 (H2)",
        "estimate": 0.1738,
        "probability": 0.0,
        "unit": "xG"
      },
      {
        "market": "assist",
        "selection": "Cristian Romero (Argentina)",
        "estimate": 0.1202,
        "probability": 0.1013,
        "unit": "xA"
      },
      {
        "market": "assist",
        "selection": "H2 M1 (H2)",
        "estimate": 0.0952,
        "probability": 0.0,
        "unit": "xA"
      }
    ],
    "expected_pace": {
      "tempo": "balanced",
      "expected_total_goals": 2.914,
      "expected_total_shots": 21,
      "expected_total_passes": 958,
      "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 15.1,
      "possession_home_pct": 55.0,
      "possession_away_pct": 45.0,
      "notes": "Argentina projects to control midfield possession"
    },
    "expected_game_script": {
      "favorite": "Argentina",
      "favorite_win_probability": 0.7091,
      "script": "Argentina is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains favorite-led: fair spread +1.52 goals and fair total 2.91.",
      "first_half": "Expect balanced tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 10 first-half attempts.",
      "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; H2 must keep the match inside one goal.",
      "late_game": "A Argentina lead likely shifts toward control and counters; if level after extra time, penalties are live; Argentina projects as the advancing side at 82.5% overall advancement probability with 18.7% draw pressure."
    },
    "key_matchup_thesis": "Argentina chance creation leans on Julián Alvarez against H2 D2, H2 D3 in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; Argentina projects to control midfield possession.",
    "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [
      "Argentina: starters carry the main goal usage through Julián Alvarez, Lautaro Martínez; bench watchlist: Franco Mastantuono, Alejandro Garnacho.",
      "H2: starters carry the main goal usage through the highest xG attackers; bench watchlist: H2 SUB F6, H2 SUB F7, H2 SUB M4.",
      "Assist usage should flow through Enzo Fernández; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations."
    ],
    "pregame_play_by_play": [
      "0-15: Argentina tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.",
      "15-45: Baseline expects balanced tempo, about 10 total first-half shots, and 1.46 first-half xG pace.",
      "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.",
      "70-90: If H2 is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal; if level after extra time, penalties are live; Argentina projects as the advancing side at 82.5% overall advancement probability with 18.7% draw pressure."
    ],
    "invalidation_triggers": [
      "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Argentina.",
      "H2 wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.",
      "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.",
      "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis."
    ],
    "top_3_risk_factors": [
      {
        "factor": "Low-event scoring variance",
        "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability."
      },
      {
        "factor": "Late lineup or role change",
        "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates."
      },
      {
        "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility",
        "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly."
      }
    ]
  },
  "teams": {
    "Argentina": {
      "formation": "3-5-2",
      "players": {
        "Emiliano Martínez": {
          "player_id": 158263,
          "position": "G",
          "position_depth": "G",
          "is_starter": true,
          "shirt_number": 23,
          "height": 195,
          "market_value": 14400000,
          "stats": {
            "saves": 1,
            "goals_prevented": 0.2332,
            "rating": 91.9519,
            "minutes": 92,
            "total_pass": 34,
            "accurate_pass": 26,
            "total_long_balls": 12,
            "accurate_long_balls": 5,
            "touches": 42,
            "clearances": 1,
            "ball_recovery": 8,
            "high_claims": 2,
            "punches": 1.0218,
            "aerial_won": 1,
            "sweeper_actions": 1,
            "sweeper_accurate": 1,
            "saves_inside_box": 2,
            "possession_lost": 8.021,
            "duels_won": 1,
            "duels_lost": 0,
            "total_contest": 0,
            "won_contest": 0,
            "fouls": 0,
            "fouls_drawn": 1,
            "total_own_half_passes": 24,
            "accurate_own_half_passes": 23,
            "expected_saves": 0.7,
            "high_pressure_saves": 0.27,
            "shots_faced": 1.5,
            "opponent_faced": "H2 F1, H2 M1",
            "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context",
            "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback",
            "goals": 0,
            "projected_goals": 0,
            "goal_probability": 0.0,
            "assists": 0,
            "projected_assists": 0,
            "assist_probability": 0.0,
            "expected_goals": 0.0,
            "expected_assists": 0.0,
            "fifa_overall": 85.0
          },
          "latest_10_games": [
            {
              "match_id": 15186734,
              "match_date": "2026-06-28",
              "home_team": "Jordan",
              "away_team": "Argentina",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Argentina",
              "opponent": "Jordan",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 6.6,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0011,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 15,
                "accurate_pass": 15,
                "ball_recovery": 6,
                "goals_prevented": -0.2797
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "FIFA World Cup",
              "league_id": "16",
              "league_slug": "world-championship",
              "league_country": "World",
              "season_id": "58210",
              "season_name": "World Cup 2026",
              "season_year": "2026"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15186502,
              "match_date": "2026-06-22",
              "home_team": "Argentina",
              "away_team": "Austria",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Argentina",
              "opponent": "Austria",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 6.8,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0003,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 24,
                "accurate_pass": 18,
                "ball_recovery": 6,
                "saves": 1,
                "goals_prevented": 0.0489
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "FIFA World Cup",
              "league_id": "16",
              "league_slug": "world-championship",
              "league_country": "World",
              "season_id": "58210",
              "season_name": "World Cup 2026",
              "season_year": "2026"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15186854,
              "match_date": "2026-06-17",
              "home_team": "Argentina",
              "away_team": "Algeria",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Argentina",
              "opponent": "Algeria",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 6.7,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0081,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 41,
                "accurate_pass": 31,
                "clearances": 1,
                "ball_recovery": 2,
                "goals_prevented": -0.2057
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "FIFA World Cup",
              "league_id": "16",
              "league_slug": "world-championship",
              "league_country": "World",
              "season_id": "58210",
              "season_name": "World Cup 2026",
              "season_year": "2026"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15632626,
              "match_date": "2026-05-20",
              "home_team": "SC Freiburg",
              "away_team": "Aston Villa",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "SC Freiburg",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 7.2,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0049,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 34,
                "accurate_pass": 26,
                "ball_recovery": 6,
                "saves": 2,
                "goals_prevented": 0.2909
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "UEFA Europa League",
              "league_id": "679",
              "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league",
              "league_country": "Europe",
              "season_id": "76984",
              "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 14023928,
              "match_date": "2026-05-15",
              "home_team": "Aston Villa",
              "away_team": "Liverpool FC",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "Liverpool FC",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 6.8,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0055,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 44,
                "accurate_pass": 28,
                "clearances": 1,
                "aerial_won": 2,
                "duels_won": 2,
                "ball_recovery": 7,
                "saves": 3,
                "goals_prevented": -0.3847
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "Premier League",
              "league_id": "17",
              "league_slug": "premier-league",
              "league_country": "England",
              "season_id": "76986",
              "season_name": "Premier League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 14023929,
              "match_date": "2026-05-10",
              "home_team": "Burnley",
              "away_team": "Aston Villa",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "Burnley",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 6.6,
                "assists": 1,
                "expected_assists": 0.0041,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 39,
                "accurate_pass": 34,
                "key_pass": 1,
                "ball_recovery": 9,
                "saves": 4,
                "goals_prevented": -0.2152
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "Premier League",
              "league_id": "17",
              "league_slug": "premier-league",
              "league_country": "England",
              "season_id": "76986",
              "season_name": "Premier League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15632625,
              "match_date": "2026-05-07",
              "home_team": "Aston Villa",
              "away_team": "Nottingham Forest",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "Nottingham Forest",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 7.1,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0015,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 27,
                "accurate_pass": 17,
                "aerial_won": 1,
                "duels_won": 1,
                "ball_recovery": 11,
                "saves": 2,
                "goals_prevented": 0.676
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "UEFA Europa League",
              "league_id": "679",
              "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league",
              "league_country": "Europe",
              "season_id": "76984",
              "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15632623,
              "match_date": "2026-04-30",
              "home_team": "Nottingham Forest",
              "away_team": "Aston Villa",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "Nottingham Forest",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 7.5,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0039,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 30,
                "accurate_pass": 21,
                "ball_recovery": 13,
                "saves": 4,
                "goals_prevented": 0.4553
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "UEFA Europa League",
              "league_id": "679",
              "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league",
              "league_country": "Europe",
              "season_id": "76984",
              "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15632621,
              "match_date": "2026-04-16",
              "home_team": "Aston Villa",
              "away_team": "Bologna",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "Bologna",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 7.2,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0078,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 42,
                "accurate_pass": 28,
                "ball_recovery": 12,
                "saves": 3,
                "goals_prevented": 0.1645
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "UEFA Europa League",
              "league_id": "679",
              "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league",
              "league_country": "Europe",
              "season_id": "76984",
              "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15632617,
              "match_date": "2026-04-09",
              "home_team": "Bologna",
              "away_team": "Aston Villa",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "Bologna",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 7.3,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_assists": 0.0041,
                "total_shots": 0,
                "total_pass": 50,
                "accurate_pass": 31,
                "clearances": 2,
                "aerial_won": 1,
                "duels_won": 2,
                "ball_recovery": 10,
                "saves": 3,
                "goals_prevented": -0.1865
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "UEFA Europa League",
              "league_id": "679",
              "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league",
              "league_country": "Europe",
              "season_id": "76984",
              "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            }
          ],
          "ranking": {
            "global_player_rank": 115,
            "combined_rank_score": 105.5,
            "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv",
            "ranking_status": "combined",
            "sofascore_rank": 98.0,
            "sofascore_rating": 7.4333,
            "sofascore_appearances": 6.0,
            "fifa_rank": 113.0,
            "fifa_overall": 85.0,
            "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings",
            "match_squad_rank": 17,
            "squad_role": "starter",
            "projected_match_rating": 6.9519,
            "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv",
            "player_name": "Emiliano Martínez",
            "ranking_neighbors": {
              "upper": [
                {
                  "player_name": "Allan",
                  "ranking": 110
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Robert Lewandowski",
                  "ranking": 111
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Jung Seung-bae",
                  "ranking": 112
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Aleksandr Golovin",
                  "ranking": 113
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Alexander Badolato",
                  "ranking": 114
                }
              ],
              "lower": [
                {
                  "player_name": "Marquinhos",
                  "ranking": 116
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Jun-ho Son",
                  "ranking": 117
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Davron Merganov",
                  "ranking": 118
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Toni Fruk",
                  "ranking": 119
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Kayke Ferrari",
                  "ranking": 120
                }
              ]
            }
          }
        },
        "Cristian Romero": {
          "player_id": 829932,
          "position": "D",
          "position_depth": "D",
          "is_starter": true,
          "shirt_number": 17,
          "height": 185,
          "market_value": 46000000,
          "stats": {
            "interceptions": 2,
            "tackles": 1,
            "tackles_won": 0,
            "clearances": 3,
            "aerial_won": 1,
            "rating": 89.6014,
            "minutes": 92,
            "total_pass": 73,
            "accurate_pass": 67,
            "duels_won": 5,
            "total_long_balls": 3,
            "accurate_long_balls": 2,
            "total_own_half_passes": 52,
            "accurate_own_half_passes": 50,
            "total_opp_half_passes": 21,
            "accurate_opp_half_passes": 17,
            "crosses_total": 0,
            "crosses_accurate": 0,
            "touches": 87,
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            "total_progression": 13,
            "progressive_carries": 1,
            "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559,
            "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29,
            "projected_substitution_order": 1,
            "substitution_rule_cap": 5,
            "projected_team_substitution_count": 3,
            "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.415,
            "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 1,
            "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute",
            "projected_goals": 0,
            "goal_probability": 0.0,
            "projected_assists": 0,
            "assist_probability": 0.0,
            "fifa_overall": null
          },
          "latest_10_games": [],
          "ranking": {
            "global_player_rank": null,
            "combined_rank_score": null,
            "ranking_source": "missing_player_rankings_csv_row",
            "ranking_status": "missing",
            "sofascore_rank": null,
            "sofascore_rating": null,
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            "fifa_rank": null,
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            "fifa_source": null,
            "match_squad_rank": 9,
            "squad_role": "substitute",
            "projected_match_rating": 6.9,
            "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv",
            "player_name": "H2 SUB F6",
            "ranking_neighbors": {
              "upper": [],
              "lower": []
            }
          }
        },
        "H2 SUB F7": {
          "player_id": 1090858,
          "position": "F",
          "position_depth": "F_BENCH",
          "is_starter": false,
          "shirt_number": 0,
          "height": 180,
          "market_value": 0,
          "stats": {
            "expected_goals": 0.0488,
            "goal_rate": 0.0393,
            "goals": 0,
            "total_shots": 1,
            "shots_on_target": 0,
            "expected_assists": 0.0172,
            "duels_won": 1,
            "aerial_won": 0,
            "rating": 6.9,
            "minutes": 25,
            "total_pass": 8,
            "accurate_pass": 6,
            "total_long_balls": 0,
            "accurate_long_balls": 0,
            "total_opp_half_passes": 4,
            "accurate_opp_half_passes": 3,
            "crosses_total": 0,
            "crosses_accurate": 0,
            "touches": 12,
            "possession_lost": 2.2763,
            "dispossessed": 1.0,
            "duels_lost": 1,
            "aerial_lost": 1,
            "total_contest": 1,
            "won_contest": 1,
            "ball_recovery": 1,
            "challenges_lost": 1,
            "fouls": 0,
            "fouls_drawn": 0,
            "assists": 0,
            "shots_off_target": 0,
            "key_pass": 0,
            "interceptions": 0,
            "tackles_won": 0,
            "tackles": 0,
            "clearances": 0,
            "blocks": 0,
            "big_chances_created": 0,
            "big_chances_missed": 0,
            "xgot": 0.0481,
            "offsides": 1,
            "ball_carries": 5,
            "total_progression": 13,
            "progressive_carries": 1,
            "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559,
            "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29,
            "projected_substitution_order": 2,
            "substitution_rule_cap": 5,
            "projected_team_substitution_count": 3,
            "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.415,
            "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 1,
            "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute",
            "projected_goals": 0,
            "goal_probability": 0.0,
            "projected_assists": 0,
            "assist_probability": 0.0,
            "fifa_overall": null
          },
          "latest_10_games": [],
          "ranking": {
            "global_player_rank": null,
            "combined_rank_score": null,
            "ranking_source": "missing_player_rankings_csv_row",
            "ranking_status": "missing",
            "sofascore_rank": null,
            "sofascore_rating": null,
            "sofascore_appearances": null,
            "fifa_rank": null,
            "fifa_overall": null,
            "fifa_source": null,
            "match_squad_rank": 10,
            "squad_role": "substitute",
            "projected_match_rating": 6.9,
            "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv",
            "player_name": "H2 SUB F7",
            "ranking_neighbors": {
              "upper": [],
              "lower": []
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "substitutes": {
        "H2 SUB F6": {
          "player_id": 1090857,
          "position": "F",
          "position_depth": "F_BENCH",
          "is_starter": false,
          "shirt_number": 0,
          "height": 180,
          "market_value": 0,
          "stats": {
            "expected_goals": 0.0488,
            "goal_rate": 0.0393,
            "goals": 0,
            "total_shots": 1,
            "shots_on_target": 0,
            "expected_assists": 0.0172,
            "duels_won": 1,
            "aerial_won": 0,
            "rating": 6.9,
            "minutes": 25,
            "total_pass": 8,
            "accurate_pass": 6,
            "total_long_balls": 0,
            "accurate_long_balls": 0,
            "total_opp_half_passes": 4,
            "accurate_opp_half_passes": 3,
            "crosses_total": 0,
            "crosses_accurate": 0,
            "touches": 12,
            "possession_lost": 2.2763,
            "dispossessed": 1.0,
            "duels_lost": 1,
            "aerial_lost": 1,
            "total_contest": 1,
            "won_contest": 1,
            "ball_recovery": 1,
            "challenges_lost": 1,
            "fouls": 0,
            "fouls_drawn": 0,
            "assists": 0,
            "shots_off_target": 0,
            "key_pass": 0,
            "interceptions": 0,
            "tackles_won": 0,
            "tackles": 0,
            "clearances": 0,
            "blocks": 0,
            "big_chances_created": 0,
            "big_chances_missed": 0,
            "xgot": 0.0481,
            "offsides": 1,
            "ball_carries": 5,
            "total_progression": 13,
            "progressive_carries": 1,
            "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559,
            "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29,
            "projected_substitution_order": 1,
            "substitution_rule_cap": 5,
            "projected_team_substitution_count": 3,
            "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.415,
            "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 1,
            "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute",
            "projected_goals": 0,
            "goal_probability": 0.0,
            "projected_assists": 0,
            "assist_probability": 0.0,
            "fifa_overall": null
          },
          "latest_10_games": [],
          "ranking": {
            "global_player_rank": null,
            "combined_rank_score": null,
            "ranking_source": "missing_player_rankings_csv_row",
            "ranking_status": "missing",
            "sofascore_rank": null,
            "sofascore_rating": null,
            "sofascore_appearances": null,
            "fifa_rank": null,
            "fifa_overall": null,
            "fifa_source": null,
            "match_squad_rank": 9,
            "squad_role": "substitute",
            "projected_match_rating": 6.9,
            "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv",
            "player_name": "H2 SUB F6",
            "ranking_neighbors": {
              "upper": [],
              "lower": []
            }
          }
        },
        "H2 SUB F7": {
          "player_id": 1090858,
          "position": "F",
          "position_depth": "F_BENCH",
          "is_starter": false,
          "shirt_number": 0,
          "height": 180,
          "market_value": 0,
          "stats": {
            "expected_goals": 0.0488,
            "goal_rate": 0.0393,
            "goals": 0,
            "total_shots": 1,
            "shots_on_target": 0,
            "expected_assists": 0.0172,
            "duels_won": 1,
            "aerial_won": 0,
            "rating": 6.9,
            "minutes": 25,
            "total_pass": 8,
            "accurate_pass": 6,
            "total_long_balls": 0,
            "accurate_long_balls": 0,
            "total_opp_half_passes": 4,
            "accurate_opp_half_passes": 3,
            "crosses_total": 0,
            "crosses_accurate": 0,
            "touches": 12,
            "possession_lost": 2.2763,
            "dispossessed": 1.0,
            "duels_lost": 1,
            "aerial_lost": 1,
            "total_contest": 1,
            "won_contest": 1,
            "ball_recovery": 1,
            "challenges_lost": 1,
            "fouls": 0,
            "fouls_drawn": 0,
            "assists": 0,
            "shots_off_target": 0,
            "key_pass": 0,
            "interceptions": 0,
            "tackles_won": 0,
            "tackles": 0,
            "clearances": 0,
            "blocks": 0,
            "big_chances_created": 0,
            "big_chances_missed": 0,
            "xgot": 0.0481,
            "offsides": 1,
            "ball_carries": 5,
            "total_progression": 13,
            "progressive_carries": 1,
            "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559,
            "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29,
            "projected_substitution_order": 2,
            "substitution_rule_cap": 5,
            "projected_team_substitution_count": 3,
            "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.415,
            "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 1,
            "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute",
            "projected_goals": 0,
            "goal_probability": 0.0,
            "projected_assists": 0,
            "assist_probability": 0.0,
            "fifa_overall": null
          },
          "latest_10_games": [],
          "ranking": {
            "global_player_rank": null,
            "combined_rank_score": null,
            "ranking_source": "missing_player_rankings_csv_row",
            "ranking_status": "missing",
            "sofascore_rank": null,
            "sofascore_rating": null,
            "sofascore_appearances": null,
            "fifa_rank": null,
            "fifa_overall": null,
            "fifa_source": null,
            "match_squad_rank": 10,
            "squad_role": "substitute",
            "projected_match_rating": 6.9,
            "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv",
            "player_name": "H2 SUB F7",
            "ranking_neighbors": {
              "upper": [],
              "lower": []
            }
          }
        },
        "H2 SUB M4": {
          "player_id": 1090855,
          "position": "M",
          "position_depth": "M_BENCH",
          "is_starter": false,
          "shirt_number": 0,
          "height": 180,
          "market_value": 0,
          "stats": {
            "key_pass": 0,
            "assists": 0,
            "expected_assists": 0.0233,
            "expected_goals": 0.0152,
            "total_shots": 0,
            "total_pass": 12,
            "accurate_pass": 10,
            "ball_recovery": 1,
            "duels_won": 1,
            "rating": 6.9,
            "minutes": 22,
            "total_long_balls": 1,
            "accurate_long_balls": 0,
            "total_own_half_passes": 5,
            "accurate_own_half_passes": 4,
            "total_opp_half_passes": 5,
            "accurate_opp_half_passes": 3,
            "crosses_total": 0,
            "crosses_accurate": 0,
            "touches": 16,
            "possession_lost": 1.9775,
            "dispossessed": 0.7,
            "duels_lost": 1,
            "aerial_won": 0,
            "aerial_lost": 1,
            "interceptions": 0,
            "tackles_won": 0,
            "tackles": 0,
            "clearances": 0,
            "total_contest": 1,
            "won_contest": 1,
            "challenges_lost": 1,
            "fouls": 0,
            "fouls_drawn": 0,
            "goal_rate": 0.0146,
            "goals": 0,
            "shots_on_target": 0,
            "shots_off_target": 0,
            "blocks": 0,
            "big_chances_created": 0,
            "big_chances_missed": 0,
            "xgot": 0.0132,
            "ball_carries": 7,
            "total_progression": 18,
            "progressive_carries": 1,
            "bench_appearance_probability": 0.499,
            "bench_expected_minutes": 21.97,
            "projected_substitution_order": 3,
            "substitution_rule_cap": 5,
            "projected_team_substitution_count": 3,
            "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.415,
            "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 1,
            "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute",
            "projected_goals": 0,
            "goal_probability": 0.0,
            "projected_assists": 0,
            "assist_probability": 0.0,
            "fifa_overall": null
          },
          "latest_10_games": [],
          "ranking": {
            "global_player_rank": null,
            "combined_rank_score": null,
            "ranking_source": "missing_player_rankings_csv_row",
            "ranking_status": "missing",
            "sofascore_rank": null,
            "sofascore_rating": null,
            "sofascore_appearances": null,
            "fifa_rank": null,
            "fifa_overall": null,
            "fifa_source": null,
            "match_squad_rank": 7,
            "squad_role": "substitute",
            "projected_match_rating": 6.9,
            "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv",
            "player_name": "H2 SUB M4",
            "ranking_neighbors": {
              "upper": [],
              "lower": []
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "team_totals": {
        "projected_goals": 0,
        "expected_goals": 0.7,
        "expected_assists": 0.7,
        "total_shots": 10,
        "shots_on_target": 2,
        "total_passes": 475,
        "interceptions": 8,
        "tackles": 18,
        "avg_rating": 6.85,
        "possession_estimated_pct": 45.0,
        "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.2
      }
    }
  },
  "antagonist_report": {
    "home_attacking_duels": [
      {
        "attacker": "Julián Alvarez",
        "attacker_role": "ST",
        "attacker_market_value": 87000000,
        "attacker_height": 170,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.887,
        "defenders": [
          "H2 D2",
          "H2 D3"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CB",
          "CB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.437,
        "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "numerical_situation": "1v2",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.362,
        "xg_contribution": 0.1856,
        "shots_in_zone": 2.8,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.6,
        "aerial_duels": 3,
        "aerial_won": 1.2,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.6,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "H2 D2",
            "role": "CB",
            "market_value": 0,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.0,
            "tackles_won": 0.9,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.6,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.9,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.638
          },
          {
            "player": "H2 D3",
            "role": "CB",
            "market_value": 0,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.0,
            "tackles_won": 0.9,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.6,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.9,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.638
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Julián Alvarez (ST) faces tough defensive resistance against H2 D2 and H2 D3 in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 36%. The quality gap is significant (€87M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.186 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Giuliano Simeone",
        "attacker_role": "LWB",
        "attacker_market_value": 44000000,
        "attacker_height": 173,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.8,
        "defenders": [
          "H2 D4"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "RB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.437,
        "duel_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.535,
        "xg_contribution": 0.031,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.1,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.9,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 0.9,
        "crosses_in_zone": 2.9,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.2,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "H2 D4",
            "role": "RB",
            "market_value": 0,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.9,
            "tackles_won": 1.5,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 1.1,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.465
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Giuliano Simeone (LWB) is slightly favored against H2 D4 in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 54%. The quality gap is significant (€44M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.031 — creating consistent moderate threat."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Valentín Barco",
        "attacker_role": "RWB",
        "attacker_market_value": 38000000,
        "attacker_height": 172,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.77,
        "defenders": [
          "H2 D1"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "LB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.437,
        "duel_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.518,
        "xg_contribution": 0.1669,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.1,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.9,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 0.8,
        "crosses_in_zone": 2.9,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.2,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "H2 D1",
            "role": "LB",
            "market_value": 0,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.9,
            "tackles_won": 1.5,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 1.1,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.482
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Valentín Barco (RWB) is slightly favored against H2 D1 in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 52%. The quality gap is significant (€38M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.167 — creating consistent moderate threat."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Enzo Fernández",
        "attacker_role": "CM",
        "attacker_market_value": 87000000,
        "attacker_height": 177,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.887,
        "defenders": [
          "H2 M2"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CM"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.437,
        "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.61,
        "xg_contribution": 0.1402,
        "shots_in_zone": 2.0,
        "dribbles_attempted": 3,
        "dribbles_successful": 1.6,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.0,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.2,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "H2 M2",
            "role": "CM",
            "market_value": 0,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.9,
            "tackles_won": 1.3,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 1.0,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.39
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Enzo Fernández (CM) has a clear attacking advantage against H2 M2 in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 61%. The quality gap is significant (€87M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.140 — and projects to generate high-quality chances."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Alexis Mac Allister",
        "attacker_role": "CDM",
        "attacker_market_value": 88000000,
        "attacker_height": 176,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.888,
        "defenders": [
          "H2 M2"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CM"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.437,
        "duel_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.587,
        "xg_contribution": 0.0959,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.2,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 1.0,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 0.9,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.2,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "H2 M2",
            "role": "CM",
            "market_value": 0,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.9,
            "tackles_won": 1.4,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 1.1,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.413
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Alexis Mac Allister (CDM) is slightly favored against H2 M2 in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 59%. The quality gap is significant (€88M vs €0M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.096 — creating consistent moderate threat."
      }
    ],
    "away_attacking_duels": [
      {
        "attacker": "H2 F1",
        "attacker_role": "ST",
        "attacker_market_value": 3000000,
        "attacker_height": 180,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.437,
        "defenders": [
          "Cristian Romero",
          "Lisandro Martínez"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CB",
          "CB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.8,
        "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "numerical_situation": "1v2",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.18,
        "xg_contribution": 0.1457,
        "shots_in_zone": 2.0,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.3,
        "aerial_duels": 3,
        "aerial_won": 1.6,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.4,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Cristian Romero",
            "role": "CB",
            "market_value": 46000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.1,
            "tackles_won": 1.3,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3,
            "clearances_in_zone": 1.1,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.7,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.82
          },
          {
            "player": "Lisandro Martínez",
            "role": "CB",
            "market_value": 42000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.1,
            "tackles_won": 1.3,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3,
            "clearances_in_zone": 1.1,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.7,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.82
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "H2 F1 (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Cristian Romero and Lisandro Martínez in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€0M vs €44M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.146 — with very limited chance creation expected."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "H2 M1",
        "attacker_role": "LM",
        "attacker_market_value": 3000000,
        "attacker_height": 180,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.437,
        "defenders": [
          "Valentín Barco"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "RWB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.77,
        "duel_zone": "LM vs RWB",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.302,
        "xg_contribution": 0.0668,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.3,
        "dribbles_attempted": 3,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.8,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.1,
        "crosses_in_zone": 2.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.3,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Valentín Barco",
            "role": "RWB",
            "market_value": 38000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.2,
            "tackles_won": 2.2,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.9,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.698
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "H2 M1 (LM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Valentín Barco in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 30%. The quality gap is significant (€0M vs €38M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.067 — with very limited chance creation expected."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "H2 M4",
        "attacker_role": "RM",
        "attacker_market_value": 3000000,
        "attacker_height": 180,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.437,
        "defenders": [
          "Giuliano Simeone"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "LWB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.8,
        "duel_zone": "RM vs LWB",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.285,
        "xg_contribution": 0.0647,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.2,
        "dribbles_attempted": 3,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.8,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.1,
        "crosses_in_zone": 2.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.3,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Giuliano Simeone",
            "role": "LWB",
            "market_value": 44000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.2,
            "tackles_won": 2.3,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.9,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.715
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "H2 M4 (RM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Giuliano Simeone in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 28%. The quality gap is significant (€0M vs €44M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.065 — with very limited chance creation expected."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "H2 M2",
        "attacker_role": "CM",
        "attacker_market_value": 3000000,
        "attacker_height": 180,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.437,
        "defenders": [
          "Enzo Fernández"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CM"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.887,
        "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.23,
        "xg_contribution": 0.0581,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.2,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.4,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.1,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.4,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Enzo Fernández",
            "role": "CM",
            "market_value": 87000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.3,
            "tackles_won": 2.5,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.9,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.77
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "H2 M2 (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Enzo Fernández in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 23%. The quality gap is significant (€0M vs €87M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.058 — with very limited chance creation expected."
      }
    ],
    "midfield_battle": {
      "home_midfield_power": 0.893,
      "away_midfield_power": 0.462,
      "home_creative_power": 0.716,
      "away_creative_power": 0.503,
      "home_defensive_power": 0.818,
      "away_defensive_power": 0.393,
      "home_dominance_ratio": 0.659,
      "home_midfield_count": 5,
      "away_midfield_count": 4,
      "home_midfield_players": [
        "Alexis Mac Allister",
        "Enzo Fernández",
        "Nico Paz",
        "Giuliano Simeone",
        "Valentín Barco"
      ],
      "away_midfield_players": [
        "H2 M1",
        "H2 M2",
        "H2 M3",
        "H2 M4"
      ],
      "possession_advantage": "home",
      "estimated_possession_home_pct": 55.0,
      "estimated_possession_away_pct": 45.0,
      "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.9,
      "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.2,
      "home_key_passes_projected": 5.8,
      "away_key_passes_projected": 4.5,
      "home_throughball_threat": 2.7,
      "away_throughball_threat": 2.1,
      "key_personal_duel": "Alexis Mac Allister vs H2 M1",
      "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.055,
      "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.948
    },
    "formation_analysis": {
      "home_formation": "3-5-2",
      "away_formation": "4-4-2",
      "home_tactical_bonus": -0.01,
      "away_tactical_bonus": 0.01,
      "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-5-2 and 4-4-2. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality."
    },
    "home_lambda": 2.217,
    "away_lambda": 0.697,
    "home_top_threat_zones": [
      "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
      "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run"
    ],
    "away_top_threat_zones": [
      "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
      "LM vs RWB"
    ],
    "home_player_antagonists": {
      "Julián Alvarez": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 D2",
          "H2 D3"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "attacking_duel"
      },
      "Giuliano Simeone": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 D4",
          "H2 M4"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run",
        "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Valentín Barco": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 D1",
          "H2 M1",
          "H2 M2"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run",
        "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Enzo Fernández": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 M2",
          "H2 M3"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest",
        "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Alexis Mac Allister": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 M2"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel",
        "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Cristian Romero": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 F1"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Lisandro Martínez": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 F1"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Nico Paz": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 M1"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Midfield lane",
        "source": "midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Emiliano Martínez": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 F2",
          "H2 F1"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Shape fallback",
        "source": "formation_fallback"
      },
      "Leonardo Balerdi": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 F2"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Shape fallback",
        "source": "formation_fallback"
      },
      "Lautaro Martínez": {
        "opponents": [
          "H2 D1",
          "H2 D2"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Shape fallback",
        "source": "formation_fallback"
      }
    },
    "away_player_antagonists": {
      "H2 D2": {
        "opponents": [
          "Julián Alvarez"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "H2 D3": {
        "opponents": [
          "Julián Alvarez"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "H2 D4": {
        "opponents": [
          "Giuliano Simeone"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "H2 D1": {
        "opponents": [
          "Valentín Barco"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "H2 M2": {
        "opponents": [
          "Enzo Fernández",
          "Alexis Mac Allister",
          "Valentín Barco"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Central Mid — Box-to-Box Midfield Contest",
        "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "H2 F1": {
        "opponents": [
          "Cristian Romero",
          "Lisandro Martínez"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "attacking_duel"
      },
      "H2 M1": {
        "opponents": [
          "Valentín Barco",
          "Nico Paz"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "LM vs RWB",
        "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "H2 M4": {
        "opponents": [
          "Giuliano Simeone"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "RM vs LWB",
        "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "H2 M3": {
        "opponents": [
          "Enzo Fernández"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Midfield lane",
        "source": "midfield_pairing"
      },
      "H2 G1": {
        "opponents": [
          "Lautaro Martínez",
          "Julián Alvarez"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Shape fallback",
        "source": "formation_fallback"
      },
      "H2 F2": {
        "opponents": [
          "Leonardo Balerdi",
          "Cristian Romero"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Shape fallback",
        "source": "formation_fallback"
      }
    },
    "key_tactical_insight": "Home midfield dominates with ~55% possession expected (Alexis Mac Allister vs H2 M1). Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.62, Away: 0.34. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.",
    "lambda_factors": {
      "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0005,
      "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9552,
      "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.0753,
      "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.0,
      "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9913,
      "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9163,
      "home_midfield_factor": 1.055,
      "away_midfield_factor": 0.948,
      "stage_discount": 1.0,
      "quality_gap_applied": true,
      "home_avg_quality": 0.8179,
      "away_avg_quality": 0.4374,
      "avg_quality_gap": 0.3805,
      "squad_value_gap_log": 6.3959,
      "top5_value_gap_log": 6.0234,
      "attack_value_gap_log": 6.2046,
      "elite_count_gap": 8,
      "combined_quality_gap": 0.8794,
      "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.95,
      "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.6,
      "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0277,
      "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.106,
      "home_bench_players_modelled": 7,
      "away_bench_players_modelled": 7,
      "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": true,
      "mismatch_score_pressure_gap": 0.8794,
      "mismatch_favorite_lambda_boost": 1.2248,
      "mismatch_underdog_lambda_factor": 0.9221,
      "pre_mismatch_home_lambda": 1.81,
      "pre_mismatch_away_lambda": 0.756,
      "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false,
      "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.8097,
      "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.756,
      "competition_calibration_applied": false,
      "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data",
      "competition_calibration_samples": 0,
      "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0,
      "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0,
      "neutral_share_preserved": true,
      "final_home_lambda": 2.217,
      "final_away_lambda": 0.697
    }
  },
  "home_standing": {
    "available": false,
    "team_position": null,
    "opponent_position": null,
    "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0,
    "attack_index": null,
    "defense_concede_index": null,
    "form_multiplier": null,
    "team_attack_rate_contextual": null,
    "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null,
    "team_ppg": null,
    "opponent_ppg": null
  },
  "away_standing": {
    "available": false,
    "team_position": null,
    "opponent_position": null,
    "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0,
    "attack_index": null,
    "defense_concede_index": null,
    "form_multiplier": null,
    "team_attack_rate_contextual": null,
    "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null,
    "team_ppg": null,
    "opponent_ppg": null
  },
  "timestamp": "2026-06-30T04:37:04Z"
}