{
  "match_info": {
    "home_team": "Mexico",
    "away_team": "England",
    "tournament": "World Championship",
    "date": "20260705",
    "timezone": "America/New_York",
    "home_formation": "4-3-3",
    "away_formation": "4-2-3-1"
  },
  "prediction": {
    "most_likely_score": "0-2",
    "home_goals": 0,
    "away_goals": 2,
    "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1294,
    "match_resolution": "penalties_if_level",
    "predicted_winner": "England",
    "tiebreaker": {
      "applies": true,
      "method": "penalties_if_level",
      "regulation_draw_probability": 0.1214,
      "shootout_home_win_probability": 0.38,
      "shootout_away_win_probability": 0.62,
      "penalty_home_goals": 2,
      "penalty_away_goals": 4,
      "penalty_score": "2-4",
      "penalty_winner": "England",
      "penalty_winner_goals": 4,
      "penalty_loser_goals": 2,
      "penalty_result": "England wins 4-2 on penalties",
      "home_advance_probability": 0.1036,
      "away_advance_probability": 0.8964,
      "projected_winner": "England",
      "projected_winner_probability": 0.8964,
      "final_score_after_penalties": null,
      "reason": "Knockout match: a tied scoreline remains possible, then the advancing team is projected through penalties."
    },
    "top_5_scorelines": [
      {
        "score": "0-2",
        "probability": 0.1294
      },
      {
        "score": "0-3",
        "probability": 0.1199
      },
      {
        "score": "0-1",
        "probability": 0.093
      },
      {
        "score": "0-4",
        "probability": 0.0832
      },
      {
        "score": "1-2",
        "probability": 0.0799
      }
    ],
    "scoreline_probabilities": {
      "0-0": 0.0337,
      "0-1": 0.093,
      "0-2": 0.1294,
      "0-3": 0.1199,
      "0-4": 0.0832,
      "0-5": 0.0462,
      "0-6": 0.0214,
      "0-7": 0.0085,
      "0-8": 0.0029,
      "0-9": 0.0009,
      "1-0": 0.0206,
      "1-1": 0.0577,
      "1-2": 0.0799,
      "1-3": 0.074,
      "1-4": 0.0514,
      "1-5": 0.0286,
      "1-6": 0.0132,
      "1-7": 0.0052,
      "1-8": 0.0018,
      "1-9": 0.0006,
      "2-0": 0.0064,
      "2-1": 0.0178,
      "2-2": 0.0247,
      "2-3": 0.0229,
      "2-4": 0.0159,
      "2-5": 0.0088,
      "2-6": 0.0041,
      "2-7": 0.0016,
      "2-8": 0.0006,
      "3-0": 0.0013,
      "3-1": 0.0037,
      "3-2": 0.0051,
      "3-3": 0.0047,
      "3-4": 0.0033,
      "3-5": 0.0018,
      "3-6": 0.0008,
      "4-1": 0.0006,
      "4-2": 0.0008,
      "4-3": 0.0007,
      "4-4": 0.0005
    },
    "outcome": {
      "home_win": 0.0574,
      "draw": 0.1214,
      "away_win": 0.8212
    },
    "markets": {
      "over_2_5_goals": 0.6591,
      "under_2_5_goals": 0.3409,
      "btts_yes": 0.4322,
      "btts_no": 0.5678,
      "home_clean_sheet": 0.0622,
      "away_clean_sheet": 0.5393
    },
    "home_ratings": {
      "DR": 88.98,
      "MCR": 89.9,
      "ATR": 84.98,
      "GK": 90.0
    },
    "away_ratings": {
      "DR": 86.36,
      "MCR": 93.84,
      "ATR": 91.7,
      "GK": 90.57
    },
    "insights": {
      "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Mexico vs England. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 5 away individual player duels.",
      "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Harry Kane (2)",
      "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Away midfield dictates play with ~54% possession expected (Gilberto Mora vs Jude Bellingham). Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.63, Away: 0.88. Home danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle."
    },
    "confidence": 0.88,
    "home_lambda": 0.65,
    "away_lambda": 2.924
  },
  "pregame_baseline": {
    "fair_win_probability": {
      "home_win": 0.0574,
      "draw": 0.1214,
      "away_win": 0.8212
    },
    "favorite": "England",
    "favorite_win_probability": 0.8212,
    "fair_spread": -2.274,
    "fair_total": 3.574,
    "prop_estimates": [
      {
        "market": "team_total_goals",
        "selection": "Mexico",
        "estimate": 0.65,
        "probability": null,
        "unit": "goals"
      },
      {
        "market": "team_total_goals",
        "selection": "England",
        "estimate": 2.924,
        "probability": null,
        "unit": "goals"
      },
      {
        "market": "over_2_5_goals",
        "selection": "yes",
        "estimate": 2.5,
        "probability": 0.6591,
        "unit": "probability"
      },
      {
        "market": "both_teams_to_score",
        "selection": "yes",
        "estimate": 1.0,
        "probability": 0.4322,
        "unit": "probability"
      },
      {
        "market": "clean_sheet",
        "selection": "Mexico",
        "estimate": 1.0,
        "probability": 0.0622,
        "unit": "probability"
      },
      {
        "market": "clean_sheet",
        "selection": "England",
        "estimate": 1.0,
        "probability": 0.5393,
        "unit": "probability"
      },
      {
        "market": "anytime_goal",
        "selection": "Julián Quiñones (Mexico)",
        "estimate": 0.2557,
        "probability": 0.0,
        "unit": "xG"
      },
      {
        "market": "anytime_goal",
        "selection": "Harry Kane (England)",
        "estimate": 0.7077,
        "probability": 0.6177,
        "unit": "xG"
      },
      {
        "market": "assist",
        "selection": "Gilberto Mora (Mexico)",
        "estimate": 0.1583,
        "probability": 0.0,
        "unit": "xA"
      },
      {
        "market": "assist",
        "selection": "Declan Rice (England)",
        "estimate": 0.1965,
        "probability": 0.2752,
        "unit": "xA"
      }
    ],
    "expected_pace": {
      "tempo": "high",
      "expected_total_goals": 3.574,
      "expected_total_shots": 26,
      "expected_total_passes": 907,
      "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 14.9,
      "possession_home_pct": 45.6,
      "possession_away_pct": 54.4,
      "notes": "England projects to control midfield possession"
    },
    "expected_game_script": {
      "favorite": "England",
      "favorite_win_probability": 0.8212,
      "script": "England is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains favorite-led: fair spread -2.27 goals and fair total 3.57.",
      "first_half": "Expect high tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 13 first-half attempts.",
      "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Mexico must keep the match inside one goal.",
      "late_game": "A England lead likely shifts toward control and counters; if level after extra time, penalties are live; England projects as the advancing side at 89.6% overall advancement probability with 12.1% draw pressure."
    },
    "key_matchup_thesis": "England chance creation leans on Harry Kane against César Montes, Erik Lira in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; England projects to control midfield possession.",
    "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [
      "Mexico: starters carry the main goal usage through the highest xG attackers; bench watchlist: Santiago Giménez, Armando González, Edson Álvarez.",
      "England: starters carry the main goal usage through Harry Kane (2); bench watchlist: Bukayo Saka, Ollie Watkins.",
      "Assist usage should flow through Declan Rice; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations."
    ],
    "pregame_play_by_play": [
      "0-15: England tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.",
      "15-45: Baseline expects high tempo, about 13 total first-half shots, and 1.79 first-half xG pace.",
      "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.",
      "70-90: If Mexico is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal; if level after extra time, penalties are live; England projects as the advancing side at 89.6% overall advancement probability with 12.1% draw pressure."
    ],
    "invalidation_triggers": [
      "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for England.",
      "Mexico wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.",
      "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.",
      "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis."
    ],
    "top_3_risk_factors": [
      {
        "factor": "Low-event scoring variance",
        "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability."
      },
      {
        "factor": "Late lineup or role change",
        "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates."
      },
      {
        "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility",
        "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly."
      }
    ]
  },
  "teams": {
    "Mexico": {
      "formation": "4-3-3",
      "players": {
        "Julián Quiñones": {
          "player_id": 843114,
          "position": "F",
          "position_depth": "F",
          "is_starter": true,
          "shirt_number": 16,
          "height": 180,
          "market_value": 12900000,
          "stats": {
            "expected_goals": 0.2557,
            "goal_rate": 1.0441,
            "goals": 0,
            "shots_on_target": 1,
            "expected_assists": 0.1306,
            "key_pass": 1,
            "rating": 87.409,
            "minutes": 87,
            "total_shots": 2,
            "duels_won": 4,
            "aerial_won": 1,
            "total_pass": 23,
            "accurate_pass": 18,
            "total_long_balls": 1,
            "accurate_long_balls": 1,
            "total_opp_half_passes": 17,
            "accurate_opp_half_passes": 12,
            "crosses_total": 5,
            "crosses_accurate": 3,
            "touches": 41,
            "possession_lost": 12.3435,
            "dispossessed": 2.7961,
            "duels_lost": 5,
            "aerial_lost": 1,
            "total_contest": 2,
            "won_contest": 1,
            "ball_recovery": 3,
            "challenges_lost": 2,
            "fouls": 2,
            "fouls_drawn": 2,
            "assists": 0,
            "shots_off_target": 2,
            "interceptions": 1,
            "tackles_won": 1,
            "tackles": 1,
            "clearances": 1,
            "blocks": 0,
            "big_chances_created": 1,
            "big_chances_missed": 1,
            "xgot": 0.6101,
            "offsides": 1,
            "ball_carries": 10,
            "total_progression": 34,
            "progressive_carries": 1,
            "dribbles_attempted": 4,
            "dribbles_successful": 1.3,
            "crosses_attempted": 2.1,
            "duel_win_rate": 0.362,
            "pressing_faced": "HIGH",
            "matchup_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle",
            "numerical_situation": "1v1",
            "opponent_defenders": "Ezri Konsa",
            "opponent_faced": "Ezri Konsa",
            "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel",
            "projected_goals": 0,
            "goal_probability": 0.0,
            "projected_assists": 0,
            "assist_probability": 0.0,
            "fifa_overall": 80.0
          },
          "latest_10_games": [
            {
              "match_id": 12813001,
              "match_date": "2026-07-01",
              "home_team": "Mexico",
              "away_team": "Ecuador",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Mexico",
              "opponent": "Ecuador",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 80,
                "rating": 8.2,
                "goal_rate": 1.0,
                "goals": 1,
                "assists": 1,
                "expected_goals": 0.0997,
                "expected_assists": 0.0434,
                "total_shots": 1,
                "shots_on_target": 1,
                "total_pass": 23,
                "accurate_pass": 17,
                "key_pass": 3,
                "tackles": 1,
                "aerial_won": 2,
                "duels_won": 5,
                "ball_recovery": 3
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "World Championship",
              "league_id": "16",
              "league_slug": "world-championship",
              "league_country": "World",
              "season_id": "58210",
              "season_name": "World Cup 2026",
              "season_year": "2026"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15186732,
              "match_date": "2026-06-25",
              "home_team": "Czechia",
              "away_team": "Mexico",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Mexico",
              "opponent": "Czechia",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 7.3,
                "goal_rate": 1.0,
                "goals": 1,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 0.8584,
                "expected_assists": 0.0191,
                "total_shots": 4,
                "shots_on_target": 1,
                "shots_off_target": 2,
                "total_pass": 25,
                "accurate_pass": 20,
                "tackles": 2,
                "clearances": 2,
                "duels_won": 3,
                "ball_recovery": 4
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "FIFA World Cup",
              "league_id": "16",
              "league_slug": "world-championship",
              "league_country": "World",
              "season_id": "58210",
              "season_name": "World Cup 2026",
              "season_year": "2026"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15186490,
              "match_date": "2026-06-19",
              "home_team": "Mexico",
              "away_team": "South Korea",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Mexico",
              "opponent": "South Korea",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 84,
                "rating": 6.6,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 0.0553,
                "expected_assists": 0.1418,
                "total_shots": 1,
                "shots_on_target": 1,
                "total_pass": 25,
                "accurate_pass": 20,
                "key_pass": 2,
                "clearances": 1,
                "aerial_won": 2,
                "duels_won": 5,
                "ball_recovery": 3
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "FIFA World Cup",
              "league_id": "16",
              "league_slug": "world-championship",
              "league_country": "World",
              "season_id": "58210",
              "season_name": "World Cup 2026",
              "season_year": "2026"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15186710,
              "match_date": "2026-06-11",
              "home_team": "Mexico",
              "away_team": "South Africa",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Mexico",
              "opponent": "South Africa",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 79,
                "rating": 8.6,
                "goal_rate": 1.0,
                "goals": 1,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 0.3701,
                "expected_assists": 0.078,
                "total_shots": 5,
                "shots_on_target": 2,
                "shots_off_target": 2,
                "total_pass": 33,
                "accurate_pass": 28,
                "key_pass": 2,
                "duels_won": 7,
                "ball_recovery": 4
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "FIFA World Cup",
              "league_id": "16",
              "league_slug": "world-championship",
              "league_country": "World",
              "season_id": "58210",
              "season_name": "World Cup 2026",
              "season_year": "2026"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 14773803,
              "match_date": "2026-05-21",
              "home_team": "Al-Ittihad",
              "away_team": "Al-Qadsiah",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Al-Qadsiah",
              "opponent": "Al-Ittihad",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 76,
                "rating": 8.5,
                "goal_rate": 3.0,
                "goals": 3,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 1.9077,
                "expected_assists": 0.007,
                "total_shots": 8,
                "shots_on_target": 3,
                "total_pass": 17,
                "accurate_pass": 13,
                "tackles": 1,
                "tackles_won": 1,
                "duels_won": 3
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "Saudi Pro League",
              "league_id": "955",
              "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league",
              "league_country": "Saudi Arabia",
              "season_id": "80443",
              "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 14773795,
              "match_date": "2026-05-14",
              "home_team": "Al-Qadsiah",
              "away_team": "Al-Hazem",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Al-Qadsiah",
              "opponent": "Al-Hazem",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 8.2,
                "goal_rate": 1.0,
                "goals": 1,
                "assists": 1,
                "expected_goals": 0.7168,
                "expected_assists": 0.7163,
                "total_shots": 3,
                "shots_on_target": 1,
                "shots_off_target": 2,
                "total_pass": 14,
                "accurate_pass": 8,
                "key_pass": 1,
                "aerial_won": 1,
                "duels_won": 2,
                "ball_recovery": 2
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "Saudi Pro League",
              "league_id": "955",
              "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league",
              "league_country": "Saudi Arabia",
              "season_id": "80443",
              "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 14771882,
              "match_date": "2026-05-09",
              "home_team": "Al-Fayha",
              "away_team": "Al-Qadsiah",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Al-Qadsiah",
              "opponent": "Al-Fayha",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 6.6,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 0.5403,
                "expected_assists": 0.1103,
                "total_shots": 4,
                "shots_off_target": 2,
                "total_pass": 38,
                "accurate_pass": 30,
                "clearances": 1,
                "aerial_won": 2,
                "duels_won": 3,
                "ball_recovery": 4
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "Saudi Pro League",
              "league_id": "955",
              "league_slug": "saudi-pro-league",
              "league_country": "Saudi Arabia",
              "season_id": "80443",
              "season_name": "Saudi Pro League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 11886364,
              "match_date": "2024-07-01",
              "home_team": "Mexico",
              "away_team": "Ecuador",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Mexico",
              "opponent": "Ecuador",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 86,
                "rating": 7.1,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 0.1299,
                "expected_assists": 0.2508,
                "total_shots": 3,
                "shots_on_target": 1,
                "total_pass": 18,
                "accurate_pass": 14,
                "key_pass": 2,
                "tackles": 1,
                "tackles_won": 1,
                "interceptions": 1,
                "clearances": 1,
                "aerial_won": 1,
                "duels_won": 5,
                "ball_recovery": 3
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "Copa América",
              "league_id": "133",
              "league_slug": "copa-america",
              "league_country": "South America",
              "season_id": "57114",
              "season_name": "Copa America 2024",
              "season_year": "2024"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 11886387,
              "match_date": "2024-06-27",
              "home_team": "Venezuela",
              "away_team": "Mexico",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Mexico",
              "opponent": "Venezuela",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 78,
                "rating": 6.5,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 0.081,
                "expected_assists": 0.3401,
                "total_shots": 1,
                "total_pass": 28,
                "accurate_pass": 18,
                "key_pass": 1,
                "tackles": 1,
                "tackles_won": 1,
                "aerial_won": 1,
                "duels_won": 5,
                "ball_recovery": 7
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "Copa América",
              "league_id": "133",
              "league_slug": "copa-america",
              "league_country": "South America",
              "season_id": "57114",
              "season_name": "Copa America 2024",
              "season_year": "2024"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 11886365,
              "match_date": "2024-06-23",
              "home_team": "Mexico",
              "away_team": "Jamaica",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Mexico",
              "opponent": "Jamaica",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 6.5,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 0.1678,
                "expected_assists": 0.0521,
                "total_shots": 4,
                "shots_on_target": 1,
                "shots_off_target": 1,
                "total_pass": 41,
                "accurate_pass": 35,
                "tackles": 3,
                "tackles_won": 3,
                "duels_won": 6,
                "ball_recovery": 4
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "Copa América",
              "league_id": "133",
              "league_slug": "copa-america",
              "league_country": "South America",
              "season_id": "57114",
              "season_name": "Copa America 2024",
              "season_year": "2024"
            }
          ],
          "ranking": {
            "global_player_rank": 14520,
            "combined_rank_score": 655.5,
            "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv",
            "ranking_status": "combined",
            "sofascore_rank": 658.0,
            "sofascore_rating": 6.7,
            "sofascore_appearances": 3.0,
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              "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league",
              "league_country": "Europe",
              "season_id": "76984",
              "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15632617,
              "match_date": "2026-04-09",
              "home_team": "Bologna",
              "away_team": "Aston Villa",
              "team_side": "away",
              "is_starting_11": 1,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "Bologna",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 90,
                "rating": 8.5,
                "goal_rate": 2.0,
                "goals": 2,
                "assists": 0,
                "expected_goals": 0.989,
                "expected_assists": 0.023,
                "total_shots": 2,
                "shots_on_target": 2,
                "total_pass": 21,
                "accurate_pass": 17,
                "key_pass": 2,
                "tackles": 1,
                "tackles_won": 1,
                "clearances": 1,
                "aerial_won": 1,
                "duels_won": 5,
                "ball_recovery": 2
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "UEFA Europa League",
              "league_id": "679",
              "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league",
              "league_country": "Europe",
              "season_id": "76984",
              "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            },
            {
              "match_id": 15631843,
              "match_date": "2026-03-19",
              "home_team": "Aston Villa",
              "away_team": "Lille",
              "team_side": "home",
              "is_starting_11": 0,
              "team": "Aston Villa",
              "opponent": "Lille",
              "stats": {
                "minutes": 34,
                "rating": 7.3,
                "assists": 1,
                "expected_goals": 0.1195,
                "expected_assists": 0.1812,
                "total_shots": 1,
                "total_pass": 10,
                "accurate_pass": 3,
                "key_pass": 1,
                "tackles": 1,
                "tackles_won": 1,
                "aerial_won": 3,
                "duels_won": 6,
                "ball_recovery": 3
              },
              "has_player_stats": true,
              "league_name": "UEFA Europa League",
              "league_id": "679",
              "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league",
              "league_country": "Europe",
              "season_id": "76984",
              "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26",
              "season_year": "25/26"
            }
          ],
          "ranking": {
            "global_player_rank": 206,
            "combined_rank_score": 142.5,
            "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv",
            "ranking_status": "combined",
            "sofascore_rank": null,
            "sofascore_rating": null,
            "sofascore_appearances": 0.0,
            "fifa_rank": 213.0,
            "fifa_overall": 84.0,
            "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings",
            "match_squad_rank": 17,
            "squad_role": "substitute",
            "projected_match_rating": 7.4846,
            "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv",
            "player_name": "Ollie Watkins",
            "ranking_neighbors": {
              "upper": [
                {
                  "player_name": "Gabriel Honório",
                  "ranking": 201
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Dae-han Park",
                  "ranking": 202
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Joško Gvardiol",
                  "ranking": 203
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Vladimir Jovović",
                  "ranking": 204
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Jan Oblak",
                  "ranking": 205
                }
              ],
              "lower": [
                {
                  "player_name": "Rúben Neves",
                  "ranking": 207
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Bernardo Silva",
                  "ranking": 208
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Ederson",
                  "ranking": 209
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Ruslanbek Jiyanov",
                  "ranking": 210
                },
                {
                  "player_name": "Jovan Đokić",
                  "ranking": 211
                }
              ]
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "team_totals": {
        "projected_goals": 2,
        "expected_goals": 2.92,
        "expected_assists": 1.05,
        "total_shots": 16,
        "shots_on_target": 10,
        "total_passes": 492,
        "interceptions": 11,
        "tackles": 15,
        "avg_rating": 90.24,
        "possession_estimated_pct": 54.4,
        "pressing_actions_per_90": 8.6
      }
    }
  },
  "antagonist_report": {
    "home_attacking_duels": [
      {
        "attacker": "Julián Quiñones",
        "attacker_role": "LW",
        "attacker_market_value": 12900000,
        "attacker_height": 180,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.556,
        "defenders": [
          "Ezri Konsa"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "RB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.791,
        "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.362,
        "xg_contribution": 0.3799,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.7,
        "dribbles_attempted": 4,
        "dribbles_successful": 1.3,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.1,
        "crosses_in_zone": 2.1,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.3,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Ezri Konsa",
            "role": "RB",
            "market_value": 42000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.2,
            "tackles_won": 2.1,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3,
            "clearances_in_zone": 1.1,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.9,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.638
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Julián Quiñones (LW) faces tough defensive resistance against Ezri Konsa in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 36%. The quality gap is significant (€13M vs €42M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.380 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Roberto Alvarado",
        "attacker_role": "RW",
        "attacker_market_value": 7300000,
        "attacker_height": 176,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.49,
        "defenders": [
          "Marc Guéhi"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "LB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.864,
        "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.288,
        "xg_contribution": 0.0452,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.5,
        "dribbles_attempted": 3,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.8,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 0.9,
        "crosses_in_zone": 2.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.4,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Marc Guéhi",
            "role": "LB",
            "market_value": 66000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.3,
            "tackles_won": 2.3,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4,
            "clearances_in_zone": 1.2,
            "aerial_duels_won": 1.1,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.712
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Roberto Alvarado (RW) is heavily outmatched defensively against Marc Guéhi in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 29%. The quality gap is significant (€7M vs €66M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.045 — with very limited chance creation expected."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Raúl Jiménez",
        "attacker_role": "ST",
        "attacker_market_value": 3200000,
        "attacker_height": 189,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.44,
        "defenders": [
          "Nico O'Reilly",
          "Djed Spence"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CB",
          "CB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.802,
        "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "numerical_situation": "1v2",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.18,
        "xg_contribution": 0.1452,
        "shots_in_zone": 2.0,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.3,
        "aerial_duels": 3,
        "aerial_won": 1.9,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.5,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Nico O'Reilly",
            "role": "CB",
            "market_value": 76000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.2,
            "tackles_won": 1.3,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4,
            "clearances_in_zone": 1.2,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.5,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.82
          },
          {
            "player": "Djed Spence",
            "role": "CB",
            "market_value": 31000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.1,
            "tackles_won": 1.2,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2,
            "clearances_in_zone": 1.0,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.5,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.82
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Raúl Jiménez (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Nico O'Reilly and Djed Spence in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. The quality gap is significant (€3M vs €54M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.145 — with very limited chance creation expected."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Gilberto Mora",
        "attacker_role": "CDM",
        "attacker_market_value": 11000000,
        "attacker_height": 166,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.534,
        "defenders": [
          "Jude Bellingham"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CDM"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.898,
        "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.196,
        "xg_contribution": 0.03,
        "shots_in_zone": 0.7,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.3,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 0.7,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.5,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Jude Bellingham",
            "role": "CDM",
            "market_value": 123000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.3,
            "tackles_won": 2.6,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 1.3,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.804
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Gilberto Mora (CDM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Jude Bellingham in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 20%. The quality gap is significant (€11M vs €123M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.030 — with very limited chance creation expected."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Jesús Gallardo",
        "attacker_role": "CM",
        "attacker_market_value": 2700000,
        "attacker_height": 176,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.434,
        "defenders": [
          "Jude Bellingham"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CDM"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.898,
        "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.193,
        "xg_contribution": 0.0326,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.1,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.3,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 0.9,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.4,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Jude Bellingham",
            "role": "CDM",
            "market_value": 123000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.3,
            "tackles_won": 2.6,
            "fouls_committed": 0.4,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 1.1,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.807
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Jesús Gallardo (CM) is heavily outmatched defensively against Jude Bellingham in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 19%. The quality gap is significant (€3M vs €123M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.033 — with very limited chance creation expected."
      }
    ],
    "away_attacking_duels": [
      {
        "attacker": "Declan Rice",
        "attacker_role": "LW",
        "attacker_market_value": 114000000,
        "attacker_height": 188,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.897,
        "defenders": [
          "Luis Romo"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "RB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.436,
        "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.711,
        "xg_contribution": 0.0644,
        "shots_in_zone": 2.5,
        "dribbles_attempted": 4,
        "dribbles_successful": 2.5,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.2,
        "crosses_in_zone": 2.7,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.0,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Luis Romo",
            "role": "RB",
            "market_value": 2900000,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.9,
            "tackles_won": 1.1,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.6,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.8,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.289
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Declan Rice (LW) has a clear attacking advantage against Luis Romo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 71%. The quality gap is significant (€114M vs €3M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.064 — and projects to generate high-quality chances."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Noni Madueke",
        "attacker_role": "RW",
        "attacker_market_value": 54000000,
        "attacker_height": 182,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.837,
        "defenders": [
          "Johan Vásquez"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "LB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.538,
        "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.603,
        "xg_contribution": 0.0051,
        "shots_in_zone": 2.2,
        "dribbles_attempted": 4,
        "dribbles_successful": 2.1,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.1,
        "crosses_in_zone": 2.6,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.2,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Johan Vásquez",
            "role": "LB",
            "market_value": 11300000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.0,
            "tackles_won": 1.4,
            "fouls_committed": 0.5,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.8,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.9,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.397
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Noni Madueke (RW) has a clear attacking advantage against Johan Vásquez in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 60%. The quality gap is significant (€54M vs €11M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.005 — and projects to generate high-quality chances."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Anthony Gordon",
        "attacker_role": "CAM",
        "attacker_market_value": 67000000,
        "attacker_height": 183,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.866,
        "defenders": [
          "Gilberto Mora"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CDM"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.534,
        "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.669,
        "xg_contribution": 0.006,
        "shots_in_zone": 2.9,
        "dribbles_attempted": 3,
        "dribbles_successful": 1.8,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.1,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.1,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Gilberto Mora",
            "role": "CDM",
            "market_value": 11000000,
            "tackles_attempted": 2.0,
            "tackles_won": 1.3,
            "fouls_committed": 0.5,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.9,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.331
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Anthony Gordon (CAM) has a clear attacking advantage against Gilberto Mora in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 67%. The quality gap is significant (€67M vs €11M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.006 — and projects to generate high-quality chances."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Harry Kane",
        "attacker_role": "ST",
        "attacker_market_value": 65000000,
        "attacker_height": 188,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.863,
        "defenders": [
          "César Montes",
          "Erik Lira"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CB",
          "CB"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.528,
        "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "numerical_situation": "1v2",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.369,
        "xg_contribution": 0.5076,
        "shots_in_zone": 2.8,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 0.6,
        "aerial_duels": 3,
        "aerial_won": 1.9,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.6,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "César Montes",
            "role": "CB",
            "market_value": 7800000,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.0,
            "tackles_won": 0.9,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.7,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.6,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.631
          },
          {
            "player": "Erik Lira",
            "role": "CB",
            "market_value": 13200000,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.0,
            "tackles_won": 0.9,
            "fouls_committed": 0.5,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.8,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.6,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.631
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Harry Kane (ST) faces tough defensive resistance against César Montes and Erik Lira in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 37%. The quality gap is significant (€65M vs €10M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.508 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball."
      },
      {
        "attacker": "Jude Bellingham",
        "attacker_role": "CDM",
        "attacker_market_value": 123000000,
        "attacker_height": 188,
        "attacker_skill_quality": 0.898,
        "defenders": [
          "Jesús Gallardo"
        ],
        "defender_roles": [
          "CM"
        ],
        "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.434,
        "duel_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel",
        "numerical_situation": "1v1",
        "duel_win_rate": 0.657,
        "xg_contribution": 0.2959,
        "shots_in_zone": 1.3,
        "dribbles_attempted": 2,
        "dribbles_successful": 1.2,
        "aerial_duels": 2,
        "aerial_won": 1.2,
        "crosses_in_zone": 0.0,
        "fouls_drawn": 1.1,
        "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW",
        "defender_stats": [
          {
            "player": "Jesús Gallardo",
            "role": "CM",
            "market_value": 2700000,
            "tackles_attempted": 1.9,
            "tackles_won": 1.2,
            "fouls_committed": 0.6,
            "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7,
            "clearances_in_zone": 0.5,
            "aerial_duels_won": 0.8,
            "defensive_success_rate": 0.343
          }
        ],
        "duel_analysis": "Jude Bellingham (CDM) has a clear attacking advantage against Jesús Gallardo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 66%. The quality gap is significant (€123M vs €3M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.296 — and projects to generate high-quality chances."
      }
    ],
    "midfield_battle": {
      "home_midfield_power": 0.484,
      "away_midfield_power": 0.887,
      "home_creative_power": 0.614,
      "away_creative_power": 1.021,
      "home_defensive_power": 0.412,
      "away_defensive_power": 0.754,
      "home_dominance_ratio": 0.353,
      "home_midfield_count": 1,
      "away_midfield_count": 3,
      "home_midfield_players": [
        "Gilberto Mora"
      ],
      "away_midfield_players": [
        "Jude Bellingham",
        "Declan Rice",
        "Elliot Anderson"
      ],
      "possession_advantage": "away",
      "estimated_possession_home_pct": 45.6,
      "estimated_possession_away_pct": 54.4,
      "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.3,
      "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.6,
      "home_key_passes_projected": 5.2,
      "away_key_passes_projected": 7.6,
      "home_throughball_threat": 2.4,
      "away_throughball_threat": 3.7,
      "key_personal_duel": "Gilberto Mora vs Jude Bellingham",
      "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 0.96,
      "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 1.062
    },
    "formation_analysis": {
      "home_formation": "4-3-3",
      "away_formation": "4-2-3-1",
      "home_tactical_bonus": 0.03,
      "away_tactical_bonus": -0.01,
      "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality."
    },
    "home_lambda": 0.65,
    "away_lambda": 2.924,
    "home_top_threat_zones": [
      "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle",
      "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle"
    ],
    "away_top_threat_zones": [
      "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
      "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel"
    ],
    "home_player_antagonists": {
      "Julián Quiñones": {
        "opponents": [
          "Ezri Konsa"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle",
        "source": "attacking_duel"
      },
      "Roberto Alvarado": {
        "opponents": [
          "Marc Guéhi"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle",
        "source": "attacking_duel"
      },
      "Raúl Jiménez": {
        "opponents": [
          "Nico O'Reilly",
          "Djed Spence"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "attacking_duel"
      },
      "Gilberto Mora": {
        "opponents": [
          "Jude Bellingham",
          "Anthony Gordon",
          "Elliot Anderson",
          "Declan Rice"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM",
        "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Jesús Gallardo": {
        "opponents": [
          "Jude Bellingham"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel",
        "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel"
      },
      "Luis Romo": {
        "opponents": [
          "Declan Rice"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Johan Vásquez": {
        "opponents": [
          "Noni Madueke"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "César Montes": {
        "opponents": [
          "Harry Kane"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Erik Lira": {
        "opponents": [
          "Harry Kane"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Raúl Rangel": {
        "opponents": [
          "Anthony Gordon",
          "Noni Madueke"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Shape fallback",
        "source": "formation_fallback"
      },
      "Jorge Sánchez": {
        "opponents": [
          "Anthony Gordon"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Shape fallback",
        "source": "formation_fallback"
      }
    },
    "away_player_antagonists": {
      "Ezri Konsa": {
        "opponents": [
          "Julián Quiñones"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Marc Guéhi": {
        "opponents": [
          "Roberto Alvarado"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Nico O'Reilly": {
        "opponents": [
          "Raúl Jiménez"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Djed Spence": {
        "opponents": [
          "Raúl Jiménez"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "defensive_duel"
      },
      "Jude Bellingham": {
        "opponents": [
          "Gilberto Mora",
          "Jesús Gallardo"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM",
        "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Declan Rice": {
        "opponents": [
          "Luis Romo",
          "Gilberto Mora"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle",
        "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Noni Madueke": {
        "opponents": [
          "Johan Vásquez"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle",
        "source": "attacking_duel"
      },
      "Anthony Gordon": {
        "opponents": [
          "Gilberto Mora"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel",
        "source": "attacking_duel"
      },
      "Harry Kane": {
        "opponents": [
          "César Montes",
          "Erik Lira"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle",
        "source": "attacking_duel"
      },
      "Elliot Anderson": {
        "opponents": [
          "Gilberto Mora"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Midfield lane",
        "source": "midfield_pairing"
      },
      "Jordan Pickford": {
        "opponents": [
          "Julián Quiñones",
          "Roberto Alvarado"
        ],
        "primary_zone": "Shape fallback",
        "source": "formation_fallback"
      }
    },
    "key_tactical_insight": "Away midfield dictates play with ~54% possession expected (Gilberto Mora vs Jude Bellingham). Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.63, Away: 0.88. Home danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.",
    "lambda_factors": {
      "home_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9575,
      "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.994,
      "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.107,
      "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.1792,
      "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.878,
      "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9665,
      "home_midfield_factor": 0.96,
      "away_midfield_factor": 1.062,
      "stage_discount": 1.0,
      "quality_gap_applied": true,
      "home_avg_quality": 0.4906,
      "away_avg_quality": 0.8486,
      "avg_quality_gap": -0.3581,
      "squad_value_gap_log": -2.1417,
      "top5_value_gap_log": -1.9342,
      "attack_value_gap_log": -2.4234,
      "elite_count_gap": -9,
      "combined_quality_gap": -0.7364,
      "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.95,
      "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.6,
      "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0295,
      "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.1219,
      "home_bench_players_modelled": 7,
      "away_bench_players_modelled": 7,
      "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": true,
      "mismatch_score_pressure_gap": -0.7364,
      "mismatch_favorite_lambda_boost": 1.1891,
      "mismatch_underdog_lambda_factor": 0.9364,
      "pre_mismatch_home_lambda": 0.679,
      "pre_mismatch_away_lambda": 2.459,
      "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false,
      "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 0.6795,
      "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 2.4589,
      "competition_calibration_applied": false,
      "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data",
      "competition_calibration_samples": 0,
      "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0,
      "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0,
      "neutral_share_preserved": true,
      "final_home_lambda": 0.65,
      "final_away_lambda": 2.924
    }
  },
  "home_standing": {
    "available": false,
    "team_position": null,
    "opponent_position": null,
    "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0,
    "attack_index": null,
    "defense_concede_index": null,
    "form_multiplier": null,
    "team_attack_rate_contextual": null,
    "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null,
    "team_ppg": null,
    "opponent_ppg": null
  },
  "away_standing": {
    "available": false,
    "team_position": null,
    "opponent_position": null,
    "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0,
    "attack_index": null,
    "defense_concede_index": null,
    "form_multiplier": null,
    "team_attack_rate_contextual": null,
    "opp_defense_rate_contextual": null,
    "team_ppg": null,
    "opponent_ppg": null
  },
  "timestamp": "2026-07-05T13:31:04Z"
}