{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Osasuna", "away_team": "Levante", "tournament": "LaLiga", "date": "20260824", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-3-3" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-1", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 1, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1332, "match_resolution": "draw", "predicted_winner": null, "tiebreaker": { "applies": false, "method": "none", "regulation_draw_probability": 0.2844, "shootout_home_win_probability": null, "shootout_away_win_probability": null, "penalty_home_goals": null, "penalty_away_goals": null, "penalty_score": null, "penalty_winner": null, "penalty_winner_goals": null, "penalty_loser_goals": null, "penalty_result": null, "home_advance_probability": null, "away_advance_probability": null, "projected_winner": null, "projected_winner_probability": null, "final_score_after_penalties": null, "reason": "Tie-breaker not required for this match context." }, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1332 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.119 }, { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.1071 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.1 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0804 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.1, "0-1": 0.1071, "0-2": 0.0594, "0-3": 0.0217, "0-4": 0.006, "0-5": 0.0013, "1-0": 0.119, "1-1": 0.1332, "1-2": 0.0724, "1-3": 0.0265, "1-4": 0.0073, "1-5": 0.0016, "2-0": 0.0733, "2-1": 0.0804, "2-2": 0.0441, "2-3": 0.0161, "2-4": 0.0044, "2-5": 0.001, "3-0": 0.0297, "3-1": 0.0326, "3-2": 0.0179, "3-3": 0.0065, "3-4": 0.0018, "4-0": 0.0091, "4-1": 0.0099, "4-2": 0.0054, "4-3": 0.002, "4-4": 0.0005, "5-0": 0.0022, "5-1": 0.0024, "5-2": 0.0013 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.3876, "draw": 0.2844, "away_win": 0.328 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.4079, "under_2_5_goals": 0.5921, "btts_yes": 0.4703, "btts_no": 0.5297, "home_clean_sheet": 0.3339, "away_clean_sheet": 0.2958 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 83.96, "MCR": 82.64, "ATR": 88.33, "GK": 85.37 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 82.76, "MCR": 80.09, "ATR": 76.36, "GK": 90.12 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Osasuna vs Levante. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Ante Budimir, Roger Brugué", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Jon Moncayola vs Enzo Bardeli will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.55, Away: 0.75. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle." }, "confidence": 0.72, "home_lambda": 1.218, "away_lambda": 1.097 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.3876, "draw": 0.2844, "away_win": 0.328 }, "favorite": "Osasuna", "favorite_win_probability": 0.3876, "fair_spread": 0.121, "fair_total": 2.315, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Osasuna", "estimate": 1.218, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Levante", "estimate": 1.097, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.4079, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.4703, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Osasuna", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.3339, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Levante", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.2958, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Ante Budimir (Osasuna)", "estimate": 0.388, "probability": 0.4432, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Adrián de la Fuente (Levante)", "estimate": 0.2934, "probability": 0.1815, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Jon Moncayola (Osasuna)", "estimate": 0.1185, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Roger Brugué (Levante)", "estimate": 0.1948, "probability": 0.2556, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "balanced", "expected_total_goals": 2.315, "expected_total_shots": 23, "expected_total_passes": 630, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 12.4, "possession_home_pct": 50.0, "possession_away_pct": 50.0, "notes": "possession projects near even" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Osasuna", "favorite_win_probability": 0.3876, "script": "Osasuna is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains narrow: fair spread +0.12 goals and fair total 2.31.", "first_half": "Expect balanced tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 12 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Levante must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Osasuna lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Osasuna chance creation leans on Ante Budimir against Aïssa Mandi, Jeremy Toljan in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; possession projects near even.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Osasuna: starters carry the main goal usage through Ante Budimir; bench watchlist: Raúl García de Haro, Moi Gómez.", "Levante: starters carry the main goal usage through Roger Brugué; bench watchlist: Etta Eyong, Carlos Espí.", "Assist usage should flow through Roger Brugué; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Osasuna tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects balanced tempo, about 12 total first-half shots, and 1.16 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If Levante is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Osasuna.", "Levante wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Osasuna": { "formation": "4-2-3-1", "players": { "Ante Budimir": { "player_id": 37318, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 17, "height": 190, "market_value": 2600000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.388, "goal_rate": 0.0006, "goals": 1, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.023, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 88.3302, "minutes": 70, "total_shots": 2, "duels_won": 6, "aerial_won": 2, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 5, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 6, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 4, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 20, "possession_lost": 7.8498, "dispossessed": 1.9625, "duels_lost": 7, "aerial_lost": 4, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 2, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 3, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 2, "xgot": 0.4121, "offsides": 2, "ball_carries": 2, "total_progression": 8, "progressive_carries": 0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.23, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "opponent_defenders": "Aïssa Mandi, Jeremy Toljan", "opponent_faced": "Aïssa Mandi, Jeremy Toljan", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel", "projected_goals": 1, "goal_probability": 0.4432, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 12812997, "match_date": "2026-07-02", "home_team": "Portugal", "away_team": "Croatia", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Croatia", "opponent": "Portugal", "stats": { "minutes": 45, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.165, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 2, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Championship", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186624, "match_date": "2026-06-27", "home_team": "Croatia", "away_team": "Ghana", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Croatia", "opponent": "Ghana", "stats": { "minutes": 66, "rating": 6.0, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0044, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 5, "accurate_pass": 4, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186520, "match_date": "2026-06-23", "home_team": "Panama", "away_team": "Croatia", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Croatia", "opponent": "Panama", "stats": { "minutes": 45, "rating": 7.7, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.8001, "expected_assists": 0.0019, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 3, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 6, "duels_won": 10, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14083723, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Getafe", "away_team": "Osasuna", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Osasuna", "opponent": "Getafe", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0194, "expected_assists": 0.1265, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 14, "accurate_pass": 5, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 7, "duels_won": 9, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083696, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Osasuna", "away_team": "Espanyol", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Osasuna", "opponent": "Espanyol", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 5.8, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.374, "expected_assists": 0.0587, "total_shots": 5, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 5, "key_pass": 2, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, 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"ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 455.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.92, "sofascore_appearances": 5.0, "fifa_rank": 443.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 13, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.3302, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Ante Budimir", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Odin Luras Bjørtuft", "ranking": 9587 }, { "player_name": "Young-woo Jang", "ranking": 9588 }, { "player_name": "Yeferson Soteldo", "ranking": 9589 }, { "player_name": "Shaylon", "ranking": 9590 }, { "player_name": "Victor Stina", "ranking": 9591 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Evander", "ranking": 9593 }, { "player_name": "Anestis Mythou", "ranking": 9594 }, { "player_name": "Darlin Mencía", "ranking": 9595 }, { "player_name": "Romário da Silva", "ranking": 9596 }, { "player_name": "Sebastián Espinoza", "ranking": 9597 } ] } } }, "Raúl Moro": { "player_id": 980383, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 15, "height": 169, "market_value": 3300000, "stats": { "key_pass": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0159, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 82.2017, "minutes": 36, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 7, "ball_recovery": 3, "duels_won": 4, "total_shots": 2, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 0, "accurate_own_half_passes": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 8, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 7, "crosses_total": 2, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 12, "possession_lost": 4.9117, "dispossessed": 0.9823, "duels_lost": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 4, "total_progression": 25, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.445, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "opponent_defenders": "Oriol Rey", "opponent_faced": "Oriol Rey", "antagonist_source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0257, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 76.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14083723, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Getafe", "away_team": "Osasuna", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Osasuna", "opponent": "Getafe", "stats": { "minutes": 8, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083634, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "Osasuna", "away_team": "Atlético Madrid", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Osasuna", "opponent": "Atlético Madrid", "stats": { "minutes": 37, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0172, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 7 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 17543, "combined_rank_score": 1373.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 859.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.6429, "sofascore_appearances": 14.0, "fifa_rank": 1887.0, "fifa_overall": 76.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 8, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.2017, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Raúl Moro", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Juan Cruz", "ranking": 17538 }, { "player_name": "Sekou Koita", "ranking": 17539 }, { "player_name": "Gabriel Neves", "ranking": 17540 }, { "player_name": "Nicolás Fernández", "ranking": 17541 }, { "player_name": "Tomáš Chorý", "ranking": 17542 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Filip Stanković", "ranking": 17544 }, { "player_name": "Lee Jae Sung", "ranking": 17545 }, { "player_name": "Gautier Larsonneur", "ranking": 17546 }, { "player_name": "Patrik Hrošovský", "ranking": 17547 }, { "player_name": "Arnaut Danjuma", "ranking": 17548 } ] } } }, "Aimar Oroz": { "player_id": 985329, "position": "M", "position_depth": "M", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 10, "height": 177, "market_value": 6900000, "stats": { "key_pass": 1, "expected_assists": 0.1001, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "rating": 83.6122, "minutes": 52, "total_pass": 17, "accurate_pass": 13, "ball_recovery": 2, "duels_won": 6, "total_shots": 1, "total_long_balls": 1, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 4, "accurate_own_half_passes": 3, "total_opp_half_passes": 13, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 10, "crosses_total": 5, "crosses_accurate": 3, "touches": 30, "possession_lost": 9.2891, "dispossessed": 1.9912, "duels_lost": 6, "aerial_won": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 1, "total_contest": 2, "won_contest": 2, "challenges_lost": 3, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 3, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 9, "total_progression": 40, "progressive_carries": 1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "crosses_attempted": 0.0, "duel_win_rate": 0.427, "pressing_faced": "LOW", "matchup_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", 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{ "player_name": "Juan Acosta", "ranking": 21116 }, { "player_name": "Rodrigo Guth", "ranking": 21117 }, { "player_name": "Alan Virginius", "ranking": 21118 }, { "player_name": "Teden Mengi", "ranking": 21119 }, { "player_name": "Alexander Lind", "ranking": 21120 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Luis Romero", "ranking": 21122 }, { "player_name": "Héctor Fértoli", "ranking": 21123 }, { "player_name": "Alexios Kalogeropoulos", "ranking": 21124 }, { "player_name": "Salomón Rodríguez", "ranking": 21125 }, { "player_name": "Darnell Furlong", "ranking": 21126 } ] } } } }, "substitutes": { "Etta Eyong": { "player_id": 1393673, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 21, "height": 181, "market_value": 18700000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0111, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0014, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 72.5583, "minutes": 26, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 1, 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"goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 66.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 16421053, "match_date": "2026-08-16", "home_team": "Espanyol", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Espanyol", "stats": { "minutes": 45, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0529, "expected_assists": 0.0044, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "97268", "season_name": "LaLiga 26/27", "season_year": "26/27" }, { "match_id": 14083710, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Real Betis", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Real Betis", "stats": { "minutes": 9, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0109, "expected_assists": 0.0111, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 1, "key_pass": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083676, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Levante UD", "away_team": "Mallorca", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Mallorca", "stats": { "minutes": 8, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0568, "expected_assists": 0.002, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 3, "interceptions": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 22677, "combined_rank_score": 5477.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 826.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.6636, "sofascore_appearances": 33.0, "fifa_rank": 10128.0, "fifa_overall": 66.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 1, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.5583, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Etta Eyong", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Daniel Iversen", "ranking": 22672 }, { "player_name": "Matías Núñez", "ranking": 22673 }, { "player_name": "Eivind Helland", "ranking": 22674 }, { "player_name": "Nathan Trott", "ranking": 22675 }, { "player_name": "Kay Tejan", "ranking": 22676 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Gaspar Gentile", "ranking": 22678 }, { "player_name": "Hobie Verhulst", "ranking": 22679 }, { "player_name": "Jiang Shenglong", "ranking": 22680 }, { "player_name": "Emersonn", "ranking": 22681 }, { "player_name": "Meschack Elia", "ranking": 22682 } ] } } }, "Carlos Espí": { "player_id": 1649918, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 19, "height": 194, "market_value": 2700000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.2126, "goal_rate": 0.0039, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0132, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 74.6327, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 1, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 3, "accurate_pass": 3, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 2, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 7, "possession_lost": 1.7455, "dispossessed": 0.9812, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.3226, "offsides": 1, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "projected_substitution_order": 2, "substitution_rule_cap": 5, "projected_team_substitution_count": 2, "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.479, "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 0, "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 68.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14083710, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Real Betis", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Real Betis", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.4, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 1.3371, "expected_assists": 0.0757, "total_shots": 5, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 12, "accurate_pass": 12, "interceptions": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083676, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Levante UD", "away_team": "Mallorca", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Mallorca", "stats": { "minutes": 89, "rating": 7.4, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.6579, "expected_assists": 0.0036, "total_shots": 5, "shots_on_target": 2, "shots_off_target": 3, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 6, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 7, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083613, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Celta Vigo", "stats": { "minutes": 86, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.6125, "expected_assists": 0.0824, "total_shots": 3, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 16, "accurate_pass": 11, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 21121, "combined_rank_score": 4102.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 510.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.88, "sofascore_appearances": 25.0, "fifa_rank": 7695.0, "fifa_overall": 68.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 10, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.6327, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Carlos Espí", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Juan Acosta", "ranking": 21116 }, { "player_name": "Rodrigo Guth", "ranking": 21117 }, { "player_name": "Alan Virginius", "ranking": 21118 }, { "player_name": "Teden Mengi", "ranking": 21119 }, { "player_name": "Alexander Lind", "ranking": 21120 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Luis Romero", "ranking": 21122 }, { "player_name": "Héctor Fértoli", "ranking": 21123 }, { "player_name": "Alexios Kalogeropoulos", "ranking": 21124 }, { "player_name": "Salomón Rodríguez", "ranking": 21125 }, { "player_name": "Darnell Furlong", "ranking": 21126 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.1, "expected_assists": 0.61, "total_shots": 11, "shots_on_target": 6, "total_passes": 305, "interceptions": 6, "tackles": 15, "avg_rating": 81.63, "possession_estimated_pct": 50.0, "pressing_actions_per_90": 6.2 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Rubén García", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 1700000, "attacker_height": 171, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.421, "defenders": [ "Adrián de la Fuente" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.451, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.439, "xg_contribution": 0.0452, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Adrián de la Fuente", "role": "RB", "market_value": 4099999, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.561 } ], "duel_analysis": "Rubén García (LW) is evenly matched against Adrián de la Fuente in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.045 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Iker Muñoz", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 1800000, "attacker_height": 179, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.422, "defenders": [ "Manuel Sánchez" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.479, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.454, "xg_contribution": 0.0417, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 1.8, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Manuel Sánchez", "role": "LB", "market_value": 6400000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.546 } ], "duel_analysis": "Iker Muñoz (RW) is evenly matched against Manuel Sánchez in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 45%. Projected xG contribution: 0.042 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Raúl Moro", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 3300000, "attacker_height": 169, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.441, "defenders": [ "Oriol Rey" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.421, "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.445, "xg_contribution": 0.1686, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Oriol Rey", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 1700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.555 } ], "duel_analysis": "Raúl Moro (CAM) is evenly matched against Oriol Rey in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.169 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Ante Budimir", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 2600000, "attacker_height": 190, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.432, "defenders": [ "Aïssa Mandi", "Jeremy Toljan" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.419, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.23, "xg_contribution": 0.2415, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 2.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Aïssa Mandi", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1100000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.77 }, { "player": "Jeremy Toljan", "role": "CB", "market_value": 1900000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.77 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ante Budimir (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Aïssa Mandi and Jeremy Toljan in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 23%. Projected xG contribution: 0.242 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Aimar Oroz", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 6900000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.485, "defenders": [ "Jon Ander Olasagasti" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.434, "duel_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.427, "xg_contribution": 0.0554, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Jon Ander Olasagasti", "role": "CM", "market_value": 2700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.573 } ], "duel_analysis": "Aimar Oroz (CDM) is evenly matched against Jon Ander Olasagasti in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 43%. Projected xG contribution: 0.055 — with neither side clearly dominant." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Iván Romero", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 7400000, "attacker_height": 172, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.491, "defenders": [ "Abel Bretones" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.442, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.442, "xg_contribution": 0.2119, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Abel Bretones", "role": "RB", "market_value": 3400000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.558 } ], "duel_analysis": "Iván Romero (LW) is evenly matched against Abel Bretones in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.212 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Enzo Bardeli", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 5800000, "attacker_height": 172, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.472, "defenders": [ "Enzo Boyomo" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.575, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.398, "xg_contribution": 0.1936, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 1.9, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Enzo Boyomo", "role": "LB", "market_value": 14600000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.602 } ], "duel_analysis": "Enzo Bardeli (RW) faces tough defensive resistance against Enzo Boyomo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. Projected xG contribution: 0.194 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Roger Brugué", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 1900000, "attacker_height": 173, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.424, "defenders": [ "Alejandro Catena", "Iñigo Arguibide" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.422, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.1956, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Alejandro Catena", "role": "CB", "market_value": 2700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Iñigo Arguibide", "role": "CB", "market_value": 850000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Roger Brugué (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Alejandro Catena and Iñigo Arguibide in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.196 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Oriol Rey", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 1700000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.421, "defenders": [ "Aimar Oroz" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.485, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.383, "xg_contribution": 0.0476, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 1, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Aimar Oroz", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 6900000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.617 } ], "duel_analysis": "Oriol Rey (CDM) faces tough defensive resistance against Aimar Oroz in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 38%. Projected xG contribution: 0.048 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Jon Ander Olasagasti", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 2700000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.434, "defenders": [ "Aimar Oroz" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.485, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.423, "xg_contribution": 0.1029, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Aimar Oroz", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 6900000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.577 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jon Ander Olasagasti (CM) is evenly matched against Aimar Oroz in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 42%. Projected xG contribution: 0.103 — with neither side clearly dominant." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.502, "away_midfield_power": 0.484, "home_creative_power": 0.384, "away_creative_power": 0.403, "home_defensive_power": 0.384, "away_defensive_power": 0.403, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.509, "home_midfield_count": 5, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Raúl Moro", "Aimar Oroz", "Rubén García", "Jon Moncayola", "Iker Muñoz" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Jon Ander Olasagasti", "Roger Brugué", "Víctor García", "Enzo Bardeli", "Oriol Rey" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 50.0, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 50.0, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.2, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.2, "home_key_passes_projected": 3.8, "away_key_passes_projected": 3.9, "home_throughball_threat": 1.8, "away_throughball_threat": 1.8, "key_personal_duel": "Jon Moncayola vs Enzo Bardeli", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.0, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 1.0 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-3-3", "home_tactical_bonus": -0.01, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.03, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.218, "away_lambda": 1.097, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Rubén García": { "opponents": [ "Adrián de la Fuente", "Enzo Bardeli" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Iker Muñoz": { "opponents": [ "Manuel Sánchez", "Roger Brugué" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Raúl Moro": { "opponents": [ "Oriol Rey" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ante Budimir": { "opponents": [ "Aïssa Mandi", "Jeremy Toljan" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Aimar Oroz": { "opponents": [ "Jon Ander Olasagasti", "Oriol Rey" ], "primary_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Abel Bretones": { "opponents": [ "Iván Romero" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Enzo Boyomo": { "opponents": [ "Enzo Bardeli" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Alejandro Catena": { "opponents": [ "Roger Brugué" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Iñigo Arguibide": { "opponents": [ "Roger Brugué" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jon Moncayola": { "opponents": [ "Víctor García" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Sergio Herrera": { "opponents": [ "Iván Romero", "Jon Ander Olasagasti" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Adrián de la Fuente": { "opponents": [ "Rubén García" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Manuel Sánchez": { "opponents": [ "Iker Muñoz" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Oriol Rey": { "opponents": [ "Raúl Moro", "Aimar Oroz" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Aïssa Mandi": { "opponents": [ "Ante Budimir" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jeremy Toljan": { "opponents": [ "Ante Budimir" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jon Ander Olasagasti": { "opponents": [ "Aimar Oroz" ], "primary_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Iván Romero": { "opponents": [ "Abel Bretones" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Enzo Bardeli": { "opponents": [ "Enzo Boyomo", "Rubén García" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Roger Brugué": { "opponents": [ "Alejandro Catena", "Iñigo Arguibide", "Iker Muñoz" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Víctor García": { "opponents": [ "Jon Moncayola" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Mathew Ryan": { "opponents": [ "Ante Budimir", "Jon Moncayola" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Jon Moncayola vs Enzo Bardeli will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.55, Away: 0.75. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0173, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0127, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.143, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.021, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0097, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0018, "home_midfield_factor": 1.0, "away_midfield_factor": 1.0, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": false, "home_avg_quality": 0.4555, "away_avg_quality": 0.4429, "avg_quality_gap": 0.0126, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.2146, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.2231, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.0805, "elite_count_gap": 0, "combined_quality_gap": 0.035, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.0, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.0, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.1116, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.1337, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor": 1.02, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 1.218, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 1.097, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.2176, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 1.0967, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": false, "final_home_lambda": 1.218, "final_away_lambda": 1.097 } }, "home_standing": { "available": true, "team_position": 11, "opponent_position": 19, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0957, "attack_index": 1.0, "defense_concede_index": 1.254, "form_multiplier": 1.0, "team_attack_rate_contextual": 0.0, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": 1.5, "team_ppg": 0.0, "opponent_ppg": 0.0 }, "away_standing": { "available": true, "team_position": 19, "opponent_position": 11, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": 1.0, "defense_concede_index": 1.0, "form_multiplier": 1.0, "team_attack_rate_contextual": 0.0, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": 0.0, "team_ppg": 0.0, "opponent_ppg": 0.0 }, "timestamp": "2026-08-24T13:31:08Z" }