{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Levante", "away_team": "Real Betis", "tournament": "LaLiga", "date": "20260829", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "3-5-2", "away_formation": "3-5-2" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-1", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 1, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.114, "match_resolution": "draw", "predicted_winner": null, "tiebreaker": { "applies": false, "method": "none", "regulation_draw_probability": 0.24, "shootout_home_win_probability": null, "shootout_away_win_probability": null, "penalty_home_goals": null, "penalty_away_goals": null, "penalty_score": null, "penalty_winner": null, "penalty_winner_goals": null, "penalty_loser_goals": null, "penalty_result": null, "home_advance_probability": null, "away_advance_probability": null, "projected_winner": null, "projected_winner_probability": null, "final_score_after_penalties": null, "reason": "Tie-breaker not required for this match context." }, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.114 }, { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.1069 }, { "score": "1-2", "probability": 0.0973 }, { "score": "0-2", "probability": 0.0927 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.0649 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0635, "0-1": 0.1069, "0-2": 0.0927, "0-3": 0.0532, "0-4": 0.0229, "0-5": 0.0079, "0-6": 0.0023, "0-7": 0.0006, "1-0": 0.0649, "1-1": 0.114, "1-2": 0.0973, "1-3": 0.0558, "1-4": 0.024, "1-5": 0.0083, "1-6": 0.0024, "1-7": 0.0006, "2-0": 0.0345, "2-1": 0.0594, "2-2": 0.0511, "2-3": 0.0293, "2-4": 0.0126, "2-5": 0.0043, "2-6": 0.0012, "3-0": 0.0121, "3-1": 0.0208, "3-2": 0.0179, "3-3": 0.0103, "3-4": 0.0044, "3-5": 0.0015, "4-0": 0.0032, "4-1": 0.0055, "4-2": 0.0047, "4-3": 0.0027, "4-4": 0.0012, "5-0": 0.0007, "5-1": 0.0011, "5-2": 0.001, "5-3": 0.0006 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.2299, "draw": 0.24, "away_win": 0.5301 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.5236, "under_2_5_goals": 0.4764, "btts_yes": 0.5346, "btts_no": 0.4654, "home_clean_sheet": 0.1789, "away_clean_sheet": 0.3499 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 83.08, "MCR": 80.94, "ATR": 74.43, "GK": 90.12 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 84.37, "MCR": 83.26, "ATR": 83.95, "GK": 85.6 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Levante vs Real Betis. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Lambdas derived from 6 home and 6 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Adrián de la Fuente, Cucho Hernández", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-5-2 and 3-5-2. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Carlos Álvarez vs Abdessamad Ezzalzouli will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.59, Away: 0.76. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.76, "home_lambda": 1.05, "away_lambda": 1.721 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.2299, "draw": 0.24, "away_win": 0.5301 }, "favorite": "Real Betis", "favorite_win_probability": 0.5301, "fair_spread": -0.671, "fair_total": 2.771, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Levante", "estimate": 1.05, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Real Betis", "estimate": 1.721, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.5236, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.5346, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Levante", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.1789, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Real Betis", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.3499, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Adrián de la Fuente (Levante)", "estimate": 0.374, "probability": 0.3045, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Cucho Hernández (Real Betis)", "estimate": 0.4986, "probability": 0.2383, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Manuel Sánchez (Levante)", "estimate": 0.159, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Antony (Real Betis)", "estimate": 0.2519, "probability": 0.3214, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "balanced", "expected_total_goals": 2.771, "expected_total_shots": 26, "expected_total_passes": 633, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 13.5, "possession_home_pct": 48.2, "possession_away_pct": 51.8, "notes": "possession projects near even" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Real Betis", "favorite_win_probability": 0.5301, "script": "Real Betis is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains narrow: fair spread -0.67 goals and fair total 2.77.", "first_half": "Expect balanced tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 13 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Levante must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Real Betis lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Real Betis chance creation leans on Cucho Hernández against Manuel Sánchez, Adrián de la Fuente in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; possession projects near even.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Levante: starters carry the main goal usage through Adrián de la Fuente; bench watchlist: Carlos Espí, Paco Cortés.", "Real Betis: starters carry the main goal usage through Cucho Hernández; bench watchlist: Gonzalo Petit, Chimy Ávila.", "Assist usage should flow through Antony; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Real Betis tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects balanced tempo, about 13 total first-half shots, and 1.39 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If Levante is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Real Betis.", "Levante wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Levante": { "formation": "3-5-2", "players": { "Mathew Ryan": { "player_id": 134029, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 13, "height": 184, "market_value": 1700000, "stats": { "saves": 4, "goals_prevented": 0.4023, "rating": 90.1196, "minutes": 88, "total_pass": 28, "accurate_pass": 20, "total_long_balls": 12, "accurate_long_balls": 4, "touches": 42, "clearances": 2, "ball_recovery": 8, "high_claims": 2, "punches": 0.9812, "aerial_won": 1, "sweeper_actions": 1, "sweeper_accurate": 1, "saves_inside_box": 2, "possession_lost": 11.1173, "duels_won": 1, "duels_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 19, "accurate_own_half_passes": 17, "expected_saves": 1.6, "high_pressure_saves": 0.61, "shots_faced": 3.4, "opponent_faced": "Cucho Hernández, Troy Parrott", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "assists": 0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 83.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_type": "played", "match_id": 16416296, "match_date": "2026-08-24 17:30:00 UTC", "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": 8, "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": 97268, "season_name": "LaLiga 26/27", "season_year": "26/27", "home_team": "Osasuna", "away_team": "Levante", "home_score_current": 0.0, "away_score_current": 0.0, "team_side": "away", "status_code": 100, "status_type": "finished", "status_description": "Ended", "player_status": "starter", "is_starting_11": true, "team": "Levante", "opponent": "Osasuna", "stats": {}, "has_player_stats": false, "source": "depth_chart.csv" }, { "match_id": 16421053, "match_date": "2026-08-16", "home_team": "Espanyol", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Espanyol", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0001, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 36, "accurate_pass": 28, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 3, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 7, "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": -0.7259 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "97268", "season_name": "LaLiga 26/27", "season_year": "26/27" }, { "match_id": 14083710, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Real Betis", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Real Betis", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0002, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 17, "accurate_pass": 17, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 7, "saves": 7, "goals_prevented": 0.0496 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083676, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Levante UD", "away_team": "Mallorca", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Mallorca", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 9.2, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0014, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 29, "accurate_pass": 18, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 11, "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 1.121 }, 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"market_value": 6400000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 0, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 82.2786, "minutes": 70, "total_pass": 29, "accurate_pass": 25, "duels_won": 4, "total_long_balls": 5, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 16, "accurate_own_half_passes": 15, "total_opp_half_passes": 17, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 13, "crosses_total": 4, "crosses_accurate": 1, "touches": 45, "possession_lost": 9.1926, "dispossessed": 1.9876, "duels_lost": 5, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 4, "challenges_lost": 2, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 0, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.159, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 13, "total_progression": 56, "progressive_carries": 1, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 1.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.0, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.687, "opponent_faced": "Troy Parrott", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0138, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 76.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_type": "played", "match_id": 16416296, "match_date": "2026-08-24 17:30:00 UTC", "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": 8, "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": 97268, "season_name": "LaLiga 26/27", "season_year": "26/27", "home_team": "Osasuna", "away_team": "Levante", "home_score_current": 0.0, "away_score_current": 0.0, "team_side": "away", "status_code": 100, "status_type": "finished", "status_description": "Ended", "player_status": "starter", "is_starting_11": true, "team": "Levante", "opponent": "Osasuna", "stats": {}, "has_player_stats": false, "source": "depth_chart.csv" }, { "match_id": 16421053, "match_date": "2026-08-16", "home_team": "Espanyol", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Espanyol", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.0, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0138, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 63, "accurate_pass": 55, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "97268", "season_name": "LaLiga 26/27", "season_year": "26/27" }, { "match_id": 14083710, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Real Betis", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Real Betis", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.6257, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 27, "accurate_pass": 20, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 3, "interceptions": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083676, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Levante UD", "away_team": "Mallorca", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Mallorca", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0042, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 26, "accurate_pass": 23, "tackles": 4, "tackles_won": 2, "clearances": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083613, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Levante UD", "opponent": "Celta Vigo", "stats": { "minutes": 13, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0003, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 2, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 16316, "combined_rank_score": 1411.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 964.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.5576, "sofascore_appearances": 33.0, "fifa_rank": 1858.0, "fifa_overall": 76.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 4, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.2786, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Manuel Sánchez", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Chris Richards", "ranking": 16311 }, { "player_name": "Paulo Díaz", "ranking": 16312 }, { "player_name": "Liam Delap", "ranking": 16313 }, { "player_name": "Max Kilman", "ranking": 16314 }, { "player_name": "Strahinja Pavlović", "ranking": 16315 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Marius Bülter", "ranking": 16317 }, { "player_name": "Donovan Léon", "ranking": 16318 }, { "player_name": "Mason Mount", "ranking": 16319 }, { "player_name": "Asier Osambela", "ranking": 16320 }, { "player_name": "Mukhammadkarim Toirov", "ranking": 16321 } ] } } }, "Adrián de la Fuente": { "player_id": 997244, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 4, "height": 178, "market_value": 4099999, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 0, "rating": 87.8076, "minutes": 89, "total_pass": 52, "accurate_pass": 46, 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official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 18, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.285, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Chimy Ávila", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Evann Guessand", "ranking": 16153 }, { "player_name": "Rubén García", "ranking": 16154 }, { "player_name": "Mikel Vesga", "ranking": 16155 }, { "player_name": "Oleksandr Zubkov", "ranking": 16156 }, { "player_name": "Aldrix Jara", "ranking": 16157 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Wilfred Ndidi", "ranking": 16159 }, { "player_name": "Ivan Ilić", "ranking": 16160 }, { "player_name": "Tyrick Mitchell", "ranking": 16161 }, { "player_name": "Roméo Lavia", "ranking": 16162 }, { "player_name": "Rômulo", "ranking": 16163 } ] } } } }, "substitutes": { "Gonzalo Petit": { "player_id": 1482378, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 189, "market_value": 4200000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0865, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "total_shots": 1, "rating": 75.7027, "minutes": 25, "expected_assists": 0.0139, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "key_pass": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.561, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.35, "projected_substitution_order": 1, "substitution_rule_cap": 5, "projected_team_substitution_count": 2, "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.472, "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 0, "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "assists": 0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 69.0 }, "latest_10_games": [], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 24152, "combined_rank_score": 6878.0, "ranking_source": "fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "missing_sofascore_player_rating", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 6878.0, "fifa_overall": 69.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 16, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.7027, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Gonzalo Petit", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Willy Kumado", "ranking": 24147 }, { "player_name": "Curtis Nelson", "ranking": 24148 }, { "player_name": "Gaoussou Diakite", "ranking": 24149 }, { "player_name": "Tomasz Pieńko", "ranking": 24150 }, { "player_name": "Estanis Pedrola", "ranking": 24151 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Davide Bartesaghi", "ranking": 24153 }, { "player_name": "Tobias Anselm", "ranking": 24154 }, { "player_name": "Buatu", "ranking": 24155 }, { "player_name": "Frankie Westfield", "ranking": 24156 }, { "player_name": "Daniel Bassi", "ranking": 24157 } ] } } }, "Chimy Ávila": { "player_id": 789381, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 9, "height": 171, "market_value": 1500000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0058, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 82.285, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 3, "possession_lost": 0.9182, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 0, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.559, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.29, "projected_substitution_order": 2, "substitution_rule_cap": 5, "projected_team_substitution_count": 2, "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.472, "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 0, "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 76.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 14083710, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Real Betis", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Real Betis", "opponent": "Levante UD", "stats": { "minutes": 10, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0161, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 9, "accurate_pass": 7, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083666, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "FC Barcelona", "away_team": "Real Betis", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Real Betis", "opponent": "FC Barcelona", "stats": { "minutes": 8, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0013, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632614, "match_date": "2026-04-08", "home_team": "Sporting Braga", "away_team": "Real Betis", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Real Betis", "opponent": "Sporting Braga", "stats": { "minutes": 8, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631841, "match_date": "2026-03-19", "home_team": "Real Betis", "away_team": "Panathinaikos FC", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Real Betis", "opponent": "Panathinaikos FC", "stats": { "minutes": 17, "rating": 6.3, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0589, "expected_assists": 0.1693, "total_shots": 2, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 6, "accurate_pass": 5, "key_pass": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 16158, "combined_rank_score": 1283.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 921.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.5929, "sofascore_appearances": 16.0, "fifa_rank": 1645.0, "fifa_overall": 76.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 18, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.285, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Chimy Ávila", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Evann Guessand", "ranking": 16153 }, { "player_name": "Rubén García", "ranking": 16154 }, { "player_name": "Mikel Vesga", "ranking": 16155 }, { "player_name": "Oleksandr Zubkov", "ranking": 16156 }, { "player_name": "Aldrix Jara", "ranking": 16157 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Wilfred Ndidi", "ranking": 16159 }, { "player_name": "Ivan Ilić", "ranking": 16160 }, { "player_name": "Tyrick Mitchell", "ranking": 16161 }, { "player_name": "Roméo Lavia", "ranking": 16162 }, { "player_name": "Rômulo", "ranking": 16163 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.72, "expected_assists": 0.73, "total_shots": 13, "shots_on_target": 7, "total_passes": 355, "interceptions": 5, "tackles": 10, "avg_rating": 83.9, "possession_estimated_pct": 51.8, "pressing_actions_per_90": 7.2 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Enzo Bardeli", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 5800000, "attacker_height": 172, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.472, "defenders": [ "Pablo García" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.501, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.395, "xg_contribution": 0.0742, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 2.3, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Pablo García", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 8199999, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.605 } ], "duel_analysis": "Enzo Bardeli (LWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Pablo García in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 39%. Projected xG contribution: 0.074 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Carlos Álvarez", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 15500000, "attacker_height": 168, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.585, "defenders": [ "Pablo Fornals" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.503, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.447, "xg_contribution": 0.1283, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Pablo Fornals", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 8400000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.553 } ], "duel_analysis": "Carlos Álvarez (CM) is evenly matched against Pablo Fornals in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 45%. Projected xG contribution: 0.128 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Jon Ander Olasagasti", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 2700000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.434, "defenders": [ "Pablo Fornals" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.503, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.411, "xg_contribution": 0.101, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Pablo Fornals", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 8400000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.589 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jon Ander Olasagasti (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Pablo Fornals in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 41%. Projected xG contribution: 0.101 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Thiago Fernández", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 4700000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.458, "defenders": [ "Nelson Deossa" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.52, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.352, "xg_contribution": 0.0444, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.2, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Nelson Deossa", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 9800000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.648 } ], "duel_analysis": "Thiago Fernández (RWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Nelson Deossa in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 35%. Projected xG contribution: 0.044 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Etta Eyong", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 15600000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.586, "defenders": [ "Natan", "Valentín Gómez" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.611, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0256, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.6, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.6, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Natan", "role": "CB", "market_value": 26000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Valentín Gómez", "role": "CB", "market_value": 11200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.7, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Etta Eyong (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Natan and Valentín Gómez in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.026 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Iván Romero", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 7400000, "attacker_height": 172, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.491, "defenders": [ "Natan", "Valentín Gómez" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.611, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.2143, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.3, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Natan", "role": "CB", "market_value": 26000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Valentín Gómez", "role": "CB", "market_value": 11200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Iván Romero (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Natan and Valentín Gómez in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.214 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Nelson Deossa", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 9800000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.52, "defenders": [ "Thiago Fernández" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.458, "duel_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.488, "xg_contribution": 0.09, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.2, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Thiago Fernández", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 4700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.512 } ], "duel_analysis": "Nelson Deossa (LWB) is evenly matched against Thiago Fernández in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 49%. Projected xG contribution: 0.090 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Abdessamad Ezzalzouli", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 43000000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.796, "defenders": [ "Hugo Sotelo" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.46, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.589, "xg_contribution": 0.0609, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.1, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hugo Sotelo", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 4800000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.411 } ], "duel_analysis": "Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (CM) is slightly favored against Hugo Sotelo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 59%. The quality gap is significant (€43M vs €5M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.061 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Antony", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 37000000, "attacker_height": 172, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.764, "defenders": [ "Hugo Sotelo" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.46, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.555, "xg_contribution": 0.1522, "shots_in_zone": 1.9, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.5, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hugo Sotelo", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 4800000, "tackles_attempted": 1.9, "tackles_won": 1.4, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.445 } ], "duel_analysis": "Antony (CM) is slightly favored against Hugo Sotelo in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 55%. The quality gap is significant (€37M vs €5M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.152 — creating consistent moderate threat." }, { "attacker": "Pablo García", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 8199999, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.501, "defenders": [ "Enzo Bardeli" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.472, "duel_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.445, "xg_contribution": 0.0517, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.3, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Enzo Bardeli", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 5800000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.555 } ], "duel_analysis": "Pablo García (RWB) is evenly matched against Enzo Bardeli in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 45%. Projected xG contribution: 0.052 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Troy Parrott", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 23000000, "attacker_height": 185, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.66, "defenders": [ "Manuel Sánchez", "Adrián de la Fuente" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.465, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.313, "xg_contribution": 0.1645, "shots_in_zone": 2.6, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Manuel Sánchez", "role": "CB", "market_value": 6400000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.687 }, { "player": "Adrián de la Fuente", "role": "CB", "market_value": 4099999, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.687 } ], "duel_analysis": "Troy Parrott (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Manuel Sánchez and Adrián de la Fuente in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 31%. The quality gap is significant (€23M vs €5M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.164 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Cucho Hernández", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 16500000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.595, "defenders": [ "Manuel Sánchez", "Adrián de la Fuente" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.465, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.245, "xg_contribution": 0.2404, "shots_in_zone": 2.3, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.4, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.4, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Manuel Sánchez", "role": "CB", "market_value": 6400000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.755 }, { "player": "Adrián de la Fuente", "role": "CB", "market_value": 4099999, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.0, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.755 } ], "duel_analysis": "Cucho Hernández (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Manuel Sánchez and Adrián de la Fuente in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 24%. Projected xG contribution: 0.240 — with very limited chance creation expected." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.532, "away_midfield_power": 0.667, "home_creative_power": 0.409, "away_creative_power": 0.606, "home_defensive_power": 0.409, "away_defensive_power": 0.531, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.444, "home_midfield_count": 5, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Carlos Álvarez", "Enzo Bardeli", "Hugo Sotelo", "Thiago Fernández", "Jon Ander Olasagasti" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Abdessamad Ezzalzouli", "Antony", "Nelson Deossa", "Pablo Fornals", "Pablo García" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 48.2, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 51.8, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 6.3, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.2, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.0, "away_key_passes_projected": 5.1, "home_throughball_threat": 1.8, "away_throughball_threat": 2.4, "key_personal_duel": "Carlos Álvarez vs Abdessamad Ezzalzouli", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 0.979, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 1.026 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "3-5-2", "away_formation": "3-5-2", "home_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.0, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-5-2 and 3-5-2. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.05, "away_lambda": 1.721, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Enzo Bardeli": { "opponents": [ "Pablo García", "Nelson Deossa" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Carlos Álvarez": { "opponents": [ "Pablo Fornals", "Abdessamad Ezzalzouli" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Jon Ander Olasagasti": { "opponents": [ "Pablo Fornals", "Antony" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Thiago Fernández": { "opponents": [ "Nelson Deossa", "Pablo García" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Etta Eyong": { "opponents": [ "Natan", "Valentín Gómez" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Iván Romero": { "opponents": [ "Natan", "Valentín Gómez" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Hugo Sotelo": { "opponents": [ "Abdessamad Ezzalzouli", "Antony", "Pablo Fornals" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Manuel Sánchez": { "opponents": [ "Troy Parrott", "Cucho Hernández" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Adrián de la Fuente": { "opponents": [ "Troy Parrott", "Cucho Hernández" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Mathew Ryan": { "opponents": [ "Troy Parrott", "Cucho Hernández" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Jeremy Toljan": { "opponents": [ "Troy Parrott" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Pablo García": { "opponents": [ "Enzo Bardeli", "Thiago Fernández" ], "primary_zone": "LWB vs RWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Pablo Fornals": { "opponents": [ "Carlos Álvarez", "Jon Ander Olasagasti", "Hugo Sotelo" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Nelson Deossa": { "opponents": [ "Thiago Fernández", "Enzo Bardeli" ], "primary_zone": "RWB vs LWB", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Natan": { "opponents": [ "Etta Eyong", "Iván Romero" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Valentín Gómez": { "opponents": [ "Etta Eyong", "Iván Romero" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Abdessamad Ezzalzouli": { "opponents": [ "Hugo Sotelo", "Carlos Álvarez" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Antony": { "opponents": [ "Hugo Sotelo", "Jon Ander Olasagasti" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Troy Parrott": { "opponents": [ "Manuel Sánchez", "Adrián de la Fuente" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Cucho Hernández": { "opponents": [ "Manuel Sánchez", "Adrián de la Fuente" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Álvaro Valles": { "opponents": [ "Etta Eyong", "Iván Romero" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Fran García": { "opponents": [ "Etta Eyong" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Carlos Álvarez vs Abdessamad Ezzalzouli will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.59, Away: 0.76. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 0.993, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 1.0173, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.005, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.0719, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.9733, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 1.0165, "home_midfield_factor": 0.979, "away_midfield_factor": 1.026, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.484, "away_avg_quality": 0.6075, "avg_quality_gap": -0.1235, "squad_value_gap_log": -0.9416, "top5_value_gap_log": -0.9407, "attack_value_gap_log": -0.852, "elite_count_gap": -1, "combined_quality_gap": -0.25, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.55, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.35, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.1611, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0284, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": true, "competitive_underdog_floor": 1.05, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 0.892, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 1.721, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 0.8111, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 1.7744, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": false, "final_home_lambda": 1.05, "final_away_lambda": 1.721 } }, "home_standing": { "available": true, "team_position": 19, "opponent_position": 14, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": 1.0, "defense_concede_index": 1.0, "form_multiplier": 1.0, "team_attack_rate_contextual": 0.0, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": 0.0, "team_ppg": 0.0, "opponent_ppg": 0.0 }, "away_standing": { "available": true, "team_position": 14, "opponent_position": 19, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0957, "attack_index": 1.0, "defense_concede_index": 1.254, "form_multiplier": 1.0, "team_attack_rate_contextual": 0.0, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": 1.5, "team_ppg": 0.0, "opponent_ppg": 0.0 }, "timestamp": "2026-08-29T13:31:21Z" }