{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Tottenham", "away_team": "Newcastle", "tournament": "Premier League", "date": "20260829", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-3-3" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "1-1", "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 1, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.1276, "match_resolution": "draw", "predicted_winner": null, "tiebreaker": { "applies": false, "method": "none", "regulation_draw_probability": 0.27, "shootout_home_win_probability": null, "shootout_away_win_probability": null, "penalty_home_goals": null, "penalty_away_goals": null, "penalty_score": null, "penalty_winner": null, "penalty_winner_goals": null, "penalty_loser_goals": null, "penalty_result": null, "home_advance_probability": null, "away_advance_probability": null, "projected_winner": null, "projected_winner_probability": null, "final_score_after_penalties": null, "reason": "Tie-breaker not required for this match context." }, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1276 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.123 }, { "score": "2-1", "probability": 0.0894 }, { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.0888 }, { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.0885 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.0888, "0-1": 0.0885, "0-2": 0.0457, "0-3": 0.0155, "0-4": 0.004, "0-5": 0.0008, "1-0": 0.123, "1-1": 0.1276, "1-2": 0.0645, "1-3": 0.0219, "1-4": 0.0056, "1-5": 0.0011, "2-0": 0.0876, "2-1": 0.0894, "2-2": 0.0456, "2-3": 0.0155, "2-4": 0.004, "2-5": 0.0008, "3-0": 0.0413, "3-1": 0.0421, "3-2": 0.0215, "3-3": 0.0073, "3-4": 0.0019, "4-0": 0.0146, "4-1": 0.0149, "4-2": 0.0076, "4-3": 0.0026, "4-4": 0.0007, "5-0": 0.0041, "5-1": 0.0042, "5-2": 0.0021, "5-3": 0.0007, "6-0": 0.001, "6-1": 0.001, "6-2": 0.0005 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.4591, "draw": 0.27, "away_win": 0.2709 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.4389, "under_2_5_goals": 0.5611, "btts_yes": 0.4848, "btts_no": 0.5152, "home_clean_sheet": 0.3606, "away_clean_sheet": 0.2434 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 88.52, "MCR": 88.17, "ATR": 88.48, "GK": 81.85 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 87.06, "MCR": 83.81, "ATR": 87.78, "GK": 79.06 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Tottenham vs Newcastle. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Projected scorer(s): Dominic Solanke, Harvey Barnes", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Sandro Tonali vs Bazoumana Touré will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.84, Away: 0.87. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.73, "home_lambda": 1.413, "away_lambda": 1.02 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.4591, "draw": 0.27, "away_win": 0.2709 }, "favorite": "Tottenham", "favorite_win_probability": 0.4591, "fair_spread": 0.393, "fair_total": 2.433, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Tottenham", "estimate": 1.413, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Newcastle", "estimate": 1.02, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.4389, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.4848, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Tottenham", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.3606, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Newcastle", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.2434, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Jan Paul van Hecke (Tottenham)", "estimate": 0.3932, "probability": 0.1054, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)", "estimate": 0.3826, "probability": 0.1993, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Dominic Solanke (Tottenham)", "estimate": 0.4524, "probability": 0.1823, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)", "estimate": 0.382, "probability": 0.2084, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "balanced", "expected_total_goals": 2.433, "expected_total_shots": 26, "expected_total_passes": 863, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 17.3, "possession_home_pct": 50.6, "possession_away_pct": 49.4, "notes": "possession projects near even" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Tottenham", "favorite_win_probability": 0.4591, "script": "Tottenham is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains narrow: fair spread +0.39 goals and fair total 2.43.", "first_half": "Expect balanced tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 13 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Newcastle must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Tottenham lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Tottenham chance creation leans on Dominic Solanke against Malick Thiaw, Tino Livramento in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; possession projects near even.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Tottenham: starters carry the main goal usage through Dominic Solanke; bench watchlist: Dejan Kulusevski, Richarlison, Mathys Tel.", "Newcastle: starters carry the main goal usage through Harvey Barnes; bench watchlist: Bruno Guimarães, Anthony Gordon, Yoane Wissa.", "Assist usage should flow through Dominic Solanke, Harvey Barnes; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Tottenham tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects balanced tempo, about 13 total first-half shots, and 1.22 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If Newcastle is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Tottenham.", "Newcastle wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Tottenham": { "formation": "4-2-3-1", "players": { "Antonín Kinský": { "player_id": 1031251, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 31, "height": 190, "market_value": 15700000, "stats": { "saves": 1, "goals_prevented": 0.1348, "rating": 81.8483, "minutes": 74, "total_pass": 21, "accurate_pass": 14, "total_long_balls": 11, "accurate_long_balls": 5, "touches": 27, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 4, "high_claims": 2, "punches": 0.0, "aerial_won": 0, "sweeper_actions": 2, "sweeper_accurate": 2, "saves_inside_box": 2, "possession_lost": 7.1822, "duels_won": 0, "duels_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "total_own_half_passes": 11, "accurate_own_half_passes": 10, "expected_saves": 1.82, "high_pressure_saves": 0.69, "shots_faced": 3.9, "opponent_faced": "Nick Woltemade, Harvey Barnes", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "assists": 0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 75.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_type": "played", "match_id": 16363242, "match_date": "2026-08-22 16:30:00 UTC", "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": 17, "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": 96668, "season_name": "Premier League 26/27", "season_year": "26/27", "home_team": "Brentford", "away_team": "Tottenham", "home_score_current": 3.0, "away_score_current": 0.0, "team_side": "away", "status_code": 100, "status_type": "finished", "status_description": "Ended", "player_status": "starter", "is_starting_11": true, "team": "Tottenham", "opponent": "Brentford", "stats": {}, "has_player_stats": false, "source": "depth_chart.csv" }, { "match_id": 14023967, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Tottenham Hotspur", "away_team": "Everton", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Tottenham Hotspur", "opponent": "Everton", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0004, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 22, "accurate_pass": 12, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 4, "saves": 1, "goals_prevented": 0.0461 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 16087727, "match_date": "2026-05-19", "home_team": "Chelsea", "away_team": "Tottenham Hotspur", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Tottenham Hotspur", "opponent": "Chelsea", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0015, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 27, "accurate_pass": 21, "ball_recovery": 5, "saves": 2, "goals_prevented": -0.6846 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023944, "match_date": "2026-05-11", "home_team": "Tottenham Hotspur", "away_team": "Leeds United", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Tottenham Hotspur", "opponent": "Leeds United", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 8.0, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.003, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 30, "accurate_pass": 20, 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"away_score_current": 0.0, "team_side": "away", "status_code": 100, "status_type": "finished", "status_description": "Ended", "player_status": "starter", "is_starting_11": true, "team": "Tottenham", "opponent": "Brentford", "stats": {}, "has_player_stats": false, "source": "depth_chart.csv" }, { "match_type": "played", "match_id": 12812998, "match_date": "2026-06-30 01:00:00 UTC", "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": 16, "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": 58210, "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026", "home_team": "Netherlands", "away_team": "Morocco", "home_score_current": 3.0, "away_score_current": 4.0, "team_side": "home", "status_code": 120, "status_type": "finished", "status_description": "AP", "player_status": "starter", "is_starting_11": true, "team": "Netherlands", "opponent": "Morocco", "stats": {}, "has_player_stats": false, "source": "depth_chart.csv" }, { "match_id": 15186973, "match_date": "2026-06-25", "home_team": "Tunisia", "away_team": "Netherlands", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Netherlands", "opponent": "Tunisia", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 9.1, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.122, "expected_assists": 0.2162, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 133, "accurate_pass": 130, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 6, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 7 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186957, "match_date": "2026-06-20", "home_team": "Netherlands", "away_team": "Sweden", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Netherlands", "opponent": "Sweden", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.3, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0136, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 78, "accurate_pass": 71, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 6, "aerial_won": 3, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186945, "match_date": "2026-06-14", "home_team": "Netherlands", "away_team": "Japan", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Netherlands", "opponent": "Japan", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.4, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.1206, "expected_assists": 0.0592, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 95, "accurate_pass": 87, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 5, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14023959, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "away_team": "Manchester United", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "opponent": "Manchester United", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0444, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 71, "accurate_pass": 63, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 2, "clearances": 4, "aerial_won": 4, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023954, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Leeds United", "away_team": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "opponent": "Leeds United", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 5.7, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.9435, "expected_assists": 0.0685, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 98, "accurate_pass": 85, "key_pass": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 8, "aerial_won": 5, "duels_won": 7 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023935, "match_date": "2026-05-09", "home_team": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "away_team": "Wolverhampton", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "opponent": "Wolverhampton", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0129, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 86, "accurate_pass": 78, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 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"25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023957, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Newcastle United", "away_team": "West Ham United", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Newcastle United", "opponent": "West Ham United", "stats": { "minutes": 13, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 1, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023943, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "Nottingham Forest", "away_team": "Newcastle United", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Newcastle United", "opponent": "Nottingham Forest", "stats": { "minutes": 19, "rating": 6.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0062, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 4, "accurate_pass": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 3285, "combined_rank_score": 355.5, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 292.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.0667, "sofascore_appearances": 4.0, "fifa_rank": 419.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 13, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 7.1159, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Yoane Wissa", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Renārs Varslavāns", "ranking": 3280 }, { "player_name": "Valentin Morgun", "ranking": 3281 }, { "player_name": "Nolan Miller", "ranking": 3282 }, { "player_name": "Sodai Hasukawa", "ranking": 3283 }, { "player_name": "Milan 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"key_pass": 4, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Championship", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186861, "match_date": "2026-06-24", "home_team": "Scotland", "away_team": "Brazil", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Scotland", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 8.0, "assists": 2, "expected_goals": 0.0256, "expected_assists": 0.676, "total_shots": 1, "total_pass": 45, "accurate_pass": 38, "key_pass": 3, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 4, "ball_recovery": 9 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186856, "match_date": "2026-06-20", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Haiti", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Haiti", "stats": { "minutes": 81, "rating": 7.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0325, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 32, "accurate_pass": 26, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 5, "tackles_won": 3, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 8, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15186850, "match_date": "2026-06-13", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Morocco", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Morocco", "stats": { "minutes": 80, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 1, "expected_goals": 0.0072, "expected_assists": 0.0224, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 38, "accurate_pass": 34, "key_pass": 1, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 6, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "FIFA World Cup", "league_id": "16", "league_slug": "world-championship", "league_country": "World", "season_id": "58210", "season_name": "World Cup 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14023965, "match_date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "Fulham", "away_team": "Newcastle United", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Newcastle United", "opponent": "Fulham", "stats": { "minutes": 66, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0196, "expected_assists": 0.0454, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 47, "accurate_pass": 40, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023957, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Newcastle United", "away_team": "West Ham United", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Newcastle United", "opponent": "West Ham United", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 8.0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0936, "expected_assists": 0.3626, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 68, "accurate_pass": 58, "tackles": 5, "tackles_won": 3, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 13, "ball_recovery": 6 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14023943, "match_date": "2026-05-10", "home_team": "Nottingham Forest", "away_team": "Newcastle United", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Newcastle United", "opponent": "Nottingham Forest", "stats": { "minutes": 89, "rating": 7.5, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.4031, "expected_assists": 0.4201, "total_shots": 4, "shots_on_target": 3, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 70, "accurate_pass": 58, "key_pass": 3, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 1, "interceptions": 2, "clearances": 2, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 9, "ball_recovery": 7 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Premier League", "league_id": "17", "league_slug": "premier-league", "league_country": "England", "season_id": "76986", "season_name": "Premier League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14169220, "match_date": "2025-09-09", "home_team": "Bolivia", "away_team": "Brazil", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Bolivia", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.2, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 1, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 59, "accurate_pass": 52, "key_pass": 2, "tackles": 3, "tackles_won": 2, "interceptions": 1, "duels_won": 8, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 14169219, "match_date": "2025-09-05", "home_team": "Brazil", "away_team": "Chile", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Brazil", "opponent": "Chile", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 8.9, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 64, "accurate_pass": 58, "key_pass": 5, "tackles": 2, "tackles_won": 2, "interceptions": 1, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. CONMEBOL", "league_id": "295", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-conmebol", "league_country": "South America", "season_id": "53820", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025", "season_year": "2026" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 90, "combined_rank_score": 96.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 104.0, "sofascore_rating": 7.4517, "sofascore_appearances": 29.0, "fifa_rank": 88.0, "fifa_overall": 86.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 1, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 7.9339, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Bruno Guimarães", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Valentin Atangana Edoa", "ranking": 85 }, { "player_name": "Thibaut Courtois", "ranking": 86 }, { "player_name": "Danrlei", "ranking": 87 }, { "player_name": "José Sanhueza", "ranking": 88 }, { "player_name": "Fedor Lapoukhov", "ranking": 89 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Vasilije Kostov", "ranking": 91 }, { "player_name": "Ramón Sosa", "ranking": 92 }, { "player_name": "Viktor Gyökeres", "ranking": 93 }, { "player_name": "David Raya", "ranking": 94 }, { "player_name": "Granit Xhaka", "ranking": 95 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 1, "expected_goals": 1.02, "expected_assists": 1.02, "total_shots": 12, "shots_on_target": 5, "total_passes": 381, "interceptions": 9, "tackles": 16, "avg_rating": 85.64, "possession_estimated_pct": 49.4, "pressing_actions_per_90": 8.6 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Sandro Tonali", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 74000000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.876, "defenders": [ "Sven Botman" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.739, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.494, "xg_contribution": 0.0483, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 1.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.7, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Sven Botman", "role": "RB", "market_value": 33000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.506 } ], "duel_analysis": "Sandro Tonali (LW) is evenly matched against Sven Botman in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 49%. The quality gap is significant (€74M vs €33M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.048 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Xavi Simons", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 43000000, "attacker_height": 179, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.796, "defenders": [ "Lewis Hall" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.77, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.492, "xg_contribution": 0.244, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 1.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.5, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Lewis Hall", "role": "LB", "market_value": 38000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 1.1, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.508 } ], "duel_analysis": "Xavi Simons (RW) is evenly matched against Lewis Hall in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 49%. Projected xG contribution: 0.244 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Mohammed Kudus", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 54000000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.837, "defenders": [ "Jacob Ramsey" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.758, "duel_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.479, "xg_contribution": 0.0598, "shots_in_zone": 2.4, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Jacob Ramsey", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 36000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.521 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mohammed Kudus (CAM) is evenly matched against Jacob Ramsey in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 48%. The quality gap is significant (€54M vs €36M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.060 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Dominic Solanke", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 31000000, "attacker_height": 186, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.725, "defenders": [ "Malick Thiaw", "Tino Livramento" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.793, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.3953, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.7, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Malick Thiaw", "role": "CB", "market_value": 41000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 1.1, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Tino Livramento", "role": "CB", "market_value": 44000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.3, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 1.1, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Dominic Solanke (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Malick Thiaw and Tino Livramento in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.395 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Mateus Fernandes", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 49000000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.821, "defenders": [ "Bazoumana Touré" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.817, "duel_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.414, "xg_contribution": 0.0894, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Bazoumana Touré", "role": "CM", "market_value": 48000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.586 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mateus Fernandes (CDM) faces tough defensive resistance against Bazoumana Touré in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 41%. Projected xG contribution: 0.089 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Harvey Barnes", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 35000000, "attacker_height": 181, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.752, "defenders": [ "Pedro Porro" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.791, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.494, "xg_contribution": 0.2641, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 1.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Pedro Porro", "role": "RB", "market_value": 42000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 1.1, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.506 } ], "duel_analysis": "Harvey Barnes (LW) is evenly matched against Pedro Porro in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 49%. Projected xG contribution: 0.264 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Anthony Elanga", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 31000000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.725, "defenders": [ "Jan Paul van Hecke" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.863, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.374, "xg_contribution": 0.005, "shots_in_zone": 1.7, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 1.3, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.4, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Jan Paul van Hecke", "role": "LB", "market_value": 65000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.4, "clearances_in_zone": 1.2, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.626 } ], "duel_analysis": "Anthony Elanga (RW) faces tough defensive resistance against Jan Paul van Hecke in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 37%. The quality gap is significant (€31M vs €65M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.005 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Nick Woltemade", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 59000000, "attacker_height": 198, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.85, "defenders": [ "Micky van de Ven", "Destiny Udogie" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.761, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.274, "xg_contribution": 0.3782, "shots_in_zone": 2.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.5, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 2.2, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.7, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Micky van de Ven", "role": "CB", "market_value": 49000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 1.1, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.726 }, { "player": "Destiny Udogie", "role": "CB", "market_value": 28000000, "tackles_attempted": 1.1, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.1, "clearances_in_zone": 1.0, "aerial_duels_won": 0.4, "defensive_success_rate": 0.726 } ], "duel_analysis": "Nick Woltemade (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Micky van de Ven and Destiny Udogie in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 27%. The quality gap is significant (€59M vs €38M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.378 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Jacob Ramsey", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 36000000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.758, "defenders": [ "Mateus Fernandes" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.821, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.4, "xg_contribution": 0.0717, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mateus Fernandes", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 49000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.6 } ], "duel_analysis": "Jacob Ramsey (CDM) faces tough defensive resistance against Mateus Fernandes in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. Projected xG contribution: 0.072 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Bazoumana Touré", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 48000000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.817, "defenders": [ "Mateus Fernandes" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.821, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.436, "xg_contribution": 0.1482, "shots_in_zone": 1.6, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.2, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "ULTRA_HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mateus Fernandes", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 49000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.3, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.3, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.564 } ], "duel_analysis": "Bazoumana Touré (CM) is evenly matched against Mateus Fernandes in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 44%. Projected xG contribution: 0.148 — with neither side clearly dominant." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.867, "away_midfield_power": 0.756, "home_creative_power": 0.804, "away_creative_power": 0.694, "home_defensive_power": 0.788, "away_defensive_power": 0.788, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.534, "home_midfield_count": 5, "away_midfield_count": 3, "home_midfield_players": [ "Sandro Tonali", "Mohammed Kudus", "Mateus Fernandes", "Xavi Simons", "Lucas Bergvall" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Bazoumana Touré", "Jacob Ramsey", "Joelinton" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 50.6, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 49.4, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.7, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 8.6, "home_key_passes_projected": 6.3, "away_key_passes_projected": 5.7, "home_throughball_threat": 3.0, "away_throughball_threat": 2.7, "key_personal_duel": "Sandro Tonali vs Bazoumana Touré", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 1.008, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 0.988 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "4-2-3-1", "away_formation": "4-3-3", "home_tactical_bonus": -0.01, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.03, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.413, "away_lambda": 1.02, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Sandro Tonali": { "opponents": [ "Sven Botman", "Jacob Ramsey" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Xavi Simons": { "opponents": [ "Lewis Hall", "Bazoumana Touré" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Mohammed Kudus": { "opponents": [ "Jacob Ramsey" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Dominic Solanke": { "opponents": [ "Malick Thiaw", "Tino Livramento" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Mateus Fernandes": { "opponents": [ "Bazoumana Touré", "Jacob Ramsey" ], "primary_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Pedro Porro": { "opponents": [ "Harvey Barnes" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jan Paul van Hecke": { "opponents": [ "Anthony Elanga" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Micky van de Ven": { "opponents": [ "Nick Woltemade" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Destiny Udogie": { "opponents": [ "Nick Woltemade" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Lucas Bergvall": { "opponents": [ "Joelinton" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Antonín Kinský": { "opponents": [ "Harvey Barnes", "Anthony Elanga" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Sven Botman": { "opponents": [ "Sandro Tonali" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Lewis Hall": { "opponents": [ "Xavi Simons" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jacob Ramsey": { "opponents": [ "Mohammed Kudus", "Mateus Fernandes", "Sandro Tonali" ], "primary_zone": "Attacking Mid vs Single Holding Mid — Space Creator Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Malick Thiaw": { "opponents": [ "Dominic Solanke" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Tino Livramento": { "opponents": [ "Dominic Solanke" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Bazoumana Touré": { "opponents": [ "Mateus Fernandes", "Xavi Simons" ], "primary_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Harvey Barnes": { "opponents": [ "Pedro Porro" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Anthony Elanga": { "opponents": [ "Jan Paul van Hecke" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Back — Flank Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Nick Woltemade": { "opponents": [ "Micky van de Ven", "Destiny Udogie" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Joelinton": { "opponents": [ "Lucas Bergvall" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Lukáš Horníček": { "opponents": [ "Dominic Solanke", "Mohammed Kudus" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Sandro Tonali vs Bazoumana Touré will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.84, Away: 0.87. Home danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9442, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9494, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.18, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.18, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.8919, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.875, "home_midfield_factor": 1.008, "away_midfield_factor": 0.988, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.7989, "away_avg_quality": 0.7691, "avg_quality_gap": 0.0297, "squad_value_gap_log": 0.1794, "top5_value_gap_log": 0.2265, "attack_value_gap_log": 0.1884, "elite_count_gap": 3, "combined_quality_gap": 0.0901, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.1983, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.1262, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0512, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0683, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": true, "competitive_underdog_floor": 1.02, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 1.413, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 0.974, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 1.4132, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.9743, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": false, "final_home_lambda": 1.413, "final_away_lambda": 1.02 } }, "home_standing": { "available": true, "team_position": 20, "opponent_position": 17, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": 1.0, "defense_concede_index": 1.0, "form_multiplier": 1.0, "team_attack_rate_contextual": 0.0, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": 0.0, "team_ppg": 0.0, "opponent_ppg": 0.0 }, "away_standing": { "available": true, "team_position": 17, "opponent_position": 20, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": 1.0, "defense_concede_index": 1.0, "form_multiplier": 1.0, "team_attack_rate_contextual": 0.0, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": 0.0, "team_ppg": 0.0, "opponent_ppg": 0.0 }, "timestamp": "2026-08-29T13:31:23Z" }