{ "match_info": { "home_team": "Celta", "away_team": "Athletic Club", "tournament": "LaLiga", "date": "20260830", "timezone": "America/New_York", "home_formation": "3-5-2", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1" }, "prediction": { "most_likely_score": "0-0", "home_goals": 0, "away_goals": 0, "most_likely_score_probability": 0.139, "match_resolution": "draw", "predicted_winner": null, "tiebreaker": { "applies": false, "method": "none", "regulation_draw_probability": 0.3129, "shootout_home_win_probability": null, "shootout_away_win_probability": null, "penalty_home_goals": null, "penalty_away_goals": null, "penalty_score": null, "penalty_winner": null, "penalty_winner_goals": null, "penalty_loser_goals": null, "penalty_result": null, "home_advance_probability": null, "away_advance_probability": null, "projected_winner": null, "projected_winner_probability": null, "final_score_after_penalties": null, "reason": "Tie-breaker not required for this match context." }, "top_5_scorelines": [ { "score": "0-0", "probability": 0.139 }, { "score": "1-0", "probability": 0.1386 }, { "score": "1-1", "probability": 0.1368 }, { "score": "0-1", "probability": 0.131 }, { "score": "2-0", "probability": 0.0715 } ], "scoreline_probabilities": { "0-0": 0.139, "0-1": 0.131, "0-2": 0.064, "0-3": 0.0206, "0-4": 0.005, "0-5": 0.001, "1-0": 0.1386, "1-1": 0.1368, "1-2": 0.0652, "1-3": 0.021, "1-4": 0.0051, "1-5": 0.001, "2-0": 0.0715, "2-1": 0.069, "2-2": 0.0333, "2-3": 0.0107, "2-4": 0.0026, "3-0": 0.0243, "3-1": 0.0234, "3-2": 0.0113, "3-3": 0.0036, "3-4": 0.0009, "4-0": 0.0062, "4-1": 0.006, "4-2": 0.0029, "4-3": 0.0009, "5-0": 0.0013, "5-1": 0.0012, "5-2": 0.0006 }, "outcome": { "home_win": 0.358, "draw": 0.3129, "away_win": 0.3291 }, "markets": { "over_2_5_goals": 0.3193, "under_2_5_goals": 0.6807, "btts_yes": 0.3974, "btts_no": 0.6026, "home_clean_sheet": 0.381, "away_clean_sheet": 0.3606 }, "home_ratings": { "DR": 80.56, "MCR": 84.55, "ATR": 79.24, "GK": 80.74 }, "away_ratings": { "DR": 85.72, "MCR": 70.82, "ATR": 83.32, "GK": 91.93 }, "insights": { "summary": "Antagonist matchup analysis for Celta vs Athletic Club. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Lambdas derived from 5 home and 5 away individual player duels.", "key_player": "Gorka Guruzeta (ST) — Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle [0.120 xG]", "tactical_analysis": "Tactical parity between 3-5-2 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality. Midfield is evenly contested — Williot Swedberg vs Nico Williams will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.29, Away: 0.34. Home danger zone: Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle." }, "confidence": 0.69, "home_lambda": 1.02, "away_lambda": 0.965 }, "pregame_baseline": { "fair_win_probability": { "home_win": 0.358, "draw": 0.3129, "away_win": 0.3291 }, "favorite": "Celta", "favorite_win_probability": 0.358, "fair_spread": 0.055, "fair_total": 1.985, "prop_estimates": [ { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Celta", "estimate": 1.02, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "team_total_goals", "selection": "Athletic Club", "estimate": 0.965, "probability": null, "unit": "goals" }, { "market": "over_2_5_goals", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 2.5, "probability": 0.3193, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "both_teams_to_score", "selection": "yes", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.3974, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Celta", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.381, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "clean_sheet", "selection": "Athletic Club", "estimate": 1.0, "probability": 0.3606, "unit": "probability" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Miguel Román (Celta)", "estimate": 0.5641, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "anytime_goal", "selection": "Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic Club)", "estimate": 0.2216, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xG" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Sergio Carreira (Celta)", "estimate": 0.1248, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xA" }, { "market": "assist", "selection": "Nico Williams (Athletic Club)", "estimate": 0.109, "probability": 0.0, "unit": "xA" } ], "expected_pace": { "tempo": "low", "expected_total_goals": 1.985, "expected_total_shots": 20, "expected_total_passes": 742, "expected_pressing_actions_per_90": 14.6, "possession_home_pct": 48.9, "possession_away_pct": 51.1, "notes": "possession projects near even" }, "expected_game_script": { "favorite": "Celta", "favorite_win_probability": 0.358, "script": "Celta is the fair winner side, but the baseline remains narrow: fair spread +0.06 goals and fair total 1.99.", "first_half": "Expect low tempo while both sides test the matchup thesis; shot baseline is about 10 first-half attempts.", "second_half": "If level after halftime, midfield control and bench quality should decide territory; Athletic Club must keep the match inside one goal.", "late_game": "A Celta lead likely shifts toward control and counters; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." }, "key_matchup_thesis": "Athletic Club chance creation leans on Gorka Guruzeta against Javi Rodríguez, Abdoulaye Faye in Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle; possession projects near even.", "expected_rotation_usage_behavior": [ "Celta: starters carry the main goal usage through the highest xG attackers; bench watchlist: Pablo Durán, Borja Iglesias.", "Athletic Club: starters carry the main goal usage through the highest xG attackers; bench watchlist: Maroan Sannadi, Álvaro Djaló.", "Assist usage should flow through the projected key-pass leaders; late lineup changes should re-score these allocations." ], "pregame_play_by_play": [ "0-15: Celta tries to establish the projected edge; track possession and first-shot share.", "15-45: Baseline expects low tempo, about 10 total first-half shots, and 0.99 first-half xG pace.", "45-70: If the match is level, watch midfield control and the listed bench watchlists for usage changes.", "70-90: If Athletic Club is chasing, transition and set-piece volume become the primary live deviation signal; a draw state keeps set pieces and transition chances live." ], "invalidation_triggers": [ "Early red card, injury, or goalkeeper change for Celta.", "Athletic Club wins the midfield/territory battle beyond the possession baseline.", "Pace collapses: first 25 minutes fall well below the shot and box-entry baseline.", "Set pieces, penalties, or second balls create more danger than the open-play matchup thesis." ], "top_3_risk_factors": [ { "factor": "Low-event scoring variance", "impact": "One penalty, deflection, or missed big chance can overwhelm the fair win probability." }, { "factor": "Late lineup or role change", "impact": "A pregame XI, injury, or tactical role shift can invalidate player prop and usage estimates." }, { "factor": "Discipline and set-piece volatility", "impact": "Cards, fouls in dangerous zones, and corner volume can change the expected game script quickly." } ] }, "teams": { "Celta": { "formation": "3-5-2", "players": { "Ionuț Radu": { "player_id": 815202, "position": "G", "position_depth": "G", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 13, "height": 188, "market_value": 8700000, "stats": { "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": 0.2053, "rating": 80.7411, "minutes": 90, "total_pass": 29, "accurate_pass": 18, "total_long_balls": 14, "accurate_long_balls": 4, "touches": 42, "clearances": 2, "ball_recovery": 12, "high_claims": 1, "punches": 1.6735, "aerial_won": 1, "sweeper_actions": 2, "sweeper_accurate": 2, "saves_inside_box": 2, "possession_lost": 11.0233, "duels_won": 1, "duels_lost": 1, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 1, "total_own_half_passes": 17, "accurate_own_half_passes": 15, "expected_saves": 0.71, "high_pressure_saves": 0.27, "shots_faced": 1.5, "opponent_faced": "Gorka Guruzeta, Mikel Jauregizar", "matchup_zone": "Goalkeeper shot-stopping context", "antagonist_source": "formation_fallback", "goals": 0, "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "assists": 0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "expected_goals": 0.0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 74.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_type": "played", "match_id": 16416298, "match_date": "2026-08-22 17:30:00 UTC", "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": 8, "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": 97268, "season_name": "LaLiga 26/27", "season_year": "26/27", "home_team": "Valencia", "away_team": "Celta", "home_score_current": 0.0, "away_score_current": 0.0, "team_side": "away", "status_code": 100, "status_type": "finished", "status_description": "Ended", "player_status": "starter", "is_starting_11": true, "team": "Celta", "opponent": "Valencia", "stats": {}, "has_player_stats": false, "source": "depth_chart.csv" }, { "match_id": 14083715, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "Sevilla", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "Sevilla", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.5, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0005, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 30, "accurate_pass": 26, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 10, "saves": 2, "goals_prevented": 0.404 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083656, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Athletic Club", "away_team": "Celta Vigo", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "Athletic Club", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0007, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 35, "accurate_pass": 15, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 26, "saves": 8, "goals_prevented": 0.7293 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083613, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "Levante UD", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 5.4, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0001, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 24, "clearances": 1, "ball_recovery": 9, "saves": 3, "goals_prevented": -1.1055 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632619, "match_date": "2026-04-16", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "SC Freiburg", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "SC Freiburg", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 5.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0003, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 23, "accurate_pass": 15, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 8, "saves": 2, "goals_prevented": -1.2657 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632615, "match_date": "2026-04-09", "home_team": "SC Freiburg", "away_team": "Celta Vigo", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "SC Freiburg", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.3, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0006, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 22, "accurate_pass": 13, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 13, "saves": 4, "goals_prevented": -0.1284 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15126916, "match_date": "2026-03-26", "home_team": "Türkiye", "away_team": "Romania", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Romania", "opponent": "Türkiye", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.8, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 39, "accurate_pass": 22, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 8, "saves": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "World Cup Qual. UEFA", "league_id": "11", "league_slug": "world-championship-qual-uefa", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "69427", "season_name": "World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026", "season_year": "2026" }, { "match_id": 15631844, "match_date": "2026-03-19", "home_team": "Olympique Lyonnais", "away_team": "Celta Vigo", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "Olympique Lyonnais", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 18, "accurate_pass": 12, "clearances": 1, "duels_won": 1, "ball_recovery": 7, "saves": 1, "goals_prevented": 0.2312 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15631835, "match_date": "2026-03-12", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "Olympique Lyonnais", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "Olympique Lyonnais", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.9, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0014, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 31, "accurate_pass": 16, "clearances": 4, "ball_recovery": 15, "saves": 5, "goals_prevented": 0.1336 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "UEFA Europa League", "league_id": "679", "league_slug": "uefa-europa-league", "league_country": "Europe", "season_id": "76984", "season_name": "UEFA Europa League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 17672, "combined_rank_score": 1466.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 366.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.9895, "sofascore_appearances": 38.0, "fifa_rank": 2566.0, "fifa_overall": 74.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 9, "squad_role": "starter", "projected_match_rating": 6.7411, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Ionuț Radu", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Kamory Doumbia", "ranking": 17667 }, { "player_name": "Djibril Sidibé", "ranking": 17668 }, { "player_name": "Benedict Hollerbach", "ranking": 17669 }, { "player_name": "Ricardo Rodríguez", "ranking": 17670 }, { "player_name": "Kristijan Kahlina", "ranking": 17671 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Otar Kiteishvili", "ranking": 17673 }, { "player_name": "Victor Nelsson", "ranking": 17674 }, { "player_name": "Gorosabel", "ranking": 17675 }, { "player_name": "Kevin Akpoguma", "ranking": 17676 }, { "player_name": "Diego Rodríguez", "ranking": 17677 } ] } } }, "Javi Rodríguez": { "player_id": 1526627, "position": "D", "position_depth": "D", "is_starter": true, "shirt_number": 32, "height": 178, "market_value": 17500000, "stats": { "interceptions": 0, "tackles": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "clearances": 3, "aerial_won": 1, "rating": 82.8575, "minutes": 86, "total_pass": 56, "accurate_pass": 50, "duels_won": 3, "total_long_balls": 4, "accurate_long_balls": 2, "total_own_half_passes": 32, "accurate_own_half_passes": 29, "total_opp_half_passes": 25, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 21, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 68, "possession_lost": 7.5214, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 3, "aerial_lost": 2, "total_contest": 1, "won_contest": 1, "ball_recovery": 3, "challenges_lost": 1, "fouls": 2, "fouls_drawn": 1, "blocks": 1, "goal_rate": 0.0, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.3422, "expected_assists": 0.0619, "total_shots": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "shots_off_target": 1, "big_chances_created": 1, "xgot": 0.0, "ball_carries": 15, "total_progression": 67, "progressive_carries": 2, "key_pass": 1, "tackles_in_zone": 1.0, "tackles_won_in_zone": 1.2, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.818, "opponent_faced": "Gorka Guruzeta", "pressing_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "matchup_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "antagonist_source": "defensive_duel", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 76.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_type": "played", "match_id": 16416298, "match_date": "2026-08-22 17:30:00 UTC", "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": 8, "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": 97268, "season_name": "LaLiga 26/27", "season_year": "26/27", "home_team": "Valencia", "away_team": "Celta", "home_score_current": 0.0, "away_score_current": 0.0, "team_side": "away", "status_code": 100, "status_type": "finished", "status_description": "Ended", "player_status": "starter", "is_starting_11": true, "team": "Celta", "opponent": "Valencia", "stats": {}, "has_player_stats": false, "source": "depth_chart.csv" }, { "match_id": 14083715, "match_date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "Sevilla", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "Sevilla", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.0, "assists": 0, "expected_goals": 0.0109, "expected_assists": 0.0202, "total_shots": 1, "shots_off_target": 1, "total_pass": 66, "accurate_pass": 61, "interceptions": 2, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 3, "ball_recovery": 5 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083656, "match_date": "2026-05-17", "home_team": "Athletic Club", "away_team": "Celta Vigo", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "Athletic Club", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 7.1, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0039, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 52, "accurate_pass": 44, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "clearances": 9, "aerial_won": 2, "duels_won": 5, "ball_recovery": 2 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 14083613, "match_date": "2026-05-12", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "Levante UD", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Celta Vigo", "opponent": "Levante UD", "stats": { "minutes": 90, "rating": 6.2, "assists": 0, "expected_assists": 0.026, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 74, "accurate_pass": 66, "key_pass": 1, "clearances": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 1 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15632619, "match_date": "2026-04-16", "home_team": "Celta Vigo", "away_team": "SC Freiburg", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, 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"global_player_rank": 564, "combined_rank_score": 299.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 369.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 15, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.5399, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Álvaro Djaló", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Bruno Duarte", "ranking": 559 }, { "player_name": "Joaquín Lavega", "ranking": 560 }, { "player_name": "Roberto Firmino", "ranking": 561 }, { "player_name": "Fausto Vera", "ranking": 562 }, { "player_name": "Branimir Mlačić", "ranking": 563 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Stefan Bukinac", "ranking": 565 }, { "player_name": "Cavan Sullivan", "ranking": 566 }, { "player_name": "João Pedro Chermont", "ranking": 567 }, { "player_name": "Tomás Badaloni", "ranking": 568 }, { "player_name": "Gustavo Scarpa", "ranking": 569 } ] } } } }, "substitutes": { "Maroan Sannadi": { "player_id": 1520799, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 21, "height": 192, "market_value": 4700000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0013, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 79.5446, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 1, "total_pass": 1, "accurate_pass": 1, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 1, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 0, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 2, "possession_lost": 0.8353, "dispossessed": 0.0, "duels_lost": 0, "aerial_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 0, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 0, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 0, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 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}, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "LaLiga", "league_id": "8", "league_slug": "laliga", "league_country": "Spain", "season_id": "77559", "season_name": "LaLiga 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 18694, "combined_rank_score": 2240.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": 1035.0, "sofascore_rating": 6.48, "sofascore_appearances": 10.0, "fifa_rank": 3445.0, "fifa_overall": 73.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 13, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.5446, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Maroan Sannadi", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Leo Østigård", "ranking": 18689 }, { "player_name": "Joao Carvalho", "ranking": 18690 }, { "player_name": "Frantzdy Pierrot", "ranking": 18691 }, { "player_name": "Marino Hinestroza", "ranking": 18692 }, { "player_name": "Firas Al Birekan", "ranking": 18693 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Thomas Kristensen", "ranking": 18695 }, { "player_name": "Carlos Miguel", "ranking": 18696 }, { "player_name": "Jaden Philogene", "ranking": 18697 }, { "player_name": "Josan", "ranking": 18698 }, { "player_name": "Carlos Cáceda", "ranking": 18699 } ] } } }, "Álvaro Djaló": { "player_id": 1160960, "position": "F", "position_depth": "F_BENCH", "is_starter": false, "shirt_number": 49, "height": 176, "market_value": 4300000, "stats": { "expected_goals": 0.0, "goal_rate": 0.0001, "goals": 0, "shots_on_target": 0, "expected_assists": 0.0, "key_pass": 0, "rating": 88.5399, "minutes": 25, "total_shots": 0, "duels_won": 1, "aerial_won": 0, "total_pass": 2, "accurate_pass": 2, "total_long_balls": 0, "accurate_long_balls": 0, "total_opp_half_passes": 2, "accurate_opp_half_passes": 1, "crosses_total": 1, "crosses_accurate": 0, "touches": 4, "possession_lost": 1.389, "dispossessed": 0.9861, "duels_lost": 1, "aerial_lost": 0, "total_contest": 0, "won_contest": 0, "ball_recovery": 1, "challenges_lost": 0, "fouls": 1, "fouls_drawn": 0, "assists": 0, "shots_off_target": 0, "interceptions": 0, "tackles_won": 0, "tackles": 1, "clearances": 0, "blocks": 0, "big_chances_created": 0, "big_chances_missed": 0, "xgot": 0.0, "offsides": 0, "ball_carries": 1, "total_progression": 4, "progressive_carries": 0, "bench_appearance_probability": 0.562, "bench_expected_minutes": 25.36, "projected_substitution_order": 2, "substitution_rule_cap": 5, "projected_team_substitution_count": 2, "projected_substitution_expected_count": 2.444, "projected_substitution_game_state_adjustment": 0, "substitution_usage": "projected_used_substitute", "projected_goals": 0, "goal_probability": 0.0, "projected_assists": 0, "assist_probability": 0.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0 }, "latest_10_games": [ { "match_id": 15603926, "match_date": "2026-04-27", "home_team": "Al-Gharafa", "away_team": "Al-Shahaniya", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Gharafa", "opponent": "Al-Shahaniya", "stats": { "minutes": 87, "rating": 6.6, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 3, "shots_on_target": 1, "shots_off_target": 2, "total_pass": 17, "accurate_pass": 10, "tackles": 4, "tackles_won": 2, "interceptions": 1, "aerial_won": 4, "duels_won": 9, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Stars League", "league_id": "825", "league_slug": "stars-league", "league_country": "Qatar", "season_id": "77227", "season_name": "Stars League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15941217, "match_date": "2026-04-08", "home_team": "Al-Wakrah", "away_team": "Al-Gharafa", "team_side": "away", "is_starting_11": 1, "team": "Al-Gharafa", "opponent": "Al-Wakrah", "stats": { "minutes": 82, "rating": 7.5, "goal_rate": 1.0, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 2, "shots_on_target": 1, "total_pass": 26, "accurate_pass": 17, "tackles": 1, "tackles_won": 1, "duels_won": 7, "ball_recovery": 4 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Stars League", "league_id": "825", "league_slug": "stars-league", "league_country": "Qatar", "season_id": "77227", "season_name": "Stars League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" }, { "match_id": 15603905, "match_date": "2026-03-18", "home_team": "Al-Gharafa", "away_team": "Al-Ahli Doha", "team_side": "home", "is_starting_11": 0, "team": "Al-Gharafa", "opponent": "Al-Ahli Doha", "stats": { "minutes": 24, "rating": 6.7, "assists": 0, "total_shots": 0, "total_pass": 8, "accurate_pass": 6, "tackles": 2, "interceptions": 1, "duels_won": 2, "ball_recovery": 3 }, "has_player_stats": true, "league_name": "Stars League", "league_id": "825", "league_slug": "stars-league", "league_country": "Qatar", "season_id": "77227", "season_name": "Stars League 25/26", "season_year": "25/26" } ], "ranking": { "global_player_rank": 564, "combined_rank_score": 299.0, "ranking_source": "sofascore_plus_fifa_csv_filled", "ranking_status": "combined", "sofascore_rank": null, "sofascore_rating": null, "sofascore_appearances": 0.0, "fifa_rank": 369.0, "fifa_overall": 82.0, "fifa_source": "EA SPORTS FC official ratings", "match_squad_rank": 15, "squad_role": "substitute", "projected_match_rating": 6.5399, "source_file": "data/player_rankings.csv", "player_name": "Álvaro Djaló", "ranking_neighbors": { "upper": [ { "player_name": "Bruno Duarte", "ranking": 559 }, { "player_name": "Joaquín Lavega", "ranking": 560 }, { "player_name": "Roberto Firmino", "ranking": 561 }, { "player_name": "Fausto Vera", "ranking": 562 }, { "player_name": "Branimir Mlačić", "ranking": 563 } ], "lower": [ { "player_name": "Stefan Bukinac", "ranking": 565 }, { "player_name": "Cavan Sullivan", "ranking": 566 }, { "player_name": "João Pedro Chermont", "ranking": 567 }, { "player_name": "Tomás Badaloni", "ranking": 568 }, { "player_name": "Gustavo Scarpa", "ranking": 569 } ] } } } }, "team_totals": { "projected_goals": 0, "expected_goals": 0.96, "expected_assists": 0.57, "total_shots": 12, "shots_on_target": 4, "total_passes": 399, "interceptions": 5, "tackles": 7, "avg_rating": 79.29, "possession_estimated_pct": 51.1, "pressing_actions_per_90": 7.6 } } }, "antagonist_report": { "home_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Ferran Jutglà", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 10700000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.531, "defenders": [ "Dani Vivian", "Aitor Paredes" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.55, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.18, "xg_contribution": 0.0051, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.4, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Dani Vivian", "role": "CB", "market_value": 18200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.9, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 }, { "player": "Aitor Paredes", "role": "CB", "market_value": 7100000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 0.8, "defensive_success_rate": 0.82 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ferran Jutglà (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Dani Vivian and Aitor Paredes in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.005 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Miguel Román", "attacker_role": "LWB", "attacker_market_value": 14400000, "attacker_height": 178, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.573, "defenders": [ "Jesús Areso" ], "defender_roles": [ "RB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.468, "duel_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.427, "xg_contribution": 0.0515, "shots_in_zone": 1.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.8, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.5, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Jesús Areso", "role": "RB", "market_value": 5500000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.7, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.573 } ], "duel_analysis": "Miguel Román (LWB) is evenly matched against Jesús Areso in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 43%. Projected xG contribution: 0.051 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Hugo Álvarez", "attacker_role": "RWB", "attacker_market_value": 7800000, "attacker_height": 176, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.496, "defenders": [ "Aymeric Laporte" ], "defender_roles": [ "LB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.503, "duel_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.337, "xg_contribution": 0.0697, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.3, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Aymeric Laporte", "role": "LB", "market_value": 8400000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.663 } ], "duel_analysis": "Hugo Álvarez (RWB) faces tough defensive resistance against Aymeric Laporte in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 34%. Projected xG contribution: 0.070 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Sergio Carreira", "attacker_role": "CM", "attacker_market_value": 11500000, "attacker_height": 170, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.54, "defenders": [ "Mikel Jauregizar" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.725, "duel_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.339, "xg_contribution": 0.1032, "shots_in_zone": 1.4, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.6, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.8, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mikel Jauregizar", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 31000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.1, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.2, "defensive_success_rate": 0.661 } ], "duel_analysis": "Sergio Carreira (CM) faces tough defensive resistance against Mikel Jauregizar in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 34%. The quality gap is significant (€12M vs €31M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.103 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Ilaix Moriba", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 13700000, "attacker_height": 183, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.565, "defenders": [ "Mikel Jauregizar" ], "defender_roles": [ "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.725, "duel_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.372, "xg_contribution": 0.0561, "shots_in_zone": 0.9, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.3, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "HIGH", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Mikel Jauregizar", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 31000000, "tackles_attempted": 2.2, "tackles_won": 2.0, "fouls_committed": 0.4, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.2, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.9, "defensive_success_rate": 0.628 } ], "duel_analysis": "Ilaix Moriba (CDM) faces tough defensive resistance against Mikel Jauregizar in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 37%. The quality gap is significant (€14M vs €31M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.056 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." } ], "away_attacking_duels": [ { "attacker": "Beñat Prados", "attacker_role": "LW", "attacker_market_value": 15500000, "attacker_height": 179, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.585, "defenders": [ "Hugo Álvarez" ], "defender_roles": [ "RWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.496, "duel_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.492, "xg_contribution": 0.0566, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 4, "dribbles_successful": 1.7, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 2.1, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Hugo Álvarez", "role": "RWB", "market_value": 7800000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.8, "clearances_in_zone": 0.7, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.508 } ], "duel_analysis": "Beñat Prados (LW) is evenly matched against Hugo Álvarez in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 49%. Projected xG contribution: 0.057 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Peio Canales", "attacker_role": "RW", "attacker_market_value": 9700000, "attacker_height": 175, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.519, "defenders": [ "Miguel Román" ], "defender_roles": [ "LWB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.573, "duel_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Wingback — Compact Flank", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.404, "xg_contribution": 0.049, "shots_in_zone": 1.8, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 0.9, "crosses_in_zone": 2.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Miguel Román", "role": "LWB", "market_value": 14400000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.8, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 1.1, "defensive_success_rate": 0.596 } ], "duel_analysis": "Peio Canales (RW) faces tough defensive resistance against Miguel Román in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 40%. Projected xG contribution: 0.049 — and is restricted in space and time on the ball." }, { "attacker": "Nico Williams", "attacker_role": "CAM", "attacker_market_value": 44000000, "attacker_height": 180, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.8, "defenders": [ "Sergio Carreira", "Ilaix Moriba" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM", "CDM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.552, "duel_zone": "CAM vs CM + CDM", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.426, "xg_contribution": 0.0548, "shots_in_zone": 2.2, "dribbles_attempted": 3, "dribbles_successful": 1.1, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.1, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.4, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Sergio Carreira", "role": "CM", "market_value": 11500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.574 }, { "player": "Ilaix Moriba", "role": "CDM", "market_value": 13700000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 0.9, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 0.5, "defensive_success_rate": 0.574 } ], "duel_analysis": "Nico Williams (CAM) is evenly matched against Sergio Carreira and Ilaix Moriba in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 43%. The quality gap is significant (€44M vs €13M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.055 — with neither side clearly dominant." }, { "attacker": "Gorka Guruzeta", "attacker_role": "ST", "attacker_market_value": 4600000, "attacker_height": 188, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.457, "defenders": [ "Javi Rodríguez", "Abdoulaye Faye" ], "defender_roles": [ "CB", "CB" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.529, "duel_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "numerical_situation": "1v2", "duel_win_rate": 0.182, "xg_contribution": 0.1198, "shots_in_zone": 2.0, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.3, "aerial_duels": 3, "aerial_won": 1.9, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.5, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Javi Rodríguez", "role": "CB", "market_value": 17500000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.2, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 1.0, "clearances_in_zone": 0.8, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.818 }, { "player": "Abdoulaye Faye", "role": "CB", "market_value": 4200000, "tackles_attempted": 1.0, "tackles_won": 1.1, "fouls_committed": 0.6, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.7, "clearances_in_zone": 0.6, "aerial_duels_won": 0.6, "defensive_success_rate": 0.818 } ], "duel_analysis": "Gorka Guruzeta (ST) is heavily outmatched defensively against Javi Rodríguez and Abdoulaye Faye in a 2-defender block. Duel win probability: 18%. Projected xG contribution: 0.120 — with very limited chance creation expected." }, { "attacker": "Mikel Jauregizar", "attacker_role": "CDM", "attacker_market_value": 31000000, "attacker_height": 177, "attacker_skill_quality": 0.725, "defenders": [ "Sergio Carreira" ], "defender_roles": [ "CM" ], "def_skill_quality_avg": 0.54, "duel_zone": "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel", "numerical_situation": "1v1", "duel_win_rate": 0.511, "xg_contribution": 0.0584, "shots_in_zone": 1.1, "dribbles_attempted": 2, "dribbles_successful": 0.9, "aerial_duels": 2, "aerial_won": 1.0, "crosses_in_zone": 0.0, "fouls_drawn": 1.2, "pressing_intensity_on_attacker": "LOW", "defender_stats": [ { "player": "Sergio Carreira", "role": "CM", "market_value": 11500000, "tackles_attempted": 2.0, "tackles_won": 1.6, "fouls_committed": 0.5, "interceptions_in_zone": 0.9, "clearances_in_zone": 0.5, "aerial_duels_won": 1.0, "defensive_success_rate": 0.489 } ], "duel_analysis": "Mikel Jauregizar (CDM) is slightly favored against Sergio Carreira in a direct 1v1 contest. Duel win probability: 51%. The quality gap is significant (€31M vs €12M avg). Projected xG contribution: 0.058 — creating consistent moderate threat." } ], "midfield_battle": { "home_midfield_power": 0.608, "away_midfield_power": 0.709, "home_creative_power": 0.514, "away_creative_power": 0.547, "home_defensive_power": 0.521, "away_defensive_power": 0.604, "home_dominance_ratio": 0.462, "home_midfield_count": 5, "away_midfield_count": 5, "home_midfield_players": [ "Williot Swedberg", "Miguel Román", "Ilaix Moriba", "Sergio Carreira", "Hugo Álvarez" ], "away_midfield_players": [ "Nico Williams", "Mikel Jauregizar", "Oihan Sancet", "Beñat Prados", "Peio Canales" ], "possession_advantage": "neutral", "estimated_possession_home_pct": 48.9, "estimated_possession_away_pct": 51.1, "home_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.0, "away_pressing_actions_per_90": 7.6, "home_key_passes_projected": 4.6, "away_key_passes_projected": 4.8, "home_throughball_threat": 2.1, "away_throughball_threat": 2.2, "key_personal_duel": "Williot Swedberg vs Nico Williams", "midfield_lambda_factor_home": 0.986, "midfield_lambda_factor_away": 1.01 }, "formation_analysis": { "home_formation": "3-5-2", "away_formation": "4-2-3-1", "home_tactical_bonus": -0.06, "away_tactical_bonus": 0.06, "formation_verdict": "Tactical parity between 3-5-2 and 4-2-3-1. Match outcome driven primarily by individual player quality." }, "home_lambda": 1.02, "away_lambda": 0.965, "home_top_threat_zones": [ "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run" ], "away_top_threat_zones": [ "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "Holding Mid vs Central Mid — Midfield Anchor Duel" ], "home_player_antagonists": { "Ferran Jutglà": { "opponents": [ "Dani Vivian", "Aitor Paredes" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Miguel Román": { "opponents": [ "Jesús Areso", "Peio Canales", "Beñat Prados" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Hugo Álvarez": { "opponents": [ "Aymeric Laporte", "Beñat Prados", "Peio Canales" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Sergio Carreira": { "opponents": [ "Mikel Jauregizar", "Nico Williams" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Ilaix Moriba": { "opponents": [ "Mikel Jauregizar", "Nico Williams" ], "primary_zone": "CDM vs CDM", "source": "attacking_duel, defensive_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Javi Rodríguez": { "opponents": [ "Gorka Guruzeta" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Abdoulaye Faye": { "opponents": [ "Gorka Guruzeta" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Williot Swedberg": { "opponents": [ "Oihan Sancet" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Ionuț Radu": { "opponents": [ "Gorka Guruzeta", "Oihan Sancet" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Carl Starfelt": { "opponents": [ "Gorka Guruzeta" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" }, "Jones El-Abdellaoui": { "opponents": [ "Dani Vivian", "Aymeric Laporte" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "away_player_antagonists": { "Dani Vivian": { "opponents": [ "Ferran Jutglà" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Aitor Paredes": { "opponents": [ "Ferran Jutglà" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Jesús Areso": { "opponents": [ "Miguel Román" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wingback vs Right Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Aymeric Laporte": { "opponents": [ "Hugo Álvarez" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wingback vs Left Back — Overlapping Run", "source": "defensive_duel" }, "Mikel Jauregizar": { "opponents": [ "Sergio Carreira", "Ilaix Moriba" ], "primary_zone": "Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel", "source": "defensive_duel, attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Beñat Prados": { "opponents": [ "Hugo Álvarez", "Miguel Román" ], "primary_zone": "Left Wing vs Right Wingback — Compact Flank", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Peio Canales": { "opponents": [ "Miguel Román", "Hugo Álvarez" ], "primary_zone": "Right Wing vs Left Wingback — Compact Flank", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Nico Williams": { "opponents": [ "Sergio Carreira", "Ilaix Moriba" ], "primary_zone": "CAM vs CM + CDM", "source": "attacking_duel, midfield_pairing" }, "Gorka Guruzeta": { "opponents": [ "Javi Rodríguez", "Abdoulaye Faye" ], "primary_zone": "Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle", "source": "attacking_duel" }, "Oihan Sancet": { "opponents": [ "Williot Swedberg" ], "primary_zone": "Midfield lane", "source": "midfield_pairing" }, "Unai Simón": { "opponents": [ "Jones El-Abdellaoui", "Ferran Jutglà" ], "primary_zone": "Shape fallback", "source": "formation_fallback" } }, "key_tactical_insight": "Midfield is evenly contested — Williot Swedberg vs Nico Williams will be the pivotal duel. Total antagonist xG — Home: 0.29, Away: 0.34. Home danger zone: Central Mid vs Defensive Mid — Pressing/Creation Duel. Away danger zone: Striker vs Two Centre Backs — 1v2 Aerial/Physical Battle.", "lambda_factors": { "home_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9273, "away_gk_opposition_factor": 0.9821, "home_set_piece_bonus": 0.046, "away_set_piece_bonus": 0.1323, "home_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.983, "away_defensive_solidity_vs": 0.999, "home_midfield_factor": 0.986, "away_midfield_factor": 1.01, "stage_discount": 1.0, "quality_gap_applied": true, "home_avg_quality": 0.5335, "away_avg_quality": 0.5827, "avg_quality_gap": -0.0492, "squad_value_gap_log": -0.386, "top5_value_gap_log": -0.5087, "attack_value_gap_log": -0.3771, "elite_count_gap": -1, "combined_quality_gap": -0.1134, "stronger_lambda_boost": 0.2496, "weaker_lambda_suppression": 0.1588, "home_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0253, "away_bench_lambda_bonus": 0.0235, "home_bench_players_modelled": 7, "away_bench_players_modelled": 7, "mismatch_score_pressure_applied": false, "competitive_underdog_floor_applied": true, "competitive_underdog_floor": 1.02, "pre_competitive_floor_home_lambda": 0.675, "pre_competitive_floor_away_lambda": 0.965, "pre_calibration_home_lambda": 0.6753, "pre_calibration_away_lambda": 0.9655, "competition_calibration_applied": false, "competition_calibration_reason": "no_sofascore_matches_data", "competition_calibration_samples": 0, "competition_observed_total_goals": 0.0, "competition_calibration_scale": 1.0, "neutral_share_preserved": false, "final_home_lambda": 1.02, "final_away_lambda": 0.965 } }, "home_standing": { "available": true, "team_position": 13, "opponent_position": 10, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": 1.0, "defense_concede_index": 1.0, "form_multiplier": 1.0, "team_attack_rate_contextual": 0.0, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": 0.0, "team_ppg": 0.0, "opponent_ppg": 0.0 }, "away_standing": { "available": true, "team_position": 10, "opponent_position": 13, "standing_lambda_multiplier": 1.0, "attack_index": 1.0, "defense_concede_index": 1.0, "form_multiplier": 1.0, "team_attack_rate_contextual": 0.0, "opp_defense_rate_contextual": 0.0, "team_ppg": 0.0, "opponent_ppg": 0.0 }, "timestamp": "2026-08-30T13:31:42Z" }